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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 19

Pierre Camus takes a look at players who may be overvalued or undervalued. These players could be buy or sell candidates for the 2017 fantasy baseball season.

The deals are done and now we see who is in it to win and who is playing for next season. Playing time shifts make for some nice values in certain spots you wouldn't expect. Likewise, some big name players who made their way onto contenders could be in line for a rough second half, much to the chagrin of their owners.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 19

Tim Beckham (1B/2B/SS, BAL) 21% owned

After an early season surge, it appeared Beckham just needed a regular dose of playing time to round into a valuable fantasy player. A couple of minor injuries and some inconsistency knocked him back off the map until he found his way to Baltimore last week. He sure seems to like it there. As the regular shortstop, he's gone 7-for-12 with three RBI and four runs scored in three games. He's making hard contact on 43% of his batted balls this season; despite a very low 67% contact rate and strikeout rate over 30%, he's making the most of it each time he actually strikes the ball, which explains away his high BABIP. We don't really know Beckham's ceiling yet, but he's in a good lineup that should provide more consistency than Tampa, where he was shuffled around quite a bit.

Melky Cabrera (OF, KC) 56% owned

Melky Cabrera wasn't one of the more prominent names to change zip codes recently, but he gives the Royals some stability at the top of the lineup. It was six years ago that Cabrera enjoyed one of his finest seasons in KC, setting career highs in every major counting stat, including his only season surpassing 100 runs scored. Cabrera's stats this year are as consistent as ever, but moving out of the south side of Chi-town can only help him score more frequently. A .292 average with modest contribution across the other categories makes him a nice third or fourth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Trevor Rosenthal (RP, STL) 62% owned

Saves are still a thing, right? If you happen to be in a league that doesn't count the stat or uses Sv+Hld instead, then Rosenthal isn't a top priority add. Pretty much everywhere else, he should be owned by now. He's registered three saves this past week alone, while Seung Hwan Oh has been relegated to lesser duties. Rosenthal has stayed healthy and is throwing harder than ever, up to 99.1 MPH on his fastball. He's got a 2.39 SIERA, a 14.54 K/9 and has claimed the closer job. What else could you want from a reliever?

 

Overrated Players - Week 19

Brian Dozier (2B, MIN) 95% owned

Expecting 40+ homers from Dozier again was never a good idea. Not only did his 18.4% HR/FB% drop as you might have anticipated, he's hitting fly balls at the lowest rate since his rookie year. While Dozier has delivered decent overall production, it still represents a huge drop across the board. Dozier will also snap his three-year streak of scoring over 100 runs, crossing the plate just 50 times so far. He's been outproduced by Scooter Gennett, Whit Merrifield, and Starlin Castro this year, while he doesn't even rank in the top 20 among second baseman over the past month. He shouldn't be dropped anywhere, but it's time to accept him for what he was before last year's outlier of a season.

Jose Bautista (OF, TOR) 78% owned

Two homers in the last month and a .143 average sure don't seem like a turnaround in the second half. Joey Bats is one of those players who entered this season with red flags for decline and he didn't do much to disprove those doubts. Bautista could finish with his worst home run total since 2009 and his .216 average would be the worst over a full season in his Major League career. With news he has been placed on revocable waivers, it's a sign that the Blue Jays are acknowledging his days as a star slugger are over. Fantasy owners need to accept the same.

Sonny Gray (SP, NYY) 88% owned

He was one of the biggest names of the week and he landed in a predictable spot with the Bronx Bombers. Whether you're a fan of Moneyball or not, if you're a Gray owner it's time to make like Billy Beane and sell, sell, sell. Gray has been effective since starting his season in May and has been razor sharp leading up to the trade deadline, conveniently enough. Gray posted a 1.37 ERA with a 36:9 K:BB in his last six starts with A's. He now moves to one of the worst ballparks in terms of HR factor, away from Oakland's below-average park.

Last season, Gray struggled mightily to a 5.69 ERA that also included a 1.38 HR/9. Injuries were partly to blame, but it wouldn't be hard to imagine his home run rate jump up again now that he's in the AL East with a tougher schedule and less favorable home park.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Devin Vassell

Remains Out Tuesday
Daniel Berger

Starts Off 2026 at Sony Open
Isaiah Hartenstein

Still Out Tuesday
Myles Turner

Battling Illness, Questionable Tuesday
Nico Collins

Suffers Concussion Against Steelers
Nico Collins

Carted to Locker Room for Concussion Evaluation
Christian Braun

Unavailable Tuesday
Aaron Gordon

Probable to Play Tuesday
Jamal Murray

in Danger of Missing Another Game Tuesday
Coby White

Sits Out First Leg of Back-to-Back
Josh Giddey

to Remain Out Tuesday
Norman Powell

Uncertain for Tuesday
Jerami Grant

Listed as Doubtful for Tuesday
Deni Avdija

Ruled Out for Tuesday
Jose Alvarado

to Miss Two More Weeks
Brandon Williams

Sits Out Second Consecutive Game
Moussa Cisse

Cleared to Play Monday
Daniel Gafford

Won't Play Against Nets
P.J. Washington

to Miss One More Week
Baylor Scheierman

Makes First Start of Season
Brandon Ingram

Available Monday
Paul George

Good to Go Monday
Joel Embiid

Active on Monday
Sam Hauser

Cleared for Monday
Kyle Tucker

Mets Meet With Kyle Tucker
Dalton Kincaid

"Should be Fine" for Divisional Round
Conor Garland

Returns From Five-Game Absence
Kiefer Sherwood

Out Monday, Could Miss Several Weeks
Marco Rossi

to Miss 2-3 More Weeks
Louis Crevier

Back for Blackhawks Monday
Jordan Eberle

Available Against Rangers
Joel Eriksson Ek

Out Monday
Brad Marchand

Misses Third Straight Game
Jamie Benn

Returns to Action Monday
Brooks Koepka

Officially Returning To PGA Tour
Tucker Kraft

Hopes to be Ready for Week 1 of Next Season
CFB

Georgia Lands Kentucky Transfer Dante Dowdell
Matthew Stafford

has "Little Sprain," Should be "Good to Go"
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Sign with LSU
Green Bay Packers

Packers Expected to Work Out New Deal With Matt LaFleur in the "Coming Days"
CFB

Dylan Raiola Commits to Oregon
CFB

Isaiah Horton Landing with Texas A&M
Jet Greaves

Beats Mammoth With 25 Saves
Roman Josi

Ends Dry Spell With Three-Point Effort
Joonas Korpisalo

Shuts Door on Penguins
Jack Hughes

Has Two Helpers in Losing Effort
Tomas Hertl

Matches Vegas Record With Five Points
Justin Sourdif

Exits With Injury Versus Predators
Denton Mateychuk

Sustains Upper-Body Injury Sunday
George Kittle

Suffers Torn Achilles on Sunday
Omarion Hampton

Active for Wild-Card Round Against Patriots
George Kittle

Ruled Out After Non-Contact Achilles Injury
Cole Perfetti

Contributes Two Assists in Sunday's Win
Carl Grundstrom

Misses Sunday's Practice
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Request Interview With Ejiro Evero
Travis Konecny

Hurt at Sunday's Practice
Thatcher Demko

Lands on Injured Reserve
Colin Miller

Injured Versus Devils
Bryan Rust

Remains Out Sunday
Los Angeles Rams

Mike LaFleur to Interview With Raiders and Cardinals
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Re-Signing Aaron Rodgers?
Matthew Stafford

X-Rays Come Back Negative
MacKenzie Gore

Yankees Pursuing Trade for MacKenzie Gore
Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Freddie Freeman

Withdraws from World Baseball Classic
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
CFB

Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
CFB

NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
Kyle Tucker

Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy
Daniel Jones

Colts Plan to Re-Sign Daniel Jones
Davante Adams

Off the Injury Report, Will Play Against Carolina
Bo Bichette

Phillies to Meet With Bo Bichette
Rome Odunze

Will Return for Wild-Card Game on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Commits to Baylor
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Fire Head Coach Mike McDaniel
Sam LaPorta

Plans to be Back for Training Camp
Owen Caissie

Shipped to Miami as Centerpiece of Trade
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Officially Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Finalizing Deal to Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
CFB

Jackson Arnold Signs with UNLV
CFB

Sam Leavitt Scheduled to Visit Tennessee

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