Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Nyheim Hines - Rookie Recap/Dynasty Outlook


The Indianapolis Colts focused on bolstering the running back position during the 2018 draft, selecting Nyheim Hines in the fourth round and Jordan Wilkins in the fifth.

Hines was taken with pick 104 in the fourth round, making him the ninth running back to come off of the board in a loaded class. The 22-year-old actually started out as a wide receiver in college before shifting to running back later in his college career. As such, he has excellent hands in the passing game and was widely regarded as one of the top pass-catching backs in the 2018 draft. In addition to his skills catching the ball, Hines is also extremely fast. He ran a 4.38 forty-yard dash at the scouting combine, which places him in the 98th percentile at his position.

He was generally a second-round pick in dynasty rookie drafts this past year, although he did drop to the third round in many places after a disappointing preseason. Heading into the 2019 season, what does the future hold for Hines and how should he be regarded in dynasty leagues?

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

Profile

Team: Indianapolis Colts
College: North Carolina State
Height/Weight: 5'9", 197 pounds
2018 NFL Draft: Round 4, Pick 104

 

Nyheim Hines' Rookie Season

Hines' rookie campaign got off to a rocky start as he struggled badly with fumbles during preseason action. The issues caused his ADP in dynasty startups to plunge from August to September amid rumors that he might not survive final cuts. The Colts wound up keeping him, and he went on to post 314 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 85 carries while adding 63 catches for 425 yards and another two scores. He finished as the RB27 in PPR leagues with 160.9 fantasy points.

While he finished as an RB3 for fantasy purposes, his final stats are a bit misleading as roughly one-quarter of his production came in Weeks 4 and 5, where he racked up 44.3 fantasy points. That time also coincided with a midseason injury to Marlon Mack, which led to more usage for Hines. Outside of that stretch, there were very few weeks where fantasy owners felt confident in plugging Hines into their lineups as a solid starting option, especially after the bye weeks ended.

 

Plenty of Competition

Hines formed part of a three-headed monster in the Indianapolis backfield as he had to split touches with second-year back Marlon Mack and fellow rookie Jordan Wilkins. Of the three, Mack (when healthy) operated as the team's clear lead back, especially on early downs and near the goal line. Wilkins mostly served as a change of pace option who was called upon to spell Mack when needed. Hines operated as Indy's clear preferred choice in the passing game, with his 63 catches ranking eighth among all NFL running backs and his 81 targets ranking seventh.

 

2019 Outlook

At just 197 pounds, Hines is simply not big enough physically to withstand the pounding that a lead running back in the NFL would absorb. As such, fantasy owners may have already caught a glimpse at his ceiling in fantasy in 2018, where he did some damage through the air but added very little of value on the ground.

Despite speculation that the Colts might be looking to add a big ticket free agent at running back, such as Le'Veon Bell, they are just as likely to remain committed to Marlon Mack as their lead runner and spend their cap space at other positions. Regardless of what happens with Mack when free agency and the draft roll around, it shouldn't affect Hines who profiles as nothing more than a third-down back in the NFL. The Colts are unlikely to add another pass-catching specialist in the next few years with Hines already on the team

From a best case scenario, the Colts will continue to feature Hines as their top pass-catching back in 2019, and he will be able to improve upon his paltry 6.7 yards per catch average. If Hines can up his YPC and make a few more trips to the end zone, an RB2 finish in PPR leagues is not out of the question, especially considering he is tied to Andrew Luck on what could be an explosive Colts offense in 2019. On the other hand, there's a good chance the Colts add a big name wide receiver to pair with T.Y. Hilton this upcoming season, which could cut into Hines' target share. After Hilton, the Colts employed one of the weakest wide receiver corps in the league in 2018, so that is definitely an area of need this offseason.

 

Dynasty Strategy

Hines doesn't hold enough dynasty value to be considered a sell candidate at this point as I would rather have him over his current valuation, which is around a late second-round or early third-round rookie pick. That being said, I am also not aggressively looking to go out and buy Hines, either. From a dynasty perspective, he profiles as a mere depth option at the running back position and not a player who you can rely on as an every week starter. At best, he holds value as a flex option in case of injury or a bye-week crunch.

If you have an interest in acquiring Hines in dynasty, there are a couple of routes to travel. You could try sending a third-round rookie pick to his owner and see if that's enough to pry him free. I don't think I would be willing to send a second-round pick for him. Another strategy would be to try getting Hines as a throw-in in a larger deal where he isn't the principal piece coming back. This is one of my favorite strategies when trying to buy fringe assets such as Hines in dynasty.

Hines sets up as a solid but unspectacular dynasty asset heading into the 2019 season. Consider him a younger version of Theo Riddick on a better offense. He doesn't have much upside but his job should be safe for the next few seasons, and he has shown to be an above-average third-down back in a good NFL offense. He isn't going to be a league-winner, but he is definitely an asset with some value as a depth option for dynasty owners.

More Dynasty League Strategy




More Recent Articles

 

Wide Receiver Matchups To Target in Week 7

In Week 6, Julio Jones didn't score, but he came through with a decent fantasy day, going over 100-yards receiving. Brandin Cooks brutal Week 6 showing was a little bit of a surprise given his 2018 track record against the 49ers, but the Rams offensive line was overwhelmed which led to a rough day for... Read More


Pass Rush vs QB Matchups to Watch - Week 7

It's Week 7 and the injuries just keep piling up. Heading into this week, six different teams will be starting quarterbacks that were not their opening-day starters, and that doesn't take into account teams like the Indianapolis Colts or Kansas City Chiefs, who just lost quarterback Patrick Mahomes (knee) for at least three weeks. To... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 7 Todd Gurley was not on the final injury report and is expected to play. David Johnson (ankle) will... Read More


Inside the Tent - Week 7 NFL Injury Insight

At RotoBaller, we can't stress enough the importance of keeping up with injuries and playing your best lineup week after week. Players are going to get injured, that's an unavoidable fact. What's avoidable though is making the wrong roster decisions based on the injuries surrounding your fantasy squad. If you want to dominate your leagues... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 7

Welcome to our Week 7 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Week 7 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Week 7 Busts? Players To Consider Avoiding

We're almost halfway through the NFL season already. Time really does fly. At this point in the year, you should know whether your fantasy squad is a pretender or contender for a fantasy title. You may only be missing a couple of key pieces. If so, you should certainly consider trading for a player or... Read More


Fantasy Football IDP Rankings for Week 7 (Top 100)

Luckily for fantasy owners in IDP leagues, Week 7 sees the return of Darius Leonard to the field (and our top 10 ranks), as well as the Bears Defense. While perennial stud Luke Kuechly, exciting rookie Devin Bush, and surprising DPOY candidate Shaquil Barrett are on bye, we aren't losing too much from the player... Read More


A Necessary Guide to Streaming Tight Ends in 2019

Okay, follow my instructions, keep calm, and everything is going to be alright. Don't panic yet! We've burned almost half of the football fantasy season, if we assume playoffs start in Week 14. So far, it's been a wild one, and as expected, the tight end position has been as unpredictable as ever. We all... Read More


Is Stefon Diggs Really Back?

Weeks 1-5: 4.6 targets, 3.2 receptions, 50.6 yards per game, one touchdown. Week 6: 11 targets, eight receptions, 167 yards, three touchdowns. All of these numbers show a marked improvement on the season averages of Stefon Diggs in Minnesota. But, do they tell the whole story? Do they really signify that Diggs should be considered... Read More


Buys and Sells - The King's Guide for Week 7

Not every football fan is a baseball fan. But many of us sports aficionados did follow the game for awhile, and still do. At some point, many of have witnessed a trade, where a team out of contention dealt away a star player for some minor leaguers. One team received an immediate impact player, while... Read More


Offensive Line Rankings Analysis: Week 7

In Week 6, we once again saw some great football, starting with the New England Patriots continuing their undefeated start to the season and ending with one of the most controversial games of the week as the Green Bay Packers overcame the Detroit Lions. The London games continued with Jameis Winston struggling once again, this... Read More


Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 6 Analysis

Wide receivers are essential components toward your ultimate goal of securing league championships. As the season unfolds, an expanding collection of tools are available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge. Those results provide the foundation for this weekly statistical breakdown of the wide receiver position, which is designed to help you fulfill... Read More


NCAA Prospects To Watch: Week 8

We’re almost halfway through the college football season, which means small sample sizes are becoming larger, and players are beginning to rise up the draft boards. While that means the cream is rising to the top, it also means that some unique names have emerged as players to know for the 2020 NFL Draft. This... Read More


Week 7 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that bye weeks are in full swing; streaming becomes a more viable and almost necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions throughout the season could easily be the difference in winning a championship. Each week, I... Read More