Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Week 10 - Monkey Knife Fight


We're in Week 10 of the NFL season, and our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NFL DFS games in the industry.

On MKF, there are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash. You're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money.

As always, there are a couple of games we can look to target this week including the Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers.

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'RBNFL19'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

Falcons @ Saints

Over/Under Contest

Recommended Prop Pick: Drew Brees over 295.5 passing yards and Matt Ryan over 287.5 passing yards.

This game has the second-highest total on the board at 51.5 and should be an absolute shootout down in New Orleans. These teams have combined to average 54.2 points per game over their last five games dating back to 2017.

Let's start with why Brees should go over the total. First and foremost, the Saints are at home, and we all know Brees loves to play at home. In his two games at home this season, he has thrown for at least 370 yards. In 2018, he averaged over 321 passing yards per game at home as well. The guy loves some home cooking on the bayou. It also won't hurt that the Falcons have been horrendous against the pass this season. They allowed Jacoby Brissett and Kyler Murray to torch them to the tune of 310 passing yards and 340 passing yards, respectively. They also allowed Deshaun Watson to throw for a whopping 426 yards against them in a Week 5 contest. 426 yards! Brees should have a field day against this defense.

Matt Ryan and 300-yard passing games have been almost automatic in 2019. His team is 1-7, which means he has been trailing late in games and been forced to chuck the ball around to attempt to come back. He has eclipsed the 300-yard mark in every single game this season, except a Week 7 contest vs. the Rams in which he left early with an ankle injury. The Saints have proven they can stop the run in 2019 as they only allow running backs to rush for 61.5 yards per game, which is tops in the league. It's no secret the Falcons will struggle to move the ball if they attempt to run on this defense. Their pass d is a little more suspect, however. They have allowed big performances to quarterbacks on a couple of occasions this season, including a 406 passing yard performance to Russell Wilson in Week 3. Ryan has also averaged 315 passing yards per game in his last four games against the Saints. Add in the fact that New Orleans is favored by 13 points, and you have another situation where Ryan will be forced to throw the ball a ton in order to attempt to mount a comeback.

Play the Over/Under Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

Panthers @ Packers

Fantasy Challenge Contest

Recommended Prop Pick: Aaron Jones, Davante Adams, and Christian McCaffrey over 63.5 fantasy points.

This game has a lower total than I would have expected at 47, but this could be due to the dud performance the Packers put up at the Chargers last week or possibly due to the cold weather expected in Green Bay on Sunday. Green Bay returns home and I expect a very motivated team to perform well vs. the Panthers. Both of these teams are capable of putting up big numbers and that is exactly what should happen.

Aaron Jones has finally started to gain traction as the top back in Green Bay. He has had some monster games so far this season, putting up over 40 fantasy points by himself in two different contests. To be fair, he has also had some clunkers against the likes of Chicago, Detroit, and last week, vs the Chargers. He gets a relatively favorable matchup vs. the Panthers this week who are allowing running backs to rush for 105.5 yards per game and have allowed the most rushing touchdowns to backs in the league with 11. In terms of fantasy points allowed, the Panthers also rank poorly as they are the fifth-worst in this department, allowing 23.8 points per game.

The Panthers also allow wide receivers to earn 180 receiving yards per game, so Adams is definitely in play this week. He had a rough performance last week, but that could easily be attributed to rust coming back from the turf toe injury that kept him out for four games. He has averaged over nine targets per game when he has played and should be heavily involved this week as well. The Panthers have allowed 22.9 fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season, which also ranks in the bottom half of the league.

Lastly, we have Christian McCaffrey, who probably does not need a write-up with the way he has performed this season but we will do one anyway. The Packers rank third-worst in terms of total rushing yards allowed to running backs with 1,036. This equates to them allowing 115.1 yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the league. McCaffrey is currently averaging over 110 rushing yards per game, so this matchup is perfect for him to keep pace with his averages. The Packers have also allowed running backs to catch 53 passes, which ranks fifth-worst in the league. It's no secret that McCaffrey is a big-time threat to catch passes out of the backfield as he has caught 42 balls so far this season, which averages out to 5.25 per game. Finally, the Packers rank sixth-worst in terms of fantasy points per game allowed to running backs with 22.9.

Play the Fantasy Challenge Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

Thursday Night Football Matchups Analysis - Week 15

What a tremendous upset to kick off the fantasy playoffs (in most league formats)! The Chicago Bears pulled off a tremendous upset of the NFC East leading Dallas Cowboys last Thursday, with Mitch Trubisky throwing for three scores and David Montgomery getting 20 touches in the win. Most of Dallas' playmakers returned solid days, but... Read More


Show Me The Money! Stashes That Could Win Your League

Success in the fantasy playoffs is all about planning ahead. Your bench is no longer a safe space for high floor players without much of a ceiling; they won't win you the big game. You need to look ahead and stash players with exploitable matchups in the weeks to come so that you don't get... Read More


Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 14 Analysis

Wide receivers are essential components toward your ultimate goal of securing league championships. If you are preparing for Week 15 matchups, an expanding collection of tools are available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge. Those results provide the foundation for this weekly statistical breakdown of the wide receiver position, which is designed... Read More


The King's Week 15 Lineup Rankings and Analysis (Premium Content)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! Below you will find my Week 15 fantasy football lineup rankings for the second round of your playoffs. The ranks are available in PPR, Half PPR, and Standard formats. They will be updated as needed, so make sure to check back for the latest versions, especially on the weekends. Skill Position analysis versus... Read More


Week 15 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Fantasy Football Booms, Busts - Kenny Golladay, Kenyan Drake, James White

If there was ever a week to have more booms than busts in your fantasy football lineup, it’s this week. The playoffs are either underway or about to start in fantasy football leagues across the nation and around the world. If you are lucky enough to be the proud owner of a playoff team, then... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 15 Josh Jacobs (shoulder) is now expected to suit for Week 15. Adam Thielen (hamstring) is expected to return... Read More


Week 15 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that the playoffs are in full swing in most leagues and the final march for a championship has begun, streaming becomes a  necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions could easily be the difference in winning... Read More


NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 15) - Targets and Avoids

Week 13 was a pretty chalky one with just three underdogs winning outright. The biggest upset was the Broncos absolutely annihilating the Houston Texans who were still celebrating their "Super Bowl" win against the Patriots the week prior. Three weeks remain and I'd be a fool to think there are hundreds who are reading this... Read More


The Tape Tells All - Robby Anderson Fantasy Outlook

Welcome to another edition of "The Tape Tells All," where I break down some film of an NFL's player performance and try to draw some fantasy football conclusions from that film. This week, I'm looking at New York Jets wide receiver Robby Anderson, who's shaken off a slow start to the 2019 season by going... Read More


Fantasy Football Risers, Fallers - Zach Ertz, Emmanuel Sanders, Robert Woods

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement.... Read More


Fantasy Football Disaster Recovery: Sit Your Studs?

Welcome to Disaster Recovery, where each week I'll examine why your studs played like duds. This isn't a place to find out why you should have sat a player for somebody else on your bench. Disaster Recovery is here to examine the guys who you didn't think twice about starting and to help you decide if you should... Read More


Week 15 Warning Signs: Matt Ryan, Carson Wentz, Julio Jones

You made the playoffs. Awesome. Now you have even won your first game. That is even better. But now what? There are many players, some of whom performed in the first round, who may not be so fortunate this week. Whether it is a bad matchup or injuries to key players around them, this could... Read More


WR/TE Leaderboards After The First Playoff Round - NFL Next Gen Stats

Things finally got serious. If you're here, it's only because one of two reasons: 1) you have followed the series all along and want to keep reading just so you don't feel bad with yourself, or 2) you won your first round of the fantasy playoffs and are still on the lookout for the smallest... Read More


Deeper League Free Agent Pickups for Week 15

The first week of the fantasy playoffs is in the books, and hopefully you're still writing another chapter in it. Week 14 was absolutely brutal from an injury perspective, with several big name players getting carted off the field and burying multitudes of fantasy teams in the process. Mike Evans, Calvin Ridley, Devante Parker, Alshon... Read More