X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

Daily Fantasy Golf DraftKings Picks (PGA DFS): Valspar Championship

Welcome back RotoBallers! Phil Mickelson (-16) defeated Justin Thomas in a playoff to capture his first win in 97 starts, the last being the 2013 British Open. That was the best tournament of the new year thus far. You had the stars like Dustin Johnson, Sergio Garcia, Bubba Watson, Rafa Cabrera- Bello all lurking ready to pounce. And for three days, it was the player from India who nobody had ever heard of, Shubhankar Sharma, leading the way. The moment was too big for him come Sunday as he managed just two birdies.

This week I will be providing you with my DraftKings lineup picks for the Valspar Championship. My goal as always is to help put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups. If anyone has lineup questions before the start of the tournament Thursday morning, feel free to contact me via Twitter @Seth_Fink.

Editor's Note: Our friends at Fantasy National have built some incredible DFS Golf lineup tools including a Lineup Optimizer, Stat Engine, Ownership Projections and Course Breakdowns. They are by far the best daily fantasy Golf tools in the industry. Seriously. You can read all about them here and see screenshots. 

Sign Up Now!

 

Valspar Championship

The PGA tour returns to Florida for a two-week stint. The first stop will be at Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead) in Palm Harbor, FL. The par 71, 7,340 yard course has four par-3's, nine par-4's, and four par-5's. There are five par-5's that range between 400-450 yards, the most of any range. The greens are Bermuda and there's plenty of water on this course. The last three holes are known as the "Snake Pit." Gary Woodland, who won this tournament in 2011, describes those holes saying, "There is not a birdie hole the last three holes. If you’re two back and have signed your scorecard and the leaders are still out there, you’re definitely hanging around to see what happens."

Past winners include Adam Hadwin, Charl Schwartzel, Jordan Spieth, John Senden, Kevin Streelman, Luke Donald, Woodland, and Jim Furyk.

I'll only be looking at the past two years for my stats because there was a huge remodeling job done to the course before the 2016 Valspar.

My custom stat model will be focusing on a whopping seven stats; strokes gained: ball striking (15%), SG: approach (15%), par 4: 400-450 (%), green's in regulation gained (14%), SG: putting (14%), bogey avoidance (14%) and fairways gained (14%). 

The last two years, SG: APP has been a major determining factor in having a good finish at this event. Players who finished in the top 5 in this metric finishing in the top-15 90% of the time including both winners. Players who finished in the top 5 in SG: Par 4 finishing in the top-20 90% of the time with the 10th guy placing 22nd. Bogey avoidance has also been critical to player success.

I'm also taking into account driving accuracy because several players have said hitting it straight is vital. Ken Duke in 2016 said, "I like it because I hit it straight and you have to hit it straight here. I flight the ball and I have to flight it here because of the wind."

Jordan Spieth has the most total strokes gained at this event the past five years followed by Jason Dufner, Henrik Stenson, Matt Kuchar, and Charl Schwartzel.

My custom stat model will focus on the last 24 rounds played with an emphasis on average/difficult scoring, Bermuda greens that are medium/firm.

With the results, I keyed on the following players.

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

High-Priced Players 

There are five players this week priced above $10,000; Jordan Spieth ($11,800), Rory McIlroy ($11,300), Sergio Garcia ($10,900), Henrik Stenson ($10,200) and Justin Rose ($10,000).

Spieth is priced a little too high this week. He's in the DJ range. He's had three consecutive top 20's on tour and at the Valspar include a win in 2016. Although he's 3oth in my rankings, I'll throw him in some of my cash lineups.

McIlroy has no business being ranked this high. He's never competed here and last played a couple of weeks ago at the Honda where he had a T-59. He will need to prove he deserves to priced this high before I build a lineup around him.

Garcia was in contention late last week, but a troublesome back-nine did him in. He played here in 2013 and finished T-7. I do like him this wee to continue his strong play.

Stenson is my guy this week. He's number one in my rankings, but those stats are from last year. Still, he's a lethal ball striker and his the fairway with ease. He's not played in over a month and is making his 2018 PGA Tour debut, but in two of his three 2018 European Tour starts, he had two top-10's. At the Valspar, he’s had a solo fourth in 2015, T-11 in '16, and T-7 last year. He's due to win it this year.

Rose was T-37 last week in Mexico. This will be his 2018 PGA Tour debut. He was cut here in '15 and T-8 in '14. I think he needs one more week to get his game straight.

 

Middle-Priced Players

Tiger Woods ($9,500) - Oh, yes. Not only is it fun to have Tiger in your lineup and be able to root for him, but his game is improving each week especially after a solo 12th at the Honda Classic two weeks ago. And this is CBS Sportsline's pick.

Tony Finau ($9,400) - He had a runner-up at the Honda and a T-27 last week. After missed cuts in 2015 and '16 here, he was fifth last year with strong numbers.

Gary Woodland ($9,000) - After winning the Phoenix Open a month ago, he has a missed cut, T-49, and T-50 last week in Mexico. His best finish at the Valspar was eighth in 2014.

Adam Hadwin ($8,800) - The defending champion is off back-to-back top-10's and his playing arguably the best golf of his career. If he continues to be less than 10% owned, like he's been the past month, he's a steal.

Adam Scott ($8,700) - Scotty is one of my favorite plays this week. His game looked great at the Honda two weeks ago and after last week off, he should be ready to go.

Branden Grace ($8,600) - The way he hits the ball, low like a missile, is perfect for this course.

Louis Oosthuizen ($8,100) - He missed the cut here three years in row, 2013-5, but had a T-7 in 2016. He did not play last year. He had a T-24 at the Honda and T-30 last week in Mexico. He hasn't been able to put together four good rounds yet, but he's a phenomenal putter and always remains composed no matter how bad things are going.

Chez Reavie ($7,900) - The player that America fell in love with after back-to-back runner-ups at the Phoenix Open and Pebble Beach Pro-Am has completely tailed off. That means it's perfect time to buy his stock this week. The last two times out at this event, he finished in the 20's.

Ollie Schniederjans ($7,700) - He is SO hit or miss and the perfect play for a tournament especially with ownership expected to be less 10%. Ollie followed up a T-7 at the Sony Open with a missed cut, then rebounded with a T-3 at Phoenix, then a missed cut at the Genesis to a T-64 at the Honda two weeks ago. It's anyones guess how he'll do this week.

Russell Knox ($7,500) - He's had another up-and-down year like Ollie. After a T-29 at the Farmers, he was cut at Phoenix, then bounced back with a T-15 at Pebble Beach, but then was cut two weeks ago at the Honda.

Bryson DeChambeau ($7,400) - I'll take a flier on him because he won the 2014 All-American Athletic Conference Championship at this course.

Jim Furyk ($7,400) - He has not had a good year, but he's such a seasoned veteran that he can rebound any given week.

Chesson Hadley ($7,400) - He's eighth in my rankings and has made 4/5 cuts in 2018. His best finish at Vlaspar was a T-14 in 2014.

 

Low-Priced Players

William McGirt ($7,300) - He was T-33 last time out at the Honda. He missed both cuts here in 2014 and '15.

Lucas Glover ($7,300) - He's alternated cuts here, and that's bad news because last year he made the cut. But I'll focus on his final round 66 at the Honda two weeks ago and look for him to continue that momentum.

Nick Watney ($7,000) - He's a perfect 5/5 in making cuts this year. He's also made his last three cuts here including a T-14 last year.

 

Best of luck RotoBallers!

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

 

Custom Stat Model - DFS Golf Advanced Tools

Here are the players I wrote about and their correlating stats with my custom stat model:

 

Premium DFS Golf Tools and Lineup Optimizer

Our friends at Fantasy National have created some game-changing DFS Golf tools, and you can read all about them here. They are hands-down the best daily fantasy Golf tools in the industry.

Sign Up Now!

 

Fantasy National Golf Club

Fantasy National Golf Club


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kaapo Kahkonen2 hours ago

Makes 44 Saves In Victory
Mikael Granlund2 hours ago

Totals Season-High Three Points
Anthony Duclair2 hours ago

Scores Two Goals In Victory
NJ2 hours ago

Simon Nemec Collects Two Points In NHL Debut
Ausar Thompson3 hours ago

Probable Against Cleveland
Bojan Bogdanovic4 hours ago

Likely To Return On Saturday
Caris LeVert4 hours ago

Sitting Out Against Detroit
Brandon Miller4 hours ago

Battling An Ankle Issue
Anthony Edwards4 hours ago

Not Expected To Play On Saturday
Andrew Wiggins7 hours ago

Questionable For Rematch With The Clippers
Trey Lyles7 hours ago

Won't Play Versus Denver
Keegan Murray7 hours ago

Might Return On Saturday
New York Mets8 hours ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Is Where Mets' Focus Lies
Cleveland Browns8 hours ago

Myles Garrett Cleared For Week 13, Denzel Ward Ruled Out
Ezekiel Elliott8 hours ago

Questionable For Week 13
Bailey Zappe9 hours ago

To Start In Week 13
Demario Douglas9 hours ago

Won't Play In Week 13
Travis Etienne Jr.9 hours ago

Remains Limited On Friday
Tee Higgins9 hours ago

A Full Participant On Friday
Dalton Schultz10 hours ago

Won't Play In Week 13
Noah Brown10 hours ago

Tank Dell, Noah Brown Questionable For Week 13
Dorian Thompson-Robinson10 hours ago

Won't Play Sunday, Joe Flacco To Start
Keenan Allen11 hours ago

Questionable For Week 13
Dallas Goedert11 hours ago

Doubtful To Play In Week 13
Treylon Burks11 hours ago

Questionable To Face Colts
DeMar DeRozan11 hours ago

Uncertain To Play Against Pelicans On Saturday
Pat Connaughton11 hours ago

Ruled Out On Saturday
Keegan Murray11 hours ago

Practices On Friday
Chris Olave11 hours ago

Still In Concussion Protocol But Not Ruled Out
Doug McDermott11 hours ago

Will Not Play Against Pelicans
Luka Doncic12 hours ago

Ruled Out On Friday Due To Personal Reasons
Joel Embiid12 hours ago

Will Be True Game-Time Decision On Friday
Devin Booker12 hours ago

Will Sit Out Against Nuggets On Friday
Victor Wembanyama12 hours ago

Will Be Sidelined On Friday
Trey McBride12 hours ago

Iffy For Week 13 Action
Marquise Brown12 hours ago

Officially Questionable Against Steelers
Julius Randle12 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable On Friday
Dalvin Cook12 hours ago

Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook Questionable For Week 13
Treylon Burks12 hours ago

Cleared To Play In Week 13
Aaron Jones13 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 13
Jerick McKinnon13 hours ago

Chiefs Expect Jerick McKinnon, Kadarius Toney To Play In Week 13
Dougie Hamilton13 hours ago

Simon Nemec Called Up To Devils Friday, Dougie Hamilton Placed On IR
Zach Charbonnet13 hours ago

Dealing With Swelling In Knee
Adin Hill14 hours ago

Leaves Thursday's Contest Early As Precaution
Timo Meier14 hours ago

Close To Returning, Could Play Friday
Jonathan Taylor14 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out
Sam Montembeault14 hours ago

Signs Three-Year Extension With Canadiens
Nikita Zadorov14 hours ago

Traded To Vancouver
Beneil Dariush16 hours ago

Arman Tsarukyan A Favorite Over Beneil Dariush At UFC Austin
Jack Eichel16 hours ago

Steers Vegas Back On Track
Beneil Dariush16 hours ago

Has A Dangerous Task In Front Of Him
Brayden Schenn16 hours ago

Leads Blues To Victory Thursday
Bobby Green16 hours ago

Looking For Third Win In A Row
Noah Dobson16 hours ago

Grabs Three Assists In Thursday's Win
Jalin Turner16 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Austin
Tyrese Haliburton16 hours ago

Notches Another Big-Time Performance
Jack Hughes16 hours ago

Adds Three More Points To His Tally
Dustin Stoltzfus16 hours ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Trae Young16 hours ago

Posts A 45-Point Double-Double
Tom Wilson16 hours ago

Celebrates First Career Hat Trick
Jalen Brunson16 hours ago

Drops 42 Points In Win Over Pistons
Punahele Soriano17 hours ago

Looking To Return To Win Column
Jonathan Isaac17 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable On Friday
Tristan Jarry17 hours ago

Caps Off Winning Performance With Historic Goal
Mitchell Marner1 day ago

Scores Hat Trick In Victory
Alex Lyon1 day ago

Earns Third Consecutive Victory
Jeremy Swayman1 day ago

Posts Shutout Against Sharks
Matt McLain1 day ago

Fully Healed
Shohei Ohtani1 day ago

Wins Most Outstanding Designated Hitter Award
Zach Hyman1 day ago

Ready To Return On Thursday
Juuso Valimaki1 day ago

Back For Coyotes On Thursday
Ilya Mikheyev1 day ago

Good To Go Thursday
Dylan Cease2 days ago

Cardinals Interested In Dylan Cease
Joaquim Silva2 days ago

Looking To Return To The Win Column
Clay Guida2 days ago

Set For 36th UFC Fight
Kelvin Gastelum2 days ago

Returns To Welterweight
Tyler Glasnow2 days ago

Cubs Have Held Trade Talks On Tyler Glasnow
Sean Brady2 days ago

Looking To Rebound After First Career Loss
Deiveson Figueiredo2 days ago

Moving Up To Bantamweight
Rob Font2 days ago

Set For Third Fight Of 2023
Nick Martinez2 days ago

Agrees To Two-Year Deal With Reds
Jackson Chourio2 days ago

Brewers Expected To Complete Record-Breaking Deal
Joey Wendle2 days ago

Agrees With Mets
Devin Williams2 days ago

Wins NL Reliever Of The Year Award
Félix Bautista2 days ago

Felix Bautista Named AL Reliever Of The Year
Luis Severino2 days ago

Mets, Luis Severino Finalizing One-Year Deal
Shohei Ohtani2 days ago

Expected To Sign Before End Of Winter Meetings
Dylan Cease2 days ago

Trade Talks For Dylan Cease Have Intensified
Randy Arozarena3 days ago

Being Shopped By Rays
Bo Bichette3 days ago

Likely Staying Put
Emilio Pagán3 days ago

Emilio Pagan Agrees To Two-Year Pact With Reds
Dylan Cease3 days ago

Dodgers "Among Most Aggressive" Teams For Dylan Cease
Shohei Ohtani3 days ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto "Above All Other Options" For Giants
Juan Soto3 days ago

"Almost Certain To Be Traded"
Cody Bellinger3 days ago

Earns NL Comeback Player Of The Year Award
Liam Hendriks3 days ago

Earns AL Comeback Player Of The Year Award

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 

Week 13 Rankings: 2023 Fantasy Football Outlooks, Start/Sit Analysis at Every Position - QB, RB, WR, TE

Check out our Week 13 2023 fantasy football position rankings! Jorden Hill discusses his top Week 13 fantasy football rankings for each position. You should consider starting these players in your 2023 fantasy football lineups for Week 13. The 2023 fantasy football season is officially here - win big with RotoBaller in 2023! Be sure... Read More


Breece Hall - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Injury Reports For Week 13 (Friday Updates): Aaron Rodgers, De'Von Achane, Jonathan Taylor, Keenan Allen, David Montgomery, Aaron Jones, Breece Hall, more

Heading into Week 13 of the NFL season, there is no shortage of big-name players in the injury headlines. The fantasy football playoffs are just around the corner, and these injuries could complicate start or sit decisions. Our injury updates and reports for Week 13 as of Friday, December 1, 2023, will give you the... Read More


Rhamondre Stevenson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 13 Fantasy Football Matchups We Love: The Fantasy Matchmaker

Welcome back to the Week 13 Fantasy Matchmaker article looking at Week 12 matchups we love! This is my weekly series for RotoBaller where I look at the matchup strength for pretty much every viable fantasy football player across the fantasy skill positions. With only two weeks left in the fantasy football regular season, each... Read More


Kyler Murray - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Week 13 Fantasy Busts? Players Who May Disappoint Include Kyler Murray, Breece Hall, D'Andre Swift, Drake London

Dodging busts with a full 16-game slate can be easy. With six teams on bye, it's a little bit more difficult. The Bills, Ravens, Vikings, Bears, Raiders, and Giants all get their week off this Sunday. It couldn't have come at a worse time with the fantasy playoffs for the majority of leagues just two... Read More


jaylen waddle fantasy football rankings news NFL DFS lineup picks

WR/CB Matchups to Target and Downgrade - Week 13 (2023)

Welcome to Week 13 of the WR/CB Matchups article. For those who are not familiar, this is a weekly series looking at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. During the past three seasons, I have tweaked my process to make the chart more user-friendly and predictive,... Read More


Bijan Robinson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

Rest of Season Half-PPR Rankings: Fantasy Football Top 200 for Week 13

December approaches and the fantasy football playoffs are on the horizon. Prepare for the championship push as best you can with our Week 13 fantasy football half-PPR rankings for the rest of 2023, as of November 30. Check where key players shifted, such as Bijan Robinson, Cooper Kupp, Zack Moss, and more. These half-PPR fantasy... Read More


Brandon Aiyuk - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Week 13 Matchups Analysis

Welcome back RotoBallers to our Week 13 matchups analysis and Start Em, Sit Em column for fantasy football. Last week started out with some lopsided Thanksgiving and Black Friday contests before the game of the week on Sunday between the Eagles and Bills. The schedule goes back to normal with just one Thursday matchup, but we... Read More


Najee Harris - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Booms and Busts - Fantasy Football Starts and Sits for Week 13 Lineups

Week 13 is finally here, and it might be the most important week for those fantasy managers still fighting for a playoff spot. With most leagues having their playoffs start in Week 15, there are just two regular season games left. That means if your fantasy team is on the bubble, you have to win... Read More


Kyren Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Updated Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

      Fantasy Football Rankings by NFL Position ALL - QB - RB - WR - TE - DEF Above you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings, tiers, player news and stats for your 2023 fantasy football leagues. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's fantasy football rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Fantasy Football... Read More


C.J. Stroud - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 13 NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Prop Picks for Sleeper.com

We started this week on fire, finishing 4-0 for our Thursday picks. Last week we had a good showing finishing 10-7 in total (6-6 Thursday and 4-1 Sunday) and moving our total to 53-45. This might be my last week this season writing a Sunday prop article so I have something special lined up for... Read More


C.J. Stroud - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

FanDuel NFL DFS Week 13 Picks: Top Daily Fantasy Lineup Plays Include C.J. Stroud, Kyren Williams, Amon-Ra St. Brown, George Kittle, More

It’s Week 13, and it’s the time of the year when every game matters just a bit more moving forward. The 13-game schedule began with a Thursday night meeting between the Seahawks and Cowboys, with Dallas squeezing out a win in the high-scoring affair. Then, on Sunday, teams like the Lions and Chiefs could ascend... Read More


Tua Tagovailoa - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Bold Predictions for Fantasy Football Week 13: Tua Tagovailoa, Najee Harris, Bijan Robinson, Mike Evans, Evan Engram

Week 13 is here, and I’m back with another edition of fantasy football bold predictions. This week’s list of bold predictions will include Tua Tagovailoa, Najee Harris, Bijan Robinson, Mike Evans, and Evan Engram. Every week, I will provide some fun and bold fantasy football predictions. While these bold predictions aren’t the most likely outcomes,... Read More


Jaylen Waddle - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

PrizePicks NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Week 13 (Sunday Main Slate)

Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 - Sunday Main Slate! The 2023 NFL season is underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of. Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best... Read More