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Week 16 NFL Matchups Analysis: Start/Sit for Fantasy Championships (Part 2)

By AJ Guel (ajguel.com) (originally posted to Flickr as Dez Bryant) [CC-BY-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia CommonsWelcome to Week 16 of NFL and fantasy football action, RotoBallers. It's time to get focused for your championship week.

Each week of the NFL season, we've broken down all of the NFL matchups and provided you with fantasy football advice and lineup recommendations based on matchups that we love, matchups that we hate, and some high-risk/high-reward players, as well.

Below, you will find our Week 16 NFL matchups & fantasy football start/sit analysis, which should help you prepare your lineups to win your playoff matchups this week. It’s essential to analyze the weekly NFL matchups to find lineup sleepers and gems, while also avoiding those players who might turn out to be busts.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

To read about the rest of this week’s NFL matchups, check out Start/Sit &  Matchups Analysis for Games 1-8 and our Week 16 Standard and PPR Rankings. And of course you can always stop by the RotoBaller chat rooms for any live advice you may need.

The season is winding down.  Some of you are in your championships already.  Some of you may still be playing your way in.  Some of you may have set up a BCS-style algorithm to pick your champion.  I won't judge.  The point is, you know what you have to do.  It all comes down to this.  Buckle up, kids.

 

Vikings @ Dolphins: Sunday, 12/21 1:00 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Dolphins D/ST: The Vikings offense is far from impressive, and even though Miami's hit a rough patch recently, they've played the AFC's top two seeds (New England and Denver), and another playoff team besides (Baltimore.)  If you're streaming, they aren't a bad option.

Lamar Miller: A matchup against the soft Vikings (24th against the run) gives Miller RB2/FLEX consideration this week.

Matchups we Hate:

Minnesota: Any time I recommend a D/ST, it's because I wouldn't touch the offense playing against it with a ten-foot pole.  Minnesota is no exception.

Mike Wallace: The Vikings are good against the pass, and Wallace is fairly TD-dependent WR option.  There surely are some lower-risk players available to you.

 

Falcons @ Saints: Sunday 12/21 1:00 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Matt Ryan: He's on a hot streak recently, and the Saints secondary has been suspect all season.  The game could be a shootout, and that will benefit Ryan owners immensely.

Roddy White: As of now, we're assuming Julio Jones is still out due to injury, and that increases White's upside.  If Jones is out, White is a confident WR2.

Drew Brees: Brees is having somewhat of a renaissance late in the season, throwing 12 TDs in the last four games.  He looks like he's back to being the Brees we knew and loved.

Jimmy Graham: You know you have to start him if you have him, despite his uncharacteristic recent late-season lull.

Mark Ingram: Ingram is taking over the Saints backfield, and he gets the lion's share of goal-line touches.  Slot him in at RB2/FLEX if you have him.

Matchups we Hate:

Other Running Backs: The Falcons running game is miserable, and the Saints rotate backs too often for any of them to be fantasy-viable in a game of this magnitude.

 

Patriots @ Jets: Sunday 12/21 1:00 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Tom Brady: The Jets are awful, and Brady is in peak Brady form, and this is really starting to cause me pain, so I'm ending this sentence.

Rob Gronkowski: Gronk is exactly as Gronk-like as everyone thought he could be, and against New York, it should mean a big fantasy day.

Julian Edelman: Edelman has seen exactly as many targets as Jordy Nelson has on the season, and while he's no Jordy, he should be in your lineup this week.

Matchups we Hate:

Patriots RBs: As usual, we have no idea who is going to get which carries or when.  Don't do this to yourself in the championships.

All Jets: The Patriots defense is stepping up, and watching the Jets try to execute an offense is like watching a dog with a bucket on its head.  There's a lot of confusion and panicked running around, but ultimately nothing is accomplished.

 

Giants @ Rams: Sunday, 12/21 4:05 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Odell Beckham Jr.: There's almost nobody playing wide receiver better than Odell Beckham Jr. right now.  He has six touchdowns in the last four games, has topped 130 yards in three of those four (and was held to "merely" 90 yards in the fourth game), and  he faces a Rams defense that ranks 19th against the pass.  Don't you dare sit him.

Matchups we Hate:

Anyone else in this game: The Rams D has allowed 12 points in the last three games, but Beckham is likely to put a stop to that all on his lonesome.  The rest of the Giants are out.  The Rams lack anyone who's even fantasy acceptable, let alone fantasy relevant.

 

Colts @ Cowboys: Sunday, 12/21 4:25 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Andrew Luck: The Cowboys defense has regressed back into mediocrity, and Andrew Luck is still the highest-scoring player in fantasy football.  He's unbenchable.

TY Hilton: Hilton's hamstring MRI came back clean, which is good news for owners hoping that the Colts star continues his breakout campaign.

DeMarco Murray (if he plays): Quick rule of thumb: don't bench anyone who's number one at his position.

Dez Bryant: His three-touchdown explosion last week nearly knocked me out of the playoffs, so I can confidently say that you should start him.

Matchups we Hate:

Trent Richardson: Richardson is now being outperformed by Boom Herron, so that's a thing.

Other Matchups:

Boom Herron: He's turned in respectable yardage outings, but touchdowns still elude him.  If he can find the end zone this week, he's got decent upside.

 

Bills @ Raiders: Sunday, 12/21 4:25 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Bills D/ST: The Bills defense is one of the top fantasy squads in the league, and they're playing Oakland.  It should be fun if you managed to land them.

Matchups we Hate:

Everybody: I imagine that the Bills offense will eke out enough points to make Oakland's defense irrelevant, but not quite enough to make any Bills relevant.  The Raiders, of course, shouldn't be anywhere near a championship lineup.

 

Seahawks @ Cardinals: Sunday, 12/21 8:30 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Marshawn Lynch: Lynch never seems to go away, and in his last outing he ran for 82 yards against the vaunted Cardinals defense.  He's too good not to play this week.

Russell Wilson: His rushing is invaluable to his fantasy production, adding heft to otherwise mediocre performances.  He played a similar game against the Cardinals in Week 11.

Seattle D/ST: The Cardinals have been forced to start Ryan Linsley Lindseley Lindley at quarterback this week.  Had to triple-check on that one there.  The Seahawks are probably gonna be fine this week.

Matchups we Hate:

Arizona: The Cardinals have been forced to start Ryan Lindley at quarterback.  This offense is dead.

 

Broncos @ Bengals: Monday, 12/22 8:30 PM Eastern

Matchups we Love:

Peyton Manning: Have the last few weeks been rough on Peyton?  Undeniably.  Is he still Peyton Manning?  Absolutely.  Should you ever, ever bench him for any reason?  No, never, not in a million years.

C.J. Anderson: Anderson has been the back we all thought Montee Ball could be at the beginning of the season, posting four 20-point games in his last six.

Demaryius Thomas: He's the guy Peyton Manning throws to the most.  You want that guy in your lineup.

Emmanuel Sanders: He's been falling off since the Broncos have relied more on the run, but the upside is too good to keep out of your lineup.  Keep him in the WR2 spot where you've had him in all year.

Jeremy Hill: Hill is taking over the Bengals backfield, and on a cold night with primetime Andy Dalton behind center, expect him to get looks early and often.

A.J. Green: Not even primetime Andy Dalton can stop A.J.  He should squeeze out respectability from this game, if nothing else.

Julius Thomas: If he's playing, you have to start him.  You know what he's capable of.

 

 




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kevin Durant

Becomes First Player to Make All-NBA Team With Five Franchises
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Victor Wembanyama Lead All-NBA First Team
Taylor Hall

Enjoying Life in Carolina
Mark Stone

Returns to Action Sunday
Cale Makar

Rejoins Avalanche Lineup Sunday
Cason Wallace

Joins Starting Unit Sunday
De'Aaron Fox

Doesn't "Feel Great" Entering Game 4
Jalen Williams

Won't Play Sunday
Christian Watson

Is Christian Watson on the Verge of a Legitimate Breakout?
Khalil Shakir

Dynasty Value in Decline
Travis Hunter

Still a Risky Buy Even at His Sunken Dynasty Cost
Gunnar Helm

a Dynasty Sleeper with Room to Grow
Drake Maye

Is Drake Maye Becoming the Most Valuable Player in Superflex Dynasty Leagues?
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Exits Sunday's Game Early with Elbow Contusion
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

on Pole for Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Could Break Out of Slump
Kyle Larson

May have A Solid Day at Charlotte
Ryan Blaney

Is A DFS Risk for Charlotte Lineups
William Byron

Could have A Great DFS Performance at Charlotte
Chase Briscoe

Is A Solid Tournament Option for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Pat Freiermuth

Steelers Restructure Pat Freiermuth's Contract
Ty Gibbs

May not be Worth his Salary for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Chris Buescher

May be a Sneaky Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Has Favorable Upside for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ross Chastain

Is A Strong Addition for DFS Lineups at Charlotte
Austin Dillon

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Austin Dillon for Charlotte DFS Lineups?
Chase Elliott

Should Be Strong at Charlotte
Carson Hocevar

Confident for Coca-Cola 600
Corey Heim

a Chalk DFS Pick at Charlotte
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell A Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups?
Jordan Mason

a Short-Term Dynasty Depth Piece
Dontayvion Wicks

Can Dontayvion Wicks Stand Out in Another Crowded Offense?
Chuba Hubbard

Dynasty Value Back on the Rise
Juwan Johnson

an Overlooked Buy Candidate for Contending Dynasty Managers
Kimani Vidal

Easily Acquirable as a High-Value Insurance Back
Evan Mobley

Tallies Series-High 24 Points on Saturday
Donovan Mitchell

Struggles at the Line Saturday
Karl-Anthony Towns

Continues Playmaking Surge on Saturday
OG Anunoby

Delivers Clean Shooting Line Saturday
Mikal Bridges

Fills Box Score in Game 3 Win
Jalen Brunson

Pushes Knicks Closer to NBA Finals
Orlando Magic

Magic Interview Jeff Van Gundy for Head-Coaching Position
Phillip Danault

Extends Point Streak to Three Games
Josh Anderson

Nets Two Goals in Painful Loss
Jalen Chatfield

Delivers Two Assists in Crucial Win
Mark Jankowski

Contributes Two Assists in Game 2 Victory
Eric Robinson

Scores in Second Consecutive Game
Nikolaj Ehlers

Tallies Two Goals as Hurricanes Bounce Back Saturday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Magic Reportedly Have Giannis Antetokounmpo on Their Radar
Ajay Mitchell

Won't Play Sunday
Dylan Harper

Not on Injury Report for Game 4
De'Aaron Fox

Off the Injury Report Ahead of Game 4
Jalen Williams

Questionable for Sunday Night
Ja'Tavion Sanders

a Dynasty Dart Throw With Potential Untapped Upside
Geno Smith

a Low-Cost Dynasty Add Who Still Comes with Risk
C.J. Stroud

Still a Capable and Undervalued Dynasty QB2
Bhayshul Tuten

More Big Plays in 2026 Could Transform Bhayshul Tuten into a Dynasty Steal
Joe Mixon

Is Joe Mixon's NFL Career Over?
MLB

Orioles-Tigers Game Postponed on Saturday
RJ Harvey

to be Relegated to Third-Down Role After Rookie RB Addition?
Baker Mayfield

A Lot of Uncertainty Surrounding Baker Mayfield Going into Fourth Year in Tampa
Brian Robinson Jr.

a Must-Have Handcuff in Dynasty Leagues?
Sam LaPorta

Could be Excellent Buy-Low Candidate for Risk-Tolerant Managers
Jordyn Tyson

on a "Maintenance Plan" During Offseason Workouts
MLB

Rays-Yankees Postponed on Saturday
Devin Vassell

Posts 20 Points in Game 3 Loss
De'Aaron Fox

Struggles From Deep in Friday's Loss
Victor Wembanyama

Held to Four Rebounds in Game 3 Loss
Jaylin Williams

Catches Fire From Deep Friday
Nazem Kadri

Contributes an Assist in Losing Effort
Ross Colton

Nets Lone Avalanche Goal Friday Night
Rasmus Andersson

Extends Assist Streak to Four Games
Pavel Dorofeyev

Focuses on Playmaking in Friday's Win
Jack Eichel

Enjoys Multi-Point Outing in Game 2 Win Friday
Ivan Barbashev

Amasses Three Points as Golden Knights Grab 2-0 Series Lead
Mickey Moniak

Heads to Injured List With Ankle Sprain
Frederik Andersen

Hurricanes Keep Faith in Frederik Andersen
Devon Levi

Attracting Interest From Senators
Scott Wedgewood

Starting Game 2 Against Golden Knights
Ben Hutton

Scratched for Game 2 Against Avalanche
Mark Stone

Won't Play Friday
Jackson Merrill

has Sore Ribs, Expected to Avoid Injured List
Cale Makar

Remains Out Friday
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Looking to Take Sophomore Leap
CFB

Jadan Baugh Primed to Lead Florida Offense in 2026
CFB

LSU Hires Ed Orgeron As Special Assistant
CFB

North Carolina and South Carolina Cancel Home-And-Home Series
CFB

Confidence High in Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
Trevor Story

has Hernia Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks
Roman Anthony

Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
CFB

Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
CFB

Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
CFB

Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
CFB

UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
CFB

Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
Michael Thorbjornsen

Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List

Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
PGA

Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
Gerrit Cole

to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
Drake Baldwin

Braves Place Drake Baldwin on Injured List With Oblique Strain
CFB

Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
CFB

Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
CFB

Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
CFB

Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
CFB

Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
Jackson Holliday

Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
Jose Altuve

Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF