RADIO
Billy Hoffer’s League of Legends (LoL) DFS advice and DraftKings, FanDuel lineup picks for LPL, and LCK slates on 7/11//20. His top LoL value plays and eSports DFS recommendations.
Hello, Esports enthusiasts, and welcome back to our continued Esports coverage of League of Legends DFS! Last night all my picks did well! Including Sandbox pulling off the upset. Let's get back at it today!
My name is Billy Hoffer and I'm really excited to be making my debut as an Esports analyst here at Rotoballer this week. I'm a big fan of LOL, CSGO, and COD and have been a DFS grinder for some time now. I realize I have some big shoes to fill as I fill in for the esteemed Mr. Malmanger with these LPL and LCK picks, but I am going to do my best to give you high-quality analysis and actionable advice for tomorrow morning's DFS slate.
I'll be providing my League of Legends advice, analysis, and picks, for this LCK/LPL slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 4:00 AM on Saturday. July 11th, 2020. Make sure you follow me on Twitter @Hofferkid!
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LCK Matches
DragonX (-120) vs. DAMWON Gaming
To start things off we have a battle between the top two teams in the LCK. This is a very hard game to predict in my opinion but let's give it a shot. DWG has a huge advantage in first turret percentage and a minor advantage in first blood percentage. DRX has better dragon and baron rates, while DWG holds a big herald advantage. Vision between the two squads is pretty equal. This is a tough one to call and I think whoever wins does it in three games.
I'll predict 2-1 in favor of DRX. A big reason for that prediction is because Deft is not a primary Aphellios player. Yes, he does run it, but he has plenty of other options in his champion pool and I think he utilizes it against this DWG squad. The MID lane battle should be fun to watch. I believe Pyosik has the best individual matchup for this DRX team. With Deft being my next favorite. There are plenty of other high paced games on this slate, so don’t feel like you need to pick a side on this one as going elsewhere is totally viable.
The pick: DRX 2-1
Top DRX plays:
- Pyosik - JNG
- Deft - ADC
- Chovy - MID
- Keria- SUP
- Doran- TOP
Afreeca Freecs (-425) vs. SeolHaeOne Prince
The Freecs come into this one with a 4-3 record and sitting fifth in the LCK. Meanwhile, SHO sits at 1-6 and 9th in the LCK. Afreeca has the first turret advantage while first blood % is equal between the two. The Freecs also hold advantages in dragon and baron rates and have a solid advantage in the vision category as well. I think the Freecs are a good, but not a great team this split. I fully expect them to win this one in sweep fashion. The bot lane duo of Mystic and Ben have a good lane matchup but then again they have advantages in every lane vs. this SHO squad. Mystic and Fly are my two favorite carry options on the side of AF. SHO has died an average of 16.1 times per game this split, I think Afreeca can be a very low owned four-man stack, with a one-off or two-man perfectly viable from this squad as well.
The pick: Afreeca 2-0
Top Afreeca plays:
- Mystic - ADC
- Fly - MID
- Ben - SUP
- Kiin - TOP
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LPL Matches
Dominus Esports (-130) vs. Rogue Warriors
This is the definition of a battle for the bottom. DMO sits at 1-8 while RW is 0-8. Its been a tough split from both of these teams, but a recent trend that has been coming along is RW has been winning games lately. However, they have not converted that into a series win yet. DMO comes in as very slight favorites, but I'm going to roll with the small dog here and say RW picks up its first win of the split.
DMO holds the first turret advantage, while first blood percentage goes over to RW. RW also holds advantages in herald and baron rates, while DMO has a slight dragon advantage. I think RW takes this for a couple of reasons, one being I think ZWuji is an elite player and has a huge advantage over the abysmal bot lane of DMO.
Ruby is hard to trust, but he should be able to have his way with Twila. RW makes for a great contrarian small stack on Saturday morning as I doubt they will carry too much ownership. If you are feeling risky, a four-man stack is in play, I would do the three players listed below along with the team slot.
The pick: Rogue Warriors 2-1
Top RW plays:
- ZWuji - ADC
- Haro - JNG
- Ruby - MID
Top OMG plays:
- icon - MID
- Smlz - ADC
Top Esports (-290) vs. Funplus Phoenix
This is a world-class LPL matchup, just about as good as it gets. TES comes in at 7-0, while FPX sits at 5-2. I am fully expecting a bloody series here, to be more specific, a 50 kill sweep is not out of the question for either side of this matchup. If it goes three, I expect three bloody games. TES has the first turret advantage, with first blood in favor of FPX. TES holds advantages in all three of the neutral objectives (dragons, heralds, barons). Vision is pretty even between the two.
This is one of the very, very rare incidents where I believe Doinb is outmatched in the mid lane by Knight. I also think that 369 will cause major problems for FPX given their unproven abilities in the top lane. Bot lane goes over to TES for me as well. Jackeylove and Yuyanjia are an unbelievable duo and typically pass any challenge they face.
The jungle matchup is about the only spot I feel FPX has an advantage in, as Karsa has shown inconsistencies pretty frequently. I think FPX plays a bloody match, but ultimately I believe they fall 2-0. I would definitely recommend loading up on TES as a four-man is 100% viable. 369 is the best TOP on the board tonight and knight provides a great (but also chalky) captain play.
The pick: Top Esports 2-0
Top TES plays:
- knight - MID
- Jackeylove - ADC
- Yuyanjia - SUP
- 369 - TOP
Summary
- There are so many good options tonight as well as high paced games, don't be afraid to fade the DRX/DWG game entirely.
- TES is my favorite stack tonight, with RW being my favorite true GPP spot
- ZWuji is my prediction for the slates' highest scorer.
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More ESports DFS Analysis
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Readers of RotoBaller's eSports DFS articles have been winning money on DraftKings and FanDuel regularly. Some of them are winning contests daily and bringing in some serious cheddar. Check one out below and lots more here!
Did you read a RotoBaller article and win too? Send us your screenshots on Twitter @RotoBaller and we'll add it to our winners Hall Of Fame!
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