X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

PGA DFS: Vegas Report - Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

Cameron Champ celebrated his victory at the Safeway Open with his father and terminally ill grandfather via a phonecall after making birdie on the 18th hole for his second career PGA Tour victory. His grandfather, Mack Champ, or as Cameron calls him "Papa," sat in his bed in hospice and watched his grandson get the job done on Sunday, but it wasn't always a foregone conclusion that the 24-year-old would play this week. After his round, Champ stated that it was going to be a "last-minute decision" on if he would tee it up this week, and he wasn't sure how he was going to hold up.

And perhaps the reason we even saw him give it a go this weekend was because of what his grandfather has meant to him and his career. Mack introduced Cameron to the game of golf at the age of two in his backyard in Sacramento, and the two of them were often side-by-side over the years at Foothill Golf Center, dreaming about the day where the now 70th-ranked player in the world would receive a Masters invite.

The victory in Napa Valley not only presented his grandfather one more opportunity to see his grandson win on the PGA Tour but also earned him an invite to their life-long dream.“I told myself I’m going to make the Masters, I’m going to figure out a way, play my butt off,” Champ said. “I think just knowing that I did it, that was my last gift to him,” Whether Champ goes on and wins 100 more tournaments or never wins again, this triumph will always be his most memorable and greatest achievement in his career. Some things are bigger than the game of golf, and Champ's mastery will go down as one of the best feel-good moments we have seen in quite some time.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

2020 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and Fanduel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course.

TPC Summerlin

7,251 Yards - Par 71 - Greens Bentgrass

The PGA Tour brings a star-studded field this year to Las Vegas for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. TPC Summerlin is a course that is minutes away from where I live and is Vegas' premier architectural venue. Measuring in as a 7,251 yard par-71, Bobby Weed masterminded the property on the rugged desert terrain, with Fuzzy Zoeller serving as his consultant. The course itself meanders through arroyos and canyons and has lush Bentgrass greens with friendly Bermuda rough.

TPC Summerlin is aesthetically pleasing to the eye, but it isn't the most challenging course in the world. They did redo 102 bunkers last season to try and add a little more challenge to the venue, but it didn't appear to do much in terms of difficulty, as Bryson DeChambeau shot a 21-under par during his victory. While the resanding and relocation of the bunkers were meant to enhance strategy and provide a sterner test, the one major component that could completely alter the event is wind. Many people don't realize just how breezy Vegas can get throughout the year. As of right now, extreme gusts are not expected in the forecast, but it is something to monitor over the next few days.

The three par-fives and two short par-fours are the most accessible holes, and four of these are included during the final six-hole stretch. There is a challenging par-three at the 17th, but that will be the only real test for players coming home. Overall, golfers that can demonstrate ball-striking ability and strategy off the tee should be able to exploit TPC Summerlin in ideal conditions.

Shriners Hospitals For Children Open

#1 Brooks Koepka 10/1

DK Price $11,700, FD Price $12,200

Projected DraftKings Ownership Percentage - 11.0%

It seems as if Brooks Koepka gets disrespected just about every time he tees it up. Four top-four finishes during the majors in 2019, including a victory at the PGA Championship, yet that profile was not enough to capture the "Player of the Year" award over Rory McIlroy, who missed the cut at the Open Championship and failed to post a top-five result in his other three major appearances.

With Koepka lauded as the 10/1 betting favorite this weekend in Las Vegas, it is not quite as egregious of a transgression as we normally see, but we are now starting to enter a territory where the 29-year-old is being priced higher to win a common event on tour than he is to attain a grand slam title. Sure, there is some merit in believing that should actually be the case with Koepka's recent results in the most significant tournaments in the world, but as someone who handicaps sporting contests for a living, I can't buy into the narrative that events with exponentially stronger fields are easier for the American to take down then your run-of-the-mill weekly competitions.

I've discussed this viewpoint in the past, so I don't want to go into another long rant about the same topic, but I'm under the assumption that Koepka enters your non-majors with no real practice under his belt. He has been on the record multiple times that he doesn't play golf unless you are watching him on television, and he usually tries to use the preceding tournaments to get into peak form to compete during the majors.

That obviously raises a bit of a red flag with the Shriners Open being the first event on his schedule for the 2020 calendar year, but Koepka has gotten his past few seasons off to a blazing start. The number one player in the world took down the CJ Cup to begin 2019 and finished second at the WGC- Champions to start 2018. With the disrespect thrown his direction from not being named the best player on tour last season, I would expect another determined start from the seven-time PGA Tour winner and would not be shocked to see him make a mockery of his 10/1 price tag.

#2 Byeong Hun An 45/1

DK Price $9,000, FD Price $10,000

Projected DraftKings Ownership Percentage - 7.1%

The fall season has notoriously been the time where many first-time winners are able to find a breakthrough victory on tour after coming aggravatingly close throughout the year, and Byeong Hun An fits that narrative heading into Las Vegas with four top-10 showings in 2019, including two top-three results in his past six events.

The issue that has held An back has been his putting, but we have seen a slight glimmer of improvement recently. The 46th-ranked player in the world has gained strokes with his flat stick in six of his past 10 tournaments, which is a vast increase from his stretch immediately preceding his recent run. An went through a 14-tournament stretch that saw him lose strokes with his flat stick 13 of 14 times, including 10 in a row before his turnaround. The 28-year-old is creeping towards finding the winners circle, and Vegas' birdie fest could be the perfect location for him to finally breakthrough.

#3 Bud Cauley 80/1

DK Price $7,400, FD Price $9,000

Projected DraftKings Ownership Percentage - 6.9%

If we remove Bud Cauley's disastrous Sunday at the Safeway Open, the American had been putting together the second-best streak on tour in 2019 of not losing more than one total stroke during a round. The good run dated back to June 30th and trailed only Billy Horschel, who went 28 rounds under the same criteria. Cauley's sequence of solid play allowed him to post three straight top-25 results, and he was well on his way to another excellent performance before his implosion in Napa Valley.

From a betting perspective, the 29-year-old has provided us with a window of opportunity because of his recent final-round meltdown. His current price tag of 80/1 is probably about 20 points higher than it would have been if Cauley was able to make it to the clubhouse with another top-notch showing, and I am willing to take a gamble on him continuing his recent stretch of world-class golf in Las Vegas.

#4 Si Woo Kim 140/1

DK Price $6,900, FD Price $8,500

Projected DraftKings Ownership Percentage - 2.2%

The 2019 calendar season did not go according to plan for Si Woo Kim. The 71st-ranked player in the world missed nine out of 10 cuts from April to July and failed to win on tour for the second straight year. However, Kim has always been known for his up-and-down style, and things appear to be turning around for the 24-year-old sensation.

The two-time PGA Tour winner has produced five straight made cuts, including a fifth-place finish at the Wyndham Championship and a 49th place showing last weekend that was undone by a Saturday 75. In fact, Kim has failed to break 70 during his previous four events on the weekend, which has quietly misrepresented just how solid he has been to begin each week. We are going to need a few aberrational rounds once we enter this range on the betting board, and Kim's high variance style mixed with his inflated odds of 140/1 make him the perfect golfer to target in this area.


Key Stats: Birdie or Better Percentage 20%, Proximity 125-175 Yards 17.5%, Par-Five Birdie or Better Percentage 15%, Par-Four Average 15%, Proximity 200+ Yards 12.5%, Sand Save Percentage 10% and Strokes Gained Putting + Scrambling 10%

50% Stats/30% Form/20% Course History


Head-to-Head Play of the Week

Bud Cauley -115 over Phil Mickelson -105
Bud Cauley $7,400 price tag on DraftKings vs. Phil Mickelson $7,300 price tag
Bud Cauley 6.9 percent projected ownership vs. Phil Mickelson 1.2 percent projected ownership

1.15 Units to Win 1.00 Units

With the current disdain around Phil Mickelson's game, I don't expect this current price to last for long. Mickelson's 1.2% projected ownership on DraftKings highlights where the public's mentality is with the American, and this feels like an excellent number grab that should yield profitable long-term results.

For all the accolades Mickelson has received throughout his career for his putting prowess, Bentgrass greens haven't always been conducive for success. In his previous 16 trackable rounds on the surface, Mickelson has only gained above 1.1 strokes putting twice and has lost strokes putting nine times.

The 44th-ranked player in the world is out of sorts with his game in general, missing six of his past 11 cuts, and it has made matters worse that he has failed to provide a top-45 showing during that timeframe. Cauley, on the other hand, has posted five straight top-45 finishes if you exclude his withdrawal at the Northern Trust in August. I'd anticipate we see this line close much higher than its current -115 price tag and believe the implied probability with all outside factors has this wager closer to a 60% implied probability situation. That generally warrants an increase in our stake amount, but I'm going to give Mickelson a little credit for his ability to turn on the switch overnight and limit this to a 1.15 unit wager.

2020 Head-to-Head Record (2-0-0)

+2.00 Units Year-To-Date From H2H Bets

Tournament

Head-to-Head Bet

Bet

My Picks Finish

Opponent Finish

Result

Total

Sanderson Farms

Denny McCarthy -110 over Martin Laird

1.10 Units to Win 1.00

T18 (-11)

MC (+4)

Win

1.00

Safeway
Open

Cameron Percy -110 over Danny Lee

1.10 Units to Win 1.00

T7 (-12)

MC (+2)

Win

1.00

2020 Outright Bets That Have Finished Inside the Top-10

None through two events.

 

Career Record: 

2017 Golf Betting:
Head to Head Bets (10-2-2) +8.175 Units
Outright Winners (5)
Dustin Johnson Genesis Open (10/1)
Sergio Garcia Masters (50/1)
Brooks Koepka U.S. Open (45/1)
Justin Thomas PGA Championship (35/1)
Dustin Johnson Northern Trust (14/1)

2018 Golf Betting:
Head to Head Bets
(46-24-2) +24.49 Units
Outright Winners (5)
Phil Mickelson WGC-Mexico (22/1)
Bubba Watson WGC- Match Play (45/1)
Brooks Koepka U.S. Open In-Play Wager (14/1)
Dustin Johnson RBC Canadian Open (7/1)
Justin Thomas WGC-Bridgestone (30/1)

2019 Golf Betting:
Head to Head Bets
(16-9-2) +8.33 Units
Outright Winners (5)
Matt Kuchar Mayakoba Golf Classic (66/1)
Corey Conners Valero Texas Open (200/1)
Rory McIlroy RBC Canadian Open  (10/1)
Brooks Koepka WGC- St. Jude Classic (12/1)
Rory McIlroy Tour Championship (8/1)

Career Record (Excluding 2020 Season Results):

Head to Head Bets (72-35-6) +40.995 Units
Outright Winners (15)
Top 5s (Didn't Track in 2017)
2018 - 16
2019 - 26
Top 10s (Didn't Track in 2017)
2018 - 31
2019 - 41

 

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Corey Heim

Does Not Qualify for Cup Race at Chicago Street Course
LaJohntay Wester

Stands out on Special Teams
Clarke Schmidt

Likely to Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Nolan Arenado

Scratched from Saturday's Lineup
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Starting on Saturday
Corbin Carroll

Activated from 10-Day Injured List
Cincinnati Bengals

Shemar Stewart, Bengals Continue Contract Talks, No Progress Made
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Potential Giannis Antetokounmpo Trade may not Happen Until "August, September"
Ha-Seong Kim

Removed Early During Season Debut
ARI

Christian Fischer Retires From NHL at 28
NHL

Spencer Martin Moves to Russia
WAS

Anthony Beauvillier Re-Signs With Capitals for Two Years
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Sitting Out With Foot Issue
Isaiah Neyor

Impresses at Minicamp
Houston Rockets

Jock Landale Waived by Rockets
Bo Bichette

Back in Blue Jays Lineup
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Considering Returning to Europe
Miles Sanders

Works With Starters During Mandatory Minicamp
Jabari Walker

Signs Two-Way Deal With Sixers
Chimere Dike

Titans Could Move Chimere Dike Inside
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith not Guaranteed Roster Spot
Anthony Bradford

Working Hard to Win Back Starting Job
Byron Young

Still Improving?
Cody Simon

Jonathan Gannon has Been Impressed With Cody Simon
SirVocea Dennis

has Impressive Offseason
Trevor Penning

Could Still Have a Role in New Orleans
Jonathan Kuminga

Warriors Decline Recent Offer for Jonathan Kuminga
Orlando Magic

Moritz Wagner, Magic Agree to One-Year Deal
Clarke Schmidt

Placed on Injured List
José Soriano

Jose Soriano Throws Gem Against Braves
Robbie Ray

Earns Ninth Win in Complete Game
T.J. Watt

Likely to Reset the Edge-Rush Market
George Springer

Blasts Two Homers, Drives in Four
James Wood

Goes Yard in Five-Hit Night
Bradley Beal

Suns Discussing Potential Buyout
Los Angeles Lakers

Jaxson Hayes Staying with the Lakers
NBA

Damian Lillard "Open" to Signing With a Team This Offseason
Max Muncy

Out at Least Six Weeks
Clarke Schmidt

Leaves Start with Forearm Tightness
Colson Montgomery

Promoted to the Major Leagues
Pittsburgh Steelers

Omar Khan, Steelers Agree to Three-Year Contract
Max Muncy

Goes on Injured List With Knee Bruise
Max Muncy

Out of Thursday's Lineup
James Wood

Joining Home Run Derby
SJ

Sharks Claim Nick Leddy Off Waivers
Max Scherzer

Cleared to Start on Saturday
SJ

Sharks Sign Dmitry Orlov to Two-Year, $13 Million Contract
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Joins Hurricanes on Six-Year Contract
Kodai Senga

Could be "in Play" to Return Before All-Star Break
Ha-Seong Kim

Rays Reinstate Ha-Seong Kim From Injured List
Chau Smith-Wade

Having Stellar Offseason
Ace Bailey

Inks Rookie Contract With Jazz
Divine Deablo

Could be the Quarterback of the Defense
Isaiah Rodgers

a Likely Starter for the Vikings
Jacob Monk

Sees Plenty of Work With Starters
Avonte Maddox

has Impressed Dan Campbell
Boston Celtics

Josh Minott Inks Deal With Celtics
Chicago Bears

Ruben Hyppolite Shows Notable Improvement
Sandro Mamukelashvili

Heading to Toronto
Daron Payne

Commanders Coaches Impressed With Daron Payne
Danny Gray

Makes Impression During Offseason Workouts
Jared McCain

Not on 76ers Summer League Roster
Dylan Harper

Unavailable for California Classic
COL

Brent Burns Inks One-Year Deal with Avalanche
STL

Blues Land Pius Suter on Two-Year Deal
Morgan Frost

Agrees to Two-Year Extension with Flames
WPG

Gustav Nyquist Moves to Winnipeg
Cody Glass

Devils Re-Sign Cody Glass to Two-Year Deal
PIT

Anthony Mantha Joins Penguins
Cleveland Cavaliers

Larry Nance Jr. Headed Back to Cavaliers
Eric Gordon

Remaining with 76ers
Los Angeles Lakers

Deandre Ayton Joining Lakers
Emil Heineman

Signs Two-Year Deal with Islanders
Simon Holmstrom

Re-Signs with Islanders for Two Years
UTA

Nate Schmidt Signs Three-Year Deal with Mammoth
UTA

Brandon Tanev Moves to Utah on Three-Year Contract
NJ

Evgenii Dadonov Joins Devils on One-Year Deal
BUF

Sabres Snap Up Alex Lyon on Two-Year Contract
Dallas Mavericks

Dante Exum Returning to Dallas
Ryan McLeod

Inks Four-Year Extension with Sabres
NAS

Predators Bring in Nick Perbix on Two-Year Deal
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Has Surgery to Repair a Turf Toe Injury
LA

Cody Ceci Moves to Los Angeles
Charlotte Hornets

Spencer Dinwiddie Lands With Charlotte
Bud Cauley

in Great Form Ahead of John Deere Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

a Player to Avoid at John Deere Classic
Jake Knapp

Riding Momentum Ahead of John Deere Classic
PGA

Sungjae Im Looking for Consistency at John Deere Classic
Ryan Gerard

a Solid Option at John Deere Classic
Rickie Fowler

Looking to Rebound at John Deere Classic
Cameron Champ

a Volatile Option at John Deere Classic
Jackson Suber

Staying Below 70 is Key to Success for Jackson Suber
Kevin Roy

Playing Better Heading into John Deere Classic
Justin Lower

Hoping for Something Positive in Illinois
Ben Kohles

a Long Shot at John Deere Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Attempts to Stop Roller-Coaster Ride
Beau Hossler

Needs a Challenge in Illinois
Harry Higgs

Has Potential at John Deere Classic
Nick Dunlap

Keeps Plugging Through Tough 2025 Season
Milwaukee Bucks

Taurean Prince Staying in Milwaukee
Kevin Yu

a Near Must-Play at TPC Deere Run
PGA

J.T. Poston Returns to John Deere Classic Looking for Another High Finish
Thriston Lawrence

a Decent Fit For John Deere Classic
Tom Kim

Not Finding Much to be Happy About Ahead of John Deere Classic
Si Woo Kim

is a Prohibitive Fade at John Deere Classic
Ben Griffin

is the Appropriate Favorite at TPC Deere Run
Daniel Suarez

and Trackhouse Racing Parting Ways After 2025 Season
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Beneil Dariush

Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
Tyler Reddick

Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta