TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Joe Mixon - Buy Low or Return to Sender?

Joe Mixon is an enigma. Fantasy owners had no idea what to do with the rookie running back entering the season. Many over-drafted him due to his immense talent and tremendous upside. Others stayed far away due to him joining a crowded backfield running behind a bad offensive line. Four weeks into the season, people on both sides can stand by their decision.

Mixon's season has been filled with some good, some bad, and some ugly. But what stands out the most about his value moving forward, and should owners look to buy low on Mixon or sell if they own him?

It's time to make a hard decision about what to do with Mixon if you own him or how to approach him if he is available on waivers in your league.

Featured Promo: Looking for some more fantasy football action? Adopt a dynasty orphan team over at FFPC. Sign up today and get $25 off any FFPC league. Sign Up Now!

 

Joe Mixon: Boom or Bust?

To understand what Mixon has done so far and what he's going to do moving forward, there's no reason to analyze the first two weeks of his season. The Cincinnati backfield was a full blown timeshare, with the trio of Mixon, Giovani Bernard, and Jeremy Hill each receiving a similar amount of carries, and Bernard leading the trio in snaps overall. Offensive coordinator Ken Zampese was fired after a dreadful 0-2 start. What's relevant to us is what happened in the two games with new OC Bill Lazor running the offense.

Lazor has converted the backfield from a committee to a reliance on Mixon. He has 42 touches in his last two games, while Hill and Bernard have a combined 26. There's no doubt Mixon is going to get the bulk of the work for the rest of the season. The Bengals know what they have in Hill and Bernard at this point and will want to see as much of their second round draft pick as possible. Volume is half the battle when it comes to fantasy success. The more games Mixon gets under his belt, his floor should begin to stabilize nicely. Mixon owners will have the satisfaction of knowing he should get at least 15 touches with a usual gameflow.

Mixon played well in his first career start in Week 3. He ran 18 times for 62 yards and added three receptions for 39 yards. Mixon owners expected him to build upon this solid showing in a nice Week 4 matchup against Cleveland, but Mixon failed to come close to expectations, rushing for just 29 yards on 17 carries along with four receptions for 19 yards. He's averaging just 2.6 yards per rush since taking over the starting job.

The offensive line has done Mixon no favors. They were ranked as the second worst unit in the NFL by Pro Football Focus this preseason, and they are living up to the hype. The loss of All-Pro tackle Andrew Whitworth is being felt. A new offensive coordinator can provide more touches and opportunities for Mixon, but for him to truly maximize his potential, the line needs to improve. Andy Dalton played a near perfect game in Week 4 and was still sacked three times. He played well in spite of the line, not because of it.

Here's what we know about Mixon's situation: he's an insanely talented rookie who's going to get the bulk of Cincinatti's carries, but poor offensive line play may limit his ceiling in 2017. Here's what we don't know: is Joe Mixon going to get goal line carries?

The Bengals haven't ran the ball inside the five all season. Jeremy Hill has scored at least nine touchdowns in each of his three NFL seasons. There's a strong chance that he remains the goal line back in Cincinnati, but it's hard to make a call between the two at this point. This could end up being the difference maker between Mixon becoming a strong RB2 this season or just being an upside rookie FLEX play. Hopefully the Bengals can get near the goal line this week and we can receive some clarity.

The pieces are all here for you to make a call on Mixon. I plan on holding or buying low on Mixon. The biggest concern with his situation heading into the season was volume. Now that we know he's getting the volume, he's at the very least become a FLEX with a decent floor. It's hard to imagine his value getting any lower than it is now. There's no reason to give up on him now if you're a Mixon owner. You didn't draft this guy thinking he was going to be an RB1 this early, but he just might.

 

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mike Conley

Sits Out Thursday's Game
Cason Wallace

Returns to Thunder Lineup
Rudy Gobert

Available Against Thunder
Collin Gillespie

Returns From One-Game Absence
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Ready to Take on Nets
Jamal Murray

Active Against Nets
Brandon Williams

Available Against Hornets
Klay Thompson

Back in Action Thursday
Grant Williams

Won't Play Against Mavericks
Brandon Miller

Ready to Continue Hot Streak Thursday
Kel'el Ware

Good to Go Against Bulls
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Available Against Hawks
Norman Powell

Ready for Action Thursday
Tyler Herro

Davion Mitchell Remain Out Thursday
Jalen Smith

Available Thursday Night
Tre Jones

Remains Out Against Heat
Josh Giddey

Won't Play Thursday
Dennis Schröder

Zach LaVine Coming Off the Bench Thursday, Dennis Schroder Starts
Malik Monk

Out Thursday
Joel Embiid

Ready to Face Kings
Quentin Grimes

Misses Second Straight Game
Ryan McDonagh

Ready to Rejoin Lightning Lineup
Logan Thompson

Unavailable Thursday
Dylan Guenther

Misses Second Consecutive Game
Shayne Gostisbehere

Ready to Face Mammoth
Anton Lundell

Out Thursday
Elias Lindholm

Won't Play Against Flyers
Evgeni Malkin

Good to Go Thursday
Kirk Cousins

Falcons Expected to Release Kirk Cousins
Chase Brown

Working on Extension With Bengals
Michael Penix Jr.

Hopes to be Ready for Week 1
Isaac Paredes

Not a Lock for Opening Day Lineup?
Dalton Kincaid

Doesn't Need Offseason Surgery
Josh Allen

Undergoes Foot Surgery
Josh Allen

on Crutches, Wearing Walking Boot
Corbin Carroll

a Top Fantasy Outfielder After Joining 30-30 Club
Jonah Tong

Won't Pitch in the World Baseball Classic
CFB

Michigan RB Bryson Kuzdzal Withdrawing from Transfer Portal
James Reimer

Stops Avalanche Wednesday Night
Tim Stützle

Tim Stutzle Collects Two Points Against Avalanche
Ondrej Palat

Enjoys Multi-Point Debut With Islanders
Zach Werenski

Has Fifth Multi-Point Outing of the Month
Travis Konecny

Questionable for Thursday
Rasmus Ristolainen

Doesn't Finish Wednesday's Loss
Blake Coleman

Out Until Olympic Break
Aaron Judge

Appears to be Past his Elbow Issues
Bo Nix

Expected to Resume Training in 4-6 Weeks
Dan Vladar

Returns to Flyers Crease
Denton Mateychuk

Back in Action Wednesday
Stephen Halliday

Unavailable Versus Avalanche
Ross Colton

Won't Play Wednesday
Devon Toews

Still Out Wednesday
Simon Holmstrom

Expected to Return Wednesday
Ryan Pulock

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
Michael Penix Jr.

Thinks he'll be Ready by April
Evan Carter

Establishes a Goal to Steal 30 Bases
Edouard Julien

Traded to the Rockies
Cleveland Browns

Browns Hiring Todd Monken as Next Head Coach
Sahith Theegala

Off to Much Better 2026 Start
Gary Woodland

an Intriguing Option at Torrey Pines This Week
CJ Abrams

Giants Offer "Aggressive Pitch" for CJ Abrams
Andrew Putnam

Hopes to Keep Momentum Rolling This Week
Matthieu Pavon

Seeks to Return to 2024 Form at Torrey Pines
Luke List

Still Looking For Birdies at Torrey Pines
Jake Knapp

Faces Stiff Challenge at Farmers Insurance Open
Rasmus Hojgaard

Needs to Play Better at Torrey Pines
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Could Struggle at Farmers Insurance Open
J.J. Spaun

A Steady Option At Farmers Insurance Open
Andrew Novak

Looking For More Success At Torrey Pines
Denny McCarthy

A Wild Card At Farmers Insurance Open
Max Homa

Looks To Keep Resurgence Going At Torrey Pines
Joe Highsmith

Struggling Heading Into Torrey Pines
Wyndham Clark

Looks To Carry Momentum Into Farmers Insurance Open
Tony Finau

Aims To Turn Things Around At Torrey Pines
Akshay Bhatia

Looks to Bounce Back at Torrey Pines
Paul Goldschmidt

Yankees Expressing Interest in Re-Signing Paul Goldschmidt
Bo Bichette

Won't Play in World Baseball Classic
NFL

Bill Belichick Won't be First-Ballot Hall of Famer
Carlos Correa

Won't Play for Puerto Rico in World Baseball Classic
Si Woo Kim

Looks to Continue Incredible Run at Torrey Pines
Jason Day

has a Good Chance to Keep Momentum This Weekend
Keegan Bradley

has Good Course History at Torrey Pines
Billy Horschel

Isn't a Great DFS Option at Torrey Pines
Aaron Rodgers

Mike McCarthy Says he Wants Aaron Rodgers to Return
Will Zalatoris

Has a Shot to Challenge at the Farmers Insurance Open
Drake Maye

Expected to be Fine for Super Bowl
Tennessee Titans

Titans Set to Hire Brian Daboll as New Offensive Coordinator
Buffalo Bills

Bills Promote Joe Brady to Head Coach
CFB

Quarterback Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi Signs with Michigan
CFB

Darian Mensah Reaches Settlement with Duke, Expected to Land at Miami
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Not Drawing Interest on Open Market?
Shedeur Sanders

Named as Pro Bowl Replacement
Framber Valdez

Among Many High-End Pitchers on Free-Agent Market
Jose Altuve

Won't Participate in World Baseball Classic
Harrison Bader

Agrees With Giants on Two-Year Deal
Paddy Pimblett

Drops Decision
Justin Gaethje

Becomes the New Interim-Lightweight Champion
Song Yadong

Suffers Unanimous Decision Loss
MMA

Sean O'Malley Gets Back In The Win Column
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Extends His Win Streak
Derrick Lewis

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Officially Hire Mike McDaniel as Offensive Coordinator
Nathan Eovaldi

Doesn't Expect Any Limitations in Spring Training
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Dominates in NFC Championship Game Win
Matthew Stafford

Plans to Return in 2026
CFB

Arthur Smith to Become Ohio State's Offensive Coordinator
Bo Nix

Sidelined for 12 Weeks With Broken Ankle
Jose Altuve

to Mainly Play Second Base
Yu Darvish

Considering Retirement
Pittsburgh Steelers

Steelers Finalizing Deal to Make Mike McCarthy Their Head Coach
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez Signs Seven-Year Extension With Guardians

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP