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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 19

Pierre Camus takes a look at players who may be overvalued or undervalued. These players could be buy or sell candidates for the 2017 fantasy baseball season.

The deals are done and now we see who is in it to win and who is playing for next season. Playing time shifts make for some nice values in certain spots you wouldn't expect. Likewise, some big name players who made their way onto contenders could be in line for a rough second half, much to the chagrin of their owners.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 19

Tim Beckham (1B/2B/SS, BAL) 21% owned

After an early season surge, it appeared Beckham just needed a regular dose of playing time to round into a valuable fantasy player. A couple of minor injuries and some inconsistency knocked him back off the map until he found his way to Baltimore last week. He sure seems to like it there. As the regular shortstop, he's gone 7-for-12 with three RBI and four runs scored in three games. He's making hard contact on 43% of his batted balls this season; despite a very low 67% contact rate and strikeout rate over 30%, he's making the most of it each time he actually strikes the ball, which explains away his high BABIP. We don't really know Beckham's ceiling yet, but he's in a good lineup that should provide more consistency than Tampa, where he was shuffled around quite a bit.

Melky Cabrera (OF, KC) 56% owned

Melky Cabrera wasn't one of the more prominent names to change zip codes recently, but he gives the Royals some stability at the top of the lineup. It was six years ago that Cabrera enjoyed one of his finest seasons in KC, setting career highs in every major counting stat, including his only season surpassing 100 runs scored. Cabrera's stats this year are as consistent as ever, but moving out of the south side of Chi-town can only help him score more frequently. A .292 average with modest contribution across the other categories makes him a nice third or fourth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Trevor Rosenthal (RP, STL) 62% owned

Saves are still a thing, right? If you happen to be in a league that doesn't count the stat or uses Sv+Hld instead, then Rosenthal isn't a top priority add. Pretty much everywhere else, he should be owned by now. He's registered three saves this past week alone, while Seung Hwan Oh has been relegated to lesser duties. Rosenthal has stayed healthy and is throwing harder than ever, up to 99.1 MPH on his fastball. He's got a 2.39 SIERA, a 14.54 K/9 and has claimed the closer job. What else could you want from a reliever?

 

Overrated Players - Week 19

Brian Dozier (2B, MIN) 95% owned

Expecting 40+ homers from Dozier again was never a good idea. Not only did his 18.4% HR/FB% drop as you might have anticipated, he's hitting fly balls at the lowest rate since his rookie year. While Dozier has delivered decent overall production, it still represents a huge drop across the board. Dozier will also snap his three-year streak of scoring over 100 runs, crossing the plate just 50 times so far. He's been outproduced by Scooter Gennett, Whit Merrifield, and Starlin Castro this year, while he doesn't even rank in the top 20 among second baseman over the past month. He shouldn't be dropped anywhere, but it's time to accept him for what he was before last year's outlier of a season.

Jose Bautista (OF, TOR) 78% owned

Two homers in the last month and a .143 average sure don't seem like a turnaround in the second half. Joey Bats is one of those players who entered this season with red flags for decline and he didn't do much to disprove those doubts. Bautista could finish with his worst home run total since 2009 and his .216 average would be the worst over a full season in his Major League career. With news he has been placed on revocable waivers, it's a sign that the Blue Jays are acknowledging his days as a star slugger are over. Fantasy owners need to accept the same.

Sonny Gray (SP, NYY) 88% owned

He was one of the biggest names of the week and he landed in a predictable spot with the Bronx Bombers. Whether you're a fan of Moneyball or not, if you're a Gray owner it's time to make like Billy Beane and sell, sell, sell. Gray has been effective since starting his season in May and has been razor sharp leading up to the trade deadline, conveniently enough. Gray posted a 1.37 ERA with a 36:9 K:BB in his last six starts with A's. He now moves to one of the worst ballparks in terms of HR factor, away from Oakland's below-average park.

Last season, Gray struggled mightily to a 5.69 ERA that also included a 1.38 HR/9. Injuries were partly to blame, but it wouldn't be hard to imagine his home run rate jump up again now that he's in the AL East with a tougher schedule and less favorable home park.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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Import Your Leagues
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Compare Any Players
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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Carted Off With Hip Injury on Monday Night
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
Davante Adams

Not Dealing With a Serious Injury
Brandon Miller

Unavailable on Monday
Kyler Murray

Surgery Not on the Table for Kyler Murray
Duncan Robinson

Absent Against Atlanta
Marvin Harrison Jr.

in Danger of Missing Week 14?
Jalen Duren

Back in the Lineup on Monday Evening
Noah Clowney

Cleared to Play Versus Charlotte
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Active On Monday
Danila Yurov

Won't Play on Tuesday
Michael Porter Jr.

Back in Action on Monday
Sam Merrill

Unavailable Versus Pacers
David Pastrnak

to Remain Out Tuesday
Alexandre Sarr

Won't Play Versus Milwaukee
Adam Gaudette

Iffy for Monday
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
Logan Cooley

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Josh Norris

Available Monday
Neal Pionk

Remains Out Monday
Lonzo Ball

Ruled Out on Monday
Jimmy Snuggerud

to Miss Six Weeks After Wrist Surgery
Justin Herbert

Having Hand Surgery on Monday
Steven Adams

Out Against Jazz
Kyler Murray

Cardinals Won't Open Kyler Murray's Practice Window This Week
Darius Garland

Unavailable Monday
Sauce Gardner

Not a Candidate to Go on Injured Reserve
Kristaps Porzingis

Out of Action Versus Pistons
Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact, Decision on Week 14 Status Delayed
Daniel Gafford

Sidelined Again on Monday
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful to Return in Week 14
Tee Higgins

Still in the Concussion Protocol
Drake London

"has a Chance" to Play in Week 14
J.J. McCarthy

in Line to Start in Week 14?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Not Dealing With Serious Shoulder Injury, Likely Day-to-Day
Sam Darnold

Dealing With Ankle Injury, "Should be Good" for Week 14
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
Sauce Gardner

Officially Week-to-Week with Strained Calf
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
CFB

Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
VEG

Carter Hart Expected to Make Golden Knights Debut Tuesday
Andre Drummond

Leaves Early, Status Now in Question
Pyotr Kochetkov

Remains Without Timeline For Return
Boone Jenner

Close to Returning
Tre Mann

Uncertain for Monday's Game Against Nets
Lian Bichsel

Exits With Injury Sunday
Deandre Ayton

Leaves Game With Knee Soreness
Petr Mrazek

Injured in Sunday's Loss
Adam Fox

Placed on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Brandon Williams

Questionable With Adductor Issue
P.J. Washington

Uncertain For Monday's Contest
Daniel Gafford

Expected To Miss Second Straight Game
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
James Cook

Handles Career-High 32 Carries for 144 Yards in Win
Egor Demin

Available Against Hornets
Justin Herbert

Planning to Play Through Broken Bone in Left Hand in Week 14
Terance Mann

in Danger of Missing Monday's Game
Sauce Gardner

Likely to Miss a "Couple of Weeks" With Calf Strain
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Joel Hofer

Shuts Out Mammoth
Owen Tippett

Amasses Three Points in Saturday's Win
Stuart Skinner

Bounces Back With Shutout
Brock Nelson

Notches Four Points in Big Win
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Logan Cooley

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
Warren Foegele

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Simon Benoit

Won't Play Saturday
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte

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