Chris Gregory's dynasty fantasy football rookie mock draft for superflex leagues. His five-round rookie mock draft for the 2026 NFL rookies.
The 2026 NFL Draft is mercifully over after a three-day marathon in which several of the top fantasy talents landed in unenviable positions. It was a frustrating confluence of events, considering that this rookie class was already lighter on top-end fantasy talent than in recent draft classes.
With that said, this class does have some strong talent at wide receiver, and the tight end group has intriguing flier options in later rounds. While many want to write this class off as a waste or hopelessly thin, there are values to be had in the middle rounds of rookie drafts based on how they are unfolding.
Below is a projection of how your Superflex rookie draft will likely unfold, combining our own projections with ADP. In events where the ADP or projections are close, we will note the better values and project accordingly. Finally, each round below will include notes on which picks are valuable, where managers are reaching, and where to trade out.
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Round 1
| Pick | Player | NFL Team | Pos. |
| 1.01 | Jeremiyah Love | Cardinals | RB |
| 1.02 | Fernando Mendoza | Raiders | QB |
| 1.03 | Carnell Tate | Titans | WR |
| 1.04 | Jordyn Tyson | Saints | WR |
| 1.05 | Makai Lemon | Eagles | WR |
| 1.06 | Jadarian Price | Seahawks | RB |
| 1.07 | KC Concepcion | Browns | WR |
| 1.08 | Ty Simpson | Rams | QB |
| 1.09 | Kenyon Sadiq | Jets | TE |
| 1.10 | Omar Cooper Jr. | Jets | WR |
| 1.11 | Denzel Boston | Browns | WR |
| 1.12 | Antonio Williams | Commanders | WR |
Value Drop After Consensus Top Five: The top-5 selections in rookie drafts have been settled for months, long before the NFL Draft happened. There is one Tier 1 running back in this class, one Tier 1 passer, and three Tier 1 wide receivers. After that, the talent and opportunity levels take a dip.
Many dynasty analysts considered KC Concepcion the “runaway” favorite for WR4 before the NFL Draft, but the former Aggie isn’t the same caliber of prospect that the top three receivers are. While Concepcion has strong separation and YAC skills, he struggles routinely with drops, and he doesn’t have blazing top-end speed. The dynasty community feels a bit too high on this one.
Meanwhile, the problem with Kenyon Sadiq is not his talent but the landing spot. Our presumptive 1.06 rookie pick going into the NFL Draft, the Oregon product landed with a Jets team that already had a talented young tight end and may have too many mouths to feed. Sadiq is gifted enough to still go in the top 10, but he’s not a top-8 lock anymore.
Overvaluing Landing Spots: What team a prospect lands with plays a major role in that rookie’s opportunity share, quality of coaching, scheme fit, and a variety of other factors that heavily influence their success in the NFL and fantasy. However, sometimes fantasy managers overvalue these landing spots.
Jadarian Price was a part-time back in college who saw just 15 total targets in 41 games. His profile has never been that of an every-down back, either, yet he is the presumptive 1.06 because he was the first-round pick of a Seattle team that needs RB help. Unfortunately, Price’s film and metrics suggest that, like RJ Harvey before him, his situation is overinflating his value.
Antonio Williams is another prospect whose dynasty stock has soared based on his landing spot. The Clemson product is a strong route runner from the slot, but his rise into the first round of rookie drafts is based upon a short-term expectation that he could be a volume hog in Washington. This ignores the risk that Brandon Aiyuk or a 2027 rookie could supplant him.
Round 2
| Pick | Player | NFL Team | Pos. |
| 2.01 | Chris Bell | Dolphins | WR |
| 2.02 | Eli Stowers | Eagles | TE |
| 2.03 | Jonah Coleman | Broncos | RB |
| 2.04 | Germie Bernard | Steelers | WR |
| 2.05 | Nicholas Singleton | Titans | RB |
| 2.06 | Ted Hurst | Buccaneers | WR |
| 2.07 | De'Zhaun Stribling | 49ers | WR |
| 2.08 | Zachariah Branch | Falcons | WR |
| 2.09 | Chris Brazzell II | Panthers | WR |
| 2.10 | Drew Allar | Steelers | QB |
| 2.11 | Carson Beck | Cardinals | QB |
| 2.12 | Kaytron Allen | Commanders | RB |
Sleepers No More: Two months ago, Ted Hurst’s rookie draft ADP was hovering in the 3.12-4.03 range while Chris Bell’s was at 3.01. Back then, the dynasty community was ignoring Hurst and undervaluing Bell while blowing up prospects. As a result, we warned you in December and January that Bell and Hurst were being undervalued, and the dynasty community has caught on.
Since the NFL Draft, Bell has seen his rookie draft ADP rocket to the top of the second round, while Hurst is squarely in the middle of that round. This means that both Bell and Hurst are being properly valued and are no longer sleepers or steals based upon their ADP. Instead, they are just good picks at the proper value.
As for their projections, Bell has the physical ability to become Miami’s true WR1 whenever he becomes healthy. Rebuilding managers should love that he won’t help them in 2027 (preserving their shot at a high 2027 pick) but could become a starter next year.
Hurst also has the potential to become a true WR1 for the Buccaneers in time, with Emeka Egbuka profiling best as Chris Godwin Jr.’s long-term replacement, while Hurst has the size and speed to fill the Mike Evans role in Tampa Bay. This is not to say Hurst is Evans, but he has the tools and frame to play a similar role and take on similar volume in 2027 or 2028.
.@GeorgiaStateFB WR Ted Hurst made a crazy adjustment to make this catch
2026 NFL Combine on @nflnetwork
Stream on @NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/IaQmqoAmeC— NFL (@NFL) March 1, 2026
Quarterback Values: While Carson Beck and Drew Allar would be third-round options in most draft classes, this is a weak talent group that could push both passers into the second round of Superflex drafts … if not higher. Allar is our preferred target, given he has much higher physical upside, but Beck could be an intriguing QB3 option for contenders who just need a sub.
Ignore Floor This Year: Players like Germie Bernard and Antonio Williams are being pushed up boards this year because managers think they are safe. Both Bernard and Williams are plus route runners with solid hands, giving them a safe floor in a weak class. That designation raises their profile and their ADP in a bad class … but maybe it shouldn’t?
For our money, the better bet in a weak class like this is to gamble on higher ceiling prospects rather than draft “safe” players who would have been third-round picks in most rookie drafts. Hurst, Bell, Singleton, and even Allar (in Superflex) flashed more NFL potential and difference-making ability in their film over the past two years.
Round 3
| Pick | Player | NFL Team | Pos. |
| 3.01 | Malachi Fields | Giants | WR |
| 3.02 | Mike Washington Jr. | Raiders | RB |
| 3.03 | Emmett Johnson | Chiefs | RB |
| 3.04 | Adam Randall | Ravens | RB |
| 3.05 | Elijah Sarratt | Ravens | WR |
| 3.06 | Skyler Bell | Bills | WR |
| 3.07 | Kaelon Black | 49ers | RB |
| 3.08 | Oscar Delp | Saints | TE |
| 3.09 | Demond Claiborne | Vikings | RB |
| 3.10 | Max Klare | Rams | TE |
| 3.11 | Bryce Lance | Saints | WR |
| 3.12 | Ja'Kobi Lane | Ravens | WR |
Running Back Insurance Round: One of the biggest disappointments for the NFL Draft this year was how many intriguing running back prospects landed behind established starters. Mike Washington Jr. was the second-rated back on many boards, but he now sits behind a young stud in Ashton Jeanty, while Emmett Johnson is similarly situated behind Kenneth Walker III.
Of course, given the lack of depth in this rookie group, you will see these talented backup running backs going earlier than usual. This is particularly true for managers who roster Jeanty or Walker. Kansas City and Las Vegas have deep backfields now, with Washington and Johnson both capable of stepping in and producing if Walker or Jeanty goes down.
Top Sleepers of the Third: Adam Randall’s ADP is falling into the late third round of rookie drafts, but RB-needy teams should consider him with the 3.01. The Clemson product is a converted receiver with the size and power to act as a capable heir to Derrick Henry in time. While Randall isn’t Henry, he was handpicked by Baltimore’s owner and has intriguing upside.
Oscar Delp is another fascinating third-round bargain, especially if you play in TE premium scoring. While he only caught 70 passes in 55 games at Georgia, he shows the ability to make contested catches and create after the catch on film. Kellen Moore is also the ideal coach to unlock Delp’s upside as a long-limbed receiving tight end with 4.49 speed.
Round 4
| Pick | Player | NFL Team | Pos. |
| 4.01 | Taylen Green | Browns | QB |
| 4.02 | Brenen Thompson | Chargers | WR |
| 4.03 | Justin Joly | Broncos | TE |
| 4.04 | Cole Payton | Eagles | QB |
| 4.05 | Eli Raridon | Patriots | TE |
| 4.06 | Caleb Douglas | Dolphins | WR |
| 4.07 | Eli Heidenreich | Steelers | RB |
| 4.08 | Seth McGowan | Colts | RB |
| 4.09 | Kevin Coleman Jr. | Dolphins | WR |
| 4.10 | Garrett Nussmeier | Chiefs | QB |
| 4.11 | Cade Klubnik | Jets | QB |
| 4.12 | Michael Trigg | Cowboys | TE |
Superflex Influence: In regular leagues that start one quarterback, Garrett Nussmeier and Cade Klubnik do not merit selection. Their physical upside is limited, and their potential for long-term contributions is minimal. However, in Superflex formats, they are both worthy of a bench stash, with Nussmeier particularly interesting for Patrick Mahomes managers.
Meanwhile, Taylen Green and Cole Payton have the rushing ability to merit consideration in deep non-Superflex leagues, and they are third-round-caliber prospects in Superflex formats. Green has more physical upside, but Payton could have a clearer path to relevance if Jalen Hurts ever leaves Philly.
Lottery Tickets: The fourth round of rookie drafts usually holds a few more intriguing prospects than this, but there are still a couple of prospects who have the upside to matter someday. Position players in this range who are particularly interesting are Eli Raridon, Seth McGowan, and Brenen Thompson.
Thompson is a light receiver with plenty of speed and impressive routes. Mike McDaniel has vocally supported him, so there is a chance he will overcome his slight frame. Meanwhile, Raridon is a talented project with a clear path to becoming Drake Maye's starting tight end someday, while McGowan is a troubled but talented pounder to back up Jonathan Taylor.
BRENEN THOMPSON FROM DEEP #HailState || 📺: ESPN2 pic.twitter.com/fiZ9TLW2qe
— Mississippi State Football (@HailStateFB) September 7, 2025
Round 5
| Pick | Player | NFL Team | Pos. |
| 5.01 | Kendrick Law | Lions | WR |
| 5.02 | CJ Daniels | Rams | WR |
| 5.03 | J'Mari Taylor | Jaguars | RB |
| 5.04 | Deion Burks | Colts | WR |
| 5.05 | Jaydn Ott | Chiefs | RB |
| 5.06 | Cyrus Allen | Chiefs | WR |
| 5.07 | Marlin Klein | Texans | TE |
| 5.08 | Zavion Thomas | Bears | WR |
| 5.09 | Le'Veon Moss | Dolphins | RB |
| 5.10 | Jack Endries | Bengals | TE |
| 5.11 | Colbie Young | Bengals | WR |
| 5.12 | Tyren Montgomery | Titans | WR |
Our Guys: There is no clear consensus when it comes to the fifth round of rookie drafts this year. In fact, plenty of dynasty analysts are telling people to cancel the fifth round because the talent isn’t worth your time. However, there are three names worth stashing in this range.
First amongst those names is Kendrick Law, who is a versatile weapon with the body of a stout receiver but the rushing ability of a running back. Do not be surprised if Law makes some waves in training camp and the Lions consider converting him into the primary backup behind Jahmyr Gibbs.
CJ Daniels is another name to know. Sean McVay has a history of grooming late-round receivers who were overlooked by other teams, and the Rams need receiver depth. Daniels flashed the ability to be a WR3 in the NFL while acting as one of Carson Beck’s primary weapons last year, so there is some intriguing potential here in the later rounds or on waivers.
Finally, Tyren Montgomery is a deep asset likely to go undrafted in most rookie drafts, just like he was in the NFL Draft. He lacks experience and polish, making him a long shot to succeed, but the John Carroll product showed the ability to hang with the big boys at the Senior Bowl. He has the toughness, footwork, and size to compete for a starting slot job someday.
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