Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Five Redraft Studs Who Will be Dynasty Duds


For those who have played in a dynasty league, the fundamental difference is that every player and every move needs to be viewed through a long-term lens, whereas in redraft we only care what the players will be doing for the current season. Sometimes this change in viewpoint doesn't change player value much, but sometimes it makes a huge difference. Let's take a look at some players who should be redraft studs this season, but who may not have many useful seasons left, making them dynasty duds. For argument's sake, all ADP references are from 12-team PPR leagues on Fantasy Football Calculator.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including Draft Kit + DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through October. Premium DFS lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more - seven days a week. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

 

Tom Brady, New England Patriots

While Brady is currently serving a four-game suspension, he is expected to be rather angry and ready to stomp out all competitors who stand in his way upon his return in Week 5. The Patriots offense is a proven gold mine for fantasy production and should be just as strong this season after adding Martellus Bennett to the fold. While Brady has a good chance at finishing as a QB1, even if he misses 25% of his games this year, his stock takes a huge hit in future seasons. With Brady entering his age 39 season, it's doubtful whether he has many good years left. Peyton Manning showed us last season that when a quarterback loses it, it goes in a hurry. From a dynasty outlook, Brady is fine as your starting quarterback in 2016, but it would be wise to seek out replacement options in the future, especially if your team is in a rebuilding mode.

 

Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings

This one is a bit of a no-brainer, but Peterson is entering his age 31 season. The veteran back is already cheating Father Time as most running backs fall off a cliff once they hit 30. Following a 2015 season which saw him notch yet another 300-touch season, a question about just how much longer he will be able to perform at a high level has to be raised. In redraft formats, expect Peterson to push to be the top scoring running back this season as the Vikings can be expected to feed him the ball, especially with Teddy Bridgewater lost for the season. The problem from a dynasty perspective, of course, is just how much gas can possibly be left in the tank at this point in his career. With Jerick McKinnon waiting in the wings, it may be time for the Peterson owner in dynasty leagues to see what another owner would be willing to give for him.

 

Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs

Charles will attempt to come back from a season-ending ACL injury which he suffered in October of 2015. With reports that Charles may not be ready for the start of the season, he has turned into a high-risk/high-reward player in redraft formats. With all that being said, one thing we do know about Charles is that he is one of the top running backs in his generation and that Andy Reid will feature him almost exclusively when he's healthy. In redraft leagues, fantasy owners will have to have faith that Charles will be fully recovered sooner than later and will resemble the All-Pro running back that they've come to know and love. From a dynasty perspective, Charles is one of the worst investments a dynasty player can make unless they are in win-now mode. Charles may have one or two good years left in the tank, but at age 29 with a handful of ACL injuries in his rear view mirror, someone else can have him in dynasty formats as far as I'm concerned.

 

Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers

Nelson is in a similar situation as Charles as he's attempting to come back from a torn ACL in his left knee while in the latter stages of his career. Nelson is 31 now and has been experiencing soreness in his right knee during preseason. While there is some concern about Nelson's ability to return to pre-injury form, he has been remarkably consistent with Aaron Rodgers over his career and he can be expected to be Rodgers' top target this season. From a dynasty standpoint, it's hard to view Nelson as a long-term asset, regardless of how good he has a chance at being in 2016. Similar to Charles, let someone else in your dynasty league worry about him.

 

Brandon Marshall, New York Jets

Marshall likely has one or two more elite seasons left, but the star wideout is getting up there in age at 32 and has been dealing with hip issues over the past few seasons. Time has proven again and again that big-bodied receivers such as Marshall tend to lose it in a hurry when they start to slip. While he has a nice shot at putting up another WR1 season while catching passes from Ryan Fitzpatrick, this could be the last time we see Marshall do so. He's definitely a fade in dynasty startups and his owners should be looking to cash him in for something before his value plummets unless in win-now mode.

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

 

 




More Recent Articles

 

Updated Week 7 PPR Rankings (Top 300)

Welcome to Week 7 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 7 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: Josh Gordon has officially been ruled out for Week 7. Todd Gurley was not on the final injury report and is expected to play. David Johnson (ankle)... Read More


Wide Receiver Matchups To Target in Week 7

In Week 6, Julio Jones didn't score, but he came through with a decent fantasy day, going over 100-yards receiving. Brandin Cooks brutal Week 6 showing was a little bit of a surprise given his 2018 track record against the 49ers, but the Rams offensive line was overwhelmed which led to a rough day for... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 7

Welcome to our Week 7 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Week 7 Start/Sit: Monday Night Football Matchups Analysis

Even if this doesn’t turn out to be great MNF game, at least it's a divisional game with some importance. This is what Jets fans need to tell themselves heading into their second Monday Night Football game of the season. With the New England Patriots coming to town off their annual semi-bye in which they... Read More


The King's Key Starters and Tough Calls - Lineup Spotlights for Week 7

Welcome to Week 7, RotoBallers! Below you will find some of my spotlight plays and tough lineup decisions for the upcoming week of the fantasy football season. These player selections are based off my Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller's NFL Premium Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for a... Read More


Fantasy Football Rookies to Watch - Darius Slayton, Jakobi Meyers, Josh Oliver

Week 7 is here RotoBallers, which means we're smack dab in the middle of the regular fantasy season! In case you are new to this column, each week we'll highlight a few first-year players who are worth keeping your eye on. Not all of the players listed below are must-starts, but all of them are... Read More


Fleaflicker's Most Added and Dropped: Week 7

Every year and in every sport, a few teams march effortlessly towards the ultimate prize as if it's been preordained. When seemingly invincible teams like these are beaten, it's not always by the quality of their opponent but instead by their own psychological mindset. They look past a lesser opponent and fall victim to the... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 7 Josh Gordon has officially been ruled out for Week 7. Todd Gurley was not on the final injury... Read More


Week 7 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Pass Rush vs QB Matchups to Watch - Week 7

It's Week 7 and the injuries just keep piling up. Heading into this week, six different teams will be starting quarterbacks that were not their opening-day starters, and that doesn't take into account teams like the Indianapolis Colts or Kansas City Chiefs, who just lost quarterback Patrick Mahomes (knee) for at least three weeks. To... Read More


Offensive Line Rankings Analysis: Week 7

In Week 6, we once again saw some great football, starting with the New England Patriots continuing their undefeated start to the season and ending with one of the most controversial games of the week as the Green Bay Packers overcame the Detroit Lions. The London games continued with Jameis Winston struggling once again, this... Read More


Is Stefon Diggs Really Back?

Weeks 1-5: 4.6 targets, 3.2 receptions, 50.6 yards per game, one touchdown. Week 6: 11 targets, eight receptions, 167 yards, three touchdowns. All of these numbers show a marked improvement on the season averages of Stefon Diggs in Minnesota. But, do they tell the whole story? Do they really signify that Diggs should be considered... Read More


Inside the Tent - Week 7 NFL Injury Insight

At RotoBaller, we can't stress enough the importance of keeping up with injuries and playing your best lineup week after week. Players are going to get injured, that's an unavoidable fact. What's avoidable though is making the wrong roster decisions based on the injuries surrounding your fantasy squad. If you want to dominate your leagues... Read More


Week 7 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Below are RotoBaller's Week 7 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 7 of the NFL and fantasy football season. In case you missed it, this is our seventh year now writing this weekly column. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver... Read More


Week 7 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that bye weeks are in full swing; streaming becomes a more viable and almost necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions throughout the season could easily be the difference in winning a championship. Each week, I... Read More