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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 20

Football season? What's that? While many of us start to get engrossed in training camp reports and exhibition game snap counts, the true die-hard baseball fans are still working the waiver wire to find late-season gems. Trade deadlines have already passed in many fantasy leagues, so I'll focus more on lesser-owned players to assess their value, rather than potential buy-low or sell-high candidates. If your league doesn't cut off trading in August, remember that it's never too late to take advantage of a desperate owner trying to stay out of the basement.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 20

Cesar Hernandez (2B, PHI) 33% owned

Hernandez just saw his 13-game hitting streak snapped, but responded the next day with a pair of hits, including a home run. He doesn't stand out with elite tools, but he's producing across all categories just as he did before his oblique injury. Hernandez is currently hitting .293 with 12 steals and 58 runs scored over 81 games played. 10 HR and 20 SB may be his ceiling, but combined with a high average that makes for a nice MI pickup that's readily available.

Brian Goodwin (OF, WAS) 5% owned

Goodwin has been the starting center fielder for the division-leading Nationals most of this season, yet he's managed to stay completely off the fantasy radar. It might shock you to discover that Goodwin would be on pace for a 30-homer season if he logged a full 600 at-bats, which won't happen. He's scored 40 runs in 72 games, which shouldn't be shocking since he's on one of the best offensive teams in the league. His .248 average may be turning people away, but it hasn't stopped Logan Morrison, Ryon Healy and Scott Schebler from being widely owned. The difference is they got off to hot starts and have been starting from day one of the season. Goodwin is a nice value if you still need power in a fourth outfielder or utility player.

Parker Bridwell (SP, LAA) 35% owned

This former Orioles farmhand is making a name for himself in the Angels rotation with a slew of quality starts. He's 6-1 with seven QS in 10 tries so far. Bridwell certainly doesn't dominate batters; he's struck out more than five just once in a game and holds a 15.8% K% this season. He's been effective at keeping runners off the base paths and stranding them when they do reach (86.6% LOB%). Naturally there could be regression to the mean in that respect, but that would be more of a concern if it were earlier in the year. Bridwell's fantasy success may be living on borrowed time according to his peripherals, but he may be able to squeeze out a few more decent starts over the remaining weeks. Other than a three-day visit by Houston, the Angels play a relatively weak schedule the rest of the way.

 

Overrated Players - Week 20

Jonathan Lucroy (C, COL) 83% owned

As if he hadn't disappointed fantasy managers enough this season, Lucroy's move to Coors Field served to prolong the pain. A change of environment and spot in the Rockies lineup immediately gave bitter Lucroy owners a glimmer of hope that he could provide some value throughout August and September, but it just isn't happening. He's batting a mediocre .250 with no homers and a handful of games missed in the last two weeks. Sure, there's plenty of time left, but Lucroy just hasn't looked like the same player since he left Milwaukee.

Gregory Polanco (OF, PIT) 65% owned

It just isn't his year. The WBC will prove to be the highlight of Polanco's 2017 it seems. After yet another DL stint for a hamstring strain, Polanco teased with an impressive three-run homer on August 4, but hasn't driven in a run ever since. The surprising speed he was providing early in the season is gone and won't return as he tries to keep his hamstring from getting injured again. His .256/.313/.409 slash line is almost identical to his career averages, so he isn't really underperforming as much as it seems. The question that should be asked is why he was being drafted as a top-20 outfielder in the first place.

Jose Berrios (SP, MIN) 81% owned

His impressive rookie campaign has been tarnished a bit since the All-Star break. Berrios has been alternating dominating and disastrous starts, culminating in a 2-3 record and 4.81 ERA since the second half got underway. Fatigue could certainly play a part, as he's within 30 innings of matching his previous high in a season. With the Twins still in the thick of the divisional race, Berrios will stick in the rotation, but could take more lumps if he continues on his current path. His ground ball rate and strikeout percentage have both dropped in the second half - not good signs for a young pitcher who could lose his way. Berrios is an undeniable talent and is not overrated in any way as a player, but his fantasy ownership indicates he is being started in most mixed leagues every week. If you are in the race for first place in your fantasy league, depending on a rookie starter down the stretch could be a mistake.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

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Compare Any Players
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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Daniel Gafford

Uncertain For Friday's Game
Darius Garland

Ruled Out For Friday Against Spurs
Kristaps Porzingis

Tagged as Questionable Against Nuggets
Jalen Johnson

Could Miss Second Straight Game
LaMelo Ball

Probable To Play Through Wrist Sprain Friday
Detroit Lions

Brian Branch Feared to Have Suffered an Achilles Injury
Tyler Herro

Uncertain For Magic Matchup
CFB

Arkansas Targeting Ron Roberts for Defensive Coordinator Job
Jayden Daniels

Tracking Towards a Week 14 Return
Justin Herbert

Trending in the Right Direction to Play Monday Night
Mathew Barzal

Leads Islanders Past Avalanche
Elias Lindholm

Posts Hat Trick of Assists Thursday
Leon Draisaitl

Notches Season-High Four Points in Thursday's Win
Connor McDavid

Nets 13th Career Hat Trick
Teuvo Teravainen

Expected to Be Fine After Thursday's Exit
Shane Pinto

Exits Loss With Injury
Joseph Woll

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Thursday
Ryan Flournoy

Heavily Involved After Teammate's Exit
Jahmyr Gibbs

Scores Three Times on Thursday Night Football
Josh Jacobs

Remains Limited with Knee Injury
CeeDee Lamb

Suffers Concussion in Week 14 Against Detroit
Jhostynxon Garcia

Pirates Acquire Jhostynxon Garcia From Red Sox
Draymond Green

Won't Return on Thursday Night
Kenneth Walker III

Remains Limited on Thursday
Kyren Williams

Limited Again with Ankle Injury
Davante Adams

Limited in Practice on Thursday
Cody Bellinger

Yankees Pushing Hard to Re-Sign Cody Bellinger
CFB

Penn State Eyeing Iowa State Coach Matt Campbell For Coaching Vacancy
Alex Bregman

Cubs Have Renewed Interest in Alex Bregman
Quinten Post

Set to Suit Up Versus Philadelphia
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Will Play on Thursday Night
Joel Embiid

Back on Thursday Night
Al Horford

Available on Thursday
Jonathan Kuminga

Cleared for Action on Thursday Night
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Out of Action Thursday
Terance Mann

Available Versus Utah
Kirill Marchenko

Returns From Four-Game Absence
De'Anthony Melton

to be Capped at 20 Minutes on Thursday
Carter Verhaeghe

Ready to Return Thursday
Scott Wedgewood

Skips Thursday's Game
Paolo Banchero

Upgraded to Questionable for Friday Night
Danila Yurov

Misses Second Straight Game
CFB

Billy Napier Finalizing Deal to Become James Madison's New Head Coach
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Unavailable Thursday
CFB

Buster Faulkner Set to Become Florida's New Offensive Coordinator
Dereck Lively II

to Seek "Multiple Opinions" on Right Foot Treatment
David Pastrnak

Still Out Thursday
Ryan McDonagh

Lightning Sign Ryan McDonagh to Three-Year Extension
Trayce Jackson-Davis

Set to Suit Up Thursday
Ja Morant

Considered Day-to-Day
Tee Higgins

Ready to Return After Full Practice?
Jimmy Butler III

Sidelined Thursday
Jayden Daniels

Practices in Full on Thursday
Jaylen Brown

Ruled Out Thursday Against the Wizards
Lamar Jackson

Expected to Play Against Steelers
Quentin Grimes

Is Ready to Return on Thursday
Deshaun Watson

Not Expected to Play This Year
CFB

Joe Sloan Expected to be Kentucky's New Offensive Coordinator
Justin Herbert

Chargers "Really Optimistic" That Justin Herbert Will Play on Monday
CFB

Lane Kiffin Working to Keep Defensive Coordinator Blake Baker at LSU
Mike Evans

has "Real Chance" to Return in Week 14
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Realistic Expectation is for Amon-Ra St. Brown to Return Next Week
Jalen Carter

Won't Play in Week 14 After Having Shoulder Surgeries
Justin Herbert

Expected to Practice Either Thursday or Friday
Mike Evans

Practicing Again Thursday
CFB

Brian Daboll a Candidate for Penn State Head-Coaching Job?
Karel Vejmelka

Records Impressive Shutout
JJ Peterka

Rocks Ducks With Four-Point Effort
Cole Caufield

Extends Point Streak With Power-Play Assist
Matvei Michkov

Delivers Two Assists Wednesday
Jake Oettinger

Grabs Fourth Consecutive Victory With Shutout
Ryan Leonard

Tallies Four Points in Wednesday's Win
Cam York

Exits Win Early
Kyle Tucker

Visits With Blue Jays
Emilio Pagán

Reds Bring Back Closer Emilio Pagan on Two-Year Deal
Cedric Mullins

Rays Agree on One-Year Deal
Freddy Peralta

Brewers Considering Trading Freddy Peralta
Kyle Schwarber

Reds Serious About Adding Kyle Schwarber in Free Agency?
CFB

Brent Key Signing Five-Year Deal to Remain at Georgia Tech
CFB

Brian Hartline Expected to Land USF Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Collin Klein Expected to be Top Target for Kansas State if Head-Coach Job Opens
CFB

Chris Klieman Considering Stepping Down at Kansas State
CFB

D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
CFB

Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
CFB

Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
CFB

Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles

RANKINGS

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