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Texans vs. Chiefs Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - C.J. Stroud, Patrick Mahomes, Nico Collins, Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, Joe Mixon, Isiah Pacheco, Kareem Hunt

Nico Collins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy football start em, sit em lineups advice for the Texans vs. Chiefs on Saturday, January 17 for the Divisional Round (2025). NFL matchups analysis and starts/sits.

We're onto Round 2 of the NFL playoffs, which means we're back to provide coverage for playoff leagues and DFS contests. Below you can read our matchups analysis article for the Texans vs. Chiefs game to help make any fantasy lineup decisions for whatever contest, league, or tournament you are participating in.

The Chiefs have only lost one game with starters in the lineup this year and are heavy favorites against the Texans. However, anything can happen when the playoffs begin, so this AFC contest could be closer than expected.

Read our fantasy football breakdowns for this game -- the recommended starts, sits, and matchups we love heading into the Divisional Round. Below, you'll see the fantasy football outlooks for key players like C.J. Stroud, Patrick Mahomes, Nico Collins, Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, Joe Mixon, Isiah Pacheco, Kareem Hunt, and more.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs

Spread: Chiefs -7.5

 

Matchups We Love

WR Xavier Worthy 

Things are certainly trending in the right direction for Xavier Worthy. Worthy is averaging 21 PPR fantasy points per game over his last three contests while seeing 31 total targets during that span. So, the rookie will be a solid play this weekend against the Texans. Houston just allowed Ladd McConkey to total 197 receiving yards from the slot last week, and Worthy scored 20.5 PPR fantasy against this secondary back in Week 16.


TE Dalton Schultz 

It has been tough to trust Dalton Schultz for most of the year. He has scored in double figures in PPR formats just twice this season and has caught three passes or fewer in three straight games.

However, Schultz scored 15.5 PPR fantasy points the last time he faced this Chiefs defense in Week 16. Given that Kansas City allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to tight ends in the regular season, he could be a nice value play.

 

Matchups We Hate

RB Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon ran the ball well last week against the Chargers, totaling 106 yards on the ground and one touchdown. But he'll be a risker option this weekend against the Chiefs.

Kansas City has given up the fewest fantasy points to the position, and opposing running backs are averaging only 3.8 yards per carry on the ground against this front seven this season. So, it might be best to stay away from him in the Divisional Round.


Update: Mixon is questionable for Saturday's game due to an ankle injury.

RB Isiah Pacheco 

Since coming back from injury, Isiah Pacheco has not done much. He has played under 38% of the team's offensive snaps in four of the five games and hasn't scored over 8.2 PPR fantasy points in any of those contests. Now, he'll go up against a Texans defense that is allowing only 3.93 yards per carry to opposing running backs this season. So, Pacheco is a riskier option this weekend.

RB Kareem Hunt 

Even with Pacheco back in the lineup, Kareem Hunt has out-snapped him in consecutive games. In both those contests, Hunt also scored a touchdown. Still, the veteran running back will be a riskier DFS play this weekend against the Texans. Houston allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs in the regular season.

WR DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins has been somewhat disappointing since arriving in Kansas City. He has totaled under 40 receiving yards in six of the past seven games and has totaled under 10 PPR fantasy points in three straight contests. Unfortunately, things don't get easier for him in the Divisional Round. Hopkins will likely go up against Derek Stingley Jr. in this game. Stingley ranks third in catch rate allowed this season.

 

Other Matchups

QB C.J. Stroud 

C.J. Stroud played well last week, throwing for 282 yards and one touchdown. He also threw for 244 yards and two touchdowns against this Chiefs defense just a couple of weeks ago. However, Stroud will be a lower-end quarterback option in the Divisional Round. Kansas City had two weeks to prepare for the Texans quarterback, and he has scored under 19 fantasy points in 12 straight games.

QB Patrick Mahomes 

Patrick Mahomes will enter the Divisional Round with multiple weeks of rest. He did not play in Week 18 and had a bye during Wild Card Weekend. So, it'll be interesting to see if he comes out slow in Saturday's game. However, he'll be a solid quarterback play this weekend. He scored 23.7 fantasy points against the Texans back in Week 16, thanks to a rushing touchdown early in the game.


WR Marquise Brown 

Marquise Brown has looked solid in his two games back from injury. In Week 16, he totaled five catches for 45 yards on eight targets against the Texans. Then, he totaled four catches for 46 yards on seven targets in Week 17 against the Steelers. So, Brown does have some potential this weekend against a Texans defense that allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts in the regular season.

WR Nico Collins

Nico Collins struggled to put up big fantasy numbers toward the end of the regular season, but he showed up big-time in the team's Wild Card game against the Chargers. He caught seven passes for 122 yards and one touchdown.

Although Collins will likely be guarded by Trent McDuffie for most of this game, the Pro Bowl wideout can still be a solid option in fantasy. McDuffie ranks 93rd in receptions allowed this season.

WR John Metchie III

With Tank Dell (knee) and Stefon Diggs (knee) both out for the season, John Metchie has stepped into that WR2 role for the Texans. While he hasn't produced much in that role, he can be a dart throw in some DFS contests this weekend. He has seen eight targets in two of the past three games, including last week against the Chargers.

TE Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce's production wasn't as strong toward the end of the regular season. He only scored above 14 PPR fantasy points once from Week 11 to Week 17. However, the veteran tight end will continue to be a strong fantasy option in the Divisional Round against the Texans. Kelce always seems to show up in the playoffs.

 

Notable Fantasy-Relevant Injuries

  • Joe Mixon (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Rome Odunze

"Increasing Unlikely to Play" in Week 17
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Carries Questionable Tag on Thursday
David Montgomery

Expected to Play on Christmas Day
Seth Curry

to Remain Sidelined on Christmas Day
Jae'Sean Tate

Questionable Thursday
Dwight Powell

Likely to Return on Christmas
Jaylin Williams

Misses Fifth Straight Game
Ousmane Dieng

Unavailable on Christmas Day
Guerschon Yabusele

Questionable for Christmas Action
Miles McBride

Remains Out on Christmas
Cameron Johnson

to Miss Time With Bone Bruise in Right Knee
Jaxson Hayes

Considered Questionable for Christmas Matchup
Rui Hachimura

Likely to Return Thursday
Dorian Finney-Smith

Could Make Season Debut on Christmas Day
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Uncertain for Christmas Day
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Listed as Questionable for Christmas Game
Al Horford

on Track to Return Thursday
Jaden McDaniels

Iffy for Christmas Day
Brandon Williams

Expected to Play on Christmas Day
P.J. Washington

at Risk of Missing Second Straight Game
Klay Thompson

Likely to Play on Christmas Day
Max Christie

Probable for Christmas Day
Ajay Mitchell

Out on Christmas Day
Chet Holmgren

Available on Christmas Day
David Montgomery

Questionable to Play With Illness
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Questionable, Expected to Play on Thursday
Rashee Rice

Chiefs Place Rashee Rice on Injured Reserve
T.J. Hockenson

Ruled Out for Week 17
Pete Fairbanks

Marlins Agree on One-Year Deal
Josh Johnson

to Start at QB on Thursday Against Dallas
Brooks Koepka

Leaving LIV Golf
Davante Adams

Could Sit Out Final Two Regular-Season Games
Brock Bowers

Placed on Injured Reserve Due to Lingering Knee Injury
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Expected to Play on Christmas Day Against the Vikings
Connor McDavid

Finishes Battle of Alberta With Five Assists
Karel Vejmelka

Battling Upper-Body Injury
Alexandre Texier

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Against Bruins
Alexander Nikishin

Dealing With Apparent Ankle Injury
Denver Barkey

Exits Early Tuesday
Travis Sanheim

Pulled by Concussion Spotter Tuesday
Ryan O'Hearn

Pirates Agree on Two-Year Deal
DK Metcalf

has Two-Game Suspension Upheld
Philip Rivers

to Remain the Starter in Week 17
George Kittle

Dealing With Mid-to-Low Ankle Sprain
Viktor Arvidsson

a Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Ryan Leonard

Available Tuesday
Tom Wilson

in Danger of Missing First Game of the Season
Phillip Danault

Makes Second Canadiens Debut Tuesday
Collin Graf

Available Against Golden Knights
Jack Eichel

Misses Fourth Straight Game
Vince Dunn

Won't Play Tuesday
Deshaun Watson

Will Not be Activated Off PUP List, 2025 Season is Over
J.J. McCarthy

Ruled Out for Week 17
Rome Odunze

Expected to Return This Season
Christian McCaffrey

Another Monster Game for Christian McCaffrey in Week 16
Brock Purdy

Throws for Five Touchdowns in Week 16
TreVeyon Henderson

in Concussion Protocol, Week 17 Status Unclear
George Kittle

Week 17 Availability in Question?
CFB

Jeff Brohm, Eli Drinkwitz "Names of Interest" for Michigan Head Coach
Timothy Liljegren

to Miss Second Straight Game Tuesday
Will Smith

Out Week-to-Week
Jaccob Slavin

Placed on Injured Reserve, Out Week-to-Week
Seth Jarvis

Considered Week-to-Week
Darren Raddysh

Totals Three Points in Monday's Win
Mason Marchment

Scores Twice Monday
Vince Dunn

Injured in Monday's Win
Ilya Sorokin

to Miss Tuesday's Game
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Byrum Brown Entering Transfer Portal
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Bobby Petrino Joining Bill Belichick as North Carolina's Offensive Coordinator
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Shipped to the Red Sox
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Pirates Acquire Brandon Lowe in Three-Team Trade
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Orioles Acquire Shane Baz From the Rays

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