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Juan Carlos Blanco's NBA DFS prop picks for No House Advantage Pick 'Em contests and the Friday, February 3 slate. Use his NBA prop picks to win money.
We're set for a big Friday night eight-game NBA slate that features plenty of elevated projected totals, portending a night with plenty of productive individual performances.
If you're looking to get in on the excitement, there are plenty of player prop contests offered by our friends at No House Advantage! These contests range from just $5-$20 per entry and will place you against other players for your chance to win cash from prize pools worth as much as $50,000!
Additionally, No House Advantage is offering a VS. THE HOUSE contest to win up to 21x your money if your prop picks are correct. We'll get into some of my favorite props for Friday's Pick 'Em contests, but we'll first review how to play for those that are new to No House Advantage.
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How to Play on No House Advantage
The first step is to sign up for an account with code BALLER and claim your free deposit match (and RotoBaller Premium Pass). Then choose your DFS player props contest. Whether or not you want to play against a larger or smaller field is entirely up to you, as is the entry fee you wish to pay. Then, you select 10 player props you like, deciding to bet the over or the under, and ranking them in order of confidence.
For example, if you think Domantas Sabonis will take on even more offensive responsibility Friday with teammate De'Aaron Fox unavailable, you would select the over on Sabonis' 18.5 points prop as your 10-point selection. Note that it is still possible to win some cash with an incorrect choice or two, but the number of points your misses cost you will be critical.
Once all of Friday's games are wrapped up, total points will be calculated for all entries in the contest and winnings will be distributed to the top performers. Contests like this make No House Advantage an extremely unique and fun DFS site, and we’re here to give you some ideas for your Friday slate picks.
Higher Confidence Picks - Friday, February 3
Domantas Sabonis (at IND) Over 18.5 points
De'Aaron Fox will miss Friday's game due to personal reasons, and Sabonis averages 20.0 points per 36 minutes without his teammate on the floor this season. Additionally, the Pacers are allowing 22.7 points per game to centers on 57.7 percent shooting, including 39.1 percent from three-point range.
Sabonis has put up 34 and 23 points in two of his last three games alone with Fox on the floor for those contests, and he's scored at least 19 points in exactly half of his 48 games, with 14 of those instances coming on the road.
Finally, consider the Kings-Pacers clash carries a projected total of 242.5 points as of early Friday morning, which ups the chances of a big night for the player who could be Sacramento's primary source of scoring without Fox in the lineup.
Kristaps Porzingis (vs POR) Over 9.5 rebounds
Porzingis has pulled down at least 10 boards on 16 occasions this season, and he's slated to face an especially depleted Trail Blazers frontcourt Friday with Jerami Grant (concussion) questionable and Jusuf Nurkic (calf) already ruled out.
Portland is already allowing a robust 50.6 rebounds per road game, and the Wizards are surrendering stingy 43.0 percent shooting over the last three games. If that trend continues, it could certainly set up plenty of opportunities on the defensive glass for Porzingis, who's already putting up the third-most defensive rebounds per contest of his career (6.8).
Jayson Tatum (vs PHO) Over 41.5 points + rebounds + assists
Tatum generated a combined 32 points, rebounds, and assists in the first meeting with the Suns this season, but he did that over only 29 minutes in a blowout win for the Celtics.
Phoenix will still be missing Devin Booker (groin) on Friday, but the rematch should have a chance of being more competitive considering the Suns' recent body of work. Therefore, Tatum could be in a position to exceed this prop with enough minutes.
Tatum is averaging a stellar 32.3 points, 10.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists across his last 12 games. Meanwhile, the Suns are allowing elevated 47.8 percent shooting on the road, furthering Tatum's case.
Fred VanVleet (at HOU) Over 33.5 points + rebounds + assists
VanVleet has been on an absolute tear over the last nine games in particular, putting up 26.6 points, 7.9 assists, and 5.2 rebounds per contest. The veteran guard is shooting an impressive 47.2 percent, including 41.0 percent from three-point range, in that span.
VanVleet already lit up the Rockets for 39 combined points, rebounds, and assists in one prior meeting with Houston this season. Additionally, he's averaging 23.1 points, 6.4 assists, and 4.6 rebounds per 36 minutes with teammate OG Anunoby (wrist) off the floor.
The Rockets are also allowing 27.3 points, 9.4 assists, and 5.8 rebounds per game to point guards, another set of metrics certainly in VanVleet's favor.
Buddy Hield (vs. SAC) Over 2.5 three-pointers made
Hield is currently putting up the third-highest three-point shooting percentage of his career (42.5) while also tying his second-highest number of made threes (3.8) per contest.
The veteran wing has drained at least a trio of threes in 40 of 53 games this season, including in a Nov. 30 game against the Kings. Sacramento is also surrendering 11.1 made threes per game, including 12.3 over the last three contests.
Lower Confidence Picks - Friday, February 3
Dejounte Murray (at UTA) Over 32.5 points + rebounds + assists
Murray is averaging 21.2 points, 6.1 assists, and 5.5 rebounds per game for the season, but he's been even more productive in the last 10 games, a stretch during which he's putting up 25.7 points, 6.2 assists, and 5.7 boards across 36.6 minutes while shooting a sizzling 54.7 percent.
The Jazz have allowed the third-highest offensive efficiency rating to shooting guards as well (25.8), and they've surrendered an elevated 48.0 percent shooting overall for the season.
Scottie Barnes (at HOU) Under 31.5 points + rebounds + assists
Barnes is facing a Rockets team that's been able to do a fairly effective job limiting power forward production this season and that's especially tightened up lately, allowing just 18.6 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 3.1 assists per contest to the position in the last seven games.
Barnes also doesn't see much of a boost when teammate OG Anunoby is off the floor, as he's averaging only 16.4 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.9 assists per 36 minutes under that scenario.
The second-year forward is also putting up just 14.6 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 4.8 assists per road game, and with teammates like Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam already tying up plenty of usage, this could be another instance where he falls short.
Chris Paul (at BOS) Under 9.5 assists
Paul is naturally an elite distributor, but he could still have a difficult time posting one of his higher-percentile performances in assists Friday.
The Celtics are allowing an NBA-low 22 assists per home game, and Paul is averaging 8.5 dimes per game this season. He also posted just four against Boston across 24 minutes in the first meeting between the teams this season.
Paul has handed out nine assists or fewer in more than half (18) of his 32 games, and he could well fall short of the mark again given the matchup and the fact he's still without a prolific scorer next to him in Devin Booker.
Kevin Huerter (at IND) Over 2.5 three-pointers made
The Pacers have surrendered elevated 37.3 percent three-point shooting overall this season, including 38.9 percent in their last three games.
Huerter drained a pair of threes over 28 minutes in the one prior matchup against Indiana, and he's averaging a career-high 2.8 made threes per game this season while generating a career-best 40.8 percent success rate from behind the arc.
The fifth-year wing has connected on at least three made threes in 26 of 47 games as well, certainly putting the odds in his favor to accomplish the feat again Friday.
Paolo Banchero (at MIN) Under 32.5 points + rebounds + assists
Banchero is averaging a solid 20.3 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 3.4 assists per road game, but those are numbers that still fall short of this prop. He's also been well under those figures over his last 12 games, putting up 17.9 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 2.9 assists in that span.
The matchup Friday doesn't exactly bode well for his chances, either, as the Timberwolves are yielding a modest 21.4 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per game to the power forward position as a whole.
Banchero has fallen short of this benchmark in 11 of the 12 games in the aforementioned sample, and we're banking on that repeating itself again Friday.
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