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Adam Hall - RotoBaller

22 articles

fantasy football expert who writes for Rotoballer, and footballdiehards.com. I also host the "fantasymetrics football" podcast. I have been playing fantasy for five years and have averaged an 85% playoff conversion rate during that time, and have won a league every year for the last four. I have degrees in neuroscience, and psychology, and this heavy statistical background helps me devise unique models that help me in my writing and in my fantasy game. I'm a big believer that sports can often be broken down into component parts and analyzed. This analysis can help us understand the trends that lead to success. Let me help you find your way to the top!

Articles

2018 ADP Throwdown - Joe Mixon vs. Jordan Howard

Fantasy football draft season is upon us and RotoBaller is here to help! In this series, we will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in […]


Lamar Jackson Doesn't Throw 49 MPH, It's Much Faster Than You Think...

There have been few quarterbacks to come out of college since the year 2000 who are as electric and polarizing as Heisman trophy-winning quarterback Lamar Jackson. Jackson's draft stock has risen into the first round as of late, but the off-season hasn’t been a slam dunk for him. The myriad question marks surrounding the QB culminated […]


Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Rounds 3 and 4

We continue with our early mock draft series into rounds three and four.  If you missed the first couple of articles, you can read round one here and round two here.  There are still top end players on the board and players are starting to get a feel for how their teams are starting to shape up. This […]


Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 2

This is the second installment in our way-too-early dynasty startup mock draft series.  The first round of any draft is crucial to get a player who can act as the foundation of your team, mess that up and you’ll be playing from behind the curve for the first year if not longer. If the first […]


Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 1

Here at Rotoballer, it’s never too early for a football mock draft! Free agency and the NFL draft will change the composition of the league, but the accompanying hype can skew how we feel about players and lead to overdrafting mistakes (can anyone say Terrelle Pryor?). Dynasty football never ends, so we’re here to provide you […]


Josh Gordon - Stash Now Before It's Too Late

That which is dead will never die, Josh Gordon returns. Buy now before it's too late! Some fantasy owners have been carrying a torch for Gordon ever since his breakout season in 2013, hoping for a return to glory. Gordon has had a lot of demons to exorcise and a lot of doubters to prove wrong […]


Sunken Costs - How to Deal with Waiver Wire Busts

Sunk costs sink seasons. No one likes to admit when they’re wrong, but in fantasy football obstinance leads to losses.  It’s okay to cast off those players that you once thought would bring you to the promise land, but have since only served to hold you back. Don’t fall prey to what are called “Sunk Costs”, […]


Don’t Call It a Comeback - Second Half Rebound Candidates

Regardless of expert consensus, every year there are a slew of top ranked players that underperform.  The question half way through the year is, who’s going to rebound, and who’s going to fall flat? Paint me optimistic today, but there’s a lot of the season left, and opportunities abound. I expect many of the following […]


Looking at Defensive Opportunities Heading to Week 6

With nearly a third of the fantasy season behind us, we should take a look around to see who is excelling, and who has failed to live up to expectations. Fantasy football is a game built on opportunity, and those who see the patterns being laid down are more likely to end up on top.  […]


Air Yards and Target Share Analysis - Buy Candidates

When it comes to fantasy football there are the people that stand by the community’s consensus of value, and there are those that look a bit deeper to find where the true value lies.  One of the many secrets to success is using the inside information that is available at your fingertips to find value […]


What To Do with Cam Newton? Bench or Start?

Cam Newton is a bit more than a year removed from one of the best year-long performances by any fantasy player ever. Cam scored over 425 points in standard leagues that year, logging 35 touchdowns through the air and 10 on the ground. For the first four years of his career, Cam Newton showed himself […]


Todd Gurley - Top Fantasy RB in the Land?

Todd Gurley was the 10th overall pick in the 2015 NFL draft. At the time, Gurley was hailed as the best back to come out of college since Adrian Peterson. Gurley was drafted to be an every-down, featured back, and is one of the few backs in the NFL to live up to that designation. […]


Monday Night Football Matchup Analysis (Week 2)

Week 2 of the 2017 NFL season concludes with a matchup between Eli Manning’s New York Giants, and Matthew Stafford’s Detroit Lions.  Both teams are likely to lean on a passing attack, as each team’s ability to run the ball effectively is suspect. This article aims to preview the Monday night matchups from a fantasy […]


2017 NFL Team Outlook - Kansas City Chiefs

In the fantasy football world, the 2016 Chiefs were known for one player, Tyreek Hill, the speedy rookie wide receiver burst onto the scene with 860 yards from scrimmage and nine total touchdowns, nearly all of which were in the second half of the season. Hill invigorated the offense and led to a better offensive […]


What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 6 - Rookie Rankings

In the final installment of this series, I’ll describe what the numbers say about the rookie class of 2017, along with quarterbacks that have a substantial amount of potential. This holistic view will be helpful in cultivating a flushed-out opinion about each player. Through viewing the scores of each of these players according to the […]


What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 5 - Review and Numbers

In part four of this ongoing series, (which can be viewed here), I described what are called trend characteristics.  These are all signs of success.  Those quarterbacks with these characteristics in abundance are far more likely to succeed compared to those who lack the same abilities. In the fifth part of the series we will […]


What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 4 - Trend Characteristics

In part three of this series, I described what I called “Success standards.” These are thresholds where if a quarterback were able to hit them, they are substantially more likely to be a success in the NFL. In part four, the final piece of the puzzle is explained. This piece acts partly as a review […]


What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 3 - Success Standards

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part two of this series, I described what I called “death knell stats.” These are characteristics that if a quarterback fails […]


What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 2 - Death Knell Stats

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part one of this series, I described the reality of the growing prominence of the fantasy quarterback and explained the shell […]


What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB - Introduction

The NFL is a passing league: this mantra has been repeated with increasing intensity ever since the middle of the last decade.  The fantasy quarterback has continuously grown as the foundation by which many championship rosters are built.  Instead of being an afterthought to running backs and wide receivers, quarterbacks have increased in prominence with […]


Tyrod Taylor (QB, BUF) - 2017 Fantasy Football Sleeper

How much time do you spend thinking about Tyrod Taylor? You don’t? Well, today I’m here to change that, because Tyrod Taylor is primed for a breakout season whether you realize it or not. Tyrod Taylor is the QB1 that no one is talking about. Sure, Buffalo is a run-heavy team with many question marks […]


Let the Kids Play - Why You Should Pick Rookie RBs Over Vets in 2017

The 2017 NFL Draft’s running back class was one of the most highly touted in recent memory. With eight players being drafted in the first three rounds, this class has a robust investment and is very likely to generate a number of immediate impact players. My aim in this article is to convince you that […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jaylen Waddle

Restructures his Contract With Broncos
Ryan Pepiot

Placed on Injured List to Open the Season
Trevor Siemian

Signing With the Falcons
J.J. Wetherholt

JJ Wetherholt Likely to Hit Leadoff on Opening Day
Connelly Early

to Make First Start on Sunday
Tucker Kraft

a Post-Injury Buy-Low Candidate
Jakobi Meyers

Vying for Top Spot in Jacksonville Receiver Room
Jayden Higgins

Faces Obstacles in Second Season
Sam LaPorta

New Offensive Philosophy Could Help Sam LaPorta Get Back into Top Tier
Jaylon Tyson

Unavailable Against Magic
Noah Gray

Remains Buried on Kansas City Depth Chart
Jarrett Allen

Still Out Tuesday
Anthony Black

Remains Out Tuesday
Jalen Suggs

to Miss Second Consecutive Game
Kon Knueppel

Probable Tuesday
Nique Clifford

Kings Plan to Re-Evaluate Nique Clifford in One Week
Moses Moody

Stretchered Off With Knee Injury
Luke Clanton

Might Have a Problem in Houston
Sam Stevens

Happy to See Houston This Week
Keith Mitchell

Tries to Rebound After The Players Championship
Will Zalatoris

Returning This Week at Houston
Wyndham Clark

Trending in the Wrong Direction Heading to Houston
Shane Lowry

Seeking Better Luck in Houston This Weekend
Kurt Kitayama

Poised to Bounce Back at the Houston Open
Jake Knapp

More Suited for a Course Like the Houston Open
Tony Finau

Continues Playing Well Heading to Texas Children's Houston Open
Scottie Scheffler

Returns to Action for Texas Children's Houston Open
Sam Burns

Looks to Carry Momentum Into Houston
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Cubs, Pete Crow-Armstrong Finalizing Long-Term Extension
Milwaukee Bucks

Bucks Waive Cam Thomas
Kyle Kuzma

Won't Play Against Clippers
John Collins

Misses Monday's Action
Kawhi Leonard

Available Monday Night
Caleb Martin

Brandon Williams Remain Out Monday
Brandon Ingram

a Late Scratch Versus Jazz
Sahith Theegala

to Rebound at Texas Children's Houston Open
De'Anthony Melton

Moses Moody, De'Anthony Melton Available Monday
Kristaps Porzingis

Ready to Rock Monday
Cody Williams

Ruled Out Monday
Immanuel Quickley

Jamal Shead Starting With Immanuel Quickley Out
Stephan Jaeger

Hopes to Jumpstart Season at Texas Children's Houston Open
Collin Murray-Boyles

Rejoins Raptors Lineup
Adam Scott

Hopes to Get Back on Track in Houston
Drake Powell

Slated to Miss Monday's Matchup With Portland
Peyton Watson

Ruled Out Tuesday
Blake Snell

Targeting a May Return
Obi Toppin

Cleared to Play Against Magic
PGA

Sungjae Im Looks to Carry Hot Play to Houston
Nicolai Hojgaard

to Get Back on Track in Houston
Hunter Greene

Reds Place Hunter Greene on 60-Day Injured List
Chris Gotterup

to be a Popular Choice at Texas Children's Houston Open
Blake Whiteheart

Returns to the Browns
Min Woo Lee

Looks to Keep Strong Season Going in Title Defense in Houston
J.J. Wetherholt

JJ Wetherholt Makes Cardinals Opening Day Roster
NFL

Ty Simpson Expected to be a First-Round Pick
Jake Bobo

Seahawks Match Offer Sheet for Jake Bobo
Tommy DeVito

Becomes QB2 in New England
Quentin Johnston

Chargers Unlikely to Trade Quentin Johnston?
Nick Pivetta

to Start on Opening Day for Padres
Brandon Woodruff

Makes Brewers Opening Day Rotation
Zack Wheeler

to Start Rehab Assignment on Saturday
Carson Benge

Makes Mets Opening Day Roster
D'Andre Swift

Facing Playing-Time Questions Heading into 2026
Travis Kelce

Officially Signs New Contract With the Chiefs
NFL

Can Denzel Boston Overcome Speed and Athleticism Concerns at the NFL Level?
NFL

Jadarian Price's Dynasty Stock is Rising as the 2026 Draft Approaches
NFL

Can Chris Bell Make an Immediate Impact in the NFL?
Seiya Suzuki

to Start the Season on the Injured List
Travis Homer

Signs With Steelers as RB Depth
Lerone Murphy

Suffers His First Loss
Dennis Santana

Won't be Pirates' Primary Closer
Movsar Evloev

Edges Out Lerone Murphy
CFB

Notre Dame Ranks No. 1 in Returning Production for 2026
Michael Aswell

Jr. Drops Decision At UFC London
Michael Aswell

Luke Riley Outclasses Michael Aswell Jr.
DeVonta Smith

Wide Range of Possible Outcomes for DeVonta Smith in 2026
Woody Marks

to Serve as Backup in Sophomore Season?
Puka Nacua

Extension for Puka Nacua isn't Expected Soon
Sam Patterson

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Michael Page

Wins Lackluster Decision
Austen Lane

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Spencer Strider

to Start the Season on Injured List
Iwo Baraniewski

Delivers 28-Second TKO
Lawson Crouse

Picks Up Three Points in Overtime Win
Filip Forsberg

Takes Predators Past Blackhawks
Alex Ovechkin

Scores 1,000th Career Goal
Nate Schmidt

Exits Early Due to Illness
Matt Grzelcyk

to Miss Four-Game Road Trip
Mikko Rantanen

to Return to Full Practice
A.J. Greer

Handed a Three-Game Suspension
Troy Terry

Wins it for Anahiem
Tyler Reddick

Overcomes Adversity for Fourth Victory of the Season At Darlington
Brad Keselowski

Falls Short of Darlington Victory Despite Domination
Ryan Blaney

Recovers From Pit-Road Struggles to Score Career-Best Darlington Finish
Carson Hocevar

Rallies to Finish Fourth at Darlington
Kyle Larson

Decent Performance Ends with Technical Issues At Darlington
Ilya Sorokin

Earns Shutout Over Columbus
Ethen Frank

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Sunday
Grayson Rodriguez

to Open Season on Injured List
Brett Pesce

Questionable to Return This Season
Stefan Noesen

Done for the Season
Yan Kuznetsov

Misses Fourth Consecutive Game Sunday
Connor Zary

Out Sunday
Mike Trout

Returns on Sunday
Anthony Duclair

Misses Sunday's Game
Ryan Pulock

Unavailable Sunday
Nick Lodolo

Exits Early With a Blister
Jeremy Peña

Astros Not Ruling Out Jeremy Pena for Opening Day
Cristopher Sánchez

Phillies Sign Cristopher Sanchez to a Six-Year Extension
Tyler Reddick

the Clear Favorite at Darlington
Kyle Stowers

Placed on Injured List with Hamstring Strain
Kyle Larson

a High-Risk, High-Reward Driver at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

Is Getting Better at Darlington
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not Slowing Down at Darlington
Chris Buescher

Should be a Top-10 Contender at Darlington
Austin Cindric

a Sleeper at Darlington
Erik Jones

Quickest in Practice at Darlington
Morgan Geekie

Records Three Assists Against Red Wings
Steven Stamkos

Notches Three Points in Win Over Golden Knights
Cole Caufield

Records Career-High Five Points in Saturday's Win
Denny Hamlin

Qualifies Ninth for this Week's Cup Race at Darlington
Chase Briscoe

Is One of the Top DFS Options of the Week for Darlington
Nikita Kucherov

Takes Over Scoring Lead With Four-Point Effort
Tyler Tucker

Out Week-to-Week
William Byron

Is William Byron A Playable DFS Option for Darlington Lineups?
Christopher Bell

Could Christopher Bell be Considered A Decent DFS Option for Darlington?
Chase Elliott

Is Chase Elliott Worth Rostering At Darlington This Week For DFS?
Joey Logano

May Not Have the Speed to Warrant A Darlington DFS Lineup Spot
Ross Chastain

Should DFS Players Trust Ross Chastain at Darlington?
Kyle Busch

Could Kyle Busch Be A Worthy DFS Option for Darlington?
Brad Keselowski

May be A Contriarian DFS Tournament Option At Darlington
Seiya Suzuki

Won't be Ready for Opening Day
Lerone Murphy

Set For UFC London Main Event
Movsar Evloev

Looks To Remain Unbeaten
Michael Aswell

Jr. An Underdog At UFC London
Luke Riley

Set For UFC London Co-Main Event
Sam Patterson

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Michael Page

Set For Welterweight Bout
Austen Lane

In Dire Need Of Victory
Iwo Baraniewski

A Favorite At UFC London
Akshay Bhatia

Withdraws From Valspar Championship
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