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Rookie Mock Draft Recap - Rounds 3-4


As with any draft, mock or not, the later you get the more surprises you find. RotoBaller’s 2017 Rookie Mock Draft was no exception. Although the names should all be familiar to dynasty league owners, the order may not be what you would expect. Of course, the point of these early mocks is to get a good understanding of what the current ADP is for top players and compare it to your own rankings. Our experts

As we take a deeper look into all 12 picks, those dynasty leaguers among us will get a fantastic early look into where our writers and staff are hedging their bets for the future. If you didn't catch the earlier segments, check out our analysis of Round 1 here or the Round 2 breakdown here.

Ed. Note: For continual coverage of NFL free agency news and its fantasy impact, keep tuned to RotoBaller!

 

Since we have two rounds to cover, instead of breaking down every player, let's examine which picks might prove to be the best values according to ADP and which ones are looking like unnecessary risks at this juncture.

 

Best Values

Pick 3.3 - Cooper Kupp (WR, LAR)

This mock presumes rookie picks for an existing dynasty league, so while you're looking long-term, you'd also prefer someone who can contribute right away. Of all the picks going past the second round, it appears Kupp may be the best-suited to fit that bill. He profiles as a possession receiver, which is a euphemistic way of saying he isn't all that fast (4.62 40 time). He does have sneaky agility and displayed good hands and route-running nuance in all his workouts. Kupp may be in danger of getting overhyped before he ever takes the field as a Ram, but anywhere inside the third round is a fair value.

Pick 3.07 - Mitchell Trubisky (QB, CHI)

The skepticism is real. Despite being the #2 overall pick, Trubisky is barely being taken in the second round of most rookie drafts, falling to the mid-third in this mock. Deshaun Watson and Pat Mahomes are consistently being drafted ahead of him, mainly because they have the best chance of contributing first. Sure, he only has one year as a starter under his belt, but it was a season that included 30 TD and a 68% completion rate. It's possible Trubisky is falling so far in rookie drafts that he is actually becoming a value pick. If you are like me and would rather invest your first couple of picks on a RB/WR combo, Trubisky becomes a great quarterback of the future to take a chance on at a reasonable price.

Pick 4.10 - ArDarius Stewart (WR, NYJ)

Stewart was one of the very last picks in this draft, which isn't far off his current fourth-round ADP, but he could pay more dividends than several players taken ahead of him. Stewart goes from the best program (and NFL pipeline) in college football to the biggest market in the league. Although his numbers at Alabama weren't eye-popping, he didn't play in a pass-heavy offense and had to fight for targets among several other talented skill players. Stewart has good speed (4.49 40 time) and could be a big play threat sooner than people think. If only we knew who his quarterback will be...

 

Biggest Risks

Pick 3.2 - KD Cannon (WR, FA) - To be fair, at the time this draft took place, Cannon was listed on the Jets roster. He then made his way to San Francisco and was promptly cut again within a week. If he couldn't catch on with two teams in rebuild mode desperate for playmakers, there is little hope he can make it anywhere in the league. Training camp is still in the distant future, relatively speaking, but Cannon's stock has plummeted like no other player over the last month. This one-trick speed pony doesn't appear worth drafting unless you are in the latter stages of a very deep dynasty startup with ample roster space.

Pick 3.05 - James Conner (RB, PIT) - Everyone is rooting for Conner to succeed in the league and in life. That's not the issue here, however, as we must evaluate his fantasy value. As a sophomore, he was downright dominant in the ACC, running for 1,765 yards and a ridiculous 26 TD. Conner doesn't have to pack his bags, as he stays in Pittsburgh, which would seem to work wonders for his fantasy value. There is the small matter of Le'Veon Bell blocking his path to carries. He makes a must-have handcuff for Bell owners, but would seem to be enough of a longshot for significant playing time unless Bell gets injured or suspended. C'mon, what are the chances of that happening? Conner does his best work between the tackles and could pick up some short-yardage touchdowns, but someone like Joe Williams or even Elijah McGuire has a higher ceiling because of their depth chart situations.

Pick 4.01 - Ishmael Zamora (WR, OAK) - Let me start by saying I don't hate this pick from a dynasty standpoint because it's unconventional, leans toward physical talent and could pay off down the road. Just because a player isn't drafted by an NFL team doesn't mean he can't become a factor in the league, after all. Zamora is the polar opposite of the above-mentioned Conner. Whereas Conner doesn't stand out physically, but had a decorated college career and a sparkling character, Zamora is a physical specimen, but has been cited for animal abuse and comes from the Baylor football program (say no more). While I personally would never support someone who abuses dogs, there is great potential here if you can wait a couple years for him to mature. Zamora left after his sophomore year and is just 21 entering the NFL, so there is a minimal chance he contributes anything as a rookie.

 

Our first rookie mock draft is over, but stay tuned for another full-blown dynasty mock in the coming weeks. Nobody has you covered for all your fantasy football needs like RotoBaller!




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