Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

RotoBaller Standard Mock Draft Analysis - Rounds 7-10


We continue our look at RotoBaller's Standard Mock 2.0 with a recap of rounds 7-10. We recently gathered 12 RotoBaller experts writers to conduct a week-long, email draft, MFL10-style, in order to evaluate ADP values and draft strategies in standard scoring fantasy football leagues.

If you didn't catch it earlier, start here with our first round analysis. We're breaking down every round, continuing with the seventh, eighth, ninth, and tenth rounds in this article.

Note: All references to ADP come from www.fantasyfootballcalculator.com and are based off a 12-team, standard league.

Editor's Note: Get any rest-of-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS Tools, Lineup Optimizer and Premium DFS Research through the Super Bowl. Sign Up Now!

 

Round 7 Recap

The seventh round kicked off with Mark Ingram going to Nathan Powell's team. Ingram was a nice get in the seventh round. He has been coming off the board in the fifth according to recent ADP data. As the most well-rounded Saints running back he should have a solid fantasy season. As long and he and Cam Newton are healthy, Kelvin Benjamin has double-digit touchdown upside. Derrick Henry is one of the most highly-valued backup running backs this season. If something happens to DeMarco Murray this year, Henry could be a top-five RB. Jay Cutler just called DeVante Parker "a faster Alshon Jeffrey." If that's the case Parker is a steal in the seventh.

Emmanuel Sanders and Eric Decker are two veteran receivers who both come in as solid values. I'll take Adrian Peterson in the seventh any day. He is going to be living in the red zone playing for an explosive Saints offense. If everything breaks right he is a shoo-in for double-digit touchdowns. Bilal Powell is expected to split the workload 50/50 with Matt Forte. What a fall for Randall Cobb. After being drafted as a low-end WR1/high-end WR2 over the past few seasons, Dennis Clausen got him at the end of the seventh. If Cobb is able to wrestle some targets away from Davante Adams and stay healthy, this will be a solid pick.

Best Pick: Mark Ingram (RB, NO) - Ingram is coming off draft boards in the fourth round of fantasy drafts and is playing for one of the best offenses in the league. He is part of a committee and will have to share touches but the situation was the same last year when he posted a top-12 fantasy season.

Round 8 Recap

It was a diverse round as we saw two quarterbacks, four running backs, five wide receivers, and one tight end come off the board. Corey Coleman has loads of talent but he has struggled to stay healthy and may be catching passes from Brock Osweiler. For the value, Kyle Rudolph is one of my favorite tight ends this season. He turned in a career year in 2016 and will be running short and intermediate routes for super-accurate Sam Bradford. It came down to Jeremy Maclin or Pierre Garcon for my pick. I went with Garcon because he should command a larger target share this season and Brian Hoyer has a history of feeding his WR1.

Rob Kelley isn't dead yet as he appears slated to open the year as the starter. A couple good games and he may be able to keep Samaje Perine on the bench. Perine struggled in pass protection and fumbled in the preseason opener. He's going to need to pick it up in a hurry to have an early-season fantasy impact. Tyrell Williams is extremely undervalued, especially with Mike Williams unlikely to play this year. Cameron Meredith should operate as the Bears' No. 1 receiver. Even in a dismal offense, that distinction holds value. Terrance West will be the Ravens' early down grinder while ceding passing game work to Danny Woodhead. DeSean Jackson's real-life impact may outweigh his fantasy impact but he surely has a few huge weeks in him in 2017. Cam Newton has finishing as the top overall fantasy quarterback in his range of outcomes.

Best Pick: Kyle Rudolph (TE, MIN) - Rudolph is a great value at tight end. He finished as the TE2 in fantasy last season. Granted, that was aided by injuries to Rob Gronkowski and Jordan Reed, but both of those players have struggled with injuries over their careers. Instead of using a premium selection on Gronk or Reed, Rudolph in the eighth allows you to draft an elite WR or RB in the early rounds and still get a tight end with top-five upside. Rudolph is the team's top red zone target and will catch passes from Sam Bradford, who set a league record for completion percentage in 2016.

Biggest Reach: Samaje Perine (RB, WAS) - Perine is a bit of a reach in the ninth round, even though that's where his ADP has been. The Redskins already have a pass-catching back in Chris Thompson, leaving Perine and Kelley to fight over the early down work. Not exactly a valuable role in fantasy, especially for a pass-first team such as Washington has been. Of course, I'm typically pretty bearish on selecting rookies in redraft formats.

 

Round 9 Recap

Round 9 saw a few more teams add their starting quarterbacks while we also saw our first kicker come off the board. Zach Ertz could benefit the most from the Jordan Matthews trade. Matthews being gone opens up a lot of middle of the field targets for the tight end. Kareem Hunt is still playing behind Spencer Ware but could have a huge year if he's able to wrestle the starting job away from the veteran. Perhaps as a result of the sickle-cell trait that cropped up last year, John Brown is still dealing with soft tissue injuries in his legs and is a risk/reward pick in the ninth round. Delanie Walker should have one last TE1 season left in his legs before giving way to Jonnu Smith in 2018. Jeremy Maclin is criminally undervalued in drafts. He is a lock to see the most targets in a pass-first Baltimore offense. I was hoping he would slide to me at the end of the round.

Kirk Cousins has been one of my favorite late-round quarterbacks to target over the past few years. With a little positive touchdown regression he could finish as a top-six quarterback in 2017. Marvin Jones isn't as good as he was in the beginning of last season but he's not as bad as he finished in 2016, either. He's fine as a third or fourth wide receiver. I reached a bit on Adam Thielen but I'm high on him and think he builds upon his breakout of a year ago. Chris Zolli got a solid value in Theo Riddick, who has seen his ADP drop three full rounds in from PPR to standard leagues. Even though this is not a PPR league, Riddick should be able to roll up receiving yardage sprinkling in the occasional carry. Justin Tucker is the best kicker in fantasy, especially in leagues where you get rewarded for field goals of 50 or more yards. He led the NFL with 10 kicks of 50+ yards in 2016.

Best Pick: Jeremy Maclin (WR, BAL) - Maclin struggled through an injury-filled 2016 season but he is just a year removed from being a rock solid WR2 in fantasy. The move to Baltimore certainly helps his chances as he gets away from game-manager extraordinaire Alex Smith, who once somehow went a full season without throwing a touchdown to a receiver (in 2014 for those keeping score at home). Maclin has WR2 upside at WR4 pricing.

Biggest Reach: Justin Tucker (K, BAL) - Tucker is hands down the best fantasy kicker. That being said, it's hard to justify using a mid-round pick on a kicker. Of course, Tucker won fantasy championships in 2013 with a 61-yard field goal so there's that, but I generally prefer to wait until the last round to select a kicker in leagues.

 

Round 10 Recap

The 10th round saw two defenses drafted, along with a quarterback, three running backs, three wideouts, and three tight ends. James White, fresh of off being the Patriots' Super Bowl hero, should return to his role as the team's third-down back. Of course, trying to predict New England's running back usage is a fool's errand. The best (and least rational) bet is to draft them all and hope for someone to rise to the top. Or at least pick the two you like best and snag them. The Broncos have been an elite fantasy defense for a few years now and should be one of the first defenses off the board in all fantasy drafts.

Ebron looked like a better pick in early August before another injury popped up. He has missed most of training camp with a hamstring injury, taking away some of his sleeper appeal. Martellus Bennett may be the most talented tight end Aaron Rodgers has played with, at least since the days of Jermichael Finley. He's a great late-round tight end for those who wait on the position. Excellent as a pass catcher and running between the tackles, Duke Johnson could be an RB1 if something happens to Isaiah Crowell. He's a fantastic Zero-RB target in drafts. Kenny Britt will likely be catching passes from Brock Osweiler. Of course, he managed a 1,000-yard season catching passes from the Rams' quarterbacks in 2016. The Panthers keep calling Jonathan Stewart their starting running back, despite the presence of Christian McCaffrey. Jordan Matthews was an Eagle at the time of this pick. As Buffalo's de facto No. 1 receiver, it's doubtful he'll be available this late in drafts much longer.

Best Pick: Jordan Matthews (BUF, WR) - Nathan Powell lucked out on this one as Matthews went from possibly splitting snaps with Nelson Agholor in a crowded Eagles receiving corps to being the Bills' top receiving threat. He has put together a wildly productive three-year stretch to open his career and should continue to be a solid WR3 in fantasy this season.

Biggest Reach: Charles Clay (BUF, TE) - Clay usually goes undrafted in 16-team leagues, making this selection a bit of a reach. The Bills figure to skew run-heavy again this season and are hardly trying to conceal the fact that they are tanking the 2017 season at this point.

 

More Fantasy Football Mock Drafts and Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

Engel's Angles: ADP Insights, Perspectives on Aaron Judge and Ketel Marte (Premium Content)

Spring training exhibition play has just opened and expert draft season is here. The trends are being firmly established on how to draft, and where to draft certain players. We all know pure ace top starters are going to be taken very early, and there will be a high emphasis on garnering top speed merchants.... Read More


RotoBaller Friends & Family Industry Mock Draft: What the Experts Were Thinking

The RotoBaller Friends & Family Mock Draft has become an annual tradition where we gather some of the biggest names from the fantasy baseball world and put together a mock draft just as spring training has commenced. Thanks to RT Sports for once again hosting and providing a custom draft site where readers could follow... Read More


H2H Points League Draft Strategy

Points leagues are essentially the rawest version of fantasy baseball. These are not players, these are stat-lines and you want to put up as many points per week as possible. Do not get too attached to underperforming players who have name-value and potential. There is a stark difference in draft strategy when it comes to... Read More


2020 Catcher Rankings - Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues

Spring Training is upon us! Pitchers and catchers have reported and we finally have some box scores to desperately over-analyze. The catcher position can really be a headache for dynasty owners trying to plan for the future. Needless to say, it is not a position that many MLB teams count on for offense, leaving fantasy players... Read More


Questionable Closers: An Early Look at Some Unsettled Bullpens

As anyone who has played fantasy baseball for even five minutes knows, bullpens around the league are always in flux. There are fewer and fewer closers who are no doubt, always in for the ninth inning, always healthy, never slumping, and always celebrating wins for their team. We're seeing more and more teams go with... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers – Aaron Civale

With Mike Clevinger sidelined to start the year and Corey Kluber off to Texas, the Indians will rely on the emergence of Aaron Civale to bolster their typically-formidable rotation. Civale impressed in his rookie season with 10 starts, 57.2 innings pitched (IP), a 3-4 win-loss record, 2.34 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 46 Ks. Due to the... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Didi Gregorius

The Philadelphia Phillies finished 2019 with a record of 81-81, which was only good enough for a fourth-place finish in the NL East. They have since added the likes of Zack Wheeler and Didi Gregorius to improve their chances of a division title in 2020. They have also brought in highly-touted manager Joe Girardi to... Read More


2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Shortstop

If you're keeping up with the Keeper Value Rankings, you know we've already covered First Base, Second Base, and Third Base. Today, we will address Shortstop. These rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based... Read More


ADP Showdown: Anthony Rendon vs. Rafael Devers

The first two rounds in your fantasy draft can be challenging because each available player is tremendously skilled with significant upside. Every pick looks desirable, so it’s important to try to determine which player has a greater likelihood of producing superior fantasy production. This can be accomplished by examining overall production and team context.  This... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More


MLB Closers and Saves: Fantasy Baseball Depth Charts

Saves are an important component for many fantasy baseball leagues. Closers are one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball, and one of the highest turnover positions in MLB. Each year, closers drop like flies and many MLB teams make in-season changes due to injuries or poor performance. Stay on top of all closer depth... Read More


Industry Expert Mock: ADP Surprises

Pierre Camus and Nicklaus Gaut break down the recent RotoBaller Friends & Family industry mock draft to see how the experts fared and look at some of the most surprising picks, for better or worse. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and... Read More


Fantasy Insider Angles - Thor, Jeff McNeil, J.D. Davis and More (Premium Content)

Success in baseball isn’t always just about pure numbers. For those who play the game and are inside the clubhouse, it’s also about creating the right chemistry and environment. As the New York Mets opened spring training this season, there was a fresh air of optimism around the team. It also seemed to extend to... Read More


Points League Ranker Tool - NFBC

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Brought to you by RotoBaller's Nicklaus Gaut (@Nt_BurtReynolds), this Points Rankings tool uses RotoBaller's 2020 MLB projections to build out custom rankings for NFBC Points Leagues. The tool uses the default NFBC scoring settings. All fantasy baseball platforms have different scoring settings for their points leagues.... Read More


Points League Ranker Tool - CBS

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Brought to you by RotoBaller's Nicklaus Gaut (@Nt_BurtReynolds), this Points Rankings tool uses RotoBaller's 2020 MLB projections to build out custom rankings for CBS Points Leagues. The tool uses the default CBS scoring settings. All fantasy baseball platforms have different scoring settings for their points leagues.... Read More


More Recent Articles

 

XFL Week 3 - Quarterback Risers and Fallers

We previously looked at target and opportunity risers and fallers, based on the first three weeks of XFL data. Now, it's time to evaluate the quarterbacks, for better or worse. With three weeks already in the rearview mirror and plenty of numbers stored from players showcasing their talent all around the country, it makes sense... Read More


NFL Scouting Combine Preview - Woo Fantasy Podcast

RotoBaller fantasy football analyst Brandon Murchison is joined by John Laub to preview the upcoming NFL Scouting Combine. In depth analysis of the incoming prospects from a fantasy prospective. Where do these players rank going in and how should you value them after the testing is done? Find out in this episode of Woo Fantasy!... Read More


Mike Williams - Dynasty Buy or Sell?

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano discuss the dynasty value of Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Mike Williams. Will he be as effective without Philip Rivers at quarterback in 2020 or is he a player to sell now? Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us... Read More


XFL Week 3 - Opportunity Risers and Fallers

I'm afraid some folks out there won't like this because they never wanted the XFL to establish itself, but we're already at a point when we can't count the number of games players with the fingers of our hands! That's right, it's been three weeks and 12 matches already. We previously looked at target risers... Read More


NFL Draft Combine Preview: Wide Receivers

The diva position of the NFL has seen an influx of playmakers enter the league in recent years. With so many teams moving to spread offenses, gone are the days of the third year breakout formula that many fantasy owners were used to. Opportunities are growing in these passing attacks each season, meaning we see... Read More


XFL Week 3 - Target Risers and Fallers

I'm afraid some folks out there won't like this because they never wanted the XFL to establish itself, but we're already at a point when we can't count the number of games players with the fingers of our hands! That's right, it's been three weeks and 12 games already. With three weeks already in the... Read More


Biggest Surprises of 2019 - Quarterback

The quarterback position in fantasy football is always one that either gets seriously overvalued, or seriously underrated. We all saw just how much of a difference maker someone like Lamar Jackson could be this year, or Patrick Mahomes last year. This year, we saw Mahomes get drafted extremely early, and while he was still good,... Read More


What Went Wrong with Odell Beckham Jr?

"What Went Wrong?" is a Rotoballer offseason series exploring fantasy players who underperformed their ADP. We'll explain why they fell below expectations and try to determine what it means for their value going forward. Finally free from the decrepit arm of Eli Manning and away from the torturous New York media, Odell Beckham Jr was... Read More


NFL Draft Combine Preview: Running Backs

What always seems to be the highlight for fantasy owners as preparations begin before the NFL Draft is the running back position. Owners clamor to get their hands on the new blood in the league as it has recently shown that it can pay off big time. We've seen the likes of Ezekiel Elliott, Christian... Read More


RB Opportunity Share and Impact (AFC East & North): 2019 Review

We wrap up with our coverage of each of the eight NFL divisions, discussing the teams that are part of them and the running backs that were part of those teams in 2019. To present those teams and players I use a set of easy-to-read charts: treemaps. The graphics will hold all of the players... Read More


Dynasty Price Check - Adam Thielen

Many of you have already begun planning and building your 2020 rosters. This includes best ball owners who have assembled teams in that popular format. A number of owners in redraft leagues are inspecting the early rankings, while those of you who are involved in dynasty leagues have continued your process of relentless roster evaluation. As... Read More


XFL DFS Lineup Picks For Week 3: The Checkdown

Check out this week's XFL fantasy football preview including game breakdowns, player analysis, DFS lineup picks and more for week three of the 2020 XFL season. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune... Read More