Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

Late-Round Outfielders - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values and Targets

Riley Greene - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB News

Welcome officially to the 2023 fantasy baseball season! Late-round picks in fantasy baseball can often be the difference between a mediocre team and a championship contender. While it's easy to get caught up in the excitement of selecting big-name players early in the draft, finding those hidden gems in the later rounds is equally essential. As a fantasy manager, it's crucial to do your due diligence and research these overlooked players' statistics, injury history, and current team situation. While taking a chance on a player based on a hunch or a cool name may seem appealing, making informed decisions that increase your chances of success is the wiser strategy. With careful consideration and some luck, these late-round picks could be the key to unlocking your team's full potential.

Today, we're looking at some late-round outfielders for you to consider drafting in your season-long leagues this season. Are their ADPs undervalued? Will they make significant fantasy contributions and become a priority late-round draft target? Read on to see our take.

Our editors have hand-picked these specific MLB players for your draft prep enjoyment. Usually only available to Premium subscribers, the five outlooks below are meant to give you a taste of the in-depth analysis you receive with our industry-leading 2023 Draft Kit. Be sure to subscribe today to start reading all of our in-depth 2023 player outlooks and many other premium articles and tools including Team Sync, the Live Draft Sync assistant, Custom Rankings Service, and so much more – available exclusively in our 2023 Draft Kit.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season MLB and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, Premium articles, daily Matchup Rating projections, 15 lineup tools, DFS cheat sheets, Research Stations, Lineup Optimizers and much more! Sign Up Now!


Cody Bellinger, Chicago Cubs

Cody Bellinger slashed just .210/.265/.389 with 19 HRs and 14 SB over 550 PAs last year. His .255 BABIP seems extremely low at first glance, but the combination of very high FB% (47.2 last season) and IFFB% (14.1) numbers makes it difficult to expect much more. Still, Bellinger was shifted in all but 10 opportunities last season and managed a 6.3 Oppo% on grounders, so the reduction in overshifts might add a few points to his average.

Similarly, Bellinger shaved more than two ticks from his SwStr% last year (14.2% to 12%) but didn't see any corresponding decrease in strikeouts (26.9% to 27.3%), providing more BA upside. Favorable LD% regression (17.2% vs. 20.8% career) could also help.

Bellinger's power wasn't great either with a 92.3 mph average airborne exit velocity and 8.3% rate of Brls/BBE, but the sheer number of flies he hits should keep his HR totals respectable. Throw in about 15 steals and a better spot in the Cubs lineup than he had with the Dodgers, and you're looking at a nice upside play at his current ADP of 187.64

-- Rick Lucks - RotoBaller


Lars Nootbaar, St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals outfielder Lars Nootbaar ended up with a so-so performance in 2022, finishing with a .228/.340/.448 slash line to go along with 14 homers, 40 RBI, 53 runs, and four steals in 347 PA. That being said, he was either blazing hot or ice cold at various points in the season.

His OPS went from .591 in June, to 1.030 in July, to .979 in August, and to .693 in September/October. This, along with his lack of major league experience, makes it tough to pinpoint the true value he brings. His low ADP of 195.6 doesn't seem to factor in the potential upside with Nootbaar. He appears poised to be the Cardinals' everyday right fielder and should play the majority of the team's games.

He also brings very solid advanced metrics to the table, notably a .346 xwOBA, 91.7 mph average exit velocity, and 12.1% barrel rate. Given this, expect his batting average to creep up closer to the league average and his counting stats to see a solid uptick with increased plate appearances. He showed tremendous upside last year, and that makes him well worth a late-round pick.

-- Matt Garon - RotoBaller


Mitch Haniger, San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants outfielder Mitch Haniger's 2022 season was shortened by an ankle sprain, but when he was on the field, he produced. He hit .246 with 31 runs and 34 RBI while homering 11 times across 57 games. Haniger has always shown immense power with a career 10.3% barrel rate while posting an 11.8% rate in 2022 without hitting the ball on the ground much (37.3% ground ball rate).

However, a strikeout rate that has sat at 25.8% over the past three seasons has limited the 32-year-old's batting average, and many balls in the air (career 27.2% and 7.6% fly ball and pop-up rate, respectively) means we could see his .293 BABIP from '22 regress.

Haniger will almost be a non-factor in stolen bases, as he's provided just 18 over his 564 career games, so fantasy managers need him to supply about 30 HRs with more than 70 runs and RBI. However, moving from T-Mobile Park to Oracle Park will likely deflate his long balls, and the lineup in San Francisco might not be strong enough around him.

It's also hard to be confident that Haniger will stay healthy next year, as he's played more than 96 games just twice from 2016-2022. He's capable of performing well enough to justify his 173 ADP. However, chances are he won't live up to it.

-- Spencer Seguin - RotoBaller


Riley Greene, Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers outfielder Riley Greene was a top prospect in all of baseball heading into the 2022 season. He began the year at Triple-A but was called up on June 18 and hit .253 with five home runs, 46 runs, 42 RBI, and one stolen base across 93 games. He'll improve as a hitter in 2023, with his debut season behind him and a few more things going his way.

However, Greene has some weaknesses to work on before he can truly break out. He struck out 28.7% of the time last season and owned a 26% mark during his minor league career. High strikeout rates moving forward will affect Greene's batting average, and his .354 BABIP means he was lucky to even hit above .250. The 22-year-old's power was underrated, as his 9.1 xHR and 60th percentile barrel rate show.

Although Comerica Park's dimensions will be more hitter-friendly in 2023, it should still grade out as a pitcher's park. If Greene can't figure out how to hit the ball in the air after posting a 56.8% ground ball rate, he'll find it challenging to display his true power. It might seem like the youngster would be a decent baserunner based on his athleticism, but his 59th-percentile sprint speed doesn't stand out much, and he's projected for just seven stolen bases next year.

He still has loads of potential and will likely be a four-category contributor once he matures, but he still has some things to work on to reach his ceiling. Fantasy managers have better options going later in the draft with a safer floor than Greene (197 ADP), like Ramon Laureano (219 ADP) and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (224 ADP).

-- Spencer Seguin - RotoBaller


Michael Conforto, San Francisco Giants

Between 2017-2019, outfielder Michael Conforto posted an OPS+ of 131, along with 88 home runs, 242 RBI, and 225 walks with the New York Mets. He was named to his first All-Star Game in 2017 and looked to be a staple in the Mets' outfield for years to come.

That all changed after 2020, though. The Seattle native's power nearly disappeared, managing just 23 long balls between 2020-21, and he struck out 161 times. Conforto missed the entirety of the 2022 season due to an injury in his right shoulder that required surgery.

While there was speculation that the 29-year-old could return for the postseason— and was even offered a two-year, $30 million contract by the eventual World Champion Houston Astros– he did not sign before the August 31 deadline.

Despite not logging an at-bat in 2022, Conforto's agent Scott Boras was able to ink a two-year deal worth $36 million for his client with the San Francisco Giants. Given that Oracle Park is one of the more hitter-friendly ballparks in the MLB, it could be just what Conforto needs to awaken his power again, one that found him in the 80th percentile in Max Exit Velocity in 2021.

ATC projects the former New York Met to slash .248/.343/.412 with 16 home runs, 59 RBI, 61 runs, and a .333 WOBA across 120 games in 2023. Conforto has an ADP of 225 in NFBC leagues and should pop 15-20 homers with his new team if he can stay healthy, making him a solid value at his current ADP.

-- Lauren Amour - RotoBaller

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts


Josh Hader42 mins ago

Fires Perfect Ninth Inning
Brandon Belt47 mins ago

Exits Early On Saturday
Andrew Abbott1 hour ago

Extends Scoreless Streak
J.D. Davis1 hour ago

Back In The Lineup On Saturday
Carlos Correa1 hour ago

Hits Go-Ahead Grand Slam
Jarren Duran1 hour ago

Sitting Out On Saturday
Seiya Suzuki1 hour ago

Absent On Saturday
Josh Fleming3 hours ago

To Visit Specialist Next Week
Andrés Giménez3 hours ago

Andres Gimenez Absent On Saturday
Vinnie Pasquantino3 hours ago

Placed On Injured List
Anthony Rizzo3 hours ago

Out Of The Lineup On Saturday
Andrew Painter3 hours ago

To Throw Bullpen Session On Saturday
James Karinchak3 hours ago

Optioned To Minors
Damon Severson3 hours ago

Traded To Columbus
Adin Hill4 hours ago

Likely Between The Pipes In Game 4
Cedric Mullins6 hours ago

Has Resumed Baseball Activities
Garrett Cooper6 hours ago

Has Clean MRI On His Arm
Aaron Judge6 hours ago

Has Swelling Decrease In His Injured Toe
Tommy Hunter6 hours ago

Designated For Assignment
Vinnie Pasquantino6 hours ago

Lands On The Injured List
Ryan Mountcastle6 hours ago

Still Out Of The Lineup
Royce Lewis6 hours ago

Not In The Lineup On Saturday
Joey Votto6 hours ago

Hits A Home Run In Minor-League Rehab Game
Trey Lance8 hours ago

Spring Stats Weren't Very Impressive
C.J. Uzomah8 hours ago

Injured In Friday's Practice
Hunter Renfrow8 hours ago

Is Healthy
Las Vegas Raiders8 hours ago

Bilal Nichols Separating Himself This Offseason
Kyle Lowry8 hours ago

Posts 13 Points, Seven Assists In Friday's Loss
Aaron Rodgers8 hours ago

Takes Part In Friday's Practice
Ty Chandler8 hours ago

Looking At Increased Role
Bam Adebayo8 hours ago

Endures Another Rough Shooting Night
Seattle Seahawks8 hours ago

Mike Jackson Has Strong Minicamp
Jimmy Butler8 hours ago

Improves Efficiency In Game 4 Loss
DK Metcalf9 hours ago

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Impressing DK Metcalf
Bruce Brown9 hours ago

Comes Up Big In Fourth Quarter Friday
Jamal Murray9 hours ago

Continues Spectacular Playmaking In Finals
Nikola Jokic9 hours ago

Battles Through Ankle Sprain And Foul Trouble
Aaron Gordon9 hours ago

Scores Playoff Career-High 27 Points
Jared Goff22 hours ago

Has Complete Command Of Offense
Dalvin Cook24 hours ago

Jets Would Consider Adding Dalvin Cook
Courtland Sutton1 day ago

Studying "Ways To Get Open"
DJ Moore1 day ago

"Developing Rapport" With Justin Fields
Dallas Cowboys1 day ago

Cowboys Part Ways With Takk McKinley
Los Angeles Chargers1 day ago

J.C. Jackson Doing Individual Drills
Dallas Mavericks1 day ago

Mavericks Have High Praise For Anthony Black After Workout
Atlanta Hawks1 day ago

GG Jackson, Julian Strawther Work Out With Hawks
Karl-Anthony Towns1 day ago

Executives Believe Karl-Anthony Towns Could Be Traded
Charlotte Hornets1 day ago

Ausar, Amen Thompson Work Out With The Hornets
Grant Williams1 day ago

Undergoes Successful Surgery On Hand
Jerami Grant1 day ago

Cameron Johnson On The Pistons' Offseason Radar
Chris Paul1 day ago

Spurs, Clippers, Lakers Are Possible Landing Spots For Chris Paul
Carter Verhaeghe1 day ago

Score Overtime Winner In Game 3
Matthew Tkachuk1 day ago

Scores Late Goal In Game 3 Victory
Damian Lillard1 day ago

Nets, Heat On Damian Lillard's Trade List
Milwaukee Bucks1 day ago

Joe Prunty, Patrick Mutombo Join Bucks Coaching Staff
Sergei Bobrovsky1 day ago

Has Bounce Back Performance In Game 3 Victory
Denver Nuggets1 day ago

Thunder, Nuggets Trade Various Picks
Charles Oliveira1 day ago

Returns To Action In Co-Main Event
Beneil Dariush1 day ago

Set For Huge Showdown
Adam Fugitt1 day ago

Looking For A Victory On Saturday
Mike Malott1 day ago

On The Hunt For Sixth Straight Victory Saturday
Brandon Montour1 day ago

Scores Opening Goal In Game 3 Victory
Jack Eichel1 day ago

Picks Up Assist In Game 3 Loss
Jonathan Marchessault1 day ago

Extends Scoring Streak In Game 3
Mark Stone1 day ago

Collects Two Points In Game 3 Loss
Sam LaPorta1 day ago

Jahmyr Gibbs, Sam LaPorta Have Been Impressive
DJ Chark Jr.1 day ago

Does Team Drills Thursday
Tua Tagovailoa1 day ago

Has Bulked Up This Offseason
Zach Charbonnet1 day ago

Could Have Big Role In Rookie Season
Seattle Seahawks1 day ago

Devon Witherspoon Sees Work In Slot
Justin Fields1 day ago

Bears Won't Make Justin Fields Robotic
Alexander Mattison1 day ago

Vikings Plan To Use Alexander Mattison As Starter
Irene Aldana1 day ago

Can Irene Aldana Challenge The Champion?
Amanda Nunes1 day ago

A Heavy Favorite Again
Sacramento Kings2 days ago

Dwight Howard Wants To Play For Kings
MarJon Beauchamp2 days ago

To Play In Summer League
Tyler Herro2 days ago

To Remain Out For Game 4
Jamal Murray2 days ago

Dealing With Minor Injury
Noah Gragson2 days ago

To Miss Sonoma With Concussion-Like Symptoms
Eryk Anders2 days ago

Set For Middleweight Showdown On Enemy Turf
Marc-Andre Barriault2 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Nate Landwehr2 days ago

Set For First UFC-Numbered Event
Dan Ige2 days ago

Looking To Start Another Streak At UFC 289
Jani Hakanpaa2 days ago

Will Have Offseason Knee Surgery
Adin Hill2 days ago

The Game 3 Starter For Vegas
Sergei Bobrovsky2 days ago

Named Panthers Game 3 Starter
Radko Gudas3 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 3
Andreas Athanasiou3 days ago

Signs Two-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Vladislav Gavrikov3 days ago

Kings Extend Vladislav Gavrikov For Two Years
Alex DeBrincat3 days ago

Senators Exploring Trade Options Involving Alex DeBrincat
Timo Meier3 days ago

Set To Begin Contract Talks With Devils This Week
Ivan Provorov3 days ago

Traded To Columbus
Adam Hadwin3 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back In Home Country
Matt Kuchar3 days ago

A Fade At RBC Canadian Open
PGA3 days ago

Matthew Fitzpatrick A Favorite In Canada
Dylan Wu3 days ago

Struggling To Find Form Heading To Oakdale
Doug Ghim3 days ago

Playing Well Heading To Oakdale
Robby Shelton3 days ago

Struggling With Consistency Heading To Oakdale
Eric Cole3 days ago

Making Debut At RBC Canadian Open
Brendon Todd3 days ago

To Play Through Shoulder Injury
Taylor Pendrith3 days ago

Making First Appearance At RBC Canadian Open Since 2015
Aaron Wise3 days ago

Returns To RBC Canadian Open
Alex Smalley3 days ago

Could Repeat Performance At RBC Canadian Open
Nick Taylor3 days ago

Hoping To Find Early Season Form Heading To Oakdale
Nicolai Hojgaard3 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back After Missed Cut Last Week
Keith Mitchell3 days ago

Looks To Continue Strong Play At Oakdale
Rory McIlroy3 days ago

To Defend Title At RBC Canadian Open
Cameron Champ3 days ago

Playing Better Into Canada
Will Gordon3 days ago

A Solid Sleeper In Canada
Corey Conners3 days ago

Looking To Rebound In Canada
Tyrrell Hatton3 days ago

An Elite Option At RBC Canadian Open
Cameron Young3 days ago

Will Struggle In Canada
PGA3 days ago

Approach Play Holding S.H. Kim Back
Jonathan Marchessault5 days ago

Scores Two Goals In Game 2 Victory
Adin Hill5 days ago

Makes 29 Saves In Game 2 Victory
Sergei Bobrovsky5 days ago

Pulled In Game 2 Of Stanley Cup Final
Amir Albazi5 days ago

Extends His Winning Streak
Daniel Pineda5 days ago

Unable To Earn A Victory Saturday
Jesse Butler5 days ago

Suffers Knockout Loss
Victor Altamirano5 days ago

Unable To Earn A Victory Saturday
Ketlen Souza5 days ago

Takes Submission Loss
Muhammad Naimov5 days ago

Shines With Second-Round TKO Win
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos5 days ago

Defeats Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Kevin Harvick5 days ago

Rounds Out The Top 10 At Gateway
Michael McDowell5 days ago

Scores Best Finish In Two Months
Carson Hocevar5 days ago

Strong Start Ends Early
Daniel Suarez5 days ago

Runs A Strong Race At Gateway
Ryan Blaney5 days ago

Building Momentum
Martin Truex Jr6 days ago

. Finishes Where He Began Sunday
Kyle Larson6 days ago

Eventually Moved Up To Fourth On Sunday
Joey Logano6 days ago

Finds Way To Third Place On Sunday
Denny Hamlin6 days ago

Takes Second Place At Gateway
Kyle Busch6 days ago

Wins At Gateway For Third Win Of Season
Kai Kara-France6 days ago

Suffers Controversial Split-Decision Loss
Alex Caceres6 days ago

Pulls Off Action-Packed Co-Main-Event Win