Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Break The Slate: NFL DFS DraftKings Lineup Picks - Week 3


Hello again RotoBallers and NFL DFS fans! Thanks for joining me here at Break The Slate, a weekly article in which we try to pinpoint the best DraftKings plays available on the main slate. The Kansas City vs Baltimore matchup looms large this week, but you (surprisingly) won't find any Ravens or Chiefs in this week's write up. Why? Because you don't need me to tell you to target this matchup and all its juicy pieces.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 3.

Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, lets Break The Slate together!

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 3 Picks

Dak Prescott - MIA @ DAL ($6,500)

At the risk of being repetitive, I'm going right back to the Dak Prescott well in Week 3. Those of you that read last week's article know that I was 'all-in' on Dak against the Redskins and his matchup this week against the Dolphins is even better! Prescott looks like a man that's playing for a huge contract and new Cowboys coordinator Kellen Moore's revamped offense is obviously a great fit for him. He's completed an eye-popping 51 of 62 passes through two games for 674 yards and seven TDs. He draws a matchup against perhaps the worst team and defense in the NFL. Through two games Miami has allowed more DraftKings points (68.32) and passing TDs (8) to the QB position than any team in the league. The only concern here is the blowout factor, (however, we've seen the Cowboys remain aggressive throughout in two games that they've won rather handily) but with the Cowboys projected to score roughly 35 points by Vegas oddsmakers, you have to figure Dak will play a big role in getting them there. All eyes will be on the QBs in the KC vs Baltimore matchup, but a pivot to Dak offers salary savings and perhaps the path of least resistance to reaching a monster score at the QB position.

Jameis Winston - NYG @ TB ($5,400)

My oh my, how the fantasy sentiment has changed on Tampa QB Jameis Winston in such a short timespan. In just two weeks, the mob has turned on 'Famous Jameis' after a couple of disappointing outings. His DK price tag has cratered to $5,400 (from $6,600 in Week 1) and, as of this writing, it doesn't look like he'll garner much ownership this week. While he definitely profiles as more of a 'GPP only' play, I do have some serious interest in Winston this week. The matchup is a good one, as he draws a Giants secondary that is only nominally better than the aforementioned Dolphins statistically. NY has allowed the third-most DK points (58.62) and yards (658) to opposing QBs this season. Winston hasn't found his groove yet, but this is a prime breakout spot...he's coming off a Thursday night game (which should give him a little extra prep time), he's at home, and this Bucs offense has a point projection of just over 27 points. This is a contrarian move, but I like the leverage that rostering Winston should give us in large-field GPPs.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 3 Picks

Ezekiel Elliott - MIA @ DAL ($8,900)

If you couldn't tell from the Dak Prescott write-up above, I'm pretty high on the Cowboys chances on offense this week. It's an offense that - while definitely giving Dak more opportunities under new OC Kellen Moore - will still run through Ezekiel Elliott. That philosophy should especially ring true this week in a game in which the Cowboys are huge home favorites against a putrid Dolphins defense. Miami has allowed opposing backs to run roughshod this year and are giving up a chunky 4.48 yards per carry through two games. The bad news for Miami fans is that Elliott (and this offensive line) will be their toughest matchup yet. After easing Zeke into things in Week 1, the Cowboys gave him 23 carries against Washington last week and he should be in for somewhere in that neighborhood against Miami.

Dalvin Cook - OAK @ MIN ($7,800)

After a huge Week 1, Dalvin Cook surprisingly went a bit overlooked last week. I don't expect that to be the case again in Week 3 with a matchup against the Oakland Raiders, but I'm willing to eat a little chalk at this sub-$8k price. The Raiders defense has been competent at stopping the run this season - so this isn't really a matchup that we're going out of our way to target - but, like Zeke Elliott, Cook offers a common-sense path to a big score. Minnesota's offense is old school in that it will not abandon the run, even if they were to get behind early in this game. The Vikes have attempted 65 rushes over their first two games (the fourth-most attempts in the NFL) with Cook getting 41 of those. He currently leads the NFL in rushing with 265 yards and should once again be relied upon heavily in a game where Minnesota is a strong home favorite.

Frank Gore - CIN @ BUF ($4,400)

I'm aware that Bills RB Frank Gore is a pretty vanilla recommendation, but (the name of this column aside) not every pick can be a home run. What Gore lacks in explosiveness, he should make up for with his usage and pristine matchup in Week 3. Through two weeks the Bengals have allowed 83.50 DK points to opposing running backs, the most in the league by a wide margin. With youngster Devin Singletary injured, Gore logged 18 carries and received two targets against the Giants last week. We should expect a similar workload against Cincy (with Singletary looking extremely questionable) in a game where the Bills are six-point home favorites. If you are a true believer in this spot you can even pair Gore with the Bills D/ST.

 

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 3 Picks

Kenny Golladay - DET @ PHI ($6,600)

This is a 'trifecta' spot for us, as we get a good player - Detroit's Kenny Golladay - with a reasonable price tag that's in a smash-spot matchup. 'BabyTron' has certainly garnered some Calvin Johnson-like attention from Lions QB Matt Stafford so far this season, as he's been targeted 19 times through two games with an aDOT of 15.5 yards. Golladay has turned those targets into 159 yards and two TDs. The Eagles should probably try to get in on the Jalen Ramsey sweepstakes, because this Philly secondary has been perhaps the worst unit in the league at stopping wide receivers. They've relinquished the most DK points in the NFL (116.20) to opposing wideouts through two games. This Philly defense is stout against the run and should funnel the Lions usage into the air this week with Golladay set to be the prime beneficiary.

Christian Kirk - CAR @ ARI ($5,000)

Christian Kirk is a player that was on my radar last season and my interest level skyrocketed when the Cards hired Kliff Kingsbury and then drafted Kyler Murray. Kirk disappointed in Week 1, despite seeing a massive 12 targets in this up-tempo Arizona offense. His stat line looked much better last week when he grabbed six balls on eight targets for 114 yards in a tough matchup against the Ravens. I'm ready to get back on the Kirk train this week against the Panthers. At first glance, the Carolina pass defense looks solid, but they have shown themselves to be susceptible to slot receivers - Chris Godwin put up an 8/121/1 line on them in Week 2 working primarily from the slot - and Kirk has lined up in the slot on 104 of his 135 snaps this season. Arizona plays at the second-fastest pace in the NFL and it's not hard to envision Kirk getting 10 or so targets in this matchup.

Nelson Agholor - DET @ PHI ($3,600)

Volume, volume, volume. Volume should be your DFS 'Holy Grail' and it's what draws me to Nelson Agholor this week. Even after several years in the league, I'm still not sure if Agholor is even a decent football player, but a heavy workload can help even a bad player become viable in a DFS format. With the slew of injuries that Philly suffered against Atlanta in Week 2, Agholor was thrust into action and was peppered with 11 targets which he converted into eight catches for 107 yards and a TD. He's an injury-dependent play this week, meaning keep an eye on the status of Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson. If they both sit, the former USC Trojan should once again get all the work he can handle at just $3.6k.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 3 Picks

Zach Ertz - DET @ PHI ($5,700)

After being very thrifty at the TE spot for the first two weeks of the season, I'm gonna have to dig between the couch cushions and find some extra cash for the tight ends I like this week. My first priority is Philly's Zach Ertz, who returned to his 'target monster' role in the Eagles offense Sunday night against Atlanta after about half of the Philly pass-catching corps went down with injuries. This is a situation I'm going to monitor up until kickoff Sunday, but as of this writing Alshon Jeffery, DeSean Jackson, and Dallas Goedert are all very questionable for Sunday's game against the Lions. As for the matchup itself, it's mediocre at best, as the Lions have been solid against the position, but haven't really faced a pass-catching TE yet. Depending on how the Philly injuries shakeout, Ertz could be in line for another 10-plus target day, which would make him a volume-driven 'must play'.

Evan Engram - NYG @ TB ($5,200)

While Zach Ertz will receive a spike in usage due to some injuries, Evan Engram is heavily targeted each week because the Giants simply have no other talented pass catchers. Engram's target counts through the first two weeks of the season are 14 and eight, which he's cashed in for 164 yards and a TD. The talented tight end gets an upgrade at the QB spot this week with Eli Manning heading to the bench, not to mention a matchup against a Tampa defense that has allowed a catch rate of nearly 74% to opposing tight ends this season.

 

DraftKings DFS Defenses - Week 3 Picks

New England Patriots - NYJ @ NE ($3,800)

Definitely a 'set it and forget it' play here, but sometimes the obvious play is the right one. I'm always looking to save salary at the volatile D/ST roster spot, but if I'm paying up this week I'm rolling with the Patriots. They are massive home favorites against an offensively challenged Jets squad that is coming off a three-point dud on Monday night and will be forced to rely on their third-string QB. This New England unit is smart, disciplined, and always seems to capitalize on their opponents mistakes, of which there will most likely be many this week.

San Francisco 49ers - PIT @ SF ($3,200)

There's a good chance that Pittsburgh's Mason Rudolph will step in and be a very serviceable NFL quarterback for the Steelers, but he's still in a pretty tough spot this week. Rudolph will be making his first start as a pro for an 0-2 team that's traveling across the country to take on a 49ers defensive front that has been very impressive in 2019. San Fran has reached opposing QBs seven times through two games and has four picks with two defensive TDs. Look for the Niners to apply some relentless pressure on the rookie QB, which could force Rudolph into multiple mistakes.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

Updated Week 7 PPR Rankings (Top 300)

Welcome to Week 7 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 7 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: Josh Gordon has officially been ruled out for Week 7. Todd Gurley was not on the final injury report and is expected to play. David Johnson (ankle)... Read More


Wide Receiver Matchups To Target in Week 7

In Week 6, Julio Jones didn't score, but he came through with a decent fantasy day, going over 100-yards receiving. Brandin Cooks brutal Week 6 showing was a little bit of a surprise given his 2018 track record against the 49ers, but the Rams offensive line was overwhelmed which led to a rough day for... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 7

Welcome to our Week 7 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Week 7 Start/Sit: Monday Night Football Matchups Analysis

Even if this doesn’t turn out to be great MNF game, at least it's a divisional game with some importance. This is what Jets fans need to tell themselves heading into their second Monday Night Football game of the season. With the New England Patriots coming to town off their annual semi-bye in which they... Read More


The King's Key Starters and Tough Calls - Lineup Spotlights for Week 7

Welcome to Week 7, RotoBallers! Below you will find some of my spotlight plays and tough lineup decisions for the upcoming week of the fantasy football season. These player selections are based off my Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller's NFL Premium Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for a... Read More


Fantasy Football Rookies to Watch - Darius Slayton, Jakobi Meyers, Josh Oliver

Week 7 is here RotoBallers, which means we're smack dab in the middle of the regular fantasy season! In case you are new to this column, each week we'll highlight a few first-year players who are worth keeping your eye on. Not all of the players listed below are must-starts, but all of them are... Read More


Fleaflicker's Most Added and Dropped: Week 7

Every year and in every sport, a few teams march effortlessly towards the ultimate prize as if it's been preordained. When seemingly invincible teams like these are beaten, it's not always by the quality of their opponent but instead by their own psychological mindset. They look past a lesser opponent and fall victim to the... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 7 Josh Gordon has officially been ruled out for Week 7. Todd Gurley was not on the final injury... Read More


Week 7 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Pass Rush vs QB Matchups to Watch - Week 7

It's Week 7 and the injuries just keep piling up. Heading into this week, six different teams will be starting quarterbacks that were not their opening-day starters, and that doesn't take into account teams like the Indianapolis Colts or Kansas City Chiefs, who just lost quarterback Patrick Mahomes (knee) for at least three weeks. To... Read More


Offensive Line Rankings Analysis: Week 7

In Week 6, we once again saw some great football, starting with the New England Patriots continuing their undefeated start to the season and ending with one of the most controversial games of the week as the Green Bay Packers overcame the Detroit Lions. The London games continued with Jameis Winston struggling once again, this... Read More


Is Stefon Diggs Really Back?

Weeks 1-5: 4.6 targets, 3.2 receptions, 50.6 yards per game, one touchdown. Week 6: 11 targets, eight receptions, 167 yards, three touchdowns. All of these numbers show a marked improvement on the season averages of Stefon Diggs in Minnesota. But, do they tell the whole story? Do they really signify that Diggs should be considered... Read More


Inside the Tent - Week 7 NFL Injury Insight

At RotoBaller, we can't stress enough the importance of keeping up with injuries and playing your best lineup week after week. Players are going to get injured, that's an unavoidable fact. What's avoidable though is making the wrong roster decisions based on the injuries surrounding your fantasy squad. If you want to dominate your leagues... Read More


Week 7 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Below are RotoBaller's Week 7 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 7 of the NFL and fantasy football season. In case you missed it, this is our seventh year now writing this weekly column. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver... Read More


Week 7 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that bye weeks are in full swing; streaming becomes a more viable and almost necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions throughout the season could easily be the difference in winning a championship. Each week, I... Read More