X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (4/26/22)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! It is Tuesday and we have a 15-game slate, all of the games starting at 6:35 p.m. Eastern or later. Last night we won Blue Jays vs. Red Sox under 8.5 (-109), but we lost Angels vs. Guardians over 8 runs. We are back at it today, hoping to have a profitable day!

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

I am Mark and this is my second season writing MLB content on RotoBaller. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite betting picks MLB games on Monday, April 25, 2022. This article will be focused on sides and totals.  I am a huge baseball fan and baseball has been my bread and butter for the last couple of decades. Hopefully, I can help you win some pizza money! I occasionally will post some ideas and picks with bets, DFS, and other things on my Twitter account. You can follow me at @Mark_Kieffer

Featured Promo: Get any full-season Props Premium Pass for 10% off using code BALLER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Mark's 2022 MLB Betting Picks

With these articles, I am 6-10 overall on the season, down 0.736 units. I have been starting small and conservative because it's a long season. We will try to bounce back tonight! I am not going to do anything crazy to win it back, just stick with the process and hope it works out. One day at a time!

 

Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies

O/U: 8.0 | Moneyline: PHI -160
COL: German Marquez | PHI: Zach Eflin

Zach Eflin and the Phillies take on German Marquez and the Colorado Rockies tonight. Eflin is 0-1 with a 5.27 ERA and 3.54 xFIP this season. Over the course of his career, Eflin has an xFIP of 4.33. Marquez on the other hand is 0-0 with a 4.67 ERA and an xFIP of 3.30. Marquez has a career xFIP of 3.61. You could make the argument, especially away from Coors Field, that the Rockies have the upper hand in starting pitching tonight.

On the season so far, Colorado has scored 71 runs, which is No. 9 in the league. Philadelphia has scored 64 runs (No. 13). Colorado offensively has the edge in ISO (.156 vs. .154), OBP (.333 vs. .320), and SLG (.426 vs. .406). The teams are close offensively with a small edge to Colorado here as well.

An area Philadelphia has an edge of Colorado is bullpen ERA. Colorado has a bullpen ERA of 4.50 (last), while Philadelphia has a bullpen ERA of 4.34 (No. 25).

When breaking down these stats, this game feels like a coin flip or close to a coin flip with Philadelphia having possibly a slight edge due to being the home team. A -160 favorite is a 61.54% win probability. This does not feel like a game that Philadelphia has a 60%+ chance of winning. Because of the volatile nature of the game, I would recommend making two small bets: one for Colorado Moneyline in the first five innings, and then another bet for Colorado to win the game.

Picks: Colorado Moneyline F5 (+120), DraftKings Sportsbook, 0.25 Units
             Colorado Moneyline (+152), Wynn Bet Sportsbook, 0.25 Units

 

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins

O/U: 8.5 | Moneyline: MIN -132
DET: Eduardo Rodriguez | MIN: Chris Paddack

Next up is Chris Paddack and the Minnesota Twins vs. Eduardo Rodriguez and the Detroit Tigers. Paddack is 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA and 3.16 xFIP. Paddack has a career xFIP of 3.91. Rodriguez is 0-1 with a 5.27 ERA and 4.64 xFIP with a career 4.05 xFIP. This looks to be a pretty even matchup between these two pitchers.

Offensively, Minnesota is No. 20 in runs scored while Detroit is No. 28. The teams are very close in OBP (Detroit: .316, Minnesota: .309). The big discrepancy is in ISO. Minnesota has an ISO of .135 (No. 18) while Detroit's is .093 (No. 28). Either way, offensively neither of these teams have gotten going outside of a few individuals and both teams leave some room to be desired with their ability to score. Minnesota strikes out a lot (25.5% strikeout rate, No. 3) while Detroit is average (23.5%, No. 14).

Another big discrepancy is the bullpen and this is where I think Detroit will ultimately win this game. Detroit's bullpen ERA is 2.30 (No. 3) while Minnesota's is 4.03 (No. 21). I see a game in which it is close in the 5th or 6th inning, and when the game gets turned over to the bullpen, Detroit has its edge and wins the game. If you like Minnesota, I would advise on an F5 bet instead of full-game due to their shaky bullpen.

Pick: Detroit Moneyline (+125), BetMGM Sportsbook, 0.5 Units

 

Good luck, RotoBallers! Stay tuned for more great DFS and betting content throughout the week!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cincinnati Reds1 hour ago

Reds Hire Terry Francona As Manager
Drake London3 hours ago

Returns On Thursday
Freddie Freeman3 hours ago

Doesn't Play Defense In Simulated Game
Will Levis3 hours ago

Should Return After Bye Week
Nick Chubb4 hours ago

Feeling Good After Return To Practice
David Njoku4 hours ago

Gets The Day Off Thursday
Austin Ekeler4 hours ago

Practices In Full
Kyle Pitts5 hours ago

Falcons Want To Get Kyle Pitts More Involved
Trey McBride5 hours ago

Logs Full Practice On Thursday
Alvin Kamara6 hours ago

Limited In First Practice Of The Week
George Kittle6 hours ago

Not Involved In Thursday's Practice
Keldon Johnson7 hours ago

Healthy Heading Into 2024 Season
7 hours ago

Joshua Primo Joining Bulls
Chris Boucher8 hours ago

Has Improved Mindset
Kayla Harrison8 hours ago

A Massive Favorite At UFC 307
Mario Bautista8 hours ago

Faces A Legend At UFC 307
Taysom Hill8 hours ago

Has Rib Fractures, Does Not Practice On Thursday
Christian Braun8 hours ago

Seen Working With Starters
José Aldo8 hours ago

Jose Aldo An Underdog At UFC 307
Julianna Peña8 hours ago

Julianna Pena Tries To Reclaim Bantamweight Title At UFC 307
Jordan Love8 hours ago

Logs Full Practice On Thursday
Raquel Pennington8 hours ago

Looks To Defend Title For First Time At UFC 307
Josh Richardson8 hours ago

Making Solid Progress
Romeo Doubs8 hours ago

Misses Practice Thursday Due To Personal Matter, Remains Day-To-Day
Anthony Rizzo8 hours ago

Considered A Long Shot For ALDS
Rashee Rice8 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Zamir White9 hours ago

Out Again On Thursday
Davante Adams9 hours ago

Bills, Chiefs Monitoring Davante Adams Situation
Davante Adams9 hours ago

Misses Another Practice On Thursday
Khalil Shakir9 hours ago

Logs Another DNP On Thursday
Rashee Rice9 hours ago

"Walking Normally" Without Crutches
Tua Tagovailoa9 hours ago

Expected To Return When First Eligible
Brian Robinson Jr.10 hours ago

Not Seen At Thursday's Practice
Diontae Johnson10 hours ago

Practicing On Thursday
Jorge Mateo11 hours ago

Grayson Rodriguez, Felix Bautista, Jorge Mateo Expected To Be Ready For Spring Training
Justin Verlander12 hours ago

Plans To Pitch In 2025
Joe Musgrove12 hours ago

Going For MRI On Thursday
Cole Ragans12 hours ago

Set To Start Game 2 Of ALDS
Freddie Freeman14 hours ago

Expected To Face Live Pitching This Week
Jeremy Sochan15 hours ago

Working On Improving His Shooting
James Wiseman15 hours ago

Nursing Groin Issue
Jordan Poole15 hours ago

Set To Start At Point Guard For Wizards
Luka Doncic15 hours ago

Expected To Be Available For Season Opener
Naz Reid15 hours ago

Will Continue To Come Off The Bench This Season
Julius Randle16 hours ago

Confirmed As Starter On New Team
Filip Kral16 hours ago

Ready To Return Thursday
Justin Danforth16 hours ago

Remains Sidelined Thursday
Erik Gudbranson16 hours ago

To Sit Out Thursday's Preseason Game
Luke Hughes16 hours ago

Remains 5-7 Weeks Away From Returning
Jared McCann17 hours ago

Misses Preseason Game With A Lower-Body Injury
Artturi Lehkonen17 hours ago

Skates In Non-Contact Jersey
Max Fried23 hours ago

Exits After Being Hit With Comebacker
Joe Musgrove23 hours ago

Exits Early With Injury
Colton Cowser24 hours ago

Suffers Fractured Hand In Loss
Shohei Ohtani1 day ago

Not Likely To Pitch During Postseason
Alex Nedeljkovic1 day ago

Out Week-To-Week
Blake Lizotte1 day ago

Diagnosed With A Concussion
Pius Suter1 day ago

Day-To-Day With An Upper-Body Injury
Eric Cole1 day ago

Hopes To Rediscover Form At Sanderson Farms Championship
Pavel Mintyukov1 day ago

Joins Ducks Lineup Wednesday
Mackenzie Hughes1 day ago

Looks To Rebound From Tough Presidents Cup
Kevin Bahl1 day ago

Good To Go On Wednesday
Macklin Celebrini1 day ago

Considered Day-To-Day
Henrik Norlander1 day ago

A Course Horse At Country Club Of Jackson
Ryan Fox1 day ago

Debuts At Sanderson Farms Championship
Charley Hoffman1 day ago

Consistently Playing Well
PGA1 day ago

Matthew McCarty Debuts At Sanderson Farms Championship
Ben Griffin1 day ago

Returns To Action At Sanderson Farms Championship
Beau Hossler1 day ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Jackson Country Club
Keith Mitchell1 day ago

Continues Playing Well
Josh Giddey1 day ago

Progressing In His Recovery
Luka Doncic1 day ago

Will Be Re-Evaluated In A Week For Bruised Calf
Jaren Jackson Jr.1 day ago

Battling Low-Level Hamstring Strain
Ja Morant1 day ago

Says He’s Happy And Healthy
Zach Edey1 day ago

Working On His Three-Point Shot
Ja'Kobe Walter2 days ago

Expects To Be Good To Go In Three Weeks
Bojan Bogdanovic2 days ago

Not Cleared For Five-On-Five Work
Ausar Thompson2 days ago

Misses Start Of Training Camp
Patrick Williams2 days ago

"Ready To Go" For Training Camp
Josh Giddey2 days ago

Recovering From Ruptured Ankle Ligament
Michael King2 days ago

Fans 12 In Wild-Card Game 1 Win
Tarik Skubal2 days ago

Tosses Six Scoreless Innings For Game 1 Wild-Card Win
Chandler Phillips2 days ago

A Wild Card At Sanderson Farms Championship
Rickie Fowler2 days ago

A Player To Avoid In Mississippi
Matt Kuchar2 days ago

Looking To Stay Hot In Mississippi
Patrick Rodgers2 days ago

Tough To Trust At Sandserson Farms Championship
J.J. Spaun2 days ago

In Excellent Form Ahead Of Sanderson Farms Championship
Rico Hoey2 days ago

Worth The Gamble At Sanderson Farms Championship
Alex Nedeljkovic2 days ago

Remains Under Evaluation
Pius Suter2 days ago

Under Evaluation For Injury
Troy Terry2 days ago

Considered Day-To-Day
Beckett Sennecke2 days ago

Set For Preseason Debut On Wednesday
Patrik Laine2 days ago

To Miss 2-3 Months With Sprained Knee
Cole Ragans2 days ago

Pulled Early From Game 1 Start Due To Cramps
Artemi Panarin2 days ago

Returns To Rangers Lineup
Brad Marchand2 days ago

Ready To Go On Tuesday
Adolis García2 days ago

Adolis Garcia Undergoing MRI On His Knee
Kodai Senga2 days ago

Throws Live Batting Practice
Sal Frelick2 days ago

In Game 1 Lineup For Brewers
Chris Sale2 days ago

Officially Out For Wild-Card Series
Jackson Holliday2 days ago

Not In Game 1 Lineup
Vinnie Pasquantino2 days ago

Starting In Game 1 Against Orioles
Cameron Champ3 days ago

Can Cameron Champ Turn Back The Clock In Mississippi?
Lucas Glover3 days ago

Seeking First Top-10 Finish Of 2024
Justin Lower3 days ago

Strives For Better Form At Sanderson Farms
Harris English3 days ago

Trying To Put Positive Spin On 2024
Chan Kim3 days ago

Looking To Stay On PGA Tour For 2025
Nick Dunlap3 days ago

Looks To Improve At Sanderson Farms Championship
Joonas Korpisalo3 days ago

Likely To Start Season Opener For Bruins
Brett Pesce3 days ago

Will Miss Season Opener
Brendan Allen3 days ago

Takes Decision Loss
Nassourdine Imavov3 days ago

Extends Win Streak To Three
Joanderson Brito3 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Paris
William Gomis3 days ago

Wins Decision At UFC Paris
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Suffers A Major Playoff Setback Due To An Underwhelming Kansas Finish
Gabriel Miranda3 days ago

Knocked Out At UFC Paris
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Salvages A Top-10 Finish At Kansas After Starting From The Rear
William Byron3 days ago

Sets A New Career-Best Finish At Kansas Despite Missing The Victory
Morgan Charrière3 days ago

Morgan Charriere Gets Back In The Win Column
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Earns His First Career Top-Five Finish At Kansas With Team Penske
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Mistakes Turn A Potentially Winning Day Into A Solid Day For Christopher Bell At Kansas
Ross Chastain4 days ago

"Disrupts" At Kansas And Goes To Victory Lane
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

On The Outside Looking In After Kansas Dud
Martin Truex Jr4 days ago

: "Just Ran Out of Time" At Kansas
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Scores Top-Five Finish At Kansas
Alex Bowman4 days ago

Wins Stage, Has Big Points Day At Kansas
Daniel Suarez4 days ago

Comes Back From Lap Down To Finish 13th At Kansas
Joey Logano4 days ago

Loose Wheel Spoils Joey Logano's Potential Top-Five Run At Kansas
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Recovers From Three Botched Pit Stops To Finish Eighth At Kansas
Austin Cindric4 days ago

Likely Out Of Playoff Contention After Kansas Crash
Chase Briscoe4 days ago

Unlikely To Advance To Round Of 8 After Mediocre Kansas Run
Matt Frevola4 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Paris
Farés Ziam4 days ago

Fares Ziam Gets Higlight-Reel Knockout Win At UFC Paris
Kevin Jousset4 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC Paris
Bryan Battle4 days ago

Gets TKO Win At UFC Paris
MMA4 days ago

Benoit Saint-Denis Gets Dominated At UFC Paris
Renato Moicano4 days ago

Runs Through Benoit Saint-Denis At UFC Paris
NASCAR5 days ago

Could Bubba Wallace Compete For A Top-10 Finish At Kansas?
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Will Start in the Top 5 at Kansas This Week
Brad Keselowski5 days ago

Is One Of The Top Recommendations Of The Week For Kansas DFS Lineups
Carson Hocevar5 days ago

Should DFS Players Roster Carson Hocevar At Kansas?
Denny Hamlin5 days ago

Is A Top Driver Who Will Compete For The Win At Kansas
Todd Gilliland5 days ago

Is A Favorable Value Option For Kansas DFS Lineups

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP