LIV Golf Betting Picks: 2024 Singapore Preview and Best Bets

April 30, 2024

Matt Miller's LIV golf betting picks and betting strategies for 2024 Singapore event at Sentosa Golf Club. He digs into the LIV golf betting lines to find the best bets and top values.

The LIV Golf League will hold this week’s event at Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore. Sentosa Golf Club has two courses on site, using the Serapong for this week’s event. The Serapong course is as scenic a course as you will find, with the Sentosa ports and business district as the backdrop for several holes. It is currently ranked 55th in Golf Digest’s World’s 100 Greatest Courses. It was ranked the top course in Singapore and one of the top courses in all of Asia.

The Serapong opened in 1982 and hosted the Singapore Open from 2005 until 2020. Both Ian Poulter and Sergio Garcia were winners of that event. This will be the second consecutive year that LIV has held an event at Sentosa. Talor Gooch was victorious last year, defeating Sergio Garcia in a playoff to win at -17. Brooks Koepka, Scott Vincent, and Mito Pereira rounded out the top five for the week.

The event will be played Friday-Sunday and will air on the CW Network, as well as the CW App and LIV Golf Plus. Globally, the event will be broadcast in over 160 international territories, Live and On-Demand, free of charge, via LIV Golf Plus. The event is set to tee off Thursday night EDT.

LIV Golf Singapore Course Breakdown

Below is the official Round 1 scorecard provided by LIV Golf.

The Serapong course will play as a 7406-yard par-71 this week. The distance of the course would suggest that bombers have a slight advantage this week. I still think there is an angle to be played with longer hitters, but past winners prove it is not a requirement for winning.

Talor Gooch won this event last year, finishing 34^th in the field in driving distance. Some dog legs and strategically placed bunkers force players to hit into landing areas on certain holes, taking length out of play as an advantage. However, longer hitters will have the ability to go at the par-5s in two with good tee shots, whereas some shorter hitters will be forced to lay up.

While distance isn’t a requirement this week, neither is accuracy to a degree. If players miss wide enough or find the hazards, they will be in trouble, but playing out of the fairway isn’t necessary. None of the top five from last year’s event at this course finished inside the top 20 in driving accuracy for the week. That is a pretty telling statistic when narrowing down research.

The pins are tucked in a lot of situations, forcing players to shoot toward the middle of the greens rather than go at pins. This puts an emphasis on putting and iron play. Talor Gooch finished first in the field in putting last year en route to his victory. Koepka and Scott Vincent (third and fourth place) also finished inside the top nine in putting. Four of the top five also finished inside the top eight in green in regulation percentage on the week.

While there is trouble to be found on this course, it did not play overly difficult last year. The top three finishers -- Talor Gooch, Sergio Garcia, and Brooks Koepka -- made a combined five bogeys on the week. Scott Vincent made one bogey and one double-bogey, and Mito Pereira made just one bogey to round out the top five. This tells me that bogeys can be avoided fairly easily, and the goal should be to focus on birdie makers. Vincent, Gooch, Garcia, and Koepka finished top four on the week in total birdies and top four on the leaderboard.

LIV Golf Betting Odds - Singapore

Below are the current odds to win LIV Singapore, as posted by BetUs. Odds on different sportsbooks are subject to change, so I would recommend finding the best numbers available. Please note for my picks, I have used the best odds that I was able to find while making my selections in the state of Pennsylvania, so numbers may vary.

This week, we're going a little risky and betting on strictly upside! Each of these players have been fairly inconsistent and tough to gauge, but I believe each selection presents great value.

Dustin Johnson +2900 (FanDuel)

It’s been a weird stretch of golf for Dustin Johnson, who had another disappointing finish last week in Adelaide. After winning in Las Vegas in February, it looked as if DJ was back and poised for a big 2024. His results since the win have been nothing short of shocking, failing to register a top-20 finish in any of his last four LIV starts and shooting 78-79 at the Masters. That said, the number is too big for me to pass on.

Fan angle of Dustin Johnson's massive putt💪🏼#4AcesGC #Golf @livgolf_league pic.twitter.com/nKqa2Qh7Yf

— 4 Aces GC (@4AcesGC_) April 27, 2024

I never thought I’d see the day Dustin Johnson was 29-1 to win a 54-man LIV event. Johnson is a three-time LIV winner and one of the most talented players on the tour, including a winner just two months ago. While the results are bad, there were some positives to spin out of last week’s performance in Adelaide. The 16 total birdies for Johnson last week were just one behind Joaquin Niemann and Charl Schwartzel, who finished T3 for the week. Despite finishing the week 37^th in putting, the 39-year-old made just one less birdie than a pair of third-place finishers.

If DJ can just avoid the mistakes, it seems like he’s kind of making enough birdies to compete. Now, he gets to head to Sentosa, a venue where the top three finishers from last year made just a combined five bogeys on the week. If bogey avoidance is as easy this year and he can get the putter going a little, I think the upside is worth the stab at +2900.

Mito Pereira +4000 (FanDuel)

We have found a nice match of recent form and course history for Mito Pereira. Pereira is coming off an eighth-place finish in Adelaide where he shot three consecutive rounds in the 60s. The Chilean was T12 on the week in total birdies and T11 in putting. It was a struggle to start 2024 for the 29-year-old but nobody has ever questioned the talent. Now, it looks like he’s finding some form and if it continues, these types of odds won’t be around on him for long.

Punteros en Adelaida ⛳

Los latinos de @TorqueGC_ renovaron sus looks y parece que les vino bien.

¿Nueva cábala? @joaconiemann @Mitopereira @jsmunozgolf @carlosortizGolf pic.twitter.com/7WbjoWkH6w

— Golf Channel LA (@GolfChannelLA) April 26, 2024

Mito finished inside the top five in this event last season. He made just one bogey on the week and appeared to have the perfect game for this course. Still, it feels like there is room for improvement from last year’s finish. Pereira finished just 35^th on the week in driving accuracy last year at this event. While I mentioned earlier that playing out of the fairway isn’t essential, it should certainly open the door for more birdies if he is more accurate this week.

Matthew Wolff +5000 (FanDuel)

It’s no secret that Matthew Wolff’s time with Smash GC last year was an unmitigated disaster. Brooks Koepka left little to the imagination after he publicly called out Wolff for his lack of effort. Wolff has spoken about his mental health issues in the past and the Koepka call-out sent him into a tailspin for the rest of the season. It’s been a different story so far in 2024 after being picked up by Bubba Watson’s RangeGoats. He seems happier on the course and his translated into better play.

.@matthew_wolff5 is getting ready for the roars at the Watering Hole 🐐#LIVAdelaide pic.twitter.com/PpBvIKdWLu

— rangegoatsgc (@RangeGoatsGC) April 23, 2024

The 25-year-old has gotten off to a nice start in 2024, finishing inside the top four twice in six LIV events. I’ve been on the record that Wolff is going to win a LIV event this season and I’m not backing down. It’s never been a question of talent for Wolff, who won on the PGA Tour as a rookie and finished inside the top five in both the PGA Championship and U.S. Open the following year. It’s been the mental hurdles that have held him back, but now happy and healthy, it may be time for him to finally get back into the winner’s circle.

Thomas Pieters +8000 (FanDuel)

Don’t look now but Thomas Pieters has found some life. The Belgian Bomber failed to finish better than T30 in any of his first four LIV starts of the season and looked like he was drifting to irrelevancy. Although some may argue (and probably have a decent case) that he still is, Pieters has turned it around in his last two starts. He finished T9 in Miami at the beginning of April and T14 in Adelaide last week.

The thing I liked most about Pieters last week wasn’t the result, it was the opportunities he gave himself all weekend. Pieters finished third in the field in total birdies. He finished T8 in greens in regulation, T10 in fairway percentage, and T11 in putting. It was a nice all-around performance for the 32-year-old, something we haven’t seen in quite some time. I don’t know if I’m ready to declare Pieters back, but at 80-1, I’ll take a shot at the possibility of a resurgence.

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