X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

EPL Betting Picks and Game Previews for Matchday 12: English Premier League

Jamie Steed previews EPL Matchday 12 of the 2024-25 season, starting on 11/23/2024. He previews each game from the English Premier League; picking bets and providing predictions for each game.

The EPL season rolls on and we're bringing you our weekly article looking at betting picks and predictions for all games. Matchday 12 kicks off on Saturday, November 23, with Chelsea visiting Leicester City. It culminates on Monday, November 25, when West Ham United visits Newcastle United.

Every week, we'll offer a preview of all the games. We'll predict the outcome, give a score prediction, and pick our favorite play for all fixtures. Before you read on, remember these essential things: betting on sports should be fun. If you aren't having fun with it, stop. And never bet what you can't afford to lose.

We're bringing you more soccer content than ever before at RotoBaller. There are FPL, UCL, and DFS articles every week, along with our weekly betting picks and game previews article, all of which can be found here. Follow the team on X (@EuanFPL, @TheFPLManual, @df_solutions, @BellRoto, and yours truly @Baseball_Jimbo), and reach out to any of us if you ever have any soccer questions.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code WIN. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Matchday 11 Recap

Our winning streak came to an end a fortnight ago. Despite getting more picks right than wrong across all three bet types, things didn't go our way. Nottingham Forest just needed to win on the Sunday slate to give us a big moneyline parlay. Despite leading 1-0, it went on to lose.

Liverpool beat Aston Villa 2-0 in a game that we needed at least three goals in. A third goal in the game would have hit us a monster parlay and taken us into profit for the "over/under" plays on the season. Instead, Villa contrived not to score and left us licking our wounds.

We head into a busy period of games after a third international break of the season. We also have European competitions in midweek, so this weekend feels difficult to navigate. Especially with some really close-looking games on paper. We'll be playing things safer than normal this week.

 

Saturday, November 23, 2024

Leicester City (+475) vs. Chelsea (-195) - 7:30 a.m. EST

After picking up back-to-back wins, Leicester's taken just one point from its last three games. It has also conceded seven goals in those three games. Chelsea's draw at home to Arsenal kept it in third place. The 12 goals it has scored away from home are the most in the league.

Score prediction: Leicester City 1 – 3 Chelsea

Although he left Leicester amicably after guiding it back to the EPL, Enzo Maresca will be eager to get one over his former employers. Leicester has shown glimpses as to why it can avoid an immediate relegation. But Chelsea should have too much for it and an away win is on the cards.

Arsenal (-295) vs. Nottingham Forest (+800) - 10:00 a.m. EST

Arsenal will be looking to end its run of four league games without a win. The Gunners are unbeaten at home despite being nine points adrift of the league leaders. Forest's defeat against Newcastle was only its second this season. It is unbeaten away from home, with three wins and two draws.

Score prediction: Arsenal 3 – 1 Nottingham Forest

Against Chelsea, Arsenal looked much more of an attacking threat with captain Martin Ødegaard in the team. His absence had been felt and Arsenal will likely be a more cohesive attacking unit. Forest has scored in all its away games, and with Arsenal's defensive issues, that seems likely to continue.

Aston Villa (-165) vs. Crystal Palace (+425) - 10:00 a.m. EST

The international break came at a good time for Villa. Four straight defeats in all competitions saw it exit the EFL Cup and now sit ninth in the league. Palace has been unable to build on its first league win of the season. It has picked up just one point from its two games since defeating Tottenham.

Score prediction: Aston Villa 2 – 0 Crystal Palace

Villa's been finding goals hard to come by. It has failed to score more than once in any of its last five games. Only Southampton (seven) has scored fewer goals than Palace (eight). Although I expect a low-scoring affair, it's tough to see anything other than Villa bouncing back with a win.

Bournemouth (+140) vs. Brighton (+180) - 10:00 a.m. EST

After picking up seven points in three games against a trio of last season's top four, Bournemouth lost at Brentford. Ten of Bournemouth's 15 points have come at home. Brighton's impressive win against Manchester City moved it level on points with third place and maintained its unbeaten home record.

Score prediction: Bournemouth 1 – 1 Brighton

There's a good case to be made for either team to win. It looks like being a close game and I fancy a draw. However, we'll play both teams scoring for our parlay. Bournemouth has scored in all five home games, while Brighton has scored in all five away games. It seems the safest option in a close fixture.

Everton (+140) vs. Brentford (+195) - 10:00 a.m. EST

Everton's goalless draw at West Ham was its second consecutive blank. The Toffees have lost just once in their last seven EPL games, despite scoring just six goals. Brentford's win a fortnight ago has left it with the best home record in the league. But it is yet to win on its travels.

Score prediction: Everton 1 – 1 Brentford

If this was a home game for Brentford, I'd back the Bees to win. However, they've lost all five away games, scoring just four goals. There's been a total of five goals in Everton's last five games and no more than two in any of them. We'll be going with the form and playing under 2.5 total goals here.

Fulham (-150) vs. Wolves (+400) - 10:00 a.m. EST

Fulham's victory against Crystal Palace moved it within a point of third place. It extended its unbeaten league run to three games. Wolves also come into this week with a three-game unbeaten streak after beating Southampton. It has been picking up points after a tough start to the season.

Score prediction: Fulham 2 – 2 Wolves

Wolves sitting in 19th place is largely down to how difficult its schedule was to begin the season. It has remained competitive and scored 10 goals in its last five games. Both teams have scored in nine of Wolves' 11 games and eight of Fulham's 11 games. We'll be backing a high-scoring game.

Manchester City (-200) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (+450) - 12:30 p.m. EST

City is coming into this weekend on the back of four straight defeats in all competitions. That includes a 2-1 defeat at Tottenham in the EFL Cup. City will be hoping Pep Guardiola's contract extension lifts it to a much-needed win.

Tottenham became the first team to lose to Ipswich this season. That came on the back of a 4-1 win against Aston Villa. Matchday 9 saw Tottenham become the first team to lose to Crystal Palace this season. That came on the back of a 4-1 win against West Ham United. It is unpredictable!

Score prediction: Manchester City 3 – 2 Tottenham Hotspur

Who knows what version of Tottenham turns up this week. What we do know is there should be goals. City has scored in all 11 EPL games this season, keeping just two clean sheets. Both teams have scored in seven of Tottenham's 11 games. We'll just back both teams to score and at least three total goals.

 

Sunday, November 24, 2024

Southampton (+900) vs. Liverpool (-360) - 9:00 a.m. EST

Southampton couldn't build on its first league win of the season and finds itself firmly rooted to the foot of the table. Liverpool is now five points clear at the opposite end of the table. It is one of two sides yet to lose away from home this season.

Score prediction: Southampton 0 – 2 Liverpool

We're just playing safe here and backing an away win to boost the moneyline parlay. Although Southampton has only scored four goals at home, it has scored in each of the last three. Liverpool has not scored three goals in any of its last six EPL games. A narrow but comfortable win seems likely.

Ipswich Town (+390) vs. Manchester United (-160) - 11:30 a.m. EST

Ipswich's first league win of the season at Tottenham saw it move out of the relegation zone. It is still seeking a first home win of the campaign. United will be led by new head coach Ruben Amorim. He will be hoping to build on its 3-0 win a fortnight ago.

Score prediction: Ipswich Town 1 – 3 Manchester United

While a United win does seem appealing at those odds, we'll play both teams to score and over 2.5 total goals. Ipswich may be buoyed by its first league win of the season, and we should see United playing in a completely different system and with a fresh new style.

Amorim has a reputation for getting his team to play attacking football, something that's been lacking at United for some time. It could very well hit the ground running and win this by a handsome margin. It should also lead to chances for the home side, hence our picks.

 

Monday, November 25, 2024

Newcastle United (-195) vs. West Ham United (+500) - 3:00 p.m. EST

Newcastle looks like it has gotten over its rough patch with back-to-back league wins and reaching the quarterfinal of the EFL Cup. West Ham cannot find any consistency or rhythm. It has yet to have consecutive games with the same result in the league this season.

Score prediction: Newcastle United 2 – 0 West Ham United

Newcastle appears to have turned the corner, while West Ham keeps stuttering. The Hammers have lost their last two away games, conceding seven goals in the process. They've also blanked in their last two league games. A home win looks like being a banker to round off this week's action.

 

Betting Picks

The table below gives the odds for each game's three main plays (moneyline, total goals, and both teams to score). My favorite pick from each game is highlighted if you are looking to build a parlay (which I will be playing and tracking).

Game Moneyline Over/Under 2.5 goals BTTS
Leicester 1 – 3 Chelsea Chelsea -195 Over -205 Yes -170
Arsenal 3 – 1 N. Forest Arsenal -295 Over -135 Yes +110
A. Villa 2 – 0 C. Palace A. Villa -165 Under +110 No +115
Bournemouth 1 – 1 Brighton Draw +245 Under +130 Yes -220
Everton 1 – 1 Brentford Draw +230 Under -105 Yes -170
Fulham 2 – 2 Wolves Draw +290 Over -150 Yes -155
Man City 3 – 2 Tottenham Man City -200 Over -280 Yes -220
Southampton 0 – 2 Liverpool Liverpool -360 Under +165 No -110
Ipswich 1 – 3 Man United Man United -160 Over -175 Yes -165
Newcastle 2 – 0 West Ham Newcastle -195 Under +135 No +110
Season totals 51/110 47/110 59/110
Season parlays 1/11 (+0.47u) 0/11 (-11.00u) 4/11 (+21.35u)

Good luck with those FPL teams and EPL bets. Remember to bet responsibly!

More Betting and DFS Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Will Shipley

Questionable to Return on Thursday Night
Pablo López

Pablo Lopez Expected to Return on Friday
Micah Parsons

Expected to Play in Week 1
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Exits With Knee Contusions
Christian McCaffrey

Listed as Limited With Calf Injury
Justin Jefferson

Not on Week 1 Injury Report
Omarion Hampton

to Start Against Chiefs on Friday
Will Smith

Unlikely to Play This Weekend
Shohei Ohtani

to Pitch on Monday
Najee Harris

Off the Final Injury Report, Will Play in Week 1
Jon Rahm

Looks to Prove His Importance on European Ryder Cup Team
Tommy Fleetwood

Among Leaders of European Ryder Cup Team
Christian Kirk

Expected to be Sidelined in Week 1, Could Miss More Time
Amari Cooper

Informs Raiders of Retirement
Jayden Reed

Returns to Practice
Brandon Sproat

to Start for Mets on Sunday
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Close to Triple-Double Versus Serbia
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Fills Box Score Against Turkey
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Shakes Off Minor Injury
E.J. Liddell

Inks Two-Way Deal With Nets
NBA

Ben Simmons Reportedly Considering Retirement
P.J. Washington

Agrees to Four-Year, $90 Million Extension
Mike Trout

Plans to Return on Thursday
Will Smith

X-Rays Negative on Will Smith's Hand
Jauan Jennings

Gets Incentives Added to Contract
Jakobi Meyers

Unsure About Potential Extension
Matthew Stafford

Off Injury Report Ahead of Week 1
Will Smith

Exits With Hand Contusion
Jackson Chourio

in Lineup Wednesday Despite Hamstring Cramps
Sepp Straka

Gets Captain's Pick to Join Team Europe
Christian Yelich

Dealing With Soreness in Lower Back
PGA

Victor Hovland to Make Third Ryder Cup Appearance for Team Europe
J.J. Spaun

Set to Represent Team USA for First Time at Bethpage
Russell Henley

Makes First Ryder Cup Appearance at Bethpage
Harris English

Named to Ryder Cup Team for Second Time
Kyle Finnegan

Dealing With Groin Issue
Shohei Ohtani

Will Pitch "Sometime This Weekend"
Jackson Chourio

Absent on Wednesday With Hamstring Cramp
Roman Anthony

Officially Goes on Injured List
Jauan Jennings

Limited on Wednesday, Expected to Play in Week 1
Malik Nabers

Not on Initial Injury Report
Roman Anthony

"High Probability" Roman Anthony Lands on Injured List
Justin Thomas

Making Fourth Ryder Cup Team Appearance at Bethpage
Ben Griffin

Making First Career Ryder Cup Appearance at Bethpage
Bryson DeChambeau

Set to be Part of Team USA at Bethpage
Jason Adam

to Undergo Season-Ending Surgery
Roman Anthony

Will Undergo MRI on Wednesday
Santi Aldama

Bags Double-Double in Losing Effort
Guerschon Yabusele

Erupts for 36 Points Against Poland
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Leads Slovenia Into Next Round at EuroBasket
San Antonio Spurs

Stanley Umude Signs Training Camp Deal With Spurs
Reece Beekman

Joins Magic for Training Camp
Justin Minaya

Signs Exhibit 10 Deal With Magic
Travis Hunter

Jaguars List Travis Hunter as Starting Wide Receiver, Backup Cornerback
Kyle Tucker

Leaves With Calf Tightness on Tuesday
Alexandre Sarr

to Miss Rest of EuroBasket
Max Scherzer

Blue Jays Confident Max Scherzer Will Make Saturday Start Despite Back Tightness
Roman Anthony

Leaves Early With Back Injury
Jared McCain

"On Pace" for Training Camp
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Done for the Year With Torn ACL
Luke Hughes

Devils Optimistic About Signing Luke Hughes
Martin Fehérváry

Martin Fehervary on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Dylan Holloway

Good to Go for Start of Season
Josh Morrissey

Fully Healthy for Start of Season
Dennis Hildeby

Signs Three-Year Extension With Maple Leafs
Dalton Kincaid

Role Not Expected to Grow?
Quinshon Judkins

Zero Chance Quinshon Judkins Plays Against Bengals?
Najee Harris

Says He's Expecting to Play Against Chiefs
Franz Wagner

Collects Double-Double in Blowout Win
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Achieves Rare Numbers at EuroBasket
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Dominates Against Sweden
Stefon Diggs

Expected to Suit Up in Week 1
Kristaps Porzingis

Finding Form at EuroBasket
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Suffers Minor Injury at EuroBasket
DJ Moore

Bears Experimenting with DJ Moore in Backfield
Rome Odunze

Could Move All Around the Offense
Victor Wembanyama

Looking "Quite Stellar"
Denny Hamlin

Ends Eventful Day at Darlington in Seventh Place
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Almost Earns a Top-Five Finish at Darlington
John Hunter Nemechek

has His Best 2025 Performance at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

Has An Underwhelming Performance At Darlington
Josh Berry

Crashes Early and Suffers A Playoff Setback at Darlington
Giannis Antetokounmpo

"Staying in Milwaukee"
Chase Elliott

Under Playoff Pressure After 17th-Place Darlington Finish
Kyle Larson

Despite Hendrick Mediocrity, Kyle Larson Remains Pretty Safe in Playoffs
Alex Bowman

Opening-Lap Crash and Botched Pit Stop May Have Sunk Alex Bowman's Playoff Hopes
Erik Jones

Darlington Master Erik Jones Comes Up Short but Still Finishes Third
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Impresses at Southern 500
Daniel Suarez

is A DFS Risk for Darlington Lineups?
Noah Gragson

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Noah Gragson for Darlington?
Ty Dillon

is an Excellent Punt Option for Darlington DFS Lineups
Denny Hamlin

Picking Up Where He Left Off At Darlington
Kyle Larson

The Sky Is The Limit for Kyle Larson at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

a Strong DFS Play at Darlington This Weekend
Tyler Reddick

Shouldn't Be Overlooked at Darlington This Weekend
Alex Bowman

An Easy Place-Differential Play in DFS This Weekend
Ty Gibbs

Could Be Strong at Darlington This Weekend
Erik Jones

Has Best Darlington Qualifying Effort Since Last Win
Zane Smith

Hopeful For Another Solid Run At Darlington

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP