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Week 11 Waiver Wire: Starting Pitchers

By Dustin Nosler [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Nick Mariano's starting pitcher (sp) fantasy baseball waiver wire adds. Pickups and starting pitcher sleepers for Week 11 of the 2016 MLB season.

Here we go again with the latest edition of the SP Waiver Wire guide, where we plead with the fantasy baseball gods to grant us the wisdom and opportunity to unearth gold. In other words, where we look at sabermetrics and utilize the ol’ eye-test to analyze some low-owned options who can help you.

We're just a month away from the All Star Break here in mid-June, meaning some serious assessments are being done and trends are being made clear. Let’s dig in underneath the 40% owned marker, ignoring the guys who have been dropped due to legitimate struggles.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller offers the best Premium MLB Subscription - only $1.99 per week. All the tools you need to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings for every player, Under-the-Radar Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, plus daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids. 

 

Starting Pitcher Waiver Wire Targets

Jameson Taillon (PIT, SP) – 38% Owned – Taillon (pronounced TIE-own) came up for a spot start and got the no-decision after allowing three runs over six innings, striking out three alongside two walks. He has been beasting all season long in Triple-A, leading all Triple-A pitchers with a 1.91 FIP while teammate Tyler Glasnow is fourth with a 2.61 FIP. Gerrit Cole left Friday’s start with a triceps injury, which is certainly a daunting area for a pitcher to hurt, meaning that there could be a gap in the rotation that requires filling.

Julio Urias (LAD, SP) – 37% Owned – Urias wasn’t all that impressive in his first two starts, but he shut down the Rockies in his LA debut to the tune of seven strikeouts over four innings while allowing only one earned run. His pitch count racked up rather quickly, something that will be a factor all season long, but the future signs of dominance were flashed. That’s the upside you’re chasing. Urias will look to build on this momentum in a Sunday start against the Giants next.

Kevin Gausman (BAL, SP) – 36% Owned – Gausman has yet to get a victory despite pitching well, rocking a 3.45 ERA and 1.22 WHIP with 54 strikeouts in 60 innings this season. His most recent start saw him go into Toronto and twirl 6 1/3 innings of two-run ball, an admirable effort. Unfortunately, pitching in the AL East will lead to many unfavorable matchups, but his talent is true and his 3.87 SIERA means he’s a solid starter to be deployed in favorable matchups. Of course, his next start is June 16 in Boston, which is most definitely not favorable. After that he should line up to face the Padres at home though.

Jon Gray (COL, SP) – 34% Owned – It only took an insane 12-strikeout game where he dominated the Padres to boost his ownership rate nearly 20%, finally some of you are listening! For starters who have pitched at least 50 innings this season, his 3.19 SIERA ranks ninth in the ENTIRE Major Leagues and his 27.9% K-rate ranks 12th, making for just a few great indicators beneath that scary 4.70 ERA. David Price has a 4.63 ERA and 3.47 SIERA, for some context. Pick. Gray. Up.

Jerad Eickhoff (PHI, SP) – 31% Owned – Eickhoff has posted a 2.76 ERA and 1.10 WHIP with a 26:7 K:BB ratio in the last 30 days (32 2/3 innings), though pitching for Philly has only yielded him a 2-3 record for his efforts in that stretch. Still, Eickhoff looks to be back to his old tricks. Unfortunately his next start comes in Toronto, but after that he at least gets a home turn against Arizona before facing Minnesota on the road.

Danny Duffy (KC, SP) – 30% Owned – Duffy continues to post impressive numbers this season, striking out a career-best 10 batters in six scoreless innings on June 11 against the White Sox. His 2.94 ERA and 3.10 FIP and roughly 2.90 SIERA are absolutely delectable, especially when combined with his 59 strikeouts in 49 innings. Even before today’s 10-strikeout game, his swinging strike rate was a top-five mark amidst starters with over 50 innings, which means he should be owned in a lot more leagues. Keep an eye on his fastball velocity as his year progresses, but if it holds then look out and buy, buy, buy.

Adam Conley (MIA, SP) – 29% Owned – Conley has put together back-to-back plus starts now, allowing three runs with a 17:4 K:BB ratio in them. He’ll take on the Diamondbacks in Arizona on June 12 before a home start against Colorado, unfortunately missing a series at Petco, but perhaps he’s found some consistency here. It’s certainly worth noting given his ability to miss bats.

Zach Davies (MIL, SP) – 27% Owned – Choo choo! This figure has spiked from 3% ownership last week as he’s now 3-0 in his past three starts, walking three with 18 strikeouts while allowing only four runs. He takes on the Mets at home next (his fourth straight home start) on June 12 and has entered deep mixed-league conversations. His .121 BABIP from June won’t hold, but even if that gives he’s still got a 2.72 FIP through his first two starts of the month, so give him a twirl.

Anthony DeSclafani (CIN, SP) – 25% Owned – He wasn’t all that super in his first start, but it was his first start. He pitched six innings of one-run ball against Oakland, walking three and allowing eight hits while striking out two. He had a strong finish to last season, he looked sharp on his rehab assignment, and now he gets to face the Braves on the road on June 15.

Archie Bradley (ARI, SP) – 24% Owned – The usual control issues are starting to show, as he’s walked seven in his past two starts (though he’s also struck out 15). That said, his three walks against the Cubs could be chalked up to being more careful and wanting to intentionally hit edges. Four walks to five strikeouts against the Rays in his most recent start is a bit concerning however. He faces the Dodgers on June 14 at home, and is still a solid start in most leagues given his upside.

Doug Fister (HOU, SP) – 23% Owned – Another week, another quality start from Fister. He now has posted a QS in nine of his previous ten starts, and hasn’t lost a game since April 25! He is riding some good fortune, but has been very skilled at inducing soft contact in the past. It appears that he’s back on his game after some recent faltering. As always, I’ll say that his 3.34 ERA is well below his 4.85 SIERA, but back to the previous point, his 2.41 ERA in 2014 had a 3.93 SIERA behind it. Maybe he’s just putting one of those voodoo seasons together, but be aware of the other shoe potentially dropping.

James Paxton (SEA, SP) – 21% Owned – J-Pax had another great outing against the Rangers, tossing 6 1/3 innings of scoreless ball with six hits and two walks to go with seven strikeouts. He was hitting 99 MPH when he needed to and really appears locked in on the mound. He's only 0-2, but he has a 2.25 ERA with 24 strikeouts against only four walks in 16 innings of work this season, meaning he deserves all of your attention. That being said, he's poised to head into Fenway Park to do battle with the red-hot Red Sox in his next start on June 17. Make the add now, even if you bench him there.

Dan Straily (CIN, SP) – 20% Owned – Straily was strong yet again on June 11, allowing only one run over seven innings on five hits and three walks with five strikeouts against the A’s for the win. His 3.15 ERA still backed by a low .226 BABIP (.261 career mark) as his FIP and SIERA stand around 4.30 for the season. Just as we said last week that this A’s matchup was a good one, his luck continues this next week as he draws the Braves on the road on June 16.

Zack Wheeler (NYM, SP) – 20% Owned – The target date for his return is now after the All Star Break so he can reenter the rotation with a consistent routine. He successfully threw a 30-pitch session on June 4 as he re-strengthens his arm and gets his pitch count up. Monitor his rehab starts closely for command, but his upside is solid, especially given that he’ll pitch for the Mets (assuming he isn’t traded).

Jonathon Niese (PIT, SP) – 16% Owned – Niese has a 1.74 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through the past 30 days and hasn’t lost since May 9th. Ray Searage has been known to work magic, and perhaps Niese has hit a bit of a sustainable groove here as he’s allowed two runs or less in each of his last five starts. He’ll be tested in this next week though, as his next start comes at home against the Cardinals before a road matchup with the Cubs.

Lucas Giolito (WAS, SP) – 15% Owned – Giolito just struck out 12 in his latest start, ho-hum. Actually, it isn’t ho-hum, as he has really turned it on in his last two starts after running high walk totals and failing to strike out more than six batters in an outing all season until then. His past two starts now have seen him allow one earned run over 13 innings with two walks and 20 strikeouts. If he can build on this then he may not be long for the minors.

Junior Guerra (MIL, SP) – 13% Owned – Guerra has now posted three quality starts in a row (though he hasn’t gotten a win for his troubles), meaning folks are starting to pay attention. While his 4.34 SIERA says expectations should be tempered against his current 3.31 ERA, he is doing a good job of getting grounders, limiting walks, and missing bats when he needs to. He makes for a decent deep-league streamer against the Giants in friendly San Francisco on June 15.

Blake Snell (TB, SP) – 12% Owned – It’s been a few weeks since including him, so here’s your reminder. He just struck out 13 over 5 2/3 innings in his latest start, and has now allowed three runs in his past three starts with 29 strikeouts against six walks in only 16 2/3 innings. Well, we’re waiting.

Alex Cobb (TB, SP) – 12% Owned – Nothing new here: his bullpen sessions have ramped up to 35 pitches and he finally started throwing breaking balls, with everyone eyeing July as the return date.

Alex Reyes (STL, SP) – 8% Owned – Reyes took a step back in his latest start, lasting only 1 2/3 innings before leaving with four earned runs to his name. Of course, four of the five outs he recorded were via strikeout because that’s what he does. Before that start he had allowed only two runs in 15 innings with an impressive 26 strikeouts. He’ll be an electric arm at some point, but the Cards will probably want to see some more consistency with his control and poise before feeling forced into a call-up.

Chase Anderson (MIL, SP) – 7% Owned – Anderson’s past 30 days have seen him notch three wins and strike out 25 batters in 31 innings to the tune of a 2.03 ERA and 0.65 WHIP. While he’s getting a bit lucky, he also hasn’t walked a batter in his last three starts, which helps one create some good fortune. His 5.11 May FIP and 4.55 ERA had a .188 BABIP behind it, and so far he has a .129 BABIP in June which fuelds the 0.73 ERA. Just be aware of this. His next start is scheduled for June 13 on the road against the Giants.

Sean Manaea (OAK, SP) – 6% Owned – Manaea follow up consecutive quality starts with a five-run outing against the Brewers, with all five runs coming on two Chris Carter homers. Outside of that he was solid, walking two while striking out six. It wasn’t all that long ago that folks were swooning over his potential, and despite some early scuffles he has looked serviceable lately as he irons out the kinks. His next start is scheduled for June 13 at home against the Rangers, making for a tough assignment.

John Lamb (CIN, SP) – 3% Owned – Lamb has now thrown two straight one-run games (one earned, that is) where he’s gone at least seven innings in two tough draws (@COL, vs. STL). He won’t strike out enough to dazzle owners, but he’s still capable of twirling quality starts with soft contact and grounders. His next start is a solid one against the A’s at home on June 12 before a road start against the Astros.

Chris Rusin (COL, SP) – 1% Owned – His 2-4 record, 4.12 ERA and 1.34 WHIP are going to dissuade most owners from giving him a moment of their time, but they just might be missing something. He does have his numbers tilted a bit with some bullpen appearances, but he still has a 3.58 FIP as a starter (and 3.21 overall!) which warrants attention. In deep NL-only leagues, Rusin should not just be discarded as some scrub who has to deal with Coors Field.

Zach Eflin (PHI, SP) – 1% Owned – He’s being called up with the injury to Vince Velasquez, though his first start is in Toronto (ugh). He currently holds a 2.90 ERA and 0.88 WHIP to go with 55 strikeouts and 11 walks in 68 1/3 innings down in Triple-A, so he has shown that he’s ready for the next level. The Phillies are looking forward, so if he performs well then he could stick around for the foreseeable future.

Miguel Gonzalez (CWS, SP) – 1% Owned – Gonzalez has performed well enough to give the White Sox a solid option that allows for them to move along from the Mat Latos experience. When James Shields was brought in there were some questions as to his security within the rotation, though Latos’ struggles made the decision pretty easy. Gonzalez’s past 30 days have seen him strike out 24 in 29 1/3 innings, notching three quality starts to go with a 3.07 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Easily worth a look in deep AL-only formats.

Daniel Mengden (OAK, SP) – 0% Owned/Unavailable in Yahoo – His line in Double-A this season: 23 innings (four starts), 2-0 record, 28 strikeouts, 0.78 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.

His line in Triple-A: 45 1/3 innings (seven starts), 3-1 record, 39 strikeouts, 1.39 ERA and 0.84 WHIP.

His debut on Saturday against the Reds saw him take the loss, allowing two runs on six hits and four walks with five strikeouts. Certainly a solid effort for your first go-around, but obviously we're in deep territory here.

 

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Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tyler Soderstrom

Returns to A's Lineup
Tyler Warren

Sidelined on Wednesday with Toe Injury
Jaylen Waddle

Questionable for Week 3 Against Buffalo
Joe Burrow

Bengals Not Closing the Door on Joe Burrow Returning This Year
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Play Against Missouri?
Kyle Tucker

Progress has "Plateaued"
Isaac Paredes

has "Outside Chance" to Return This Weekend
CFB

Kaidon Salter Expected To Start for Colorado on Saturday
Willson Contreras

Goes on 10-Day Injured List, Done for Season
Justin Fields

Ruled Out for Week 3 Due to Concussion
Jayden Reed

Out Indefinitely After Foot and Shoulder Surgery
Washington Commanders

Preston Smith Signs With Commanders
Trey Jemison III

Joins Knicks on Two-Way Contract
Kevin McCullar Jr.

Signs New Two-Way Deal With Knicks
Matt Ryan

Returns to Knicks on Exhibit 10 Contract
New York Knicks

Alex Len Signs Exhibit 9 Deal With Knicks
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Expected to Take on Larger Offensive Role With Hawks
Thomas Sorber

Undergoes Surgery
Dominic Canzone

Has Five-Hit, Three-Homer Game Tuesday
Cal Raleigh

Sets Single-Season Home Run Record for a Switch-Hitter
Jayden Reed

Undergoes Clavicle and Foot Surgeries, Out for Foreseeable Future
Bo Bichette

to Miss Rest of Regular Season
Zach Neto

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Hand Injury
Yordan Alvarez

Out on Tuesday, Dealing With "Significant" Ankle Sprain
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Place Aaron Jones Sr. on Injured Reserve With Hamstring Injury
CFB

Diego Pavia Refutes Report of Seeking Seventh Collegiate Season
Christian Kirk

Expected to Return in Week 3
CFB

Diego Pavia Seeking Another Year of Eligibility
Tarik Skubal

on Track to Start Thursday
CFB

Kevorian Barnes Questionable Against SMU
Bo Bichette

has Short-Term Knee Injury, Could Return for Postseason
Tosan Evbuomwan

Joins Knicks
NBA

Kai Jones Links Up With EuroLeague Team
Bismack Biyombo

Returns to Spurs
Bones Hyland

Rejoins Timberwolves
Kobe Bufkin

Moves to Brooklyn
Trey Yesavage

Sets Franchise Strikeout Record On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

To Receive MRI For Sprained Left Ankle On Tuesday
Willson Contreras

Exits Early Monday With Right-Biceps Tightness
Yordan Alvarez

Exits With Ankle Sprain
Brock Bowers

Officially Active on Monday Night
Jauan Jennings

Day-to-Day With Ankle Injury
Logan O'Hoppe

Activated Off Seven-Day Injured List
CBJ

Denton Mateychuk Dealing With Groin Issue
Bo Horvat

Fine for Training Camp
Kirby Dach

on Track to Be Ready for Opening Night
Jose Altuve

Returns Against Rangers
J.J. McCarthy

Expected to Miss 2-4 Weeks With High-Ankle Sprain
J.J. McCarthy

Likely Out for Week 3 With High-Ankle Sprain
Jean Silva

Gets Finished For The First Time In His Career
Aaron Jones Sr.

Unlikely to Play in Week 3 Due to Hamstring Injury
Diego Lopes

Returns To The Win Column
Jayden Daniels

' Week 3 Status in Doubt
Rob Font

Outclassed In The Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
David Martinez

Wins His Second UFC Fight
Jared Gordon

Suffers Brutal TKO Loss At Noche UFC 3
Rafa Garcia

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Brian Thomas Jr.

Dealing with Wrist Injury
Dustin Stoltzfus

Drops A Decision At Noche UFC 3
Kelvin Gastelum

Gets Back In The Win Column
Diego Ferreira

Suffers Second-Round TKO
Alexander Hernandez

Extends His Win Streak With A Brutal TKO
Quang Le

Suffers First-Round Knockout
Santiago Luna

Shines In His UFC Debut
Christopher Bell

Earns his First Bristol Cup Series Victory
Alex Bowman

Falls Short of Advancing Through Cup Series Playoffs
Chase Briscoe

Collects his Third Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Ryan Blaney

Strong Top-Five Bristol Performance Advances him to the Playoffs
Corey Heim

Earns his First Career Cup Series Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Leads Greece to Bronze Medal
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Drops 28 Points in EuroBasket Finals
CFB

Indiana's Lee Beebe Jr. Out for Season with Knee Injury
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Named EuroBasket MVP
Bryce Eldridge

Giants to Promote Bryce Eldridge
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Progressing in Recovery
Jonathan Kuminga

Receives New Offer From Warriors
Kenneth Walker III

Bounces Back with Big Week 2 Performance
Bijan Robinson

Rushes for 143 Yards in Week 2
Justin Fields

Currently in Concussion Protocol
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Calling Around to Available Free-Agent Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow

to Undergo Surgery, Out at Least Three Months
Emil Heineman

Aiming to Take the "Next Step" This Season
Braeden Cootes

Good to Go for Camp
Ivan Fedotov

Blue Jackets Acquire Ivan Fedotov From Flyers
Garrett Crochet

Punches Out 12 in Win
Cole Ragans

to Return on Wednesday
George Kirby

Strikes Out 14 in Win
Quentin Grimes

Still Not Close to a New Contract Agreement
Joel Embiid

"Looking Slender, Spry and in Positive Spirits"
Ty Gibbs

Has Arguably his Best Career Drive, but Only Finishes 10th
Chase Elliott

Despite Crashing Out at Bristol, Chase Elliott Advances to Round of 12
Austin Dillon

Misses Round of 12 After Extremely Mediocre Bristol Run
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Fails to Advance to Round of 12
Josh Berry

Finishes Last in All Three Round of 16 Races to Fail to Advance
CFB

Ryan Williams Explodes In Return To Field
CFB

Drew Allar Plays Mediocre Game In Blowout Win
CFB

LaNorris Sellers Exits Game In Blowout Loss
CFB

DJ Lagway Tosses Five Interceptions In Loss
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Plays Game Manager in Saturday's Win
CFB

CJ Carr Remains Poised In Narrow Loss
CFB

John Mateer Leads Oklahoma In Rout
CFB

Arch Manning Struggles Against UTEP
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Impresses In Win
CFB

Sam Leavitt Shines As Arizona State Rebounds From Week 2 Loss
Ivan Demidov

Turning Heads in Rookie Camp
NHL

Calvin de Haan Signs With Swedish Team
Samuel Girard

Skates With Non-Contact Jersey
Mackenzie Blackwood

Dealing With Injury Ahead of Training Camp
Spencer Knight

Signs Three-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Chris Buescher

May have Another Solid Run at Bristol
Corey Perry

Out 6-8 Weeks Following Surgery
Kyle Busch

Should DFS Managers Roster Kyle Busch at Bristol?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Too Risky to Consider Rostering at Bristol?
Michael McDowell

Could be A Solid Value Option For Bristol DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

Probably Won't Factor in for Bristol Win
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not as Strong at Bristol as Other Short Tracks
Alex Bowman

Needs to Win to Make Round of 12
Ross Chastain

has Never Led at Bristol but Has Been Pretty Consistent
Austin Dillon

Richmond Speed Unlikely to Carry Over to Bristol
Josh Berry

Might Run Well at Bristol, but Almost Certainly Won't Win to Advance
Justin Haley

Bristol One of Justin Haley's Few Recent Bright Spots
CFB

Austin Simmons Listed As Game-Time Decision Against Arkansas
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Struggles In Fourth Straight Loss
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Dealing With a "Tweak"
BUF

Alexandar Georgiev Joins Sabres on One-Year Deal
Corey Perry

Injured During Pre-Camp Skate
CFB

Antonio Williams Out Against Georgia Tech
CFB

CJ Bailey Flashes Again in Win Over Wake Forest
CFB

Jaxson Moi a Game-Time Decision for Tennessee on Saturday
Jean Silva

A Favorite At Noche UFC 3
Diego Lopes

Set For Noche UFC 3 Main Event
Rob Font

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
David Martinez

Set For Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
Rafa Garcia

An Underdog At Noche UFC 3
Jared Gordon

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Dustin Stoltzfus

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Kelvin Gastelum

In Dire Need Of Victory
Diego Ferreira

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Malcolm Brogdon

Heading to Knicks on One-Year Deal
Landry Shamet

Staying with the Knicks

RANKINGS

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RB
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K
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1B
2B
3B
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