Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


NFL DFS GPP Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings (Week 13)

It was yet another odd week in terms of scoring across the DFS slate. The top of the leaderboard among quarterbacks was filled with players that are generally QB2s weekly. Ryan Tannehill, Sam Darnold, and Ryan Fitzpatrick all took plus matchups and excelled in a big way. The money saved on these players as you built a lineup easily set you up for success in GPP play. But as for the RBs on the week, it was another week of mixed results. We saw only four backs find the end-zone on multiple occasions (Leonard Fournette, Christian McCaffrey, Derrick Henry, Mark Ingram). Otherwise, most backs on the week were scoring in the 10-15 FP range on the week. Which typically does not breed high-scoring lineups in these contests. Looking at the receivers for the week, you had the big performances from Chris Godwin, Jarvis Landry, and D.J. Moore. But past that, you found quality scoring throughout the Top 30 players at the position on the week.

That speaks volumes as we prepare to build lineups for Week 13. The players that you will be exposed to will be limited with three games on Thanksgiving. It becomes more imperative to identify the plus matchups and hit on the players that you spend money on at the top of the price range. But with a number of the upper echelon players looking at great matchups, it is the deep dive players that will be winning you money in GPP play for Week13. With injuries playing a role in players missing time or being on snap counts, hitting on a player that is cheap but stepping into an expanded role is what gives some fantasy owners a leg up on the competition. Don't be afraid to take some risks as you build your roster in some of these contests. Because merely going with the chalk plays may keep you around the money line, but at the end of the day it keeps you from winning the big bucks.

So what are some of the under the radar plays that can help you cash in this weekend? That is what we look to identify in the Week 13 Sneaky Plays for DFS.

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'RBNFL19'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 


Quarterback DFS Value Picks for GPPs

Jared Goff @ Arizona Cardinals ($7,900 FanDuel, $6,000 DraftKings)

There has been a lot of negative talk surrounding Goff and this Rams offense over the last few games. Goff has been held without a passing touchdown in each of the last three games. The offense has looked sluggish and out of sync as of late. But all of that could be fixed with a solid matchup against a Cardinals secondary that is currently the worst in the league in points allowed to QBs (25.2 FPPG).

Goff must get out to a quick start in this game and I believe he will do just that. This has all the makings of a potential shootout, giving the Rams plenty of opportunities to score. Don't be surprised if Goff breaks out of his funk here to the tune of a three-score game, placing him solidly as a Top 10 play on the week. He will be a cheap option in DFS, and with the sour taste surrounding the team, he may also go overlooked. Giving you a great option at QB in Week 13.


Running Back DFS Value Picks for GPPs

LeSean McCoy vs. Oakland Raiders ($5,800 FanDuel, $4,800 DraftKings)

Coming out of the bye week, Damien Williams is still nursing an injury and missing from practice. With the likelihood that he misses yet another game, that only increases the workload for McCoy in a plus matchup against a Raiders Defense that currently allows 19.3 FPPG to opposing RBs. Coming off of a game in which he received six targets in the passing game, McCoy could prove to have a solid floor in DFS for Week 13. The Chiefs should also maintain a lead for most of the game, which could see him getting plenty of touches this week. If McCoy gets around 15 touches, he is almost certain to push to finish as an RB2 and a very low-owned and cheap play in GPPs.

Update: Damien Williams has officially been ruled out.

Jay Ajayi @ Miami Dolphins ($4,800 FanDuel, $3,000 DraftKings)

Based on the matchup, many fantasy owners will be looking to play Miles Sanders this week in their lineups. But the contrarian play of Jay Ajayi could be a cash winning move in Week 13. Sure, he only saw six carries in his season debut a week ago, but the team is likely working him into a more expanded role. Why not this week? The matchup is there to take advantage of against a Dolphins Defense that is bottom five in points allowed to the position (23.0 FPPG). If the Eagles to get out to a lead and maintain it, the second half could see a nice amount of touches for Ajayi and the potential to score against his former team. He makes for an intriguing option to plugin as your Flex as you spend up on other players in your lineup for Week 13.


Wide Receiver DFS Value Picks for GPPs

Chris Conley vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($6,000 FanDuel, $4,500 DraftKings)

He may not be blowing fantasy owners away with his statistical output over the last three games, but Conley has been very much involved in the Jaguars passing attack. He has 39 targets over the last five games but only one touchdown over that span. But in Week 13 he has a very juicy matchup against a Buccaneers Defense that is the worst in the league in points allowed to the position (31.7 FPPG). This game could work itself into a potential shootout which will allow for yet another high target game for Conley. He could easily finish the week as a Top 25 option if he finds the end-zone and will be a player that will be forgotten in DFS lineups. Sneak him into as a WR3 option at a very reasonable price.

Jakobi Meyers @ Houston Texans ($5,100 FanDuel, $3,300 DraftKings)

Meyers will be a very intriguing play in Week 13. The matchup is there to take advantage of. The Texans are a bottom-third defense in points allowed to opposing receivers (24.0 FPPG). But Meyers upside will be directly tied to the depth of the Patriots receiving core. With the team expected to be thin yet again at the position, Meyers could see a high target game come his way in this one. Seeing him haul in six catches for 90 yards and a score is not out of the realm of possibility in Week 13. Making in a solid play as a WR3 in GPPs and a player that should be a low-owned option at a great price.


Tight End DFS Value Picks for GPPs

Noah Fant vs. Los Angeles Chargers ($5,100 FanDuel, $,3,700 DraftKings)

Since the Broncos made the switch to Brandon Allen at QB, it seems as though the team has tried to include Fant more into the offensive gameplan. The targets have been there (28 over the last four games) but the production has yet to come around. That could be a bit different in Week 13 as he is set up with a solid matchup against a Chargers Defense that has been middle of the road in points allowed on the season (6.7 FPPG). Don't be shocked to see Fant find the end-zone in this game, making him a very sneaky play at the position in DFS.

More Weekly DFS Analysis

More Recent Articles


Wide Receiver ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More

Biggest Busts of 2019: Quarterback

The 2019 NFL season is over, and it's time to look back on what happened. 2019 was a year where some quarterbacks -- Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen -- leaped up to the top of the fantasy charts, while other guys faded from where they were expected to perform. Today, I want to talk about three... Read More

Four and Out: Fantasy Outlooks for Divisional Round Losers

For the four teams that were eliminated in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs, the offseason has begun. For many fantasy football owners, the days have already started counting down to next season. Owners in dynasty leagues have started to mull over their decisions.  How some guys perform in the playoffs can certainly alter... Read More

Quarterback ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More

Biggest Busts of 2019: Wide Receivers

After a very interesting season of fantasy football action, many owners were left with a bitter taste in their mouth from a few of the “elite” NFL wide receivers. While Michael Thomas dominated and Julio Jones was his usual reliable self, not all was good if you played it safe by taking a receiver early.... Read More

Quarterback Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

This article will examine the biggest risers and fallers at the quarterback position, which proved to be the most impactful in fantasy leagues as is often the case. Of the top-25 players in fantasy this season, 18 of them played the QB position and none of the 18 scored less than 280 fantasy points on... Read More

XFL Fantasy Football Rankings (Preseason)

As of this writing, there is exactly one month until XFL regular-season action begins. On February 8, the latest upstart professional league will kickoff (again) with spring football. It goes without saying that we hope it goes better than the first time, back in 2001, and lasts longer than the AAF. Before you settle in... Read More

Wide Receiver Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

We continue our series covering the biggest risers and fallers of 2019 with the wide receiver position. I'll look at both 2018 and 2019 statistical outcomes from every player, contrast their performances, calculate differences in each category and come up with the most prominent names going forward. This past season, receivers didn't dominate in fantasy,... Read More

2020 Early Sleepers and Draft Targets: Running Back

It is going to be almost impossible to win your fantasy football league in 2020 without a strong set of running backs, even in today’s pass-happy NFL. While quarterbacks and wide receivers have gained importance in fantasy football in recent years, building your fantasy roster around your running back corps is still one of the... Read More

Top Rebound Candidates for 2020

Is it way too early to be thinking about fantasy football for the 2020 season? Yes. Are we going to do it anyway? You bet we are. While coaches, coordinators, players, and rookies will change some things, you're still going to be able to get an idea of where certain players are going to be... Read More

Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Running Back

The 2019 fantasy football was filled with plenty of surprises across the board. Between guys like Devante Parker breaking out and David Johnson being a total dud, there was plenty of action that kept the fantasy season interesting. At the running back position, there were some very interesting young names that took off and broke... Read More

How the Titans-Ravens Upset May Alter Fantasy Outlooks

Saturday’s AFC Divisional Playoff Game between the Titans and Ravens may have been much more than just the biggest upset of the NFL season. It was also an event that might have quickly changed perceptions about two prominent players in the early part of 2020 fantasy football drafts and altered some thoughts about them as... Read More

Introducing the 2020 Rookie Wide Receiver Class

With an exciting and quite deep rookie class incoming, the wide receiver position is no exception. Not only is this class very talented at the top, but the wide receiver position is very deep and will have plenty of late-round talent. Alabama leads the way this year at the wide receiver position and there are... Read More

Introducing the 2020 Rookie Running Back Class

The 2020 class has been getting a ton of hype for some time now and as the offseason goes on, it’s only going to pick up. If you’ve gathered yourself some 2020 rookie picks, hold on to them because they’re only going to gain value. This year’s running back class is going to be very... Read More

Introducing the 2020 Rookie Quarterback Class

If you’re an avid dynasty football fan, you know very well that there is no off-season. For the average fantasy football fan, the season is over and won’t be talked about again until the NFL Draft, or even later. Dynasty owners know that this time of year can be just as exciting as any, and... Read More