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Week One Thursday Night NFL Matchups Analysis: Start/Sit for Fantasy Football

Pierre Camus breaks down the Thursday night game for week one of the 2016 NFL season. He analyzes which players to start or sit for fantasy football leagues according to matchups.

It's the first game of the 2016 NFL season, and I'm here to analyze the Thursday night matchups with my start/sit recommendations. This week, it's a repeat of Super Bowl 50 between the champion Denver Broncos and the Carolina Panthers.

Each week of the NFL season, we will be breaking down every game and providing you with some fantasy football advice and lineup recommendations based on matchups that we love, matchups that we hate, and injury information as well. Later this week, you will find parts one and two of our Week 1 NFL matchups, which should help you prepare your lineups to win this week. It’s essential to analyze the weekly NFL matchups to find lineup sleepers and gems, while also avoiding those players who may turn out to be busts.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including Draft Kit + DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through the playoffs. Premium DFS lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more - seven days a week. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Panthers @ Broncos - Thursday 9/8 @ 8:30 PM EST

Matchups We Love

C.J. Anderson (RB, DEN) - While I don't love Anderson as a feature back this season, he will definitely earn the bulk of the carries to start the year. You can bet the Broncos will be conservative with first-time starter Trevor Siemian and pin their hopes on defense and ground control. If Denver approaches the goal line, the play-calling will likely tighten up even more, which plays into Anderson's hands. He should see at least 20 rushing attempts against a defense that allowed 88.4 Rush YPG in 2015. He may not go for a great average, but there should enough volume to make him start-worthy as a RB2. Don't forget, he rumbled for 90 YDS and a TD in the Super Bowl.

Demaryius Thomas / Emmanuel Sanders (WR, DEN) - You're bound to be confused in a minute when you read that Siemian is listed as a matchup I hate. While I certainly don't feel comfortable playing Siemian in any format in his first NFL start, that doesn't mean his receivers will be completely blanked. Don't forget that high-priced free agent Josh Norman, who played like the best cornerback in football last season, bolted for Washington in the off-season. As a result, the Broncos wideouts will be facing a pair of rookie cornerbacks. All Thomas needs is a little space to shake free and use his long stride to create a big play. Thomas is more of a boom-or-bust play this week, but it's hard to bench such a talented player when he is a constant home run threat. Sanders will likely serve as a safety net for Siemian out of the slot and PPR owners should feel safe to deploy him as a WR2.

Graham Gano (K, CAR) - The Panthers were not shut out completely in last year's Super Bowl, but the offense simply couldn't get by Von Miller and company often enough to really pose a serious threat. With just two red zone visits in last year's big game, there could be a chance for Gano to improve on those numbers significantly. I don't foresee the Panthers finding their way into the end zone too much, rather they will push their way towards field goal range enough to make Gano a weapon.

Denver Defense - As with Newton, you're starting them every week because you probably made them the top overall pick at that position. It doesn't hurt to remind yourself that they posted seven sacks, four turnovers and a touchdown in Super Bowl 50. They may not match those figures, but expect enough big plays that you won't be disappointed.

 

Matchups We Hate

Kelvin Benjamin (WR, CAR) - Benjamin is a dicey start no matter how healthy he is. He hasn't played a regular season game in over a year and now he gets to face the top defense in the league. Add to that reports that he will be on a snap count around 35 and there is little hope for fantasy value unless he finds his way into the end zone. While he isn't a complete must-avoid, he is no better than a WR3 in week one.

Trevor Siemian (QB, DEN) - Even die-hard Broncos fans would be reluctant to roll the dice on Siemian in his first NFL start. If this were a pressure-free situation in the middle of the year against a team like San Fran or Cleveland, things might be different. Siemian is bound to have plenty of nerves going on and facing a team that finished sixth in total defense at 322.9 YPG last year isn't going to help. Don't get cute this early in the year, even in two-QB leagues, as there are bound to be better options.

Jonathan Stewart (RB, CAR) - The Broncos don't give up big runs, period. They finished third in defensive rushing yards per game, with opponents averaging just 3.3 Y/A. Stewart had a nice 2015, but he is not the type of player who will run away from Von Miller in space. He averaged a mere 2.4 Y/A and was a non-factor in last year's big game. No reason to expect any different results this time around.

 

Notable Players

Cam Newton (QB, CAR) - Newton is the most notable of all players in the league, much less this game, especially in this "don't call it a rematch" Super Bowl rematch. All eyes will be on him and how he responds to last year's bitter loss. Chances are he will come out firing. Obviously, if you are a Cam owner, you're starting him every week regardless of matchups so there's little need to justify putting him in your lineup. Although I can't put him in the Love category when he's facing the best defense in the league, I do expect Cam to give it his all and put up big numbers.

Devin Funchess (WR, CAR) - Second-year receiver Funchess enters the year as one of the top sleeper candidates at wide receiver. Benjamin's status being less than 100% only cements the idea that he will have to play a bigger role early on. If Newton is going to find success down the field in Denver, Funchess is the likeliest target. I don't advise putting him in your lineup as anything higher than a WR3 or flex play until seeing what type of chemistry he and Cam have on the field this year. Still, he makes a better play than Benjamin and is serviceable if you don't have better options.

 

Start 'Em, Sit 'Em

Start: Cam Newton, C.J. Anderson, Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Greg Olsen, Brandon McManus, Graham Gano

Sit: Trevor Siemian, Jonathan Stewart, Kelvin Benjamin, Devin Funchess, Ted GinnVirgil Green

Key Injuries: Jeff Heuerman (TE, DEN) - questionable

 

 


Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cody Bellinger

Yankees Pushing Hard to Re-Sign Cody Bellinger
CFB

Penn State Eyeing Iowa State Coach Matt Campbell For Coaching Vacancy
Alex Bregman

Cubs Have Renewed Interest in Alex Bregman
Quinten Post

Set to Suit Up Versus Philadelphia
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Will Play on Thursday Night
Joel Embiid

Back on Thursday Night
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Available on Thursday
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Cleared for Action on Thursday Night
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Out of Action Thursday
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Available Versus Utah
Kirill Marchenko

Returns From Four-Game Absence
De'Anthony Melton

to be Capped at 20 Minutes on Thursday
Carter Verhaeghe

Ready to Return Thursday
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Skips Thursday's Game
Paolo Banchero

Upgraded to Questionable for Friday Night
Danila Yurov

Misses Second Straight Game
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Billy Napier Finalizing Deal to Become James Madison's New Head Coach
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Unavailable Thursday
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Buster Faulkner Set to Become Florida's New Offensive Coordinator
Dereck Lively II

to Seek "Multiple Opinions" on Right Foot Treatment
David Pastrnak

Still Out Thursday
Ryan McDonagh

Lightning Sign Ryan McDonagh to Three-Year Extension
Trayce Jackson-Davis

Set to Suit Up Thursday
Ja Morant

Considered Day-to-Day
Tee Higgins

Ready to Return After Full Practice?
Jimmy Butler III

Sidelined Thursday
Jayden Daniels

Practices in Full on Thursday
Jaylen Brown

Ruled Out Thursday Against the Wizards
Lamar Jackson

Expected to Play Against Steelers
Quentin Grimes

Is Ready to Return on Thursday
Deshaun Watson

Not Expected to Play This Year
Paul George

Will Not Play Against the Warriors
Joel Embiid

Upgraded to Questionable for Thursday
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Joe Sloan Expected to be Kentucky's New Offensive Coordinator
Justin Herbert

Chargers "Really Optimistic" That Justin Herbert Will Play on Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Will Not Play Thursday
CFB

Lane Kiffin Working to Keep Defensive Coordinator Blake Baker at LSU
Noa Essengue

Out for the Season
Mike Evans

has "Real Chance" to Return in Week 14
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Expected To Miss 2-4 Weeks
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Realistic Expectation is for Amon-Ra St. Brown to Return Next Week
Jalen Carter

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Justin Herbert

Expected to Practice Either Thursday or Friday
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Practicing Again Thursday
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Questionable With Rib Contusion
Marcus Smart

Sidelined Thursday Against Raptors
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Brian Daboll a Candidate for Penn State Head-Coaching Job?
Karel Vejmelka

Records Impressive Shutout
JJ Peterka

Rocks Ducks With Four-Point Effort
Cole Caufield

Extends Point Streak With Power-Play Assist
Matvei Michkov

Delivers Two Assists Wednesday
Jake Oettinger

Grabs Fourth Consecutive Victory With Shutout
Ryan Leonard

Tallies Four Points in Wednesday's Win
Cam York

Exits Win Early
Kyren Williams

Expected to Play in Week 14
Davante Adams

Expected to Play Despite Missing Wednesday's Practice
Kyle Tucker

Visits With Blue Jays
Woody Marks

Texans Say Woody Marks Will be Fine
Rasmus Ristolainen

to Miss at Least One More Week
Drew Doughty

Logs Full Practice Wednesday
Emilio Pagán

Reds Bring Back Closer Emilio Pagan on Two-Year Deal
Jeff Skinner

Remains Sidelined Wednesday
Petr Mrazek

Out 2-3 Weeks
Tyler Seguin

Likely Done for the Season
Neal Pionk

Returns to Jets Lineup
J.J. McCarthy

Practices in Full, on Track to Return in Week 14
Cedric Mullins

Rays Agree on One-Year Deal
Mark Andrews

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Freddy Peralta

Brewers Considering Trading Freddy Peralta
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Officially Questionable for Thursday Night
Omarion Hampton

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Brent Key Signing Five-Year Deal to Remain at Georgia Tech
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Brian Hartline Expected to Land USF Head-Coaching Job
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Chris Klieman Considering Stepping Down at Kansas State
Alexander Wennberg

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
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D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
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Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
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Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
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Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

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Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
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Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
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Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
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Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
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Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
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UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
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Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

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RANKINGS

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RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
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