Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Fantasy Spin: The Anthony Davis Trade


DraftKings FanDuel daily fantasy basketball

Well, it finally happened. Anthony Davis has been traded.

After months of speculation and the deal not getting done before the trade deadline because the Pelicans reportedly wanted to wait to see what the Boston Celtics would offer in the Summer, Davis has been traded...to the exact team that he's been rumored to since this started, the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Lakers gave up Lonzo Ball, Brandon Ingram, Josh Hart, and three first round picks, including the fourth pick in this year's NBA Draft, for Davis. Let's break down the fantasy implications of this deal.

Editor's Note: Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight have the best, most fun, fastest growing DFS props game! It's super simple to play and to win real money. Just choose your NBA, NHL or PGA game, and make your picks! Get a 100% instant deposit bonus up to $50 using promo code: BALLER. That's $50 for free - don't miss out! Play Now!

 

What The Lakers Get

Anthony Davis

Exactly what the Lakers will look like next year is going to be heavily dependent on how free agency goes, because after this trade, I believe the Lakers have the following players under contract: Davis, LeBron James, Kyle Kuzma, Moritz Wagner, and Isaac Bonga. They're going to have a lot of decisions to make as they try to build out a winning roster around the James and Davis core.

But what a core that is. Even though he'll be turning 35 next season, James remains one of the game's best players, and while injury held him to just 55 games last season, he still averaged 27.4 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 8.3 assists per game. He saw a slight drop in his efficiency, but his 58.8 true shooting percentage was still higher than the first season of his second Cavaliers tenure was. James will hit that age wall at some point, but if he's healthy, his floor at age-35 will still be being a top 10 player.

Davis will be the best player that LeBron has played with since the first couple of years of his pairing with Dwyane Wade in Miami, and LeBron is the best player that Davis has ever played with. That means Davis should end up being in the best position of his career to put up strong numbers, as he won't be facing the same pressure from opposing defenses.

I'm not really sure how much higher Davis' fantasy value can be in Los Angeles than it would be in, like, any other setting, because Davis has been one of the league's most viable fantasy plays for awhile now. A healthy and engagEd Davis is neck and neck with James Harden for the first overall pick in any fantasy format, but the question of which one to go with will become more clear once we see what the Lakers will put around Davis and James. If they can add another high-quality player, Davis' 2019-2020 numbers could look a lot like his 2018-2019 numbers, but if the Lakers struggle to fill in the roster, we could see Davis asked to shoulder the team's scoring load to an even greater degree, especially in the regular season as a way of reducing the load on LeBron James and keeping him healthy. In that case, Davis might rocket past Harden into being the best choice with that first pick.

 

What The Pelicans Get

Lonzo Ball, Brandon Ingram, Josh Hart, the #4 overall pick, two future firsts

The Pelicans got a lot for Davis, and they're going to look a lot different next year. Let's talk a little about each player.

Lonzo Ball

Here's your starting point guard for a Pelicans backcourt that should be really intriguing on the defensive end. You can have Jrue Holiday guard a team's best guard if you want and let Ball develop more on that end by taking on opposing team's second guard, or you can have Ball check opposing points.

Offensively, Ball gets to bring the ball up the floor but with Holiday around, doesn't have to run the offense in the half-court. Of course, an off-ball Lonzo has to get his shooting numbers up, as he shot just 31.8 percent on catch-and-shoot threes last year, a lower mark than he shot on pull up threes. He showed the ability to shoot at UCLA, though, and I think it's fair to expect improvement in that part of his game. With how fast this team can run, Ball's ability to throw lobs to future Pelican Zion Williamson, and shooting improvements, I could see Ball giving top-60 fantasy value.

Brandon Ingram

A shoulder injury and blood clots ended Ingram's season early, but if he comes back fully healthy and ready to go, he gives the Pelicans a scoring option who can absorb possessions and provide some consistent offense on a team that will very likely be trying to work multiple top-five picks into the rotation.

Ingram hasn't developed into the player that Lakers fans were expecting, but I don't really see a reason why he couldn't average something like 17 points and five rebounds per game. Those point totals could go higher if he's able to continue to increase his efficiency, and I see this move as being a pretty decent one. He's not going to be a huge break out or anything, but I'd peg his fantasy value as top-80, which is a slight step up from where I had him in Los Angeles.

Josh Hart

Hart's the big mystery in this deal, because his value depends on what else the Pelicans do with their backcourt. If Hart can end up as the first guard off the bench, that consistent playing time would have me higher on him than I was on him in Los Angeles. The Pelicans aren't a team that will be actively trying to make the playoffs, so they can give Hart a little more playing time, let him shoot more, and just see what happens. In that scenario, I think Hart becomes an intriguing late-round guy for fantasy owners to take a swing at.

Now, Hart's value depends on another factor though...

The #4 Pick

The Pelicans have two of the first four picks, and if they take a guard or wing, that player could cut into Hart's playing time. I'm not going to speculate in this post over what the Pelicans will do, but I will say that if I were them, I'd go with someone like Jarrett Culver. Yes, the biggest hole right now for this team is at center, but the best center in this year's draft is Jaxson Hayes, who I don't think the Pelicans should be thinking about at four. Maybe they trade down? The Hawks have eight and 10, and that would be a range where they could still get a wing plus add Hayes, but...yeah, who knows! I don't think this pick will really affect Ball or Ingram's standing in New Orleans, but it could hurt Hart's value.

Zion Williamson

And let's not forget that the Pelicans will be taking Williamson with the first pick. We still have to see if the Pelicans hold onto Jrue Holiday, but if they do, having Holiday plus the scoring ability of Ingram allows the Pelicans to ease Williamson in a little more than they might have been able to if this deal had looked different. I think we expected Zion to be a point forward kind of guy, but with Ball and Holiday, maybe we see him play less with the ball in his hand? Can he be used as an off-ball shooter? Will his first year see him used more as a traditional post option? Will a Holiday trade happen and unlock Point Zion?

Zion's hype is going to lead to him going early in fantasy drafts, but I'm actually slightly more worried about taking him early than I was before, since his ability to run the floor in transition was a big part of why I liked him so much. He'll still be running and catching lobs and all that, but I'd think we see fewer assists than we would have seen.

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

ADP Cost Analysis – Aaron Nola vs Lance Lynn

With fantasy baseball draft season in full swing, those of us who partake in this joyous game are now looking through as much draft data as possible in a bid to find players we love who have lower average draft positions (ADP) than we believe they should. All this to eke out as much draft... Read More


2020 Regression Candidates: Breakout Outfielders

Every season in MLB you can count on the fact that you will have breakout performances from players. Sometimes these breakout performances can be seen coming a mile away and sometimes they catch you entirely by surprise. Regardless of which type of breakout we see, you will almost always have to pay up for that... Read More


Bases Loaded Podcast - Quality Start Episode 1

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) and Matt Williams (@MattWi77iams) of the Turn Two Podcast come together for a new co-pod series called "Quality Start". This will be a joint effort and episodes will be found on Bases Loaded as well as the Turn Two Podcast. We are joined by Jorge Montanez (@Roto_Nino) as well for this one.... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Adrian Houser

In life, there seem to be two kinds of people, the flashy and the boring. “Flashy” people like high-end materialistic things such as nice clothing or an expensive car. "Boring” people prefer the simpler things in life like spending time with their loved ones. This seems to be true when it comes to fantasy baseball,... Read More


Taking Out the Trash: Pitchers Who Should Junk Their Worst Pitch

Pitch mix changes can make or break a player’s season. That obviously goes for fantasy value as well as real-life. We've already seen how throwing an effective pitch more often could make a huge improvement a la Patrick Corbin. Sometimes pitchers just need to eliminate a pitch to see their numbers improve. Consider the following: Mitch... Read More


ADP Showdown – Trevor Story vs. Trea Turner

Pitchers and catchers have officially reported and position player workouts are getting underway, which means baseball season is officially upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already started dealing with tough draft position... Read More


Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Pitcher Statcast

Statcast metrics such as Barrels and Brls/BBE are great ways to evaluate a batter's performance, so it is only natural to assume that the metrics would be predictive for pitchers as well. As much as batters want to hit a Barrel every time, pitchers want to avoid them at all costs. Yet there is evidence... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More


Bases Loaded Podcast - All Things Fantasy Baseball w/ Nick Pollack (@PitcherList)

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is  joined by Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) and they discuss all things fantasy baseball! Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune... Read More


Finding Combo-Player Values Using Z-Scores and ATC Projections

Towards the end of last season, I asked the question – “Draft Speed or Pound the Power?” Loaded in this seemingly simple query are two contradictory approaches – one for power and one for speed. Power Approach 1: Home run totals are dramatically up in baseball these days. Therefore, there are many power bats available... Read More


ADP Showdown - Whit Merrifield vs Austin Meadows

Spring training is officially underway, which means baseball season is upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already begun dealing with tough draft position decisions. The outfield position is deep as always, but... Read More


2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Third Base

Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based on Keeper "Values". In the marketing world, Value can be defined as the extent to which a good or service (player) is... Read More


2020 Dynasty Leagues: Players to Sell (Premium Content)

As draft day approaches in dynasty leagues, the window to sell-high on a big name has never been better. The first days of spring training are a chance to cash in on players who may have hit their peak value before the 2020 season begins. Bartering is a matter of risk vs reward. You hate... Read More


Bases Loaded Podcast: Early Round Values

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is joined by Jorge Montanez (@Roto_Nino) and Zach Braff (@BraffZ) and they discuss early round values. They go through and highlight a few players that are going inside the top 150 in ADP that offer a great chance to return profit. Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast... Read More


Second Year Pitcher Preview: Fantasy Baseball 2020 ADP Analysis

Host Anthony Aniano of RotoBaller Radio discuss the 2020 fantasy baseball season and keeps you updated with all the latest news and analysis Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, every weekday afternoon from 1-2 PM ET, Saturday nights from 9-11 PM ET... Read More