👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Fantasy Football Running Back ADP Risers and Fallers From 2025 Free Agency

Jordan Mason - Fantasy Football Waiver Wire, Draft Sleepers, Draft Rankings

Phil Clark's running back fantasy football ADP risers and fallers from free agency. Which running backs had the best and worst landing spots in free agency this offseason?

This year’s collection of free-agent running backs did not elicit the same level of interest among NFL franchises that existed during 2024, when a group of high-profile veterans garnered favorable deals and flourished in their new environments. However, a collection of backs who entered the open market during free agency have secured new contracts.

That has unsurprisingly altered the fantasy landscape, while fueling significant rises and notable declines in the ADPs of some running backs. More changes in draft positions are destined to occur due to the looming impact of this year‘s NFL Draft.

However, veteran running backs will maintain a presence on the rosters that you assemble throughout draft season. That shifts the spotlight toward this breakdown of running backs with ADPs that have changed most significantly since the onset of free agency.

Featured Promo: Looking for some more fantasy football action? Adopt a dynasty orphan team over at FFPC. Sign up today and get $25 off any FFPC league. Sign Up Now!

 

Fantasy Football Running Back ADP Risers 

Najee Harris, Los Angeles Chargers - ADP 67/RB25

Najee Harris has emerged atop the list of risers at the running back position after his one-year contract with Los Angeles ignited the ascent of his ADP from Round 7 (84/RB31) to Round 6 (67/RB25).

Harris should benefit from his infusion into the Chargers offense as he is currently positioned to operate as an unquestioned workhorse back. Harris played in 17 games during each of his four seasons in Pittsburgh. He is also second overall in carries (1,097/16.1 per game) and fifth in rushing yards (4,312/63.4 per game) since his 2021 rookie season.

Season Games Att/Gm YPG YBC YAC BrkTkl
2021 17 18.1 70.6 525 675 30
2022 17 16 60.8 577 457 21
2023 17 15 60.9 417 618 30
2024 17 15.5 61.4 502 541 22

Harris was also seventh in attempts (263/15.5 per game) during 2024 while finishing fifth in forced missed tackles (63) and eighth in explosive runs (30), according to PFF.

Harris' role could be altered if Los Angeles selects a member of this year‘s exceptional rookie class during the NFL Draft. This could create formidable competition for touches that does not exist for Harris with Kimani Vidal and Hassan Haskins on the current depth chart. Any addition of an explosive presence into the backfield would also fuel a decline in Harris’s ADP.

Jordan Mason, Minnesota Vikings - ADP 134/RB42

Jordan Mason's ADP has climbed from Round 14 (157/RB51) to Round 12 (134/RB42) following the mid-March trade that transported him from San Francisco to Minnesota. Mason has also secured a two-year contract with the Vikings, which positions him to operate in a rotation with 30-year-old Aaron Jones.

Mason launched into a lead-back role for the 49ers last season as injuries sidelined Christian McCaffrey (Achilles tendinitis/calf) and Elijah Mitchell (hamstring). Mason excelled with his expanded workload while rising to second in attempts (128/18.3 per game) and rushing yards (667/95.3 per game), and accumulating a league-best 390 yards after contact from Weeks 1-7.

Mason suffered multiple injuries (shoulder/high ankle sprain) that restricted him to a 17 percent snap share from Weeks 8-18.

However, Mason should perform effectively within the framework of Minnesota’s rushing attack while functioning behind an offensive line that has been bolstered by the additions of guard Will Fries and center Ryan Kelly in free agency. Mason will also take on a mammoth workload if Jones is forced to the sideline for any reason. That makes him a viable target at his Round 12 ADP.

Jaylen Wright, Miami Dolphins - ADP 142/RB45

Jaylen Wright's ADP has ascended from Round 13 (155/RB50) to Round 12 (142/RB45) since Raheem Mostert signed a one-year contract with Las Vegas. That sustains Wright’s place among the most significant risers after Mostert’s extraction from Miami’s roster created a path for Wright to operate as the Dolphins RB2 behind De'Von Achane.

Miami traded up to select Wright in Round 4 of the 2024 NFL Draft, although he was limited to a 17 percent snap share, 68 attempts (4.5 per game), and 249 rushing yards (16.6 per game) during his rookie season.

However, Wright thrived with an expanded workload in Week 5, when Achane suffered a concussion. Wright established season highs in rushing yards (86), attempts (13), and yards after contact (33), and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt. 63.8 percent of Wright’s yards were also accumulated after contact during 2024, while 31 percent of his yards were generated on explosive runs, according to Fantasy Points Data.

Alexander Mattison has been added to Miami's restructured backfield. However, Wright’s opportunities to display his speed and athleticism should increase unless the Dolphins make a significant addition to the depth chart during the NFL Draft.

Isaac Guerendo, San Francisco 49ers - ADP 157/RB49

The aforementioned trade that sent Jordan Mason to Minnesota instantly elevated Isaac Guerendo directly below Christian McCaffrey on the 49ers’ reshaped depth chart. Guerendo’s newly attained status as San Francisco’s RB2 has also enticed fantasy managers to select him in Round 14 (157/RB49) after his ADP had been located in Round 15 (177/RB56) before Mason’s departure.

Guerendo performed proficiently in Kyle Shanahan’s offense when injuries to McCaffrey and Mason propelled him into expanded workloads during his 2024 rookie season.

Guerendo exploded for a season-best 99 yards on 10 carries in Week 6 and paced all backs in rush yards over expected (64), according to Next Gen Stats. Guerendo also erupted for 85 yards and a touchdown in Week 8 while rising to eighth in rush yards over expected per attempt (1.82).

Week 6  YAC Yards Yards/Att  Attempts
Isaac Guerendo 99 99 9.9 10
Tyler Allgeier 87 105 5.8 18
Najee Harris 78 106 7.6 14
Dameon Pierce 65 76 9.5 8
Ray Davis 62 97 4.9 20
Derrick Henry 60 132 5.5 24
Chuba Hubbard 59 92 5.1 18
David Montgomery 59 80 6.7 12

 

Weeks 6-8 YAC Yards YPA Attempts
Najee Harris 239 322 6 54
Saquon Barkley 227 331 5.8 57
Josh Jacobs 179 265 4.8 55
Isaac Guerendo 167 186 7.4 25
Tank Bigsby 163 220 4.3 51
Derrick Henry 161 374 7.5 50
Tony Pollard 160 248 4.7 53
James Conner 148 178 3.9 46

Guerendo is positioned to operate with a massive workload if McCaffrey is unavailable at any point during the season. His stock could drop if San Francisco inserts a talented rookie into the equation, but he will function as a valuable handcuff if he sustains his current role.

 

Fantasy Football Running Back ADP Fallers

D'Andre Swift, Chicago Bears - ADP 90/RB32 

This article would be remiss if D'Andre Swift's falling ADP was not examined, as his draft position has dropped 15 slots since March. The Bears re-signed Travis Homer but eschewed their opportunity to add a veteran back during the offseason.

This increases the likelihood that Chicago will address the position during the NFL Draft, as the team is unlikely to enter Week 1 with a backfield that is comprised of Swift, Roschon Johnson, and Homer.

That could present Swift with imposing competition for touches that did not exist during 2024, when he finished 10th with a career-high 253 attempts (14.9 per game).

However, Swift was also 39th with a career-low 3.8 yards per attempt, 18th in rushing yards (959/56.4 per game), 21st in forced missed tackles (38), and 26th in explosive runs (18), according to PFF.

Swift’s prospects of replicating last season’s 66 percent snap share will decrease considerably if the Bears make an impactful addition to their running back room. It also supplies your incentive to avoid selecting him despite his diminished ADP.

J.K. Dobbins, Unsigned Free Agent - ADP 119/RB37

J.K. Dobbins secured a one-year contract with the Chargers in April 2024. That reunited him with Greg Roman, who operated as Baltimore’s offensive coordinator during Dobbins’ first three years with the Ravens (2020-22).

Dobbins functioned as the Chargers' lead back and reignited his relevance after being limited to nine contests from 2021-23. However, Dobbins currently remains unsigned despite the numbers that he assembled during 2024.

Dobbins established career-bests in attempts (195/15.0 per game) and rushing yards (905/69.6 per game). He also tied his career high in touchdowns (nine) and rose to 10th in explosive yards (296), according to Fantasy Points Data.

The Chargers infused former Steeler Najee Harris into their backfield during free agency and could also add a rookie into the equation. Dobbins’ unsettled status has contributed to an ADP that has plunged from Round 8 (87/RB33) to Round 10 (119/RB37). Dobbins could remain unsigned for the foreseeable future, and there are more enticing options available during your upcoming drafts.

Nick Chubb, Unsigned Free Agent - ADP 188/RB59

Nick Chubb finished among the top 10 in rushing yards during each of his first five seasons (2018-22) and finished second with 1,210 yards (84.5 per game) during that span.

Chubb also finished as an RB1 in four straight seasons while his ADPs were contained in Rounds 1 and 2 from 2019-23. However, the four-time Pro Bowler has been sidelined during 24 of Cleveland’s last 34 matchups after encountering a significant knee injury and a broken foot.

Season Games Attempts Att/Gm Yards Yards/Gm YAC
2018 16 192 12 996 62.3 598
2019 16 298 18.6 1494 93.4 882
2020 12 190 15.8 1067 88.9 511
2021 14 228 16.3 1259 89.9 692
2022 17 302 17.8 1525 89.7 695

 

Season Games Attempts Att/Gm Yards Yards/Gm YAC
2023 2 28 14 170 85 70
2024 8 102 12.8 332 41.5 162

Uncertainty regarding Chubb’s status has fueled a substantial decline in his ADP, which has plummeted from Round 14 (161/RB52) to Round 16 (188/RB59) since running backs entered the open market.

Members of this year’s impressive rookie class are also primed to seize sizable roles in their new landing spots. That should impede Chubb from securing an extensive workload whenever he attains a new contract. It also provides your incentive to avoid drafting him before his current draft position.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Corbin Carroll

has Surgery on his Hand
Anthony Banda

Twins Acquire Anthony Banda From Dodgers
William Contreras

Brewers Avoid Arbitration With William Contreras
Ben Lively

Guardians Finalizing Two-Year Minor-League Deal With Ben Lively
Paul Sewald

Diamondbacks Bring Back Paul Sewald on One-Year Deal
Enrique Hernández

Enrique Hernandez Returning to Dodgers
Zac Veen

Unlikely to Break Camp With MLB Team
Ronny Mauricio

a Candidate to Start At Shortstop?
Kyle Bradish

Looking Sharp Early in Camp
Bo Bichette

Won't Take Reps at Shortstop After Teammate's Injury
Max Muncy

Dodgers Reach Contract Extension With Max Muncy
Drew Thorpe

has Hit "Road Bumps" in his Recovery
Sebastian Walcott

to Have Elbow Surgery, Could Miss Entire Season
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Will Likely Miss the Rest of the Season
Andrew Painter

No Restrictions for Andrew Painter in Spring Training
Luis Gil

Throwing Live Batting Practice on Thursday
Coby Mayo

Headed Back to the Hot Corner?
Grant Holmes

has No Restrictions, Could Claim Rotation Role
CFB

BYU's Parker Kingston Charged with Felony Rape
DJ Herz

Place on 60-Day Injured List
Julian Merryweather

Joining Twins on Minor-League Deal
Joel Embiid

to Be Re-Evaluated After All-Star Break
Caleb Martin

Iffy for Thursday's Game
Naji Marshall

Uncertain to Face Lakers
Klay Thompson

Available Thursday
Trey Murphy III

Makes Early Exit Wednesday
Jalen Williams

Exits Early With Hamstring Issue
Cooper Flagg

Out Through All-Star Break
Liam Hendriks

Signs Minors Deal With Twins
Deandre Ayton

Listed as Questionable for Thursday
Cooper Flagg

Likely to Skip Meeting With Lakers
Stephon Castle

Cleared to Play Wednesday
Austin Reaves

Set to Return Thursday
Chris Bassitt

Orioles Agree on One-Year Deal
LeBron James

Available Thursday Night
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Won't Face Mavericks Thursday
Will Richard

Out Wednesday
De'Anthony Melton

Available Wednesday Night
Spencer Jones

Remains Sidelined Wednesday
Christian Braun

Active Wednesday Night
Walter Clayton Jr.

Cedric Coward, Walter Clayton Jr. Ruled Out Wednesday
Jamal Murray

Good to Go Against Grizzlies
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Ready to Rock Wednesday
Cameron Young

Looking for Pebble Beach Success
J.J. Spaun

Looks to Turn Things Around at Pebble Beach
Collin Morikawa

Eyes Turnaround at Pebble Beach
Jake Knapp

Brings Hot Form to Pebble Beach
Nick Taylor

in Good Form Going into Pebble Beach Event
Viktor Hovland

Carrying Momentum Into Pebble Beach
Tommy Fleetwood

Set for 2026 PGA Tour Debut at Pebble Beach
Harris English

Looks to Build on Steady Form at Pebble Beach
Justin Rose

Tuned in for AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Keegan Bradley

a Boom-or-Bust Play at Pebble Beach
Maverick McNealy

Playing Well with Pebble Beach Looming
Russell Henley

Carries Momentum to Pebble Beach
Shane Lowry

Makes 2026 PGA Tour Debut at Pebble Beach
Michael Kim

Putting Well with Pebble Beach on the Horizon
Billy Horschel

a Little Rattled After Consecutive Missed Cuts
Ben Griffin

Solid But Not Spectacular Early in 2026
Wyndham Clark

Has Question Marks Heading to Pebble Beach
Daniel Berger

Heating Up at the Right Time for Pebble Beach
Jordan Spieth

Looking For a Return to Form at Pebble Beach
Juuse Saros

Starting Wednesday
William Nylander

Iffy for Olympic Opener
Martin Necas

Ready for Thursday
Drake Maye

Says his Shoulder Injury was Significant
Xander Schauffele

Trying to Get the Motor Going at Pebble Beach
Hideki Matsuyama

Trying to Overcome Sunday Collapse
Kenneth Walker III

Runs Away With Super Bowl MVP Honors
Vinicius Oliveira

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Mario Bautista

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kyoji Horiguchi

Dominates At UFC Vegas 113
Amir Albazi

Gets Dominated At UFC Vegas 113
Rizvan Kuniev

Earns His First UFC Win
Jailton Almeida

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 113
Marc-Andre Barriault

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Michal Oleksiejczuk

Gets His Third Win In A Row
Las Vegas Raiders

Klint Kubiak Confirms he Will be Next Raiders Head Coach
Jonas Rondbjerg

Out for Olympics
Brad Marchand

Good to Go for Olympic Opener
Gabriel Landeskog

Healthy for Olympics
Jack Hughes

Cleared for Olympics
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Returns to Super Bowl After Injury Scare
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Being Evaluated for Concussion, Questionable to Return
James Pearce Jr.

Arrested Following Police Chase
Quinn Hughes

Enters Olympics in Red-Hot Form
NHL

Juho Lammikko Returns to Switzerland
Pavel Zacha

Misses Olympics
Travis Kelce

Undecided on Playing Future, Leaning Towards Returning in 2026?
CFB

Rutgers Hiring South Dakota Head Coach Travis Johansen as Defensive Coordinator
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF