Packers vs. Broncos: Week 7 Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Jordan Love, Aaron Jones, Christian Watson, Luke Musgrave, Russell Wilson, Javonte Williams, Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy

by RotoBaller

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Fantasy football start 'em, sit 'em, and lineup advice for the Packers vs. Broncos on Sunday in Week 7 (2023). Detailed player breakdowns and matchups analysis.

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6. More Fantasy Football Analysis

Welcome to our Packers vs. Broncos fantasy football start 'em, sit 'em matchups analysis article for Week 7 of the 2023 NFL season.

Read our matchups analysis, player breakdowns, and lineup recommendations for the matchup and set those winning lineups. Good luck RotoBallers!

Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos

Spread: Packers -1.0
Implied Total: Packers (23) vs. Broncos (22)
Pace: Packers (10th) vs. Broncos (18th)
Packers Off. DVOA: 19.4% Pass (11th), -20.3% Rush (27th)
Broncos Off. DVOA: 4.5% Pass (20th), -3.0% Rush (11th)
Packers Def. DVOA: 6.2% Pass (14th), 1.8% Rush (26th)
Broncos Def. DVOA: 48.3% Pass (32nd), 9.5% Rush (31st)

Matchups We Love

Aaron Jones (RB, GB)

The team held Jones out on Monday night prior to their bye to give him the extra rest. The hope was that he'd be good to go in Week 7. He's still on the injury report and practicing in a limited fashion, which gives me pause. The expectation seems to be that he'll play, but that may not equate to a full workload against the Broncos. Thankfully, the last word in that sentence was Broncos, who have been abysmal at stopping the run. Even on limited snaps, Jones would be a top-20 back. AJ Dillon may also be worth a look if we know Jones is limited entering Sunday.

UPDATE: Jones is listed as questionable for Sunday's game. It's a little surprising coming out of the bye week, but he still seems set to play. Dillon would be a top-24 back if he's out.

Christian Watson (WR, GB)

Two weeks ago, we saw Patrick Surtain II shut down Garrett Wilson. The Chiefs don't have a legit No. 1 receiver, so it's hard to draw a conclusion from last week. Watson ought to be the one who draws him in coverage, which is enough to push him outside the top 15, but the upside is still there. It does add some intrigue to Romeo Doubs and/or Jayden Reed. Doubs has operated as the No. 2 receiver or No. 1 when Watson was out, but the gap in production isn't all that large. Doubs has just 18 more yards and one more touchdown. They're both in the top 36 with the edge going to Doubs.

Christian Watson

Snap%
Wk4: 46%
Wk5: 84%

Target%
Wk4: 11.8%
Wk5: 24.1%

YPRR
Wk4: 1.25
Wk5: 3.14

Faces Broncos this week.

Wheels all the way up. pic.twitter.com/gRAZ9HNTZZ
— Scott Rinear (@MunderDifflinFF) October 20, 2023

Luke Musgrave (TE, GB)

The other piece of this ensemble is Musgrave, who leads the team in yards after the catch (90) and sits second in receptions (18). His combination of talent as an outlet and downfield threat make him a breakout candidate as early as this week.

Matchups We Hate

Jordan Love (QB, GB)

Love struggled against Las Vegas in Week 5 with three interceptions while completing just 53% of his passes. On the flip side, Denver has been roasted by opposing signal-callers on the season but looked formidable last week against Patrick Mahomes. It's enough to categorize Love as a boom-bust streamer with a wide range of outcomes.

Russell Wilson (QB, DEN)

The theme of things going from one end of the spectrum to the other continues here with Wilson. He was performing okay from an NFL perspective, and quite well for fantasy entering their Thursday night showdown with Kansas City. He somehow managed 95 passing yards on 22 attempts. Travis Kelce had more receiving yards than he did passing. That seems unfathomable. Nevertheless, it happened and it makes him hard to trust in a mediocre matchup.

Russell Wilson Vs. GB since 2016

Yards: 1270
TD: 4
INT: 11

Average Per game.

211 Yards
.66 TD
1.8 INT
— Jacob Morley (@JacobMorley) October 20, 2023

Other Matchups

Javonte Williams (RB, DEN)

The area to exploit the Packers' defense is on the ground, which has been the case dating back to 2022. Williams joined this group just in time to wreck the hopes of Jaleel McLaughlin managers, who thought they'd get a start. Williams handled 10 carries in spite of his health concerns, confirming he's still the lead back. McLaughlin and Samaje Perine each earned two targets with the former seeing seven carries as well. Williams and McLaughlin could both be flex options for you with so many tailbacks banged up or on bye this week.

Javonte Williams ceiling as a runner remains incredibly high. His combination of speed and power allows him to operate at a high level both between the tackles and outside as well. pic.twitter.com/BoU76sh7tN
— Strickly NFL (@StricklyNFLPod) October 13, 2023

Broncos WRs

Credit goes to Courtland Sutton for somehow not burning fantasy managers even though his quarterback couldn't surpass 100 yards. Can't imagine there's a long list of players who can say that. He's found the end zone four times. Yet, only one of those has come in the red zone. The lack of faith in Wilson has to impact him as well, especially given the Packers will have Jaire Alexander in tow. After dealing with trade rumors and getting ripped on national television by Steve Smith, it's fair to wonder how long Jerry Jeudy will stay a Bronco. He's averaging about six targets per game, hasn't scored a touchdown in 2023, and is clearly behind Sutton. Sutton drops outside the top 30 while Jeudy is a low-ceiling flex receiver.

Notable Injuries

Greg Dulcich (leg)
Aaron Jones (hamstring)

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Packers vs. Broncos: Week 7 Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Jordan Love, Aaron Jones, Christian Watson, Luke Musgrave, Russell Wilson, Javonte Williams, Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy

Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos

Matchups We Love

Matchups We Hate

Other Matchups

Notable Injuries

More Fantasy Football Analysis

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