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Week 16 NFL Matchups Analysis: Start/Sit for Fantasy Championships (Part 2)

By AJ Guel (ajguel.com) (originally posted to Flickr as Dez Bryant) [CC-BY-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia CommonsWelcome to Week 16 of NFL and fantasy football action, RotoBallers. It's time to get focused for your championship week.

Each week of the NFL season, we've broken down all of the NFL matchups and provided you with fantasy football advice and lineup recommendations based on matchups that we love, matchups that we hate, and some high-risk/high-reward players, as well.

Below, you will find our Week 16 NFL matchups & fantasy football start/sit analysis, which should help you prepare your lineups to win your playoff matchups this week. It’s essential to analyze the weekly NFL matchups to find lineup sleepers and gems, while also avoiding those players who might turn out to be busts.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

To read about the rest of this week’s NFL matchups, check out Start/Sit &  Matchups Analysis for Games 1-8 and our Week 16 Standard and PPR Rankings. And of course you can always stop by the RotoBaller chat rooms for any live advice you may need.

The season is winding down.  Some of you are in your championships already.  Some of you may still be playing your way in.  Some of you may have set up a BCS-style algorithm to pick your champion.  I won't judge.  The point is, you know what you have to do.  It all comes down to this.  Buckle up, kids.

 

Vikings @ Dolphins: Sunday, 12/21 1:00 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Dolphins D/ST: The Vikings offense is far from impressive, and even though Miami's hit a rough patch recently, they've played the AFC's top two seeds (New England and Denver), and another playoff team besides (Baltimore.)  If you're streaming, they aren't a bad option.

Lamar Miller: A matchup against the soft Vikings (24th against the run) gives Miller RB2/FLEX consideration this week.

Matchups we Hate:

Minnesota: Any time I recommend a D/ST, it's because I wouldn't touch the offense playing against it with a ten-foot pole.  Minnesota is no exception.

Mike Wallace: The Vikings are good against the pass, and Wallace is fairly TD-dependent WR option.  There surely are some lower-risk players available to you.

 

Falcons @ Saints: Sunday 12/21 1:00 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Matt Ryan: He's on a hot streak recently, and the Saints secondary has been suspect all season.  The game could be a shootout, and that will benefit Ryan owners immensely.

Roddy White: As of now, we're assuming Julio Jones is still out due to injury, and that increases White's upside.  If Jones is out, White is a confident WR2.

Drew Brees: Brees is having somewhat of a renaissance late in the season, throwing 12 TDs in the last four games.  He looks like he's back to being the Brees we knew and loved.

Jimmy Graham: You know you have to start him if you have him, despite his uncharacteristic recent late-season lull.

Mark Ingram: Ingram is taking over the Saints backfield, and he gets the lion's share of goal-line touches.  Slot him in at RB2/FLEX if you have him.

Matchups we Hate:

Other Running Backs: The Falcons running game is miserable, and the Saints rotate backs too often for any of them to be fantasy-viable in a game of this magnitude.

 

Patriots @ Jets: Sunday 12/21 1:00 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Tom Brady: The Jets are awful, and Brady is in peak Brady form, and this is really starting to cause me pain, so I'm ending this sentence.

Rob Gronkowski: Gronk is exactly as Gronk-like as everyone thought he could be, and against New York, it should mean a big fantasy day.

Julian Edelman: Edelman has seen exactly as many targets as Jordy Nelson has on the season, and while he's no Jordy, he should be in your lineup this week.

Matchups we Hate:

Patriots RBs: As usual, we have no idea who is going to get which carries or when.  Don't do this to yourself in the championships.

All Jets: The Patriots defense is stepping up, and watching the Jets try to execute an offense is like watching a dog with a bucket on its head.  There's a lot of confusion and panicked running around, but ultimately nothing is accomplished.

 

Giants @ Rams: Sunday, 12/21 4:05 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Odell Beckham Jr.: There's almost nobody playing wide receiver better than Odell Beckham Jr. right now.  He has six touchdowns in the last four games, has topped 130 yards in three of those four (and was held to "merely" 90 yards in the fourth game), and  he faces a Rams defense that ranks 19th against the pass.  Don't you dare sit him.

Matchups we Hate:

Anyone else in this game: The Rams D has allowed 12 points in the last three games, but Beckham is likely to put a stop to that all on his lonesome.  The rest of the Giants are out.  The Rams lack anyone who's even fantasy acceptable, let alone fantasy relevant.

 

Colts @ Cowboys: Sunday, 12/21 4:25 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Andrew Luck: The Cowboys defense has regressed back into mediocrity, and Andrew Luck is still the highest-scoring player in fantasy football.  He's unbenchable.

TY Hilton: Hilton's hamstring MRI came back clean, which is good news for owners hoping that the Colts star continues his breakout campaign.

DeMarco Murray (if he plays): Quick rule of thumb: don't bench anyone who's number one at his position.

Dez Bryant: His three-touchdown explosion last week nearly knocked me out of the playoffs, so I can confidently say that you should start him.

Matchups we Hate:

Trent Richardson: Richardson is now being outperformed by Boom Herron, so that's a thing.

Other Matchups:

Boom Herron: He's turned in respectable yardage outings, but touchdowns still elude him.  If he can find the end zone this week, he's got decent upside.

 

Bills @ Raiders: Sunday, 12/21 4:25 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Bills D/ST: The Bills defense is one of the top fantasy squads in the league, and they're playing Oakland.  It should be fun if you managed to land them.

Matchups we Hate:

Everybody: I imagine that the Bills offense will eke out enough points to make Oakland's defense irrelevant, but not quite enough to make any Bills relevant.  The Raiders, of course, shouldn't be anywhere near a championship lineup.

 

Seahawks @ Cardinals: Sunday, 12/21 8:30 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Marshawn Lynch: Lynch never seems to go away, and in his last outing he ran for 82 yards against the vaunted Cardinals defense.  He's too good not to play this week.

Russell Wilson: His rushing is invaluable to his fantasy production, adding heft to otherwise mediocre performances.  He played a similar game against the Cardinals in Week 11.

Seattle D/ST: The Cardinals have been forced to start Ryan Linsley Lindseley Lindley at quarterback this week.  Had to triple-check on that one there.  The Seahawks are probably gonna be fine this week.

Matchups we Hate:

Arizona: The Cardinals have been forced to start Ryan Lindley at quarterback.  This offense is dead.

 

Broncos @ Bengals: Monday, 12/22 8:30 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Peyton Manning: Have the last few weeks been rough on Peyton?  Undeniably.  Is he still Peyton Manning?  Absolutely.  Should you ever, ever bench him for any reason?  No, never, not in a million years.

C.J. Anderson: Anderson has been the back we all thought Montee Ball could be at the beginning of the season, posting four 20-point games in his last six.

Demaryius Thomas: He's the guy Peyton Manning throws to the most.  You want that guy in your lineup.

Emmanuel Sanders: He's been falling off since the Broncos have relied more on the run, but the upside is too good to keep out of your lineup.  Keep him in the WR2 spot where you've had him in all year.

Jeremy Hill: Hill is taking over the Bengals backfield, and on a cold night with primetime Andy Dalton behind center, expect him to get looks early and often.

A.J. Green: Not even primetime Andy Dalton can stop A.J.  He should squeeze out respectability from this game, if nothing else.

Julius Thomas: If he's playing, you have to start him.  You know what he's capable of.

 

 




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jonah Coleman

is an Intriguing Power Back to Target in Dynasty Leagues
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Darius Slayton

Lacking Long-Term Upside for Dynasty Managers
Keaton Mitchell

a Prime Dynasty Handcuff Option Entering First Season in L.A.
Jadarian Price

Looks Like the Running Back of the Future in Seattle
Isaiah Bond

Dynasty Outlook Clouded by Uncertain Role in Cleveland
James Cook III

Remains a High-End Dynasty RB1 Entering 2026
Lamar Jackson

Poised for Bounce Back Season in 2026
Bucky Irving

Expected to Be Ready for Training Camp
Kyle Williams

Deep Threat Kyle Williams Facing Uphill Battle for Playing Time
Michael Pittman Jr.

Could Receive Short-Term Value Uptick in PPR Leagues
Stefon Diggs

Chiefs, Commanders Could Make Sense for Stefon Diggs
Will Howard

Dynasty Value Dealt a Blow
Jaylen Warren

Should Benefit From Veteran QB's Return to Pittsburgh
Drew Allar

Could Continue to Hold Dynasty Value
Pat Freiermuth

Could See a Small Dynasty Bump With Veteran QB Returning
DK Metcalf

A Dynasty Sell Candidate With Veteran QB Returning?
Bones Hyland

Wants to Stay in Minnesota
Mike Conley

Hints He Will Continue Playing Next Season
Kevin Huerter

Iffy for Sunday Night
Caris LeVert

Questionable for Game 7
Duncan Robinson

Back on Injury Report Ahead of Game 7
Larry Nance Jr.

Likely Out Sunday Due to Illness
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Aaron Rodgers

Signs One-Year Deal With Steelers
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Jeremy Lauzon

Misses Saturday's Practice
Mark Stone

Doesn't Practice Saturday
Josh Manson

Misses Practice, Considered Day-to-Day
Brent Burns

Day-to-Day Ahead of Conference Finals
Cale Makar

Considered Day-to-Day
Alex Lyon

Likely to Start Game 6 Against Canadiens
Owen Power

Available Saturday
Isaac TeSlaa

Can Isaac TeSlaa Carve Out a Larger Role in Detroit Going Forward?
Troy Franklin

Facing Uphill Battle for Playing Time in Denver
Trevor Lawrence

Should Trevor Lawrence Be Valued as a Dynasty QB1?
Courtland Sutton

in Line for Reduced Role in Denver?
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
Duncan Robinson

Nets 14 Points With Four Triples
Cade Cunningham

Contributes 21 Points in Game 6 Win
Jalen Duren

Bounces Back With Double-Double
Anthony Edwards

Finishes Season-Ending Loss With 24 Points
Victor Wembanyama

Tallies 19 Points in Friday's Win
De'Aaron Fox

Highly Effective in Blowout Win
Stephon Castle

Shines in Series-Clincher
Kyle Schwarber

on a Heater, Hits Two More Homers to Take Major-League Lead
Clay Holmes

Suffers Fractured Fibula on Friday Night
Blake Snell

Heads to 15-Day Injured List
Austin Reaves

Could Command $40M Per Year With New Contract
Jalen Duren

Available to Finish Game 6
Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Not Expected to Be Ready for Start of Next Season
Jalen Williams

Declares Himself Healthy for Conference Finals
Terrence Shannon Jr.

Will Play Friday Night
Kevin Huerter

is Available for Game 6
Duncan Robinson

is Returning for Game 6
Caris LeVert

is Cleared for Game 6 on Friday
Blake Snell

Scratched From Start on Friday for Undisclosed Reasons
Max Fried

Heading to Injured List With Elbow Bone Bruise
CFB

Julian Sayin Looking To Build Off Of Strong Debut Season
CFB

College GameDay Set for First Three Weeks
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Aiming For Ohio State Receiving Records
CFB

Keshaun Singleton Projects as Auburn's WR1
CFB

Jeremiah Cobb Impresses New Auburn Staff
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Very Likely to Start for Georgia Tech
CFB

Charles Woodson Jr. Commits to Michigan
Jordan Westburg

to Have Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Melquizael Costa

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Main Event
Arnold Allen

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 117
Daniel Santos

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Co-Main Event
MMA

Dohoo Choi Returns At UFC Vegas 117
Juan Diaz

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Malcolm Wellmaker

Looks To Bounce Back
Christian Edwards

Set For His UFC Debut
Modestas Bukauskas

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Tarik Skubal

Resumes Playing Catch, Ahead of Schedule?
Lane Hutson

Contributes Two Assists in Game 5 Victory
Nick Suzuki

Amasses Three Points in Crucial Victory Thursday
Juraj Slafkovsky

Dishes Out Three Assists in Game 5 Win
Carter Hart

Stops 31 Pucks in Series-Clinching Win
Pavel Dorofeyev

Enjoys Second Consecutive Multi-Goal Game
Shea Theodore

Records Two Points in Game 6 Win
Mitchell Marner

Scores Special Goal in Series-Clincher
Ryan Johnson

Takes Over as Canucks GM, Sedins Promoted to Co-Presidents
Drew Helleson

Won't Play Thursday
Radko Gudas

Unlikely to Play Thursday
Jeremy Lauzon

Remains Out Thursday
Mark Stone

Misses Third Consecutive Game
EDM

Kris Knoblauch Fired as Oilers Head Coach
CFB

Virginia Tech Lands Commitment from Four-Star QB Peter Bourque
Byron Buxton

Scratched on Thursday With Hip Soreness
Cal Raleigh

Heading to Injured List With Oblique Strain
Francisco Alvarez

has Knee Surgery, Expected to Miss Eight Weeks
Quinn Hughes

Finishes Postseason With 15 Points
Cal Raleigh

Exits With Apparent Side Injury on Wednesday Night
Juan Soto

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Juan Soto's Ankle
CFB

NFL Veteran Tom Moore Joins Iowa Coaching Staff
CFB

Can Cam Cook Dominate in Return to Big 12?
CFB

ACC, Big 12 Support 24-Team College Football Playoff
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Looking to Elevate Nebraska Back to National Contention
CFB

Kwazi Gilmer Set for Big Impact at Nebraska
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of PGA Championship Despite Concerning Form
J.J. Spaun

Trending Up Ahead of PGA Championship
Adam Scott

Riding Strong Form Into PGA Championship
Patrick Reed

Looking to Make Another Run at PGA Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Looks to Build on Strong Finish at Truist Championship
Sam Burns

Must Keep Ball in Play at PGA Championship
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Complete Career Grand Slam at Aronimink
Brandt Snedeker

Not the Best Option for the PGA Championship
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Volatile Option at PGA Championship
Maverick McNealy

Seeking Better Start in Philadelphia
Harry Hall

a Boom-or-Bust Option at Aronimink
Hideki Matsuyama

Attempts to Improve Over 2025 PGA Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Defend PGA Championship at Aronimink
Nicolai Hojgaard

Wants to Keep Momentum Rolling in Philadelphia
Ben Griffin

Attempting to Bounce Back After Truist Championship
CFB

Transfer Defensive Lineman Devarrick Woods Commits to Clemson
Harris English

Will Need His Putter to Thrive at Aronimink
Akshay Bhatia

Creative Flair Could Show Itself in Philadelphia
Keegan Bradley

Knows the Aronimink Golf Club Well
Si Woo Kim

Struggles at Truist Championship
Gary Woodland

Can Continue Incredible 2026 Season at PGA Championship
Xander Schauffele

In Excellent Form Heading to PGA Championship
CFB

Isaac Brown Has All-American Upside in 2026
CFB

Nyck Harbor Heading into Breakout Year?
CFB

Notre Dame, USC in Discussions to Resume Rivalry Series
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Has Eyes on ACC Title
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Gunshot Wound Not Viewed as Career-Threatening
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