Thunder Dan's best MLB player prop bets for today (4/15/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including
It's going to be one of the warmest days that we have had this calendar year across the country, which should make for some really solid hitting environments today. With that being said, I am loading up on home run props today with six left-handed sluggers who have great matchups today.
Yes, that's more than you usually see in this column, so enjoy the extra picks! I just couldn't keep one of these hitters off my card today. They all check enough boxes for me, and I'll lean into what I expect to be an MLB slate full of offense.
Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Today, I'll exclusively feature odds from our partners at Novig sports prediction markets.
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MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (4/15/2026)
Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Wednesday, April 15.
| Hitter | Team | Opponent | HR Odds | Sportsbook |
| Chase DeLauter | Guardians | Cardinals | +405 | Novig |
| Wilyer Abreu | Red Sox | Twins | +381 | Novig |
| Brandon Lowe | Pirates | Nationals | +376 | Novig |
| Ben Rice | Yankees | Angels | +251 | Novig |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athetics | Rangers | +488 | Novig |
| Jesus Sanchez | Blue Jays | Brewers | +513 | Novig |
Chase DeLauter OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+405 Novig)
I'll try to keep my blurbs for each player shorter today. I am not sure how much you all read them anyway! All five of DeLauter's home runs have come off RHP this year, and his 22.5% Barrel% against righties is one of the best marks on the slate today among hitters.
He'll face Dustin May, who is off to a horrible start in 2026, allowing a SLG% of .800 and a 63% hard hit rate to lefties. It's a warm day in St. Louis, and we have some wind blowing out to top it off. I love the value here as DeLauter's odds are still over +400 despite his strong start to the season.
Wilyer Abreu OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+381 Novig)
Our next righty-masher is Abreu, who is slugging .600 against RHP to start the year with three home runs. His 18.4% Barrel% vs. RHP leads all Boston hitters this year, and he's facing Simeon Woods Richardson, who has been throttled by LHH so far this season (20% Barrel%, 52% HH%).
I like the pitch mix matchup here, too, as Abreu handles the splitter better than most Boston hitters, and SWR is primarily fastball-splitter to lefties with his approach.
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Brandon Lowe OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+376 Novig)
Lowe hit his seventh home run of the year last night, which was his first big fly off a lefty. The other six have come against RHP, giving him some pretty silly numbers against righties to start the year (.943 SLG, 17.5% Barrel%).
That's 4️⃣ homers in 3️⃣ games for Bam Bam! pic.twitter.com/560T9UOdY3
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) April 14, 2026
Lowe should be a great fit in Pittsburgh with a short porch in right field, and I won't be surprised if he deposits a Jake Irvin offering in the seats again today. Irvin has already surrendered two long balls to lefties and is allowing a massive 28% Barrel% to southpaws through his first three starts.
Ben Rice OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+251 Novig)
Yankees fans who are bumming about Rice sitting against lefties won't have to worry today. Rice should be in the lineup against RHP Jack Kochanowicz and looks like a great target today as he's been absolutely locked in at the plate to start the season.
Rice has four home runs off RHP this year already, with a massive 29% Barrel%. Kochanowicz has been much better so far this season, but last year, he was getting crushed by lefties and was a pitcher we targeted often with opposing hitters. He's still very fastball-dependent, so Rice should get some pitches he can handle. The odds are much shorter than the rest of our targets, but it's a great hitting environment at Yankee Stadium today with temperatures pushing up into the 80s and winds projected to be blowing out.
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Tyler Soderstrom OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+488 Novig)
Next, we head out to Sacramento and Sutter Health Park, which has one of the best park factors for left-handed hitters in MLB! It should be warm, with the wind blowing out, too.
The Athletics face Kumar Rocker tonight, a hard-throwing righty who has had a bit of a home run problem in his first handful of MLB starts.
Rocker has already allowed two home runs to lefties in his first two starts, and a 50% HH% as well. While Nick Kurtz is usually the guy I'd look at from the Athletics, he's been struggling to make contact this season, with a K% of 49%. Soderstrom is making contact at a much higher rate and looks good against the Rocker arsenal of sinker, slider, and changeup to lefties.
Longshot: Jesus Sanchez OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+513 Novig)
Our longshot isn't a true longshot today, but with odds over +500, he's the longest shot on my card. Sanchez should hit cleanup for the Blue Jays today against Chad Patrick of the Brewers. Patrick isn't a bad pitcher, but he also doesn't miss that many bats and relies on inducing weak contact with a sinker-cutter-fastball pitch mix.
His .636 SLG and 15% allowed to lefties so far this year got my attention. Sanchez hits his pitches hard, so I won't be surprised if he makes some very loud contact against Patrick today. Hopefully, he can get under one and drive it over the fence for a 5x return on our investment.
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