X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Should I Draft Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson? Fantasy Football ADP Duel for 2025 Drafts

Josh Allen - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson - who should I draft for 2025 fantasy football? Brandon's ADP duel and pick recommendations for quarterbacks Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson.

In the high-stakes world of fantasy football, where every draft pick can make or break a season, understanding Average Draft Position (ADP) is a critical skill for any savvy manager. When it comes to quarterbacks, the decision between two similarly ranked players can be particularly daunting, as their ADP often reflects a tight race in perceived value.

My ADP Duels dive into the art of navigating these close calls, offering insights into how to weigh the subtle differences between quarterbacks who sit neck-and-neck in draft rankings. By mastering the nuances of ADP, you can gain a competitive edge, ensuring your roster is built for success from the opening round. Quarterbacks, as the cornerstone of any fantasy team, carry immense weight in draft strategy, and choosing between two players with comparable ADP requires more than just gut instinct. Factors such as offensive scheme, team support, schedule strength, and even injury history can tip the scales when deciding between signal-callers who appear evenly matched on paper.

In this piece, we’ll break down how to analyze these variables, using real-world examples to illustrate how small differences in player profiles can lead to big fantasy outcomes. Whether it’s a battle between a proven veteran and an ascending star or two dual-threat playmakers, understanding the context behind their ADP is key to making an informed choice. First up out of the gate, I will be looking at the top of the QB board, as the decision between Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson looms large for fantasy managers aiming to draft this position early. ADP Duel will equip you with the tools to confidently navigate these quarterback conundrums, ensuring you don’t just follow the draft board but outsmart it. I’ll explore specific player comparisons, highlighting how to leverage ADP trends and statistical projections to your advantage. By the end of this article, you’ll have a clearer roadmap for tackling those nail-biting moments when two quarterbacks are on the board, and the clock is ticking. Get ready to sharpen your draft strategy and turn ADP Duels into decisive victories for your fantasy season.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Josh Allen - QB, Buffalo Bills

ADP: QB1, 22nd Overall

Allen, the Buffalo Bills’ dual-threat dynamo, remains a fantasy football juggernaut in 2025, making him a prime pick at his current ADP of around the 22nd overall pick (QB1, late second round in standard one-QB leagues). His resume screams reliability: five straight seasons as either QB1 or QB2, with a 2024 stat line boasting 3,731 passing yards, 28 passing touchdowns, and a career-low six interceptions, plus 531 rushing yards and 12 rushing touchdowns.

This guy’s a walking cheat code, racking up 40+ total touchdowns for five consecutive years—a feat no other player has matched more than three times. Despite losing Stefon Diggs, Allen’s 2024 season proved he can elevate a middling receiving corps (ranked 27th in average Open Score) with the likes of Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir, alongside tight ends Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox.

His ability to turn broken plays into highlight-reel sprints or pinpoint passes keeps his floor sky-high, while his ceiling—think 50- and 41-point fantasy explosions against the Rams and Lions last year—makes him a weekly game-changer.

At 29, he’s in his prime, dodging the injury bug that plagues other mobile QBs like Lamar Jackson or Kyler Murray, playing all 17 games for four straight seasons. Drafting Allen at his ADP is like stumbling upon a Ferrari at used-car prices—sure, it’s a premium, but you’re getting elite performance with a side of swagger.

On the other hand, some might hesitate due to the Bills’ retooled offense or the temptation to wait for value quarterbacks like Jalen Hurts or Joe Burrow later in drafts. But let’s be real: passing on Allen is like skipping dessert to “save room” for kale. His dual-threat prowess—tied for the second-most rushing TDs in the NFL in 2023 with 15—gives him a unique edge over pocket passers.

While his passing TDs dipped to 28 last season, his career-low turnovers (seven total, including just one interception since Week 13) show he’s cleaned up the reckless gunslinger vibes without sacrificing his playmaking mojo. The Bills’ offense, projected to be top-tier again in 2025, supports him with a solid run game led by James Cook and a favorable schedule that doesn’t scream defensive gauntlet.

Compared to Lamar Jackson, who’s neck-and-neck at QB2, Allen’s consistency (never finishing below QB2 since 2020) and lower interception rate make him the safer bet for managers who want a set-it-and-forget-it QB.

Snagging Allen in the late second round means you’re locking in a proven difference-maker while still grabbing elite RBs or WRs early—because nothing says “fantasy champ” like pairing Allen’s weekly heroics with a roster that doesn’t need to scrape the waiver wire for points.

 

Lamar Jackson - QB, Baltimore Ravens

ADP: QB2, 23rd Overall

Jackson, the Baltimore Ravens’ electrifying maestro, was a fantasy football dream machine last season, and at his current ADP of around the 23rd overall pick (QB2, late second round in standard one-QB leagues), he’s looking to unleash more chaos for fantasy managers in 2025. In 2024, Jackson delivered another MVP-caliber season, throwing for 4,172 yards, 41 passing touchdowns, and just four interceptions while adding 915 rushing yards and four scores on the ground—numbers that make fantasy managers do a happy dance.

His dual-threat dominance is unmatched: he’s led all QBs in rushing yards for four straight years, including a 2023 game against Miami where he tossed five TDs and had the Dolphins defense looking like he was playing Madden on rookie mode. With weapons like Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, newly acquired DeAndre Hopkins, and tight end Mark Andrews, plus the addition of Derrick Henry’s thunderous run game keeping defenses honest, Jackson’s 2025 outlook is brighter than a disco ball.

His ability to rack up 20+ fantasy points even in “down” games—see his 17-point floor against the Raiders' mediocre defense last year—makes him a weekly lineup lock. At 28, he’s dodging major injury concerns (17 games played in 2024) and remains the centerpiece of a Ravens offense that ranked top-five in points scored last season.

Snagging Lamar at his ADP is like finding a gourmet burger at a solid price—pure value with all the flavor.

Sure, some fantasy managers might eye Josh Allen’s consistency or Jalen Hurts’ sneaky upside a round later, but betting against Lamar is like betting against gravity—bold, but foolish. His 2024 campaign showed he’s evolved as a passer, posting a career-high 66.7% completion rate and an 8.8 yards-per-attempt average, silencing doubters who called him a one-trick pony.

Unlike Allen, who lost key targets, Jackson’s supporting cast is trending up, with Flowers emerging as a solid WR1 and Hopkins bringing that savvy veteran presence. The Ravens’ schedule in 2025 also looks juicy, with matchups against pass-funnel defenses like Miami and Minnesota, where Lamar historically feasts (think near 40-point outbursts in 2023).

Similar to Allen, Jackson’s ADP offers a value that gives you an edge at the position, letting you nab an elite RB or WR in the first round before securing a QB who’s averaged 23.8 fantasy points per game since 2022, second only to Allen. His turnover rate (nine total in 2024) is a tad higher than Allen’s, but the upside of games with high production totals makes the risk worth it.

Draft Lamar, and you’re not just building a team—you’re unleashing a one-man fantasy wrecking crew who’ll have your opponents crying into their nachos by Week 4.

 

Fantasy Football Verdict

It's not everyone's cup of tea to aim for the QB position early on during drafts. But different strategies come into play for different managers, as some prefer taking that decision out of their hands in weekly lineups. With that being said, the decision between selecting Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson will come to pass as soon as the second round if you are going that route.

Think of this as deciding on a place to eat when you're extremely hungry. Could there be a "losing pick" here? Not necessarily, as both will be fulfilling and provide what is needed. But as for my preference between the two, consistency is the key, and that currently belongs to Josh Allen.

The streak that Allen is currently riding in terms of fantasy finishes doesn't seem to have an end in sight, barring injury. Although he remains behind Jackson in rushing yardage each season, the upside of scoring potential continues to give him an edge.

In this ADP Duel, I will crown Josh Allen as the victor.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Christian Barmore

"Dominant" this Spring
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Homers Twice, Drives in Three
Brice Matthews

Joining Astros
MLB

White Sox-Guardians Postponed on Thursday
Brandon Aiyuk

Likely to Begin Season on PUP List, but Not Ruled Out for Week 1
Jameson Williams

Not in the Team's Long-Term Plans?
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Micah Parsons

Plans to be Present for Start of Training Camp
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Ikem Ekwonu

Next Up for Extension in Carolina?
Jalen Thompson

Heading into Last Year With Cardinals?
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Najee Harris

Suffers Eye Injury in Fireworks Mishap
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Alex Bregman

Will Return to Red Sox This Weekend
Chris Sale

Braves Won't Consider Trading Chris Sale
Clarke Schmidt

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery on Friday
Nick Nash

Unlikely to Make Falcons Active Roster
Lane Johnson

in No Rush To Retire
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Blake Corum

has "Gotten His Speed Back"
Jarquez Hunter

Picking Up Rams Offense Quickly
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Kirk Cousins

Feels Misled by Falcons
Bijan Robinson

Says Falcons Have "Outlandish Goals" for the Running Game
Luther Burden III

Bears Expect Luther Burden III to be Ready for Training Camp
Cole Kmet

an Unlikely Trade Piece
Tony Pollard

Titans Hope to Balance Rushing Attack With Tony Pollard, Tyjae Spears
Byron Buxton

Sitting Thursday
Quentin Johnston

Not Assured of Starting Role
Cordarrelle Patterson

on the Roster Bubble in Pittsburgh?
Shedeur Sanders

Not Assured of Roster Spot in Cleveland?
Wan'Dale Robinson

Hoping For More Downfield Opportunities
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Homers Twice on Wednesday
Mike Trout

Homers Twice in Win Over Rangers
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Leads Yankees to Victory
Salvador Perez

Crushes Two Homers in Win
Cleveland Browns

Greg Newsome on the Trade Block?
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Devin Booker

Agrees to Extension with Phoenix
Trevor Williams

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Byron Buxton

Exits After Hit-by-Pitch, X-Rays Negative
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Playing on Wednesday
Alex Bregman

has "Really Good Chance" to Return Before All-Star Break
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Expected to Return on Friday
Walter Clayton Jr.

Leads Jazz to Summer League Win
Carter Bryant

Struggles in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Drops a Double-Double in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Oklahoma City Thunder

Malevy Leons Logs Impressive Summer League Outing on Tuesday
Dalton Knecht

Collects 25 Points in Lakers Summer League Win
Los Angeles Lakers

Darius Bazley Drops 27 Points in Summer League on Tuesday
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Chet Holmgren

Agrees to Rookie Max Extension
Alex Bregman

Not Returning Wednesday
Jhoan Duran

Unavailable Due to Illness
Shane McClanahan

Tosses Clean Frame in First Rehab Appearance
Jacob Wilson

Day-to-Day After HBP
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. to be Reassessed Wednesday
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Malaki Branham

Traded to Washington
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Blake Wesley

Moves to Washington
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Kelly Olynyk

on the Move Again
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Anthony Davis

Recovering From Eye Surgery
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
Sonny Milano

on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Jakub Dobes

Signs Two-Year Deal with Canadiens
NHL

Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
Carson Hocevar

Should DFS Players Consider Carson Hocevar for Chicago Lineups?
Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

May be A Decent DFS Option for Chicago Lineups
Dmitri Voronkov

Signs Two-Year, $8.35 Million Extension with Blue Jackets
Ryan Preece

Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
Austin Dillon

Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
Zane Smith

Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
Austin Hill

is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
Ty Dillon

Is Ty Dillon A Decent Driver to Add For NASCAR DFS At Chicago?
William Byron

Qualifying Crash Makes William Byron a Likely DFS Must-Have
Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
Joey Logano

Has Been Relatively Mediocre on Road Courses Lately
Ryan Blaney

Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF