Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/25/19): MLB DFS Lineups


We have a nice 12-gamer on our hands tonight with plenty to look at. Without a game in Coors Field, we at least have some balance to things. There are four or five pitchers worth targeting and we'll have to narrow them down. There are another four or five offenses that are in great spots, and we'll have to disect those as we move along.

Let's dive in to some of the top plays on this slate!

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/25/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the MLB Rosters for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Draft Kit, premium rankings, projections, player outlooks, top prospects, dynasty rankings, 15 in-season lineup tools, and over 200 days of expert DFS research. Sign Up Now!

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Jacob deGrom - NYM vs. MIA - $12,000

This is pretty easy. Jacob deGrom has been right up there with Gerrit Cole in the second half as the best pitcher in all of baseball. You can almost pencil in seven innings and as many strikeouts. He's striking out 11 batters per nine on the season and is walking just 1.96. He now draws the Marlins, who rank dead last in baseball against right-handed pitching with a .277 team wOBA. They got to Matz and Syndergaard a bit the last two nights, but the fun ends tonight when deGrom slams the door.

Frankie Montas - OAK @ LAA - $10,100

Frankie Montas is returning from suspension today, and is supposedly all the way stretched out. Montas was dominant prior to being suspended, and he wasn't on an HGH that would have lead to much performance enhancement. He draws the Angels today, who rank in the bottom five of baseball against righties without Mike Trout in the lineup. Montas has struck out 9.70 batters per nine and has posted a sub .2885 wOBA against both lefties and righties. The upside is huge and I doubt many will be on him in his first game back. He's certainly a bit risky, but the upside is huge if I'm right and there is no pitch count.

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Roberto Perez - CLE @ CWS (Detwiler) - $3,900

Perez is a guy I’ve rostered a ton this year, as he’s an excellent source of power at an affordable tag. He’s now up to 23 home runs on the season and his price is still solid. He’s better against lefties, and has more power against them. The Indians are facing off with Ross Detwiler tonight, who’s legitimately been one of the worst pitchers in all of baseball. A 5.57 xFIP and 18 home runs allowed in 55 innings of work tells you all you need to know. Perez is affordable on DK and will come up at least once with some RISP.

Anthony Rizzo - CHC @ PIT (Agrazal) - $5,100

This Cubs team is all but out of the playoff race, but the offense won't stop producing. They're facing off with Dario Agrazal tonight, who's an absolutely terrible pitcher all season long. Against lefties, he’s posted a 6.26 xFIP and strikes out just five batters per nine innings. Rizzo is as good as it gets against righties, sporting a .408 wOBA and blasting 21 homers on the season. PNC Park is better for lefties and Rizzo is a great play in all formats.

Ozzie Albies - ATL @ KC (Montgomery) - $4,900

Rinse and repeat with Ozzie Albies and lefties. The .396 batting average is crazy in itself, but the .455 wOBA is even more impressive. The Braves struggled last night, but Mike Montgomery should help get them going. He’s given up a .358 wOBA to righties and 14 home runs in just 68 innings of work. Albies will be in the two-hole and makes for the top play at second base, regardless of price.

Anthony Rendon - WSH vs. PHI (Smyly) - $5,400

Rendon is expensive here, but this is one of my favorite spots for him on the entire season. Drew Smyly has been a bit better recently, but he’s had a brutal year in every measure. The most glaring and telling stat is 31 home runs allowed in just over 100 innings pitched. It’s fair to expect at least one or two of these Nats to go deep. Rendon has held a .410 wOBA against southpaws and has as much upside as anyone on the slate. In cash games, he’s my bat of choice.

Kevin Newman - PIT vs. CHC (Lester) - $4,200

I’ve been recommending some pricey options, so let’s look at a bit of a salary saver in Kevin Newman. The Pirates are facing off with Jon Lester, who’s a shell of himself at this point and he’s struggled with righties (.342 wOBA). The Pirates will throw seven or eight righties his way and they should be able to connect on a few homers. Newman has posted a .327 wOBA against lefties on the season and will be leading off. He’s solid in all formats. If you’re looking to pay up, the hot bat of Trea Turner is hard to get away from against Drew Smyly.

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

J.D. Martinez - BOS @ TEX (Allard) - $5,000

I don’t know if it’s just me, but J.D. Martinez still flies under the radar against left-handed pitching. The .536 wOBA in over 140 plate appearances is completely unheard of. He now goes to hitter-friendly Arlington and faces off with a guy in Kolby Allard that’s struggled with right-handed power. There are a lot of bats to pay up for tonight, but it’s hard to see anyone outside of Rendon with the upside Martinez has.

Yasiel Puig - CLE @ CWS (Detwiler) - $4,500

We’ll bookend the outfield with another Cleveland Indians bat that has a ton of upside. We looked at Roberto Perez at C, and now Yasiel Puig in the outfield. Puig has been swinging a hot bat lately and that matters more than it does for most. Ross Detwiler is putrid against righties, and he has a huge issue with giving up hard contact. That’s where Puig excels. He won’t be over 10% owned and is my pick for home run of the night. Good luck and feel free to reach out on Twitter with any questions!

Things change quickly as lineups come out. If you have any questions, hit me up on Twitter @VarneyDFS and I'd be more than happy to help.

MLB DFS News and Injury Alerts




More Recent Articles

 

2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers – Jo Adell

The most coveted type of player in fantasy baseball is the batter who can hit home runs, steal bases and hit for contact. Stolen bases are harder to find, as more big-league teams are opting to take a cautious approach to baserunning. Additionally, batting average has declined because hitters are striking out more often, as... Read More


ADP Cost Analysis - Gleyber Torres vs. Corey Seager

Fantasy baseball players acquire draft position through osmosis. The more drafts that take place, the larger sample we gain of how owners of all experience levels feel about someone. Granted, inexperienced players often rely on rankings from experts, which goes to form ADP into something resembling common rankings, but the outcome is unimpeachable, collected data... Read More


ADP Cost Analysis – Aaron Nola vs Lance Lynn

With fantasy baseball draft season in full swing, those of us who partake in this joyous game are now looking through as much draft data as possible in a bid to find players we love who have lower average draft positions (ADP) than we believe they should. All this to eke out as much draft... Read More


2020 Regression Candidates: Breakout Outfielders

Every season in MLB you can count on the fact that you will have breakout performances from players. Sometimes these breakout performances can be seen coming a mile away and sometimes they catch you entirely by surprise. Regardless of which type of breakout we see, you will almost always have to pay up for that... Read More


Bases Loaded Podcast - Quality Start Episode 1

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) and Matt Williams (@MattWi77iams) of the Turn Two Podcast come together for a new co-pod series called "Quality Start". This will be a joint effort and episodes will be found on Bases Loaded as well as the Turn Two Podcast. We are joined by Jorge Montanez (@Roto_Nino) as well for this one.... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Adrian Houser

In life, there seem to be two kinds of people, the flashy and the boring. “Flashy” people like high-end materialistic things such as nice clothing or an expensive car. "Boring” people prefer the simpler things in life like spending time with their loved ones. This seems to be true when it comes to fantasy baseball,... Read More


Taking Out the Trash: Pitchers Who Should Junk Their Worst Pitch

Pitch mix changes can make or break a player’s season. That obviously goes for fantasy value as well as real-life. We've already seen how throwing an effective pitch more often could make a huge improvement a la Patrick Corbin. Sometimes pitchers just need to eliminate a pitch to see their numbers improve. Consider the following: Mitch... Read More


ADP Showdown – Trevor Story vs. Trea Turner

Pitchers and catchers have officially reported and position player workouts are getting underway, which means baseball season is officially upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already started dealing with tough draft position... Read More


Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Pitcher Statcast

Statcast metrics such as Barrels and Brls/BBE are great ways to evaluate a batter's performance, so it is only natural to assume that the metrics would be predictive for pitchers as well. As much as batters want to hit a Barrel every time, pitchers want to avoid them at all costs. Yet there is evidence... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More


Bases Loaded Podcast - All Things Fantasy Baseball w/ Nick Pollack (@PitcherList)

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is  joined by Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) and they discuss all things fantasy baseball! Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune... Read More


Finding Combo-Player Values Using Z-Scores and ATC Projections

Towards the end of last season, I asked the question – “Draft Speed or Pound the Power?” Loaded in this seemingly simple query are two contradictory approaches – one for power and one for speed. Power Approach 1: Home run totals are dramatically up in baseball these days. Therefore, there are many power bats available... Read More


ADP Showdown - Whit Merrifield vs Austin Meadows

Spring training is officially underway, which means baseball season is upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already begun dealing with tough draft position decisions. The outfield position is deep as always, but... Read More


2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Third Base

Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based on Keeper "Values". In the marketing world, Value can be defined as the extent to which a good or service (player) is... Read More


2020 Dynasty Leagues: Players to Sell (Premium Content)

As draft day approaches in dynasty leagues, the window to sell-high on a big name has never been better. The first days of spring training are a chance to cash in on players who may have hit their peak value before the 2020 season begins. Bartering is a matter of risk vs reward. You hate... Read More