PrizePicks PGA DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for the 2023 U.S. Open (Round 1)

Welcome to our PrizePicks PGA DFS prop picks for the 2023 U.S. Open (Round 1). The third Major of 2023 is already upon us, and to celebrate, PrizePicks has an extensive selection of PGA props to take advantage of! PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or singular stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

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This week, we're at the historic Los Angeles Country Club for the first time in U.S. Open history. It's been a nearly 50-year-long struggle to convince this club to host a Major Championship, but for golf fans, the final product should be well worth the wait. This George C. Thomas masterpiece is unlike anything we've seen recently in professional golf, and with how firm Southern California can get this time of year, the USGA will be licking their chops in their mission to strain and stress the best players in the world. I and the entire Rotoballer PGA staff have put out 1,000s of words on the course, key stats, and field this week, so this article won't be focused on the minutiae of projecting outright winners or DFS pivot plays. Instead, I'll be solely focused on a few money-making opportunities I've found in PrizePicks' unique markets to help you build your bankroll as the PGA Tour season gets into full swing! Today's plays are specifically for round one on Thursday, June 15.

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Single Stat PGA Totals - DFS Prop Picks

Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.

Xander Schauffele LESS than 70.5 Strokes

With no finish worse than 14th in six U.S. Open starts, and five consecutive top-seven performances from 2017-2021, Xander Schauffele has proven more than well-equipped for whatever the USGA decides to throw at him this week. Since he made his debut in 2017, only Brooks Koepka has gained more strokes on a per-round basis, and on five of six occasions, Schauffele has opened his U.S. Open with a round of even-par or better.

That track record makes it all the more confusing that PrizePicks has set his opening line above par, especially considering the run he's been on to start the 2023 campaign. Schauffele hasn't finished worse than 24th since the PLAYERS Championship in March, and all systems appear to be firing on all cylinders heading into this U.S. Open rendition. He's reversed the early-year driving struggles that plagued him at Bay Hill and Sawgrass, and Xander continues to be one of the more bankable iron players in world golf: gaining an average of 3.5 shots on approach per tournament over his last ten starts.

In fact, there's not a single Strokes Gained metric that Schauffele ranks outside the top 30 in since the start of the year, and that all-around game has already netted him a pair of Top 20s in the first two Majors of 2023. The SDSU product remains one of the safest options year-in, year-out in these types of Championships, and stellar track records at notable comp courses Augusta National, Shinnecock Hills, and Southern Hills give me all the faith I need to invest in him heavily at LACC's vaunted North Course. Nothing in the numbers gives me any reason to doubt Xander will continue to build on his extensive U.S. Open resume, and if things break right, LACC seems like a very favorable venue for Schuaffele's long-awaited Major Breakthrough.

Scottie Scheffler MORE than 12.0 Greens In Regulation

Scottie Scheffler Over-GIRs is a play I've continually banked on in 2023, and given the way Scottie's striking the ball these days, it's hard not to go right back to the well at this number. Scheffler leads this field in SG: APP, Long Iron Proximity, and GIRs Gained over his last 24 rounds, and his conservative approach to course management has paid particularly large dividends in the Majors: hitting over 73% of his greens between the Masters and PGA Championship.

Although firm turf conditions will likely make LACC's greens play quite a bit smaller than their dimensions would indicate, at 6,500 sq. feet on average, an iron player of Scheffer's caliber should have no trouble finding the surface in regulation - particularly from the expansive fairways on offer here as well. He's the tournament favorite for a reason, there isn't a single concern I have in the Texan's profile from tee-to-green.

Bryson DeChambeau MORE than 71.5 Strokes

Fresh off of a superb 4th place finish at last month's PGA Championship, Bryson has become somewhat of a trendy pick this week at LACC. However, when diving into the two courses, it's difficult for me to see Bryson taking a similar path to success in L.A. DeChambeau remains one of the more sporadic drivers of the ball in the field, and at a golf course that is as penalizing to severely off-line tee shots, Bryson presents one of the safest bets on the board to be well acquainted with LACC's famous barrancas by weeks end.

In addition, courses that require you to navigate uneven terrain and produce a variety of shots around the greens have been bugaboos of DeChambeau throughout his career. (Augusta National, anyone). I just see way too much blowup potential here to warrant a place next to guys like Justin Rose, Tony Finau, and Hideki Matsuyama on this total.

Other Recommendations

• Patrick Cantlay MORE than 11.5 Greens in Regulation
• Sam Burns MORE than 71.5 Strokes
• Hideki Matsuyama MORE than Taylor Montgomery - Birdies or Better Matchup

Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX

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