Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


NFL DFS Prop Picks for Week 9 (11/3/19) - Monkey Knife Fight

Week 9 of the NFL season brings another early start in London, and quite a few competitive matchups. Heading into the weekend, there is only one Sunday game with a point spread greater than five points. (Dallas is favored by seven at the Giants on Monday night.)

The relatively close nature of the point spreads should mean there will be some close games which will mean teams need to play right to the end of the game. This is as opposed to what happens in blowouts when the leading team tends to forgo passing and focus on running out the clock – an effective enough strategy, albeit one that isn’t very entertaining nor helpful for those picking the overs on quarterback passing yards!

With expectations for some close games on the schedule, here are some angles to consider before making your prop picks on Monkey Knife Fight.

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'RBNFL19'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 



View Contest


Deshaun Watson OVER 266.5 PASSING YARDS – Although the Jaguars pass defense is a little better than average, allowing 234.3 passing yards per game, Watson has thrown for 267 or more yards in six of his eight starts this season, including four straight.

Gardner Minshew OVER 256.5 PASSING YARDS – The Jaguars rookie has had his moments, including three games with at least 257 passing yards, and he is facing a Texans team that allows an average of 276.8 passing yards per game. With the Texans’ pass rush missing J.J. Watt, that could provide enough time for Minshew to get the ball downfield.


D.J. Chark +22.5 receiving yards vs. DeAndre Hopkins – Strangely enough, Chark is averaging more receiving yards per game (82.5 to 77.1) but Hopkins has gone for 100 yards in back-to-back games and has been targeted in double digits in three straight games. Both receivers have big play and big game potential but getting an extra 22.5 yards with the underdog is the way to go.

Leonard Fournette -20.5 rushing yards vs. Carlos Hyde – Fournette is averaging 98.9 rushing yards per game, compared to 68.0 per game for Hyde, though Houston’s run defense has been notably better. Again, those results include the contributions of J.J. Watt, so it’s worth considering the possibility that the Jaguars could exploit that loss along the defensive line.



View Contest


Kirk Cousins OVER 280.5 PASSING YARDS – At the start of the season, this number was way out of reach for Cousins but the Vikings offense has been clicking lately, and that includes Cousins averaging 315.3 passing yards per game in the past four games.

Sam Darnold UNDER 257.5 PASSING YARDS – Everyone remembers that Darnold threw for 332 yards in that upset win against the Cowboys when he returned from mono, but he’s been nowhere close to 258 passing yards in his three other starts this season. The question then is how awful is the Dolphins Defense? They are awful but getting more competitive (at least for a winless team).

Carson Wentz UNDER 249.5 PASSING YARDS – The Eagles passing game has been stumbling lately and that has left Wentz with fewer than 200 passing yards in four of the past five games. Going up against a Bears Defense with a strong pass rush that allows 230.6 passing yards per game is not the time to expect Wentz to go for 250-plus.

Kyle Allen UNDER 236.5 PASSING YARDS – Since his first start for the Panthers this season, when he passed for 261 yards and four touchdowns, the trend has been going down for Allen, reaching last week’s depths of 158 passing yards with zero touchdowns and three interceptions. Tennessee’s pass defense is better than average, which doesn’t bode well for Allen.

Ryan Fitzpatrick OVER 235.5 PASSING YARDS – We all remember Fitzmagic last season, putting up surprisingly huge numbers with Tampa Bay, but it’s a whole new level of magic required to do it with the Dolphins. A home game against the Jets might just be what the doctor ordered, however, for Fitzpatrick to throw for at least 236 yards, something he has managed once this season – two weeks ago in Buffalo.

Mitchell Trubisky OVER 234.5 PASSING YARDS – While his season has to be considered a disappointment thus far, Trubisky has thrown for 504 yards in two starts since returning from injury and faces an Eagles team that has some questions in the secondary. That should be enough to pass for 235 yards, shouldn’t it?


Allen Robinson -0.5 receptions vs. Christian McCaffrey – As much as McCaffrey is a dual threat out of the Carolina backfield, he has exploded for 10 receptions twice this season but has been held to six or fewer in the remaining five contests. Robinson is averaging 6.6 receptions per game as the No. 1 option in Chicago’s passing attack.

Stefon Diggs +2.5 receiving yards vs. JuJu Smith-Schuster – There is the possibility that Diggs loses some looks to Adam Thielen, his Vikings teammate who may be ready to return from injury, but Diggs has gone for 100-plus yards in four of the past five games. Smith-Schuster is coming off his first 100-yard game of the season against Miami on Monday night.



View Contest


Aaron Rodgers UNDER 287.5 PASSING YARDS – Early in the season, this would have been an easy under to pick but now Rodgers is looking like vintage Rodgers, passing for 734 yards and eight touchdowns in the past two weeks. The Chargers pass defense is allowing just 217.4 passing yards per game but they are allowing 8.4 yards per pass attempt, which is in the bottom half dozen, so the Chargers’ defense isn’t terribly effective when the other team chooses to pass the ball.

Jameis Winston OVER 284.5 PASSING YARDS – After some early-seasons struggles, the Bucs passing game has been prolific lately, with Winston passing for more than 300 yards in four of the past five games. Seattle is surrendering an average of 273.3 passing yards per game which is high enough to think that Winston can go over.

Matthew Stafford OVER 296.5 PASSING YARDS – It has been quite a while, 2012 in fact, since Stafford averaged 299 passing yards per game, as he is right now. The Lions can throw the ball and they face a Raiders team that is among the worst pass defenses in the league, in no small part because they can’t pressure the quarterback.

Philip Rivers UNDER 296.5 PASSING YARDS – Rivers does have five 300-yard passing games and is averaging 289.4 passing yards per game this season, so it would hardly be a stretch for him to hit the over but the Packers Defense is allowing 251.8 passing yards per game and could provide sufficient resistance.

Russell Wilson OVER 269.5 PASSING YARDS – The Seahawks quarterback has thrown for 265.9 yards per game but gets the benefit of facing a Tampa Bay defense that has allowed more than 285 passing yards per game.


Chris Godwin -0.5 receptions vs. Keenan Allen – While Godwin was held in check last week, Allen has been struggling to get loose, playing with a hamstring injury and left as an afterthought at times for the Chargers, averaging 4.4 catches per game in the past five.

Mike Evans +0.5 receiving yards vs. Tyler Lockett – Since his bizarre zero reception game against New Orleans in Week Five, Evans has 20 catches on 29 targets for 294 yards. Lockett had his second 100-yard game of the season last week but he doesn’t have the same ceiling as Evans.


More Weekly DFS Analysis

More Recent Articles


Wide Receiver Start/Sit Advice - Week 15

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the wide receiver position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 15 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit among those in WR3 or flex consideration. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest... Read More

Running Back Start/Sit Advice - Week 15

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the running back position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 15 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit among those in RB3 or flex consideration. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest... Read More

Offensive Line Rankings Analysis: Week 15

Week 15 saw the game of the season in New Orleans, another statement win from the Baltimore Ravens, and rare back-to-back losses for the New England Patriots. It was quite a week, and generally a very high scoring and fun week for fantasy football as well. If you survived the first week of the fantasy... Read More

Week 15 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More

WR/TE Leaderboards After The First Playoff Round - NFL Next Gen Stats

Things finally got serious. If you're here, it's only because one of two reasons: 1) you have followed the series all along and want to keep reading just so you don't feel bad with yourself, or 2) you won your first round of the fantasy playoffs and are still on the lookout for the smallest... Read More

Week 15 Warning Signs: Matt Ryan, Carson Wentz, Julio Jones

You made the playoffs. Awesome. Now you have even won your first game. That is even better. But now what? There are many players, some of whom performed in the first round, who may not be so fortunate this week. Whether it is a bad matchup or injuries to key players around them, this could... Read More

Fantasy Football Disaster Recovery: Sit Your Studs?

Welcome to Disaster Recovery, where each week I'll examine why your studs played like duds. This isn't a place to find out why you should have sat a player for somebody else on your bench. Disaster Recovery is here to examine the guys who you didn't think twice about starting and to help you decide if you should... Read More

The Tape Tells All - Robby Anderson Fantasy Outlook

Welcome to another edition of "The Tape Tells All," where I break down some film of an NFL's player performance and try to draw some fantasy football conclusions from that film. This week, I'm looking at New York Jets wide receiver Robby Anderson, who's shaken off a slow start to the 2019 season by going... Read More

Fantasy Football Risers, Fallers - Zach Ertz, Emmanuel Sanders, Robert Woods

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement.... Read More

Deeper League Free Agent Pickups for Week 15

The first week of the fantasy playoffs is in the books, and hopefully you're still writing another chapter in it. Week 14 was absolutely brutal from an injury perspective, with several big name players getting carted off the field and burying multitudes of fantasy teams in the process. Mike Evans, Calvin Ridley, Devante Parker, Alshon... Read More

Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 15 Le'Veon Bell (flu) is back at practice and should return for TNF. Bilal Powell (ankle, flu) is likely... Read More

Week 14 Surprises? We Must Overreact Immediately!

In Week 14, the quarterback position was littered with surprises. Drew Brees dropped over 40 fantasy points on a 49ers Defense that's given up the second-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks on the season and Jameis Winston hung 456 yards and 5 touchdowns on a Colts Defense that's been solid against the pass all year. Mitch... Read More

The Cut List - Players on the Chopping Block (Week 15)

This is your weekly list of players to drop. I will do my best to limit this list to injured players and players you might consider holding. If you roster pure handcuffs or backups, obviously you can let them go at any time. The players on this list will, ideally, be guys that aren't clearly... Read More

Week 15-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Still doing things a little differently this week--for those of you who are still alive. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More

Week 15 Kicker Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Week 15 is here and for those of you that won the first week of your fantasy playoffs, congratulations. If you had a bye week, good luck to you this week. Kicker lives still matter, and three different kickers had 15 or more points last week. Three different kickers outscored Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick... Read More