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Week 6 Do Not Drop List - Don't Panic Yet

As we leave Week 5 and enter Week 6 of the 2017 NFL season, we have a sizeable chunk of data to evaluate. With five games of film on the majority of teams, we’re reaching the point where slow starts or infrequent usage can no longer be ignored.

Furthermore, we’re in the thick of bye season, and there’s no doubt that we’re going to have to make some cuts. It’s not easy to keep a handcuff running back when your only QB is staring down a Week 6 bye and you need to find a defense to stream. Still, this is the time of year when the roster crunch we all feel can squeeze us into some of the difficult add/drop decisions that we live to regret later.

For this week’s column, I’m detailing some players that I believe fantasy owners should make a priority to keep on their roster, especially in deeper leagues with six or more bench spots.

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Do Not Cut - Running Backs

Alex Collins, Baltimore Ravens

Although he was outshined by Javorius Allen in a Week 5 win over the Raiders, Collins continues to get heavy usage for a team that wants to run the football. It isn’t out of the question that the Ravens can support two fantasy-worthy running backs. His usage is trending upward and it’s fair to wonder if he has pushed Terrance West completely out of the rotation, even when West returns from his calf injury. Still boasting an insanely efficient 7+ yards per carry on the young season, Alex Collins’s ascent up the Ravens depth chart has been very quick and might not have hit the plateau just yet.

Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans

As discouraging as Derrick Henry’s workload has been over the past two weeks, it’s important to remember that the Titans are a shell of themselves without Marcus Mariota. Henry is a player that figures to thrive on favorable game script, but disappear in an unfavorable one. Shallow leaguers probably don’t have the luxury of taking the longview on Henry, but in deep formats, it’s very easy to envision a scenario where Derrick Henry wins a championship for the patient owner in your league. The changing of the guard will happen eventually. It’s not guaranteed to happen in 2017, but it’s inevitable and it seems too early to quit on Henry with Mariota expected back soon, a change which could dramatically affect every Titans' outlook.

Elijah McGuire, New York Jets

This one actually became obvious when Jets beat reporter Manish Mehta speculated Monday morning that McGuire could be in for a “heavy workload” against the Patriots in Week 6, but McGuire was going to make this list anyway. While McGuire underwhelmed against what has been a surprisingly stout Cleveland Browns run defense in the early part of the season, the more important take-away from that game was that Bilal Powell was forced out with a calf injury. With Matt Forte also dealing with turf toe, McGuire is the only fully healthy Jets running back right now and should be owned in all leagues. The Patriots have been atrocious on defense and this could be a huge opportunity for the rookie if he indeed makes his first career start. Even in the absolute shallowest of leagues, I want to see what happens with the Jets backfield this week before I consider cutting bait on McGuire.

D'Onta Foreman, Houston Texans

After making this list last week, Foreman turned in an even less inspiring performance in Week 5 against the Chiefs on Sunday night, but the poor production should be understood in the proper context. The Chiefs played phenomenal keep away for the second straight game, holding the Texans to under 22 minutes time of possession. It’s extremely hard for two running backs to get their reps in a game where the opponent almost doubles their time of possession, even moreso when a huge chunk of the game saw the Chiefs with a double digit lead. Foreman still looks like a powerful, punishing runner more ideally suited to between the tackles work than Miller. I’m not giving up on a player with a decent role on a team that has scored 10 TDs in the last two weeks. Most teams will not have nearly the same success killing the clock as Kansas City. Foreman will have his opportunities and remains at least a looming threat to Lamar Miller’s starting gig, and may have standalone value in his own right.

 

Do Not Cut - Wide Receivers

Amari Cooper, Oakland Raiders

It gets harder to make a case to keep him every week, now failing to eclipse even 10 yards in three straight starts. There are a couple of things to keep in mind about Cooper’s futile three- game stretch however. First, Derek Carr hasn’t been on the field for quite a lot of it. Second, the Raiders have faced two of the top four defenses in the NFL in limiting opposing fantasy points to wide receivers in Washington and Denver. Granted, this is not the primary reason for Cooper’s struggles. It’s obvious from watching him play that he’s not in the right place mentally. The drops have to be killing his confidence. While you could be forgiven for not believing in Cooper, he’s still a big enough name that it’s virtually certain that someone in your league will give you something to take a chance on him. Maybe you’re struggling at QB and the Deshaun Watson owner in your league also has Carson Wentz? If you want to bail on Cooper, be sure to get something for him.

Sterling Shepard, New York Giants

Although he was also injured during the Giants devastating loss to the Chargers that saw all three starting wide receivers go down, Shepard is the lone wideout whose condition is characterized as merely day to day. While he probably can’t yet be considered a lock to suit up at Denver in Week 6, he likely wouldn’t have been a starting consideration anyway. Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Marshall will miss the season so Sterling Shepard likely inherits de facto number one duties for the foreseeable future, barring a breakout from a player way down the depth chart. Under the circumstances it’s pretty easy to imagine him becoming a dependable WR3, so I wouldn’t let the combination of the ankle injury and the poor matchup on tap put me off of holding onto Shepard if I can help it.

Martavis Bryant, Pittsburgh Steelers

Through five games, Bryant has just one quality fantasy performance. After a particularly brutal performance in which Jacksonville picked off Pittsburgh five times, Bryant's likely future Hall of Fame quarterback even questioned whether he “didn’t have it” anymore. There’s no dancing around the fact that Martavis Bryant’s stock has taken a significant hit through the season’s first five weeks. Still, it’s important to understand that Bryant profiles as a feast or famine player. The ratio of booms to busts is looking bleak at the moment, but he’s still a freak talent who spent a year away from football. A slow start shouldn’t have been a huge surprise. Bryant’s outlook as a fantasy player would look dramatically different if he had connected on just one more big play to this point, and could change just as dramatically with a big performance against a Kansas City defense that gave up deep ball after deep ball to Deshaun Watson and company on Sunday night.

Jaron Brown, Arizona Cardinals

It’s very easy to build a case that Jaron Brown’s days of being considered a quality PPR WR3 could be coming to an end. With John Brown getting healthier, the Cardinals WR corps is suddenly looking awfully crowded. All four of JJ Nelson, Larry Fitzgerald, and the two Browns have been fantasy considerations dating back to last season. Still, I think it would be preemptive to let go of Jaron Brown just yet. He’s still racked up 35 targets over his last four games, catching 17 balls for 244 yards and two touchdowns, with another score negated by penalty, all during a span of games in which the David Johnson-less Cardinals have utterly failed to establish a running game. Carson Palmer leads the league in pass attempts and there's no reason to think If that wasn’t enough to compel you to hold Jaron Brown, I offer one more reason: Arizona’s Week 6 matchup is at home against a Tampa Bay team that is surrendering the most points to opposing fantasy WRs.

 

Do Not Cut - Tight Ends

Evan Engram, New York Giants

As much of a bummer as it was to see the rookie’s momentum come to a screeching halt while posting a goose-egg on four targets against the Chargers en route to an 0-5 start to the Giants season, Engram’s flop shouldn’t be the biggest take-away from this game. As with Sterling Shepard, Evan Engram suddenly finds himself staring down a potentially massive target share going forward. After opening his career with four straight games with at least four catches for at least 44 yards, Engram should be thrown right back into starting lineups for a Week 6 contest against a Broncos defense whose biggest weakness has been defending opposing tight ends. In what is bound to become a heavy youth movement for the Giants for the rest of 2017, he’s arguably as good a bet as any tight end in football to soak up double digit targets on a weekly basis going forward.

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Christian Braun

Downgraded to Questionable on Sunday
Tyler Herro

to Suit Up on Sunday
Norman Powell

Ruled Out for Sunday's Game
Victor Wembanyama

Cleared for Sunday
George Kittle

Ruled Out After Non-Contact Achilles Injury
Cole Perfetti

Contributes Two Assists in Sunday's Win
Carl Grundstrom

Misses Sunday's Practice
Jrue Holiday

Cleared to Suit Up Versus New York
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Request Interview With Ejiro Evero
Josh Hart

Returning on Sunday Night
Travis Konecny

Hurt at Sunday's Practice
Thatcher Demko

Lands on Injured Reserve
Colin Miller

Injured Versus Devils
Bryan Rust

Remains Out Sunday
Morgan Geekie

Won't Play Sunday
Los Angeles Rams

Mike LaFleur to Interview With Raiders and Cardinals
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Re-Signing Aaron Rodgers?
Matthew Stafford

X-Rays Come Back Negative
Mark Stone

Extends Goal Streak With Empty-Netter
Nikita Kucherov

Has Four-Point Outing Saturday
David Pastrnak

Records Six Assists in Big Win
Stefan Noesen

to Have Knee Surgery
Carter Hart

Out Week-to-Week
Thatcher Demko

Exits With Injury Saturday
MacKenzie Gore

Yankees Pursuing Trade for MacKenzie Gore
Philip Broberg

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Saturday
Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Chet Holmgren

Available Sunday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Suspended for Three Games for Attempting to Strike Another Player
Kristaps Porzingis

May Return Sunday
Zaccharie Risacher

to Miss Second Consecutive Game Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

Considered Probable for Sunday
Aaron Gordon

Likely to Play Sunday
Christian Braun

Considered Probable for Sunday
Spencer Jones

May Miss Another Game Sunday
Jamal Murray

Iffy for Sunday's Action
Josh Hart

Tagged as Questionable for Sunday
Ja Morant

Out Sunday
Michael Porter Jr.

Resting on Sunday
RJ Barrett

Unavailable Sunday
Brandon Ingram

Could Remain Out Sunday
Scottie Barnes

Uncertain for Sunday
Freddie Freeman

Withdraws from World Baseball Classic
Chandler Stephenson

Jaden Schwartz Replaces Chandler Stephenson in Kraken Lineup
Brandon Saad

Won't Play This Weekend
Shea Theodore

Returns to Golden Knights Lineup Saturday
Jaccob Slavin

Returns Against Kraken
Travis Konecny

Ruled Out Saturday
Brad Marchand

Misses Saturday's Game
Corey Perry

Available Saturday
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
CFB

Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
CFB

NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
Kyle Tucker

Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy
Daniel Jones

Colts Plan to Re-Sign Daniel Jones
Davante Adams

Off the Injury Report, Will Play Against Carolina
Bo Bichette

Phillies to Meet With Bo Bichette
Rome Odunze

Will Return for Wild-Card Game on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Commits to Baylor
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Fire Head Coach Mike McDaniel
Sam LaPorta

Plans to be Back for Training Camp
Owen Caissie

Shipped to Miami as Centerpiece of Trade
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Officially Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
Rome Odunze

Plans to Play on Saturday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Finalizing Deal to Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
New York Giants

Giants "All-In" on Hiring John Harbaugh
CFB

Jackson Arnold Signs with UNLV
CFB

Sam Leavitt Scheduled to Visit Tennessee
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Expected to be Favorite to Become New Giants Head Coach
Baltimore Ravens

John Harbaugh Won't Return as Ravens Head Coach
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to Return to Toronto?
Jordan Love

Ready to Start in Wild-Card Game Against Bears
CFB

Jadan Baugh Staying with Florida for Junior Season
Washington Commanders

Commanders "Mutually" Parting Ways With OC Kliff Kingsbury
CFB

Byrum Brown Officially Commits to Auburn
CFB

Austin Simmons Signing with Missouri

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