Welcome back RotoBallers to our second round of 2016 fantasy baseball rankings. This edition focuses on the hot corner, third base.

If you haven't caught on by now, third base is a stacked position. The top four third basemen (Josh Donaldson, Kris Bryant, Manny Machado, Nolan Arenado) all have a legitimate claim to the No. 1 spot, while players who used to fight for that right (Evan Longoria, Adrian Beltre, Todd Frazier) serve as excellent contingency plans on draft day. And we haven't even brought up young guns Miguel Sano and Maikel Franco. This is gonna be fun.

This round of rankings features seven of our experts. They are Brad Johnson, Max Petrie, Kyle Bishop, Harris Yudin, Jeff Kahntroff, Bill Dubiel, and Nick Mariano. Assume a standard 5x5 redraft league when reading. Don't forget to also read the rest of our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings articles and analysis. In case you missed it, we've been churning out dynasty rankings, keeper values, and top MLB prospect rankings for the 2016 fantasy baseball season. Let's get to it.

 

2016 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: Third Base

Tier One

Let's start with the heavyweights. Choosing a "best" player among this group is no easy task, and I spent a good deal of time deliberating this decision. Four of the seven writers chose Donaldson as No. 1, making him the majority pick. I was the only writer to selectArenado, a fact that surprised me somewhat. Arenado led baseball with 130 RBI and was tops among 3B with 42 HR. He gets to call Coors Field home and, as I love to mention, he hit more HR on the road (22) than at home (20). Not to say he didn't love Coors; he had a higher OPS (.960) and ISO (.294) at home.

Another player I considered for No. 1 did get some love from Brad, and that's Machado. He led all 3B with 20 SB and was one of two players (Paul Goldschmidt) to put up a 30/20 campaign. He'll also have Chris Davis back in the fold and the addition of Mark Trumbo will only boost the Orioles offensive output.

The only player in this tier that gives me pause is Bryant; his 30.6% K rate was the worst among qualified 3B. Regardless, he's still an offensive force in an upgraded Cubs lineup and should not slip past the first few picks in the second round.

Tier Two

Here we find some young bombers and old vets. The youngins, Sano and Franco, have oodles of potential and have already put it on display. Sano hit 18 HR in 279 at-bats and his .260 ISO would have ranked third among 3B if he qualified. He should be a lock for 30 HR this season. The average won't be pretty (35.5% K rate) but the power is real. Franco's 2015 numbers are inflated by an outstanding run in June (.355, 8 HR, 24 RBI) but there's plenty of room for growth in the 23-year old. His ranking would be higher if the Phillies had a real offense around him.

If there's a player who couldn't wait for 2015 to end, it was Frazier. After a 25 HR first-half, Frazier only hit 10 HR with a .220 AVG to end the year. I'd hazard that's the last time we see Frazier participate in a home-run derby. He should see plenty of RBI opportunities protecting Jose Abreu in the White Sox lineup, and the departure from a sandbox aka Great American Ballpark shouldn't hinder his HR potential drastically; he hit only three more HR at home versus the road in 2015.

Word for the wise: don't let Beltre and Longoria slip past the 8th round. Are they "sexy" picks? No. Are they consistent? You betcha.

Tier Three

Here's where we really get to see the value available at third base. What does Matt Carpenter need to do to get some love? His 28 HR were fourth among 3B and his .505 SLG was third, ahead of Machado. I'm pessimistic about him repeating these numbers (hence my ranking), but he's still averaging just under 109 runs per season over the last three years. The loss of Jason Heyward will hurt but count me a believer in Stephen Piscotty and Randal Grichuk to keep the offense moving.

Anthony Rendon was a top-25 player in 2014 until the injury bug caught back up. The player to keep an eye on in this sector is Josh Harrison. Harrison is in line for an everyday role now that Neil Walker is in New York, and he's proven capable of stepping into the role already. In 2014, he hit .318 with a 13/18 HR/SB split in 550 PA. As long as he remains atop the order, he should exceed his value.

People who have been predicting a Mike Moustakas breakout for the past four years can finally come out of their hole and say "I told you so!" The biggest adjustment for Moose was shedding his pull-happy tendencies and hitting to all fields. I'm still not sold he's for real; his .294 BABIP was 26 points higher than his career average and his improved OBP was inflated by getting hit 13 times!

If you could promise me Justin Turner and David Wright will stay healthy, they'd move up our rankings a few spots. Alas, know the risk involved with drafting either on draft day (that's code for grab a backup 3B).

Tier Four

Call this our "Potential Tier." Only two names are included (Nick Castellanos, Jake Lamb). Tigers fans have been clamoring for Castellanos to put it all together. If things go south this year, it may be the final straw. There's plenty to like here; his 23.3% LD rate was fourth among 3B and he hits to all fields (29.3% oppo rate was third). He just needs to dial back on the strikeouts (25.5% K rate). There's a 20-HR campaign in him, somewhere.

Lamb has a similar makeup. Hits all fields but strikes out too much. He does provide a sounder plate approach and hit over .300 in his minor-league career with the D-backs. His ranking hinges on his slot in the batting order. If he cleans up for Goldschmidt, he's got a great chance to crack the top-15. If he struggles with his consistency at the plate and lands sixth behind Wellington Castillo, he'll end up in our next tier.

Tier Five

We're getting into choppy waters, but there's still value to be had. Pablo Sandoval has reported to have lost 20 pounds over the offseason and was having a respectable 2015 until a disastrous second half (.210, 3 HR, 17 RBI). Trevor Plouffe finished ninth in HR and sixth in RBI among third basemen, albeit it comes with an average under .250. Luis Valbuena's 25 HR were eighth among 3B, but that comes with an even worse average (.224).

Brett Lawrie will be given another chance to live up to the hype in Chicago, even if he's too stubborn to draw walks (.299 OBP). Danny Valencia will find himself getting ample at-bats for Oakland and should see time in the cleanup spot after hitting 18 HR in 345 AB. His 22.2 HR/FB% and .229 ISO were first and third, respectively, among third basemen with 350 PA. Yasmany Tomas will be given a full-time playing opportunity with Ender Inciarte shipped out and is a candidate to bat fourth in Arizona. Keep an eye on these guys in the latter half of your draft.

Tier Six

If any of these players is your starting third basemen or CI slot in a shallow league, I hope you're stacked elsewhere. There's still some diamonds in the rough. Yunel Escobar is terrible with the glove but who cares? He led all third basemen with a .375 OBP. He's expected to bat leadoff for the Angels ahead of a Kole Calhoun-Mike Trout-Albert Pujols trio. That's code for tons of runs.

Yangervis Solarte will be the everyday third basemen for San Diego and had a strong finish to 2015 (.292, 39 R, 9 HR, 31 RBI). There's plenty of mystery surrounding Hector Olivera, but I would advise to be bearish with projections. His plate patience will make it up a struggle to hit over .280 and his swing makeup is more likely to conduce doubles than home runs. An over/under of 15 HR sounds reasonable.

Tier Seven

Nothing to see here for mixed-league folks. The only players in this tier who are expected to start Opening Day are Adonis Garcia and Tyler Saladino. Garcia is an interesting NL-Only option. He had a solid winter ball campaign according to Braves' coaches and will be given a shot at everyday playing time unless they decide to shift Hector Olivera back to third base. Still, try not to let your roster come to this.

 

Third Base Rankings for 2016 Fantasy Baseball

Rank	Tier	Name	Brad	Max	Kyle	Nick	Harris	Jeff	Bill
1	1	Josh Donaldson	2	2	2	1	1	1	1
2	1	Manny Machado	1	3	3	2	2	3	4
3	1	Nolan Arenado	4	1	4	3	4	2	2
4	1	Kris Bryant	3	4	1	4	3	4	3
5	2	Miguel Sano	5	5	5	5	5	7	7
6	2	Todd Frazier	7	7	7	6	6	5	5
7	2	Kyle Seager	8	6	8	8	7	8	6
8	2	Adrian Beltre	6	9	6	7	15	6	8
9	2	Evan Longoria	9	8	9	10	8	9	9
10	2	Maikel Franco	11	10	10	9	13	11	10
11	3	Matt Carpenter	10	12	12	12	10	10	12
12	3	Anthony Rendon	12	11	11	11	11	13	11
13	3	Mike Moustakas	13	17	13	13	9	16	13
14	3	David Wright	14	13	14	14	17	15	16
15	3	Jung Ho Kang	-	16	-	-	12	17	-
16	3	Matt Duffy	17	14	19	16	16	14	15
17	3	Justin Turner	15	18	15	15	14	22	14
18	3	Josh Harrison	20	15	20	18	19	12	18
19	4	Jake Lamb	24	19	16	17	26	18	17
20	4	Nick Castellanos	16	22	17	21	21	21	20
21	5	Pablo Sandoval	19	20	29	19	18	19	19
22	5	Trevor Plouffe	21	23	18	20	27	20	22
23	5	Luis Valbuena	22	25	21	23	20	26	23
24	5	Chase Headley	25	24	22	22	31	23	21
25	5	Danny Valencia	18	21	25	28	24		28
26	5	Brett Lawrie	29	26	27	26	22	25	25
27	5	Yasmany Tomas		27	30	25	23	24	27
28	6	Martin Prado	27	30	26	27	32		24
29	6	Jed Lowrie	28	32	28	30	25	29	26
30	6	Derek Dietrich	23	33	23	24	40	27	30
31	6	Yangervis Solarte	26	31	24	29	33	28	31
32	6	Joey Gallo	-	-	-	-	28	30	-
33	6	Yunel Escobar	-	28	-	-	30	32	-
34	6	Cory Spangenberg	-	-	-	-	29	31	-
35	6	David Freese	30	34	-	-	36	-	33
36	6	Hector Olivera	-	29	-	-	38	-	-
37	7	Juan Uribe	-	-	-	-	39	-	29
38	7	Will Middlebrooks	-	-	-	-	34	-	-
39	7	Adonis Garcia	-	35	-	-	-	-	-
40	7	Brock Holt	-	-	-	-	35	-	-
41	7	Lonnie Chisenhall	-	36	-	-	38	-	32
42	7	Cody Asche	-	-	-	-	42	-	-

 

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