Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Football Picks (Week 11): NFL DFS Lineups


Anytime you lose both the Rams and the Chiefs from a slate you are set for a weird week. Throw in the Patriots on a bye and there are a lot of big names missing in Week 11. However, thankfully we still have the Chargers and the Saints on the slate. Interestingly this week the slate feels very top heavy at the running back position, with three of the most talented running backs also having three of the more favorable matchups. That has left a strange void which may see you needing to go for the expensive option at the running back position and then try and save salary elsewhere. However, fortunately, there are some interesting cheap plays at the other three positions, allowing you to load up at running back and still be able to afford one of the elite wide receivers. Below are my DraftKings DFS Lineup Picks for Week 11.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, performances so far, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great value plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 11.

Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups!

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 11 Picks

Drew Brees - NO vs. PHI (DK $6,500)

At this stage, it is virtually impossible to not consider Brees for your DraftKings lineup. The Saints appear on a charge to win Brees the MVP, so they continue throwing long after they have the game in hand. This week they are facing a defense who are surrendering 22.4 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks on the road. In addition, their secondary is depleted beyond belief and their defensive line should be somewhat negated by being on the road. In a game with an over/under set at around 55, I cannot see any situation where Brees does not put up great numbers again this week. However, this is a week where the running back landscape pushes you towards the more expensive end and therefore you may want to look to save money on the quarterback position.

Marcus Mariota - TEN @ IND (DK $5,500)

This game is extremely intriguing to me. The Titans offense appears to be waking up in the last couple of weeks, and Mariota has looked much more effective now that he is healthy. The Colts defense is giving up 17.1 fantasy points to quarterbacks at home this season, which is extremely close to being in the top-10 worst numbers in 2018. The Indianapolis defense is not bad but they are by no means scary. Their pass rush has struggled as the season has gone on and they are susceptible to the big play as we saw last week.

Dak Prescott - DAL @ ATL (DK $5,200)

This is my weekly pick against the Atlanta Falcons defense, who are surrendering 28.9 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks at home this season. That is the worst number of the season and it is not even as if they have just faced incredible quarterbacks every week. They surrendered three touchdowns and 337 yards to Andy Dalton and 399 yards to Eli Manning. Last week Baker Mayfield was at one point 12-for-12, and ended 17-for-20 with three touchdowns and an average of 10.8 yards per attempt. In the last three games, Dak has thrown for an average of 262 yards with four passing touchdowns. He has also added two rushing touchdowns and 53 rushing yards in those three games, making him a legitimate top-10 quarterback over that period.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 11 Picks

Saquon Barkley - NYG vs. TB (DK $8,700)

You could talk me into selecting any of the top three options this week but Barkley and Ezekiel Elliott ($8,500, @ ATL) come out on top of Melvin Gordon ($8.700 vs. DEN). The Buccaneers are surrendering 23.6 fantasy points per game on average to #1 running backs when playing on the road. Barkley does suffer a little from his seeming home run or bust mentality. However, he has now been held out of the end zone for the last two weeks so this feels like the week that he gets back on the scoreboard and potentially in a big way

David Johnson - ARI vs. OAK (DK $7,500)

Johnson is coming off his most productive game of the season, in which he averaged 4.67 yards per carry and added 85 receiving yards on seven catches and nine targets. This week he gets to go up against an Oakland Raiders team who are surrendering 15.5 fantasy points to opposing #1 running backs and 28.5 against the running back position overall. With little competition for touches in that backfield, Johnson should the opportunity to get over 20 fantasy points this week.

Doug Martin - OAK @ ARI (DK $4,500)

I wanted to suggest a couple of lower-priced options this week just in case you were not able to get both Johnson and Barkley in your lineup, or if you were set on starting Drew Brees. Martin carried the ball 15 times last week, gaining 51 yards and added another 31 yards receiving on three receptions. This week he faces an Arizona defense surrendering 17.6 fantasy points to opposing running backs at home, giving him a shot to have a solid week for you in Week 11.

Alex Collins - BAL vs. CIN (DK $4,400)

The Bengals are surrendering 19.6 fantasy points to #1 running backs and 31.9 points to the position on the whole when they play on the road in 2018. Collin's situation has been a little murky at times this season, which is the reason for the low price. However, he has found the end zone in three of the last four weeks with four touchdowns in that time and at a bargain basement price, he makes for an interesting gamble play in Week 11.

 

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 11 Picks

Odell Beckham Jr. - NYG vs TB (DK $8,400)

I believe this is the first time I have selected Beckham this season. However, he is extremely hard to ignore this week against the Buccaneers, who surrender 20 fantasy points to opposing #1 receivers. Over the last five weeks, Beckham has averaged 11.4 targets per game, has had over 100 receiving yards three times and has scored four touchdowns, including two last week. The Giants offense looked somewhat refreshed coming off the bye, even if it was still not amazing, and this matchup should be a nice one for Beckham to exploit.

If you cannot afford Beckham then Sterling Shepard ($5,300) is a nice alternative as the Buccaneers are also surrendering an average of 19.9 fantasy points to opposing #2 receivers when on the road in 2018.

Alshon Jeffery - PHI @ NO (DK $6,300)

The over/under of 55 on this game tells you this is going to be a shootout. The Saints defense is improved but it is still not amazing and the Eagles should be able to move the ball with a full complement of receiving options available to them. There is a weird stat this season where the Saints defense is actually surrendering more points to #2 receivers than #1 receivers. However, I am not entirely sure who is the #2 for the Eagles at this point so I am backing Jeffery to have a good day against a Saints defense who have been leaky at times this season.

Cole Beasley - DAL @ ATL (DK $4,400)

Beasley has been hit or miss this season but there is the potential for a nice week against the Falcons. The Falcons do not have a reliable slot cover corner and that is reflected in the fact that they have surrendered 15.8 fantasy points against receivers who line up in the slot. The return of Deion Jones should boost the Falcons defense but he is likely to be focused on covering Elliott when on the field this week.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 11 Picks

Evan Engram - NYG vs. TB (DK $4,100)

It finally feels like Engram is back up to speed in 2018 following his early-season injury. In the last three weeks, he has seen 18 targets and last week he had an 80% catch rate. The Buccaneers are giving up 13.3 fantasy points to number one tight ends on the road this season and 14.7 overall, meaning that Engram should be able to have success in this matchup.

Ricky Seals-Jones - ARI vs. OAK (DK $2,900)

It is all about finding the low priced guys at these positions to try and squeeze as many high-priced running backs and wide receiver in as you can. Seals-Jones saw nine targets last week and seems to be growing into this offense more and more as the season progresses. The Oakland Raiders are giving up an average of 14.7 fantasy points per game to the tight end position so Seals-Jones should be able to have success.

 

DraftKings DFS Defenses - Week 11 Picks

Houston Texans @ Washington Redskins (DK $2,600)

The Washington Redskins offense is a shell of itself and it was not really anything to be scared of before that. Their offensive line is in tatters which has taken away their ability to run the ball as effectively as they were doing. This game is unlikely to be high scoring so the Texans floor should be relatively high. My only concern is that Alex Smith is generally very secure with the ball so the turnover potential is low.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (DK $2,200)

This all depends on how brave you are feeling. The Jaguars defense absolutely destroyed Ben Roethlisberger in the regular season last year and they did not do too badly in the playoffs either. If A.J. Bouye is back I really like this as a gamble upside play. The Jaguars would then have two good corners, relatively good safeties and linebackers with lateral speed. Those elements should allow them to hang with this Pittsburgh offense. This is not a pick I feel great about given the way the Steelers are playing but if you need to save some money to squeeze another high priced skill guy in your lineup this is an option.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

Wide Receiver Start/Sit Advice - Week 7

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the wide receiver position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 7 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit among those in WR3 or flex consideration. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest... Read More


Keenan Allen - Fantasy Football Disaster Recovery

Welcome to Disaster Recovery, where each week I'll examine why your studs played like duds. This isn't a place to find out why you should have sat a player for somebody on your bench. Disaster Recovery is to examine the guys who you didn't think twice about starting, and deciding if you should be panicking at all about... Read More


NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 7) - Targets and Avoids

Another week, more upsets. The Cowboys, Chiefs and Chargers all went down knocking out about 15-20 percent of remaining entrants in survivor pools, including myself. The Baltimore and New England wins were never in doubt, but the Redskins and Packers just barely squeaked out wins. If you've made it this far, you've done a job... Read More


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 7

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement.... Read More


Running Back Metrics That Matter - NFL NextGen Stats

It's been a month--a full month!--since the last time we took a look at our beloved running backs. I don't think there is a hotter topic of discussion between pro- and anti-analytics than rushing. The guys fighting for stat-supremacy are all about using the passing game as much as possible while ditching the run; the... Read More


Titanic Disappointment - Will Ryan Tannehill Help Tennessee?

In the midst of being shutout by the Denver Broncos on Sunday, Tennesse Titans coach Mike Vrabel made a move that many casual NFL fans had been expecting for the past few weeks: he decided to give Ryan Tannehill a shot at quarterback instead of Marcus Mariota. While Tannehill wasn't noticeably better on Sunday, throwing... Read More


Warning Signs: Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks, Robert Woods, Jared Goff

This is going to be a special edition of Warning Signs. Usually, we take a look at players from different teams who have disappointed thus far. This week, I am going to focus on a single team full of players to worry about. It is not good to have a team of big stars where... Read More


FAAB Bidding - Week 7 Waiver Wire Targets

Assisting our famous waiver wire pickups list, and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB). As a caveat, these prices do not by any means indicate how much these free agent players will... Read More


We Must Overreact Immediately! Week 6 Outliers

In Week 6, several players exploded in fantasy lineups. There were a few receivers that were above the rest of the pack in Week 6, such as Stefon Diggs, Terry McLaurin, Chris Godwin and Tyreek Hill, but there shouldn't be any surprises there as those guys should have been in fantasy lineups. At the quarterback... Read More


Deeper League Free Agent Pickups for Week 7

The bye week difficulties continue this week with Carolina, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Tampa Bay all getting their rest in Week 7. It should be noted, however, that just because a player is currently in their bye week, doesn't mean you should avoid them on the waiver wire. In fact, this is often the easiest way... Read More


Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

All of a sudden, the Chargers look like one of the worst teams in football and the Jets look like a playoff contender. Maybe things won't shake out that way in the end but it goes to show how quickly things change in the "Not For Long" NFL. For that reason, we advise looking at... Read More


The Cut List - Players on the Chopping Block (Week 7)

This is your weekly list of players to drop. I will do my best to limit this list to injured players and players you might consider holding. If you roster pure handcuffs or backups, obviously you can let them go at any time. The players on this list will, ideally, be guys that aren't clearly... Read More


Week 7 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Below are RotoBaller's Week 7 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 7 of the NFL and fantasy football season. In case you missed it, this is our seventh year now writing this weekly column. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver... Read More


Week 7 Kicker Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Week 6 is done, and we've seen some outstanding games thus far. We've also seen a lot of surprising teams through six weeks. The San Francisco 49ers, after picking in the top 10 for four straight years, are 5-0 with one of the most complete teams in football. As far as kickers go, we're seeing... Read More


Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

Some of you have been rewarded for your meticulous roster planning by receiving excellent production from your running backs. Unfortunately, many of you have been equally prepared when making roster decisions, but have been undermined by injuries, inconsistent usage, or underwhelming performances. If that applies to you, then those unwanted outcomes have forced you to... Read More