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Welcome back to our late slate Week 11 DFS picks article here at RotoBaller! In this piece, I will examine my top daily fantasy football lineup plays for the late slate in Week 11 of the NFL season.
In Week 11, we have three games on the NFL DFS late slate on DraftKings and FanDuel -- Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers, Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos, and Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills.
The NFL DFS lineup picks and recommendations are based on matchups, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, salary, and factors such as home-field advantage, implied point totals, and more. Good luck with your DraftKings and FanDuel DFS lineups. Let's dominate this late slate together!
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Quarterbacks - Late Slate Week 11 DFS Picks
Top Play: Josh Allen- KC vs. BUF (DK: $7,800 / FD: $8,800)
The top option on the slate is coming off another stellar outing, in which he tallied over 300+ scrimmage yards with a rushing score. Over his past five games, Josh Allen has averaged an impressive 25.0 PPR points per game with 267.2 passing yards, 20.2 rushing yards per game, and 11 total scores.
Josh Allen is not human
pic.twitter.com/qFD6V4dKNW— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) November 10, 2024
This weekend, he will face the Kansas City Chiefs, who have allowed the 13th-most PPR points to opposing QBs this season. He will be the chalk play, but given his elite scoring upside, he is worth the hefty salary.
Contrarian Play: Bo Nix - ATL vs. DEN (DK: $6,200 / FD: $7,400)
If you are looking to save some salary at the quarterback position, take a flier on Bo Nix. The rookie performed very well against the tough Kansas City defense last week, going 22-of-30 with 215 passing yards and two scores. Since Week 6, Nix has scored at least 20+ PPR points on three occasions.
This weekend, he has a very valuable matchup against the Atlanta Falcons, who have allowed the eighth-most PPR points to opposing quarterbacks.
Running Backs - Late Slate Week 11 DFS Picks
Top Play: Christian McCaffrey- SEA vs. SF (DK: $8,300 / FD: $9,800)
Christian McCaffrey totaled over 100+ scrimmage yards in his 2024 debut last week and was deployed heavily in the passing game, bringing in six of his seven targets for 68 yards. Despite not finding the back of the end zone, McCaffrey still scored over 15.0 PPR points, given his lead role in the offense.
Fantasy managers should expect McCaffrey to continue to improve his efficiency as the season progresses. Totaling only 39 yards on 13 rushing attempts last weekend should be considered a rare output. Expect him to return to his elite efficiency and carry a high-scoring upside facing the Seattle Seahawks.
Top Play: Kenneth Walker III- SEA vs. SF (DK: $7,000 / FD: $7,800)
My other top option out of the backfield is Kenneth Walker III. During Weeks 4 through 9, the Michigan State product averaged an excellent 19.1 PPR points per game with 49.2 rushing and 35.2 receiving yards per game during this stretch.
Ludicrous stuff from Kenneth Walker pic.twitter.com/illMZLC4AP
— FantasyPros (@FantasyPros) October 1, 2024
Facing a San Francisco defense that has been susceptible to the run this season, allowing the 10th-most PPR points to opposing RBs, sets Walker up for a productive afternoon.
Contrarian Play: Audric Estime- ATL vs. DEN (DK: $4,500 / FD: $5,400)
My contrarian option comes with a lot of risk. Last weekend, the rookie running back saw a season-high 14 attempts and was productive, tallying 53 yards. This was surprising, as presumed No. 1 option Javonte Williams saw just one attempt, and Jaleel McLaughlin logged only two.
While the Broncos could revert to a committee approach this weekend, seeing Estime emerge as the leader (as of now) is a great sign. Even though he is facing a tough Atlanta rushing defense that has allowed the 11th-fewest PPR points to opposing RBs, Estime could be a volume play with a cheap salary.
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Wide Receivers - Late Slate Week 11 DFS Picks
Top Play: DK Metcalf- SEA vs. SF (DK: $6,500 / FD: $8,000)
The top wideout in Seattle has been sidelined over the past two weeks with a knee injury but is expected to be ready to face the 49ers on Sunday. Before his injury, Metcalf averaged 15.7 PPR points per game with 81.1 yards per game.
However, his underlying metrics suggest he could be in store for a big second half. Metcalf saw an impressive 119.9 air yards per game and 34.9% of the team’s air yards, which are both among the highest marks among wideouts. In addition, Metcalf saw a strong 13.5 aDOT.
The 49ers have defended the pass well (ninth-lowest PPR points allowed), but he could finish near the top of the slate on just a few opportunities, given his big-play ability.
Top Play: Deebo Samuel Sr. - SEA vs. SF (DK: $6,800 / FD: $8,200)
My other top wideout is Deebo Samuel of the San Francisco 49ers. Samuel has also been hindered by injuries this season but has performed well when he has been on the field. Last weekend, Samuel brought in five of his six targets for 62 yards and added 14 yards on the ground.
Deebo Samuel reached a top speed of 20.90 mph on his 76-yard TD reception, his fastest speed since Week 14, 2019 and his 3rd time reaching 20+ mph this season (tied for 3rd-most in the NFL).
🔹 Yards After Catch: 54
🔹 YAC Over Expected: +43Watch Now: https://t.co/cV6Nl8mVSR pic.twitter.com/MKvlLf3fim
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) October 11, 2024
Samuel scored at least 18.0+ PPR points in three of his first five games this season before he began to miss time. Facing the Seahawks, who have allowed the 10th-most PPR points to opposing wideouts, sets Samuel up for a big game. The last time he faced them, he scored 20.7 PPR points and had over 100+ scrimmage yards.
Contrarian Play: Jauan Jennings- SEA vs. SF (DK: $5,300 / FD: $6,200)
If you want to save some salary, look at the wideout opposite of Samuel, Jauan Jennings. Jennings saw a team-high 11 targets last weekend and paced all San Francisco pass-catchers with 93 yards on seven receptions.
Without Brandon Aiyuk (knee), Jennings has fully claimed the No. 2 WR role and has performed well when given ample opportunities this season. In a potentially high-scoring affair against the Seahawks, Jennings could be set up for a productive showing.
Contrarian Play: Mack Hollins- KC vs. BUF (DK: $3,800 / FD: $5,600)
With both Keon Coleman (wrist) and Amari Cooper (wrist) sidelined, Mack Hollins saw an increase in his workload last weekend. He brought in all four of his targets for 84 yards, his second straight game scoring double-digit PPR points.
With Coleman already ruled out for this Sunday, Hollins could continue to see a starting role. Given his cheap cost and recent production, he could be worth a flier if you want to target top options at other positions.
Tight Ends - Late Slate Week 11 DFS Picks
Top Play: Travis Kelce- KC vs. BUF (DK: $6,300 / FD: $7,400)
This slate features two top tight ends, George Kittle and Travis Kelce. Both are elite options, but I would lean toward the slightly cheaper Kelce option.
Over his past three games, Kelce has seen double-digit targets in each and averaged an impressive 23.1 PPR points in each contest. Even though the Bills have limited opposing tight-end production, Kelce remains one of the safest options on the slate with immense upside.
Contrarian Play: Kyle Pitts - ATL vs. DEN (DK: $4,800 / FD: $5,500)
My contrarian option involves some risk in Kyle Pitts. During Weeks 5 through 8, Pitts averaged 16.1 PPR points per game but has failed to hit double digits in his past two contests.
However, with the Broncos allowing the 14th-most points to opposing tight ends, Pitts could be in store for a nice bounce-back showing.
Defense/Special Teams - Late Slate Week 11 DFS Picks
Top Play: Denver Broncos - ATL vs. DEN (DK: $2,900 / FD: $4,500)
The Denver Broncos have been one of the most reliable defensive units in fantasy this season. Even though they face a tough Atlanta offense, they should provide a solid floor as they have averaged 9.0 FPPG on FanDuel.
Contrarian Play: Atlanta Falcons - ATL vs. DEN (DK: $2,700 / FD: $3,800)
My budget option is the opposing unit in this matchup. Even though rookie Bo Nix has begun to find his footing, he has been sacked six times in his past two games and has thrown two interceptions over his past five contests.
If the Falcons can generate pressure on the rookie, he could struggle in this contest.
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