X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Champ or Chump: Jarrod Dyson and Ian Desmond

What Appears In This Article? hide

Welcome back RotoBallers, to my ongoing series of Champs or Chumbs. I take a look at different MLB players, and determine if they truly will be viable fantasy baseball assets in 2017.

Fantasy owners have a need for speed that blows the value of the stolen base way out of proportion relative to the real game. Now that Jarrod Dyson has been traded to Seattle, he may be able to provide it.

Ian Desmond signed for $70 million earlier in this offseason, but no one seems to know why. Let's take a closer look at both of these outfielders.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2017 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. It's already loaded up with tons of great rankings articles and draft analysis. Aside from our tiered staff rankings for every position, we also go deep on MLB prospect rankings, impact rookies for 2017, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well. Bookmark the page, and win your drafts.

 

The Fantasy Jury is Out

Jarrod Dyson (OF, SEA)

Dyson has managed to steal 30 or more bases in four separate seasons despite never recording more than 337 PAs, making him a fantastic waiver add for owners seeking steals. It also warrants speculation on the kind of fantasy numbers he could put up with a full season of PAs. It is usually foolhardy to blindly prorate a partial season of performance and use the result as a projection, but Dyson's consistent SB production leads me to conclude that 50+ would almost be a given with regular playing time.

Lest you drop a Billy Hamilton comp on him, Dyson has a clue with the bat in his hands too. His .278/.340/.388 triple slash line last year was perfectly competent, and it came when he played more than ever before. He has no power at all, but an excellent 23.9% O-Swing% produced a solid 7.7% BB% anyway. He also rarely strikes out, as his 11.6% K% last year was supported by a minuscule 5.1% SwStr%. Add in his refusal to hit the ball in the air (24.1% FB% last year) and you get a guy who can make the most of his career .314 BABIP.

The elite speed and plus plate discipline could also see him hit at the top of the Seattle order, a position that would likely add runs scored to his steals and batting average. A three-category contributor who is elite at one of them is nothing to ignore on Draft Day. If nothing else, his elite glove should keep him in the lineup to rack up swipes. Seattle does not have too much OF depth to challenge him for playing time, either.

Truth be told, I said similar things last offseason when Kansas City appeared to have cleared a starting job for him. An injury in Spring Training led to more Paulo Orlando than anyone wanted and doomed Dyson to resume his fourth outfielder role. Now that Seattle has given something up for him, they should be more incentivized to use him than Kansas City was last year. You don't trade for him without planning to give him 500 PAs, right?

Verdict: Champ

 

Ian Desmond

On the surface, Desmond's .285/.335/.446 line, 22 bombs, and 21 swipes seem well worth the price Colorado paid to acquire his services. There are a ton of red flags, however. He stopped hitting completely in the second half, posting a .237/.283/.347 line with seven homers that seems awfully similar to the .233/.290/.384 with 19 dingers he put up in 2015. He also relied heavily on his favorable home park in Arlington, producing just .241/.305/.398 on the road last year. Evidence suggests that Coors players underachieve more than expected when they leave altitude. What will that do to Desmond?

If you do not put much stock into splits, there a plenty of full season stats that argue against Desmond as well. His .350 BABIP, fueled by a LD% spike (20.6% vs. 18.2% career) and seeing eye singles (.293 BABIP on grounders vs. .276 career), seems unlikely to repeat. He also strikes out way too often (23.6% K%, 12.2% SwStr%), a problem that has plagued him throughout his career. The net result is a batting average liability, a phrase rarely used to describe a Coors player.

His power isn't trustworthy either, as his 26% FB% is simply too low to count on a lot of power out of him. Last year's pop was the result of a HR/FB spike (15.4% in 2015 to 18.2% last season) completely unsubstantiated by his approach at the plate. Most big flies are pulled, and Desmond actually pulled fewer of his fly balls (13.2%) last year than his career rate (19.2%).

A Desmond that does not hit for average or power is not worth playing, especially at 1B where he currently projects. The Rockies have an excellent outfield of David Dahl, Charlie Blackmon, and Carlos Gonzalez, so they do not need Desmond's athleticism out there. His SS history is also a non-issue with Trevor Story's 2016. It is not hard to see Desmond as a more expensive Alexi Amarista, a utility player whose home park is the only reason to consider him in fantasy. Desmond should not even be drafted in shallow formats.

Verdict: Chump

 


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Luka Doncic15 mins ago

Probable For Game 5 Against Clippers
Jalen Brunson21 mins ago

Upgraded To Available
Kelly Oubre26 mins ago

Jr. Good To Go On Tuesday
Mitchell Robinson30 mins ago

Available For Game 5
Joel Embiid34 mins ago

Ready To Go Tuesday
Christian Encarnacion-Strand40 mins ago

To Miss Third Straight Game
Kristaps Porzingis43 mins ago

Likely To Miss Several Games
Jack Flaherty47 mins ago

Records 14 Strikeouts In No-Decision
Craig Kimbrel58 mins ago

Uncertain For Tuesday's Game
Mike Trout1 hour ago

To Undergo Knee Surgery
Kawhi Leonard1 hour ago

Ruled Out Wednesday
Terry Rozier1 hour ago

Out For Game 5 On Wednesday
Jaime Jaquez2 hours ago

Jr. Ruled Out For Game 5 On Wednesday
PGA2 hours ago

Alex Noren Looks To Take Another Step At TPC Craig Ranch
Masataka Yoshida2 hours ago

Going For MRI On His Hand
Mackenzie Hughes2 hours ago

Brings Hot Putter To TPC Craig Ranch
Cole Perfetti2 hours ago

To Make NHL Postseason Debut Tuesday
Si Woo Kim2 hours ago

Trendy Si Woo Kim Heads To Byron Nelson
Tim Hardaway2 hours ago

Jr. Unavailable For Game 5 Wednesday
Connor Hellebuyck2 hours ago

Looking To Get Right Tuesday
Starling Marte2 hours ago

Back From Bereavement List
Salvador Perez3 hours ago

Back In Action Tuesday
Daulton Varsho3 hours ago

Out Against Lefty Tuesday
Bojan Bogdanovic3 hours ago

Needs Surgery, Out For Remainder Of Postseason
Jeremy Swayman3 hours ago

Back In Action On Tuesday
José Abreu3 hours ago

Jose Abreu Being Sent To The Minors
Matt Martin3 hours ago

Out Again Tuesday
Vladislav Namestnikov3 hours ago

Brenden Dillon, Vladislav Namestnikov Out Tuesday
Tim Anderson3 hours ago

Out Of Tuesday's Lineup
Sami Valimaki4 hours ago

Two-Steps Into Texas This Week
Chan Kim4 hours ago

Could Surprise At The CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tyler Black4 hours ago

Brewers Set To Call Up Tyler Black
Matt Grzelcyk4 hours ago

Likely Back In Tuesday
Adam Schenk4 hours ago

Has Concerns Heading To Texas
Rico Hoey4 hours ago

Showing Signs Of Improvement
Jhoan Duran4 hours ago

Activated From Injured List
T.J. Oshie5 hours ago

Facing Uncertain Future
Timothy Liljegren5 hours ago

Draws Back In For Game 5
Nolan Jones5 hours ago

Placed On Injured List
Joseph Woll5 hours ago

To Start Game 5 Tuesday
Auston Matthews5 hours ago

A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
J.K. Dobbins5 hours ago

Says He's 100 Percent Healthy
Will Zalatoris5 hours ago

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Cade Horton7 hours ago

Cubs Promote Cade Horton To Triple-A
Jett Williams7 hours ago

On Injured List At Double-A
Kodai Senga7 hours ago

Looks "Nasty" While Facing Live Hitters
Zac Gallen7 hours ago

To Start Wednesday Against Dodgers
Yu Darvish7 hours ago

Activated And Starting On Tuesday
Zay Jones9 hours ago

Jaguars Release Zay Jones On Tuesday
Jalen Williams9 hours ago

Fills Stat Sheet As Thunder Complete Sweep
Bam Adebayo9 hours ago

Close To 20-20 Game In Monday's Loss
Derrick White9 hours ago

Scores Career-High 38 Points In Monday's Win
Jayson Tatum9 hours ago

Notches Third Double-Double Of Postseason
Anthony Davis9 hours ago

Battles Through Shoulder Injury In Game 5
LeBron James10 hours ago

Mum On Future After Playoff Exit
Nikola Jokic10 hours ago

Falls One Assist Short Of Another Big Triple-Double
Jamal Murray10 hours ago

Hits Another Game-Winner To End Series
Max Fried18 hours ago

Pitches Six No-Hit innings Monday
Justin Turner19 hours ago

Homers Twice In Monday Win
NFL19 hours ago

Seahawks, 49ers Interested In Jamal Adams
Tee Higgins19 hours ago

Bengals Not Close To Tee Higgins' Contract Demands?
Gunnar Henderson19 hours ago

Cranks 10th Homer Monday
Chase Brown19 hours ago

Enters 2024 As Backup
Jamal Murray22 hours ago

Available For Game 5
Kristaps Porzingis22 hours ago

To Undergo Imaging Tuesday
Michael Gallup22 hours ago

Intends To Sign With Vegas
Kyle Pitts1 day ago

Falcons Pick Up Kyle Pitts' Fifth-Year Option
Matt Martin1 day ago

To Miss Game 5
Derek Forbort1 day ago

Could Play In Game 5
Chase Elliott1 day ago

Notches Another Top-Five Finish At Dover
Alex Bowman1 day ago

Frustrated After Finishing Eighth At Dover
Jaylen Waddle1 day ago

Fifth-Year Option Picked Up By Dolphins
Matheus Nicolau1 day ago

Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 91
Travis Kelce1 day ago

Chiefs Agree To Two-Year Extension With Travis Kelce
William Byron1 day ago

Botched Pit Stop and Crash Eliminate William Byron From Contention at Dover
NASCAR1 day ago

Martin Truex, Jr. Faded to Third at Dover, but Remains Fastest Driver of 2024
Kyle Larson1 day ago

Late-Race Charge at Dover Comes up Short
Denny Hamlin1 day ago

Takes Checkered Flag at Dover for Third Win of Season
Jarvis Landry1 day ago

Expected To Try Out For Jaguars
Alex Perez1 day ago

Scores Second-Round Knockout Win At UFC Vegas 91
MMA1 day ago

Ariane Lipski Loses A Decision At UFC Vegas 91
Karine Silva1 day ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Jonathan Pearce1 day ago

Suffers Decision Loss
David Onama1 day ago

Wins Second Fight In A Row
Brad Keselowski1 day ago

A Tire Issue On Lap 118 Impacts Brad Keselowski's Day At Dover
Ryan Blaney1 day ago

Finishes Seventh At Dover
Mika Zibanejad1 day ago

Collects Two Points Sunday
Artemi Panarin1 day ago

Notches Game-Winning Goal Sunday
Auston Matthews1 day ago

Uncertain For Game 5
Ezekiel Elliott1 day ago

Back With Cowboys
Noah Gragson1 day ago

Nabs A Quality Top 10 Finish At Dover
Brock Boeser1 day ago

Nets Hat Trick Sunday
Kyle Busch1 day ago

Scores His Second Top-10 Finish Of The Year At Dover
Stuart Skinner1 day ago

Blanks Kings On Sunday
Daniel Hemric2 days ago

Ends Up Ninth At Dover
Ty Gibbs2 days ago

Sneaks Into Tenth At Dover On Sunday
Tank Dell2 days ago

In "Good Spirits" After Being Shot
Connor Hellebuyck2 days ago

Struggles Again Sunday
Nathan MacKinnon2 days ago

Cale Makar Each Notch Two Points In Game 4
Derek Ryan2 days ago

To Make Postseason Debut Sunday
Alexandar Georgiev2 days ago

Stands Tall Sunday
Kirk Cousins2 days ago

Still Atlanta's Unquestioned Starting QB
Justin Jefferson2 days ago

Vikings Optimistic Regarding Justin Jefferson's Contract Talks
J.J. McCarthy2 days ago

Vikings Won't Rush J.J. McCarthy Into Starting Role
Travis Etienne Jr.2 days ago

Jaguars Pick Up Fifth-Year Options On Trevor Lawrence, Travis Etienne Jr.
Martin Truex Jr2 days ago

. Is One Of The Top DFS Plays At Dover
Tyler Reddick2 days ago

Will Start Fourth At Dover
Michael McDowell2 days ago

Fade Michael McDowell For the Wurth 400 At Dover
Joey Logano2 days ago

Will Not Cause Much DFS Excitement At Dover
Noah Gragson2 days ago

Is Noah Gragson A Sneaky Tournament Play At Dover?
Uros Medic2 days ago

Returns To Win Column At UFC Vegas 91
Tim Means2 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 91
Austen Lane2 days ago

Winless In The UFC
Jhonata Diniz2 days ago

Wins UFC Debut
Ryan Spann2 days ago

Suffers Third Straight Loss
Bogdan Guskov2 days ago

Gets Upset Win At UFC Vegas 91
Kyle Larson2 days ago

the Favorite to Win at Dover Despite Qualifying 21st
Chase Elliott2 days ago

a Core DFS Play at Dover
Alex Bowman2 days ago

Always Strong at Dover
Chris Buescher2 days ago

Has DFS Place Differential Upside at Dover
Troy Franklin3 days ago

Broncos Trade Up To Select Oregon Receiver Troy Franklin
Deebo Samuel4 days ago

49ers Set To Keep Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk?
Luke McCaffrey4 days ago

Selected By Commanders 100th Overall
Jalen McMillan4 days ago

Heads To Tampa Bay
Tip Reiman4 days ago

Cardinals Take Tip Reiman At No. 82
Alex Perez4 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Matheus Nicolau4 days ago

Returns To Action At UFC Vegas 91
Ariane da Silva4 days ago

Ariane Lipski Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Karine Silva4 days ago

Looks For Ninth Victory In A Row
David Onama4 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 91
Jonathan Pearce4 days ago

Looks To Get Back In Win Column
Uros Medic5 days ago

A Massive Favorite At UFC Vegas 91
Tim Means5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 91
Austen Lane5 days ago

Searching For First UFC Win
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF