X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Reviewing Recent Cy Young Finalists (AL Edition) - Starting Pitcher Outlooks for 2024

Our three 2023 AL Cy Young finalists were Gerrit Cole of the Yankees, Kevin Gausman of the Blue Jays, and Sonny Gray of the Twins.

In 2022, Justin Verlander returned from an entire missed season to claim the award, while Dylan Cease and Alek Manoah were the runners-up.

In this article, I will break down the seasons of each finalist in the American League over the last two seasons using my FaBIO model. The goal here is to see if these awards finalists truly had elite seasons on the mound from a fantasy perspective, or if they were rewarded for superior surface stats. Winning the coveted award is a great honor for any pitcher, but does it indicate that they really had the best statistical season of any pitcher in their league?

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

 

Brief Explanation of the FaBIO Model

My Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher evaluation model sorts every plate appearance into one of 12 outcome bins (BB+HBP, K, IFFB, Pull-Third OFFB, Center-Third OFFB, Oppo-Third OFFB, Pull-Third LD, Center-Third LD, Oppo-Third LD, Pull-Third GB, Center-Third GB, Oppo-Third GB) and credits the pitcher with their league's mean runs value for said particular event that season. The most runs-punitive events for pitchers are Pull-Third OFFB, the three line-drive types, and BB+HBP. The most runs-preventing events for pitchers are K, IFFB, and Pull-Third GB.

Dividing their total number of expected runs by batters faced (BF) yields expected runs per batter that can be percentile ranked relative to the league mean and standard deviation for that parameter amongst league qualifier starters (else relievers) to arrive at their Overall Rating.

Its three subcomponents of Control Rating (CTL, based on BB+HBP per BF), Strikeout Rating (K, based on K per BF), and Batted Ball Profile Rating (expected runs per batted ball) are also reported to understand better the path the pitcher traveled to reach their Overall (reverse engineering Overall reveals that expected run avoidance is generally 44% Strikeouts, 34% Batted Ball Profile, and 22% Control).

To better understand the path to Batted Ball Profile, we will also examine percentile ratings for select batted ball event types (on a per batted ball basis). Lastly, to check how well expected batted ball outcomes matched real-world ones, we will compute percentile ratings for the avoidance of hits (AVG) and isolated power (ISO, or simply extra bases) on batted balls (recognizing full well that these two parameters are neither fielding- nor ballpark-independent outcomes).

A percentile rating of 97 amounts to plus-plus (two standard deviations above the mean), 84 is plus (one standard deviation above the mean), 69 is half plus, 50 is average, 31 is half minus, 16 is minus, and three is minus-minus.

 

2023 American League Cy Young Finalists

Let's begin with a look back at the six American League FaBIO campaigns of 2023 winner Cole.

Ironically, Cole's 2023 and lone Cy-Young-winning campaign rates fundamentally as the worst of his six AL seasons. Versus 2021 and 2022, Cole lost 1.4 standard deviations of K Rating relative to league peers while roughly matching the better of the two Batted Ball Profile Ratings (the half plus one).

Cole's unanimous selection was mostly fueled by overachievement on batted ball outcomes relative to the underlying batted ball fundamentals. A starter with his 2023 pair of IFFB and LD Avoid Ratings would ordinarily avoid hits (AVG) on batted balls circa the 40th percentile, yet here he is shown to be in the 92nd percentile (1.7 standard deviations above expectation).

Biasing the 2023 OFFB contact later (74 Pull OFFB Avoid >> 42 OFFB Avoid) would logically explain fewer extra bases per batted ball, yet his 93 ISO Avoid should be more in the 42 to 74 window of the two OFFB Avoids.

Even before Cole's elbow barked in early March 2024, it set up to be a semi-trap of a season for him (Yankees diehards, fantasy owners, etc.) in that repeating such extreme overperformance at avoiding hits and extra bases (that home right-center to right field corner fence is so close) would be highly improbable without substantial positive changes in the underlying batted ball profile fundamentals. And given how successful he had been in 2023, what motivation would he have to pursue a better batted ball profile?

Kevin Gausman - Toronto Blue Jays

Gausman has rated subpar at avoiding line drives and hits (AVG) as an offshoot on batted balls in just about every MLB season. It's a bug owed to a vertically-biased fastball-and-split-finger-heavy arsenal and approach but practically the only blemish that appears prominently in any season.

The pathology can be categorized as "singles disease" and the relative advantage of it being the lone defect in a pitcher's fundamentals portfolio is that at least two batted ball events and often three would be required to produce a single run. In contrast to fellow 2023 finalists, Gausman avoided hits (AVG) about as expected and underachieved somewhat at avoiding extra bases (ISO).

Per these four rows, Gausman projects to be relatively better, albeit still short on LD Avoid, batted ball profiler when he isn't overfilling the strike zone as he did in that 2022 97 CTL season (he seems to understand this per comments made to media). In skewing heavier on K and Oppo-Handed Batters outcomes, Gausman's typical FaBIO line is about what one would expect for a quite successful splitter-reliant pitcher.

Sonny Gray - St. Louis Cardinals

Now, let's get really wild and digest all 11 MLB seasons of Gray, who signed an offseason free-agent deal with the Cardinals in the National League.

Impressively, Gray rated plus or better at Batted Ball Profile in his first five MLB seasons, and six of the first seven around mostly average to half plus K Ratings.

But over the four MLB seasons since the Gray FaBIO profile, he has leaned more toward strikeouts with K Ratings in the half to full plus range and Batted Ball Profile Ratings between average and half plus. Over the last two campaigns, Gray has clearly been better at avoiding OFFB, Pull OFFB, and ISO on batted balls than he has at avoiding LD and AVG, making extra bases far harder to come by than hits in general.

Gray's 2023 Cy Young finalist finish was boosted by avoiding hits on batted balls (66 AVG Avoid) much better than a 22 LD Avoider typically does along with a half standard deviation of overachievement at avoiding extra bases on them (98 ISO Avoid > 91 OFFB Avoid and 90 Pull OFFB Avoid).

Taking the last three seasons into consideration and weighing more recent ones heavier, here is how FaBIO projects the fundamentals of the trio for 2024.

Among, say, 100 MLB pitchers who would log 500 or more batters faced in 2024, Cole projects to be seventh best at expected run avoidance, Gausman at eighth best, and Gray at 34th best. I will comfortably walk out on a limb and guess that Cole is being valued several spots higher than that in your full redraft league and that the valuation gap between Cole and Gausman is wider than one to two.

Cole and Gausman essentially have the same FaBIO projection save that Gausman's vulnerability to LD is forecast to continue and have adverse AVG consequences (if Gausman ever had that elusive up year at LD and AVG Avoids, he would probably win a Cy Young).

As always, consider how what you see in the table would factor into the points structure format of your fantasy league. Dynasty owners should imagine what this short-term forecast might portend for 2024 and later seasons. Gray is unlikely to rate much better than this 2024 projection in what remains of his MLB career. If one or more fantasy owners in your league presently value him as a top-three league starter, encourage it; or else, trade him to them immediately.

 

2022 American League Cy Young Finalists

Justin Verlander - Houston Astros

For much of his MLB career, 2022 AL Cy Young winner Justin Verlander worked as an extreme fly baller who avoided the combination of walks and line drives well enough to limit the runs consequences of the extra bases trauma that sprang from such an aerial-extreme outcomes portfolio.

Houston's quirky ballpark having such close corner fences to left and right fields gradually tempered the outfield "fly balliness"(tread cautiously with extreme fly baller Josh Hader ahead), and his 2022 return from Tommy John would result in what figures to wind up a career outlier of a dominant all-around season boosted by an aberrantly diverse and strong batted ball profile.

Even after showing poor fundamentals in the 2022 postseason, broader declines in fundamentals of the extent seen in 2023 were wholly unexpected even recognizing that what he posted in 2022 would be practically impossible to replicate. Verlander's career looked over once, if not twice, toward the mid-2017 end of his Tigers tenure, but now we are studying the FaBIO line of a zero Youth Rating-ed starter whose zero grows a little more zero annually.

Dylan Cease - San Diego Padres

The 2022 Cy Young candidacy of K specialist Dylan Cease was especially fueled by a mix of what was a far too high LD Avoid (93) per the rest of the Path to Batted Ball Profile elements and an ISO Avoid (75) that was far too high for the combo of OFFB Avoid (15) and Pull OFFB Avoid (seven).

When LD Avoid flipped almost fully in the reverse direction to 11 during 2023, it helped sink Cease from a roughly plus Overall 2021 and 2022 AL SP to a league-average one who was essentially a RHB strikeout via slider specialist and one who had lost a full standard deviation of K versus 2021 and 2022. It is the general lack of dimensionality beyond strikeouts in Cease's three most recent season lines that now bars him from ranking among the game's best 20 or even 30 starting pitchers.

Alek Manoah - Toronto Blue Jays

Alek Manoah set the bar for the remainder of his career entirely too high in overachieving on batted ball outcomes to the degree he did in each of his first two MLB seasons. In twice posting AVG & ISO Avoids entirely within an 86 to 96 window despite Batted Ball Profile Ratings of 58 and 60, the regression monster was surely coming for Manoah in 2023, but that was hardly the only problem in a minus minus (2 Overall) season.

Manoah has under three years of MLB service time under his belt, and as such, he will be optionable to the minors for at least the next three seasons. That is precisely what I believe would have happened had he not come up lame in spring training. Now, look for the Jays to put him on the IL and later send him out on a rehab assignment before deciding on whether to activate or option him when the time deadline for the assignment is reached.

Manoah, either then or soon after, probably finds himself in the boat of having to post some variety of pitching fundamentals in the minors that are of a high enough caliber to suggest he could hold his own against MLB lineups over several starts. Other than that, he's no more than a spot starter call-up when the need presents. The postseason-relevant 2024 MLB Blue Jays cannot afford to allocate 400 batters faced to a starter posting 2nd percentile fundamentals as Manoah did in 2023 (or even 12th if not also 22nd percentile fundamentals, for that matter).

Turning the page to 2024 projections, FaBIO hasn't fully forgotten Verlander's astounding 2022 regular season but might he only have 100 or so innings left in his MLB career? Between how down versus past standards the 2023 NL+AL campaign was and a spring shoulder setback that will delay his regular-season debut, the Astros should be very satisfied if Verlander hits the forecast below inclusive of batters faced.

Barring injury, Cease is surer to deliver strikeouts value in fantasy. By the end of 2024, his new employer Padres would ideally have rehabbed Cease back into a starter who could realistically operate in the range of a middle-road SP2 to fringe SP1 by 2025 league standards, as opposed to the middle-SP2 to the middle-SP3 range that FaBIO has him pegged for in 2024.

For that to materialize, some movement must be added to the fastball arsenal to improve LD Avoid and IFFB outcomes. Getting more averse to Pull-Third OFFB via pitch location would also increase that probability (a high-velocity fastballer like him should not better avoid OFFB than Pull-Third OFFB). Cease's opposite-handed batters' outcomes especially need improvement.

Coupling a disaster of a 2023 season and very volatile temperament, the Blue Jays (and their rooters) should be thrilled if Manoah proves capable of delivering half minus (a 31 Overall SP4) to roughly league-average (a 50 Overall SP3) fundamentals in volume over the next few seasons.

He was just never likely to emerge as a viable Cy Young candidate again between the extent he had overachieved on batted balls in 2021 and 2022 and what the control and strikeout fundamentals were then. Dynasty fantasy owners shouldn't be overly hesitant to release him, or at least so until he demonstrates pitching fundamentals somewhere that merit roster spot retention.

 

Conclusion

Be wary of selecting prior season Cy Young finalists in redraft leagues. It is quite likely that their candidacy was boosted relative to peers by some measure of unsustainably favorable batted ball outcomes. Do your homework on batted ball outcomes and examine how well they mirror that season's batted ball profile.

Also, examine the extent to which that season's batted ball profile agrees with those that preceded it and consider whether one or more overly favorable components are repeatable ahead.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Alex Bowman2 mins ago

Rallies Through The Field To Finish Eighth At Iowa
William Byron9 mins ago

Exceeds Value In DFS At Iowa
Mookie Betts36 mins ago

Shohei Ohtani Could Move To Leadoff Spot After Mookie Betts’ Injury
Jesús Luzardo50 mins ago

Jesus Luzardo Pitched Through Back Stiffness In Sunday’s Outing
Brandon Aiyuk1 hour ago

49ers Don't Want Brandon Aiyuk Back?
Tatsuro Taira2 hours ago

Remains Undefeated
Alex Perez2 hours ago

Unable To Continue After Suffering A Knee Injury
Garrett Armfield2 hours ago

Submitted At UFC Vegas 93
Brady Hiestand2 hours ago

Gets Third-Round Submission Win
Willson Contreras2 hours ago

Could Return Next Monday
Jose Johnson2 hours ago

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 93
MMA3 hours ago

Asu Almbayev Extends Win Streak
William Contreras3 hours ago

Evaluated For Concussion
Kyle Tucker3 hours ago

Could Need A Rehab Assignment
Jordan Hicks3 hours ago

Will Start On Monday
Hurston Waldrep3 hours ago

Braves Put Hurston Waldrep On 15-Day Injured List
NBA6 hours ago

Monty Williams Set To Remain With Pistons
Collin Sexton6 hours ago

Could Be On The Move Again
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6 hours ago

Nuggets "Concerned" Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Will Decline His Player Option
Harrison Barnes6 hours ago

Kevin Huerter And Harrison Barnes Expected To Be Available On Trade Market
NBA6 hours ago

Mario Hezonja Linked With Return To NBA
Andre Drummond6 hours ago

Reportedly Looking For New Team
Logan Gilbert14 hours ago

Nearly Untouchable Against Rangers
David Hamilton14 hours ago

Swipes Four Bags On Sunday
Elly De La Cruz14 hours ago

Homers, Swipes Base On Sunday
Carlos Correa14 hours ago

Continues Torrid Pace On Sunday
Royce Lewis15 hours ago

Homers Twice Across Doubleheader
Ronel Blanco17 hours ago

Looks Untouchable On Sunday
Jonas Valanciunas17 hours ago

Pelicans Likely To "Move On" From Jonas Valanciunas
Jarrett Allen18 hours ago

Pelicans Reportedly Interested In Jarrett Allen
Max Scherzer18 hours ago

Should Rejoin Rotation Soon
Pittsburgh Steelers19 hours ago

Cameron Heyward Wants To Retire A Pittsburgh Steeler
Luka Doncic20 hours ago

Expected To Play On Monday Night
Yoshinobu Yamamoto20 hours ago

Likely To Miss Multiple Weeks
Kristaps Porzingis20 hours ago

Questionable For Game 5
Mookie Betts20 hours ago

Fractures Hand On Sunday
Yoshinobu Yamamoto23 hours ago

Placed On The 15-Day Injured List
Josh Quinlan1 day ago

Losing Streak Hits Three At UFC Vegas 93
Adam Fugitt1 day ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC Vegas 93
Willson Contreras1 day ago

To Begin Rehab Assignment On Tuesday
Timmy Cuamba1 day ago

Still Winless In The UFC
Lucas Almeida1 day ago

Pulls Off Upset At UFC Vegas 93
Douglas Silva de Andrade1 day ago

Falls Short At UFC Vegas 93
Miles Johns1 day ago

Picks Up Decision Win At UFC Vegas 93
Josh Jung1 day ago

Starting Rehab Assignment On Sunday
Oneil Cruz1 day ago

Returns To Starting Lineup
Justin Verlander1 day ago

Plays Catch, Could Return Later This Week
Daniel Suarez1 day ago

Why You Should Fade Daniel Suarez In DFS This Weekend At Iowa
Corey Lajoie1 day ago

Should You Roster Corey Lajoie In DFS This Weekend?
Carson Hocevar1 day ago

Will Start 20th At Iowa Speedway
NASCAR1 day ago

Bubba Wallace Will Start 16th At Iowa Speedway
Michael McDowell1 day ago

Might Have A Positive Result At Iowa
Joey Logano1 day ago

Could Joey Logano Be A Sneaky Tournament Play At Iowa?
Justin Haley1 day ago

Consider Justin Haley A Great Value Pick For Iowa?
Ty Gibbs1 day ago

Is One Of The Top DFS Picks To Consider At Iowa
Ricky Stenhouse Jr1 day ago

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. A Value Play In DFS At Iowa?
William Byron1 day ago

Should Fantasy Managers Roster William Byron At Iowa?
Kyle Busch1 day ago

Is Kyle Busch Worth Rostering At Iowa This Week?
Noah Gragson1 day ago

What Should You Do With Noah Gragson In DFS This Weekend At Iowa?
Alex Bowman1 day ago

Is One Of The Top DFS Plays For Iowa
Chris Buescher1 day ago

Despite Disappointing Practice, Chris Buescher Still A Viable DFS Play At Iowa
Ryan Blaney1 day ago

The Case For Ryan Blaney At Iowa Speedway
Kyle Larson1 day ago

the Favorite to Win at Iowa
Tyler Reddick1 day ago

a Strong DFS Play at Iowa
Martin Truex Jr1 day ago

Has Massive Place Differential Upside at Iowa
Chase Elliott1 day ago

Could Contend for the Iowa Win
Dak Prescott2 days ago

May Command More In Contract Talks
NFL2 days ago

Stephon Gilmore Not In A Rush To Sign A Deal
Isaiah Hartenstein2 days ago

Drawing Interest From Several Teams
Jarace Walker2 days ago

Could Be On The Move
Jalen Smith2 days ago

"Early Belief" Jalen Smith Will Decline Player Option
Tee Higgins2 days ago

Signs His Franchise Tender
Jaylen Brown3 days ago

Has A Rough Night On Friday
Jayson Tatum3 days ago

Quiet In Game 4
Luka Doncic3 days ago

Leads Mavs To A Much-Needed Win
Kristaps Porzingis3 days ago

Available For Game 4
Mikal Bridges3 days ago

Nets Still Not Interested In Trading Mikal Bridges
Tyrese Haliburton3 days ago

Making Progress With Recovery
Jarrett Stidham3 days ago

Has The Advantage Over Bo Nix
Tim Patrick3 days ago

Looking Healthy This Offseason
Jayden Daniels3 days ago

Commanders Sign Jayden Daniels To Rookie Deal
Tatsuro Taira3 days ago

Looks To Win 16th Fight In A Row
Alex Perez3 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 93
Brady Hiestand3 days ago

Looking To Extend His Win Streak
Garrett Armfield3 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 93
Jose Johnson3 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA3 days ago

Asu Almbayev Looks To Win His Third UFC Fight In A Row
Breece Hall3 days ago

Jets Being Cautious With Breece Hall
Atlanta Hawks3 days ago

Hawks Potentially Eyeing Donovan Clingan In NBA Draft
Los Angeles Clippers3 days ago

Clippers Targeting Jeff Van Gundy For Assistant Coach
Leon Draisaitl3 days ago

On First Three-Game Scoring Drought Since March 2020
Connor McDavid3 days ago

Finishes Game 3 Loss With Two Assists
Sam Bennett3 days ago

Extends Point Streak To Six Games
Vladimir Tarasenko3 days ago

Nets Fourth Postseason Goal
Sam Reinhart3 days ago

Ends Goal Drought During Multi-Point Effort
Aleksander Barkov3 days ago

Establishes New Panthers Record With Eighth Multi-Point Outing
Darius Slayton4 days ago

Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Cleveland Browns4 days ago

Myles Garrett Tweaks His Hamstring In Minicamp
Amari Cooper4 days ago

Holds Out Of Final Day Of Minicamp
Trevor Lawrence4 days ago

Jaguars, Trevor Lawrence Agree On Five-Year, $275 Million Extension
Alvin Kamara4 days ago

Skips Practice For Contract-Related Reasons
Courtland Sutton4 days ago

Hints At Training Camp Holdout
Gus Edwards4 days ago

"Likely" To Be Back For Training Camp
SJ4 days ago

Sharks Appoint Ryan Warsofsky As Head Coach
Jalen Chatfield4 days ago

Agrees To Three-Year Extension With Hurricanes
Kaapo Kakko4 days ago

Signs One-Year Extension With Rangers
Patrik Laine4 days ago

Poised To Move On From Columbus
Evan Rodrigues4 days ago

Promoted To First Line Thursday
Aleksander Barkov4 days ago

Will Play In Game 3 Versus Oilers
Juwan Johnson4 days ago

To Undergo Foot Surgery
Atlanta Falcons4 days ago

Falcons Lose 2025 Fifth-Round Pick Following Tampering Investigation
Josh Quinlan4 days ago

On Two-Fight Losing Streak
Adam Fugitt4 days ago

Could Be Fighting For His Job At UFC Vegas 93
Douglas Silva de Andrade4 days ago

Searching For 30th Career Win At UFC Vegas 93
Sam Darnold5 days ago

Considered The Starter At The Moment
Jaxon Smith-Njigba5 days ago

Injured In Practice Wednesday
Courtland Sutton5 days ago

Had Offseason Ankle Surgery
Laurent Brossoit5 days ago

Maple Leafs Have "Mutual Interest"
Jaccob Slavin5 days ago

Working On Long-Term Extension With Hurricanes
Corey Perry5 days ago

Set To Re-Enter Oilers Lineup On Thursday
Evander Kane5 days ago

Uncertain For Thursday's Game 3
Darnell Nurse5 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 3
Aleksander Barkov5 days ago

Practices On Wednesday, Will Travel To Edmonton
Keegan Bradley5 days ago

A Sleeper Pick At U.S. Open
Rickie Fowler5 days ago

Tough To Trust At U.S. Open
Tom Kim5 days ago

Striking The Ball Well Heading To Pinehurst
Sahith Theegala5 days ago

A Major Wild Card At Pinehurst
Tony Finau5 days ago

Seeking First Major Victory At U.S. Open
Cameron Smith5 days ago

The Best LIV Bet For U.S. Open
Ludvig Aberg5 days ago

Trust Ludvig Aberg At Pinehurst
Xander Schauffele5 days ago

A Top-10 Lock At U.S. Open
Dean Burmester6 days ago

A Risky Play At U.S. Open
Jon Rahm6 days ago

Withdraws From U.S. Open
PGA6 days ago

Alex Noren Brings Improved Short Game To Pinehurst
Dustin Johnson6 days ago

Can Dustin Johnson Put A Rough Spring Behind Him?
Jordan Spieth6 days ago

Fighting Poor Form Heading To U.S. Open
Tommy Fleetwood6 days ago

Makes Pinehurst No. 2 Debut
Bryson DeChambeau6 days ago

Looks To Continue Major Success
Russell Henley6 days ago

In Top Form Heading To U.S. Open
PGA6 days ago

Byeong Hun An Could Contend At U.S. Open
Jason Day6 days ago

In Excellent Form Heading To U.S. Open
Tyrrell Hatton6 days ago

Back For Another U.S. Open
Will Zalatoris6 days ago

Finding Consistency Heading To U.S. Open
Wyndham Clark6 days ago

Trending In The Wrong Direction For U.S. Open
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Ladd McConkey vs. Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Who Should I Draft in 2024 Fantasy Football?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Ladd McConkey are young wide receivers with unlimited upside. With Smith-Njigba playing in his second season and McConkey about to get his first taste of NFL action, they should have a long way to go in building successful pro football careers. Luckily, some great offensive minds can help them succeed. Smith-Njigba will... Read More


James Cook - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Players To Fade for Fantasy Football Best Ball Drafts Include Josh Jacobs, James Cook, Chris Olave, David Njoku, more

Fantasy football best ball drafts and contests continue to grow and grow each year. The number of tournaments and strategies deployed surrounding the format is exploding, which means we must stay sharp! Social media is filled with best ball builds and screenshots of different approaches. It's everywhere! But before you can win these leagues, you... Read More


Drake London - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Targets and Fades - FFPC Main Event Contest

Even though the calendar still shows it's the first half of June, fantasy football drafts are back in full swing in many best ball leagues, tournaments, and high-stakes contests. These early drafts can help all fantasy football managers get a feel for how the market perceives players and where they will end up in drafts... Read More


Geno Smith - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Fantasy Football Preview - Seattle Seahawks Edition

This new 32-part series will dissect each NFL team through a fantasy football lens. We'll look at each of the four primary positions—quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end—and identify each player's value at their current ADP. Through this series, we'll also recognize players fantasy managers should avoid and target at their current ADP.... Read More


Ricky Pearsall - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Five Fantasy Football Rookies That Will Fail To Make An Instant Impact In 2024

In recent years, we have seen more rookies than ever before provide immediate fantasy football results. Just last year, we watched Puka Nacua and C.J. Stroud have impressive debut seasons. However, not every rookie can make an immediate impact. Whether it’s due to circumstances or lack of experience, there are times when first-year players disappoint.... Read More


UFL RANKINGS, FANTASY FOOTBALL,

Free UFL Betting Picks - Best Bets, Odds, Predictions for the UFL Championship

Sadly and sweetly, we have reached the conclusory game of the 2024 UFL season. I am already yearning for the start of the 2025 season and eager to follow along as the draft happens, the rosters change, and 2024 stars get their NFL opportunities. There is plenty to reflect on: the great attendance numbers for... Read More


Sneaky QB1 Candidates? 2024 Fantasy Football Quarterback Sleepers

The NFL season is right around the corner, which means that fantasy football drafts will soon take place. Drafting your fantasy team is one of the most exciting times for managers. But it also is one of the most stressful times, especially when making certain decisions like when is the best time to draft a... Read More


Isiah Pacheco - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Running Backs

League Winners for Fantasy Football Best Ball: Draft Targets Include Isiah Pacheco, Jameson Williams, Christian Watson, Mark Andrews, more

Fantasy football best ball drafts continue to build momentum as an entertaining way to play fantasy football. As the hype around drafting teams grows throughout the preseason, the appetite for more BB contests continues to grow without putting more in-season management on drafters' plates. Best ball is a format where you draft a team and... Read More


Jaylen Waddle - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Dynasty Fantasy Football - 2023 Fantasy Football Busts To Buy In 2024

When a player busts, confidence begins to drain. However, separating facts from feelings is easier when they are not on your team to begin with.  Some preseason-hyped players were total busts in 2023. Many fantasy football managers will avoid these players in 2024 drafts, but should they? Taking advantage while their perception is down, or... Read More


Demario Douglas - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Cheap Dynasty Fantasy Football Buys With Upside in 2024 - Fantasy Football Outlook

Let’s be honest. When it comes to dynasty fantasy football, the ultimate goal is to win championships. Drafting rookies and playing scout is fun, but the only thing people remember is who wins titles. One of the most integral parts of playing dynasty fantasy football is recognizing marketplace inefficiencies and acting on them accordingly. Player... Read More


DraftKings Best Ball 2024 Fantasy Football Rankings and Tiers (Top 350)

Hello and welcome to RotoBaller's DraftKings Best Ball Fantasy Football Rankings for 2024 Best Ball leagues on DraftKings. A reminder that on the DraftKings Fantasy platform, NFL best ball leagues only have four potential positions -- Quarterback (QB), Running Back (RB), Wide Receiver (WR), and Tight End (TE). You will see these four positions in... Read More


Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Tony Pollard, Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Outlook for Tennessee Titans RBs in 2024

The Tennessee Titans backfield underwent significant changes this offseason. Longtime starter Derrick Henry left for the Baltimore Ravens in free agency. Tennessee’s offense has been centered around Henry for years, and this rushing attack will have a very different look in 2024. While Henry is gone, second-year back Tyjae Spears remains in the fold. The... Read More


Running Back Sleepers and Undervalued Picks for 2024 Fantasy Football

The word "sleeper" is tossed around often in the fantasy football community. So much so that players sometimes lose the sleeper label by the time many leagues conduct their drafts. Fantasy managers are always looking for the next sleeper running back in drafts, especially those who opt to dive headfirst into a "Zero RB" draft... Read More