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Joe Williams' MLB betting picks for 6/22/19. He analyzes Vegas lines and recommends the top expert bets for today's MLB slate including money-lines, spreads and totals.
Welcome to the Saturday, June 22nd edition of RotoBaller's MLB Betting Picks. I will be serving up some of my top options on today's 15 game slate.
- Last Week's Picks: 3-2 (60.0%) +100
- Year-to-Date: 8-6 (57.1%) +208
In this article, we will dive into the numbers and pick out my top recommended betting picks for today's slate. Feel free to contact me on Twitter @JoeWilliamsVI if you have any questions or if you'd like addition content and occasional gambling notes and tidbits.
Here are my picks for Saturday, June 22nd. Be sure to check out all the MLB Vegas Odds and MLB Park Factors for today's slate. Good luck!
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Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners (-1.5, +124)
O/U: 9
The Orioles turn to RHP Andrew Cashner looking to grab a win on the road. They haven't had much success in that area, going 19-60 across the past 79 games away from home. They're also just 2-12 in the past 14 trips to Seattle, so they're facing a rather tall order. In addition, Baltimore is just 2-7 in Cashner's past nine against American League West foes. The O's are also 6-21 in the past 27 games against left-handed starting pitchers, and 11-40 in the past 51 against AL West opponents.
The Mariners haven't been much better lately, winning only 16 of the past 51 games overall. However, they're 10-3 in the past 13 games against teams with a winning percentage under .400, at least holding their own against the dregs of the league. They're also 18-6 in the past 24 games against Baltimore overall, so they're worth a small-unit bet on the run line.
My Pick: Mariners -1.5 runs, +124
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5, -126)
O/U: 8
Normally I do not play a lot of run lines, but it's certainly warranted on Saturday with so many lopsided spreads. It's rather hacky to eat chalk of more than -170, at least as a 'capper. Even that might be pushing it a little bit.
Anyway, the Rockies roll with RHP Peter Lambert against LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu at Chavez Ravine on Saturday night, and Ryu looks to stay red hot. Colorado has also been hot, going 17-8 in the past 25 games overall, and they're 10-3 in the past 13 inside the NL West. However, they're just 2-7 in the past nine road outing against teams with a home winning percentage over .600. As far as the Dodgers are concerned, they're 40-12 in the past 52 games at home, 40-13 in the past 53 inside the division and 42-17 in the past 59 vs. RHP.
As far as Ryu is concerned, the Dodgers are 7-1 over his past eight outings, while going an impressive 40-16 in his past 56 starts at Dodger Stadium. L.A. is also 10-1 inside his past 11 starts against NL West opponents, and a perfect 6-0 in his past six at home against teams with a winning overall mark.
My Pick: Dodgers -1.5 runs, -126
Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers (Under 10.5)
O/U: 10.5
The White Sox and Rangers will be facing gusty winds from 16-19 mph blowing in from the right-center field power alley into the face of the batters, knocking down fly balls off the bats of left-handed power hitters. That will benefit both RHP's Odrisamer Despaigne and Lance Lynn. Remember, the Rangers are also without their biggest power bat in OF Joey Gallo, too, due to injury.
Plus, the under is 4-1 in Chicago's past five on the road, 4-1 in the past five road outings vs. RHP and 4-1 in the past five against AL West foes, too. The under is also 47-22-3 (68.1 percent) in the past 72 road outings against teams with a winning overall mark. For the Rangers, the under is a perfect 6-0 across Lynn's past six starts, including 4-0 in his past four at home. The under is 15-7 in the past 22 vs. RHP, 16-6 in the past 22 at home and 17-5 in the past 22 at home against teams with a losing road record, too. Bang the under.
My Pick: Under 10.5
Houston Astros @ New York Yankees (-166)
O/U: 10
If you're looking for a parlay opportunity, banging the Yankees on the run line and the under is a good play.
The Astros are 0-4 in the past four games at Yankee Stadium, and they're on a six-game skid overall. The Astros are also 0-5 in the past five road outings, 0-4 in the past four road games vs. RHP while going 0-5 in the past five overall against righties. While Houston has managed an impressive 8-3 in LHP Wade Miley's past 11 outings, it's a tall order against the Yankees in their home park.
New York is 5-1 in the past six vs. AL West foes, and 4-0 in the past four against teams with a winning percentage over .600. They're also an impressive 40-17 in the past 57 games overall, and 36-16 in RHGP Masahiro Tanaka's past 52 starts at home.
As far as the total is concerned, the under is 4-1 in Houston's past five, and 4-1 in the past five on the road. The under is also 4-0 in Miley's past four starts against winning teams, and 5-1 in the past six overall. The over is 4-0 in New York's past four at home vs. LHP, but the under is 3-0-1 in Tanaka's past four at home against winning teams, and 5-1-1 in the past seven starts overall. The under is 3-1-1 in his past five home outings, too.
My Pick: Yankees -166 and Under 10
