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Adam Hall - RotoBaller

22 articles

fantasy football expert who writes for Rotoballer, and footballdiehards.com. I also host the "fantasymetrics football" podcast. I have been playing fantasy for five years and have averaged an 85% playoff conversion rate during that time, and have won a league every year for the last four. I have degrees in neuroscience, and psychology, and this heavy statistical background helps me devise unique models that help me in my writing and in my fantasy game. I'm a big believer that sports can often be broken down into component parts and analyzed. This analysis can help us understand the trends that lead to success. Let me help you find your way to the top!

Articles

2018 ADP Throwdown - Joe Mixon vs. Jordan Howard

Fantasy football draft season is upon us and RotoBaller is here to help! In this series, we will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in […]


Lamar Jackson Doesn't Throw 49 MPH, It's Much Faster Than You Think...

There have been few quarterbacks to come out of college since the year 2000 who are as electric and polarizing as Heisman trophy-winning quarterback Lamar Jackson. Jackson's draft stock has risen into the first round as of late, but the off-season hasn’t been a slam dunk for him. The myriad question marks surrounding the QB culminated […]


Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Rounds 3 and 4

We continue with our early mock draft series into rounds three and four.  If you missed the first couple of articles, you can read round one here and round two here.  There are still top end players on the board and players are starting to get a feel for how their teams are starting to shape up. This […]


Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 2

This is the second installment in our way-too-early dynasty startup mock draft series.  The first round of any draft is crucial to get a player who can act as the foundation of your team, mess that up and you’ll be playing from behind the curve for the first year if not longer. If the first […]


Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 1

Here at Rotoballer, it’s never too early for a football mock draft! Free agency and the NFL draft will change the composition of the league, but the accompanying hype can skew how we feel about players and lead to overdrafting mistakes (can anyone say Terrelle Pryor?). Dynasty football never ends, so we’re here to provide you […]


Josh Gordon - Stash Now Before It's Too Late

That which is dead will never die, Josh Gordon returns. Buy now before it's too late! Some fantasy owners have been carrying a torch for Gordon ever since his breakout season in 2013, hoping for a return to glory. Gordon has had a lot of demons to exorcise and a lot of doubters to prove wrong […]


Sunken Costs - How to Deal with Waiver Wire Busts

Sunk costs sink seasons. No one likes to admit when they’re wrong, but in fantasy football obstinance leads to losses.  It’s okay to cast off those players that you once thought would bring you to the promise land, but have since only served to hold you back. Don’t fall prey to what are called “Sunk Costs”, […]


Don’t Call It a Comeback - Second Half Rebound Candidates

Regardless of expert consensus, every year there are a slew of top ranked players that underperform.  The question half way through the year is, who’s going to rebound, and who’s going to fall flat? Paint me optimistic today, but there’s a lot of the season left, and opportunities abound. I expect many of the following […]


Looking at Defensive Opportunities Heading to Week 6

With nearly a third of the fantasy season behind us, we should take a look around to see who is excelling, and who has failed to live up to expectations. Fantasy football is a game built on opportunity, and those who see the patterns being laid down are more likely to end up on top.  […]


Air Yards and Target Share Analysis - Buy Candidates

When it comes to fantasy football there are the people that stand by the community’s consensus of value, and there are those that look a bit deeper to find where the true value lies.  One of the many secrets to success is using the inside information that is available at your fingertips to find value […]


What To Do with Cam Newton? Bench or Start?

Cam Newton is a bit more than a year removed from one of the best year-long performances by any fantasy player ever. Cam scored over 425 points in standard leagues that year, logging 35 touchdowns through the air and 10 on the ground. For the first four years of his career, Cam Newton showed himself […]


Todd Gurley - Top Fantasy RB in the Land?

Todd Gurley was the 10th overall pick in the 2015 NFL draft. At the time, Gurley was hailed as the best back to come out of college since Adrian Peterson. Gurley was drafted to be an every-down, featured back, and is one of the few backs in the NFL to live up to that designation. […]


Monday Night Football Matchup Analysis (Week 2)

Week 2 of the 2017 NFL season concludes with a matchup between Eli Manning’s New York Giants, and Matthew Stafford’s Detroit Lions.  Both teams are likely to lean on a passing attack, as each team’s ability to run the ball effectively is suspect. This article aims to preview the Monday night matchups from a fantasy […]


2017 NFL Team Outlook - Kansas City Chiefs

In the fantasy football world, the 2016 Chiefs were known for one player, Tyreek Hill, the speedy rookie wide receiver burst onto the scene with 860 yards from scrimmage and nine total touchdowns, nearly all of which were in the second half of the season. Hill invigorated the offense and led to a better offensive […]


What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 6 - Rookie Rankings

In the final installment of this series, I’ll describe what the numbers say about the rookie class of 2017, along with quarterbacks that have a substantial amount of potential. This holistic view will be helpful in cultivating a flushed-out opinion about each player. Through viewing the scores of each of these players according to the […]


What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 5 - Review and Numbers

In part four of this ongoing series, (which can be viewed here), I described what are called trend characteristics.  These are all signs of success.  Those quarterbacks with these characteristics in abundance are far more likely to succeed compared to those who lack the same abilities. In the fifth part of the series we will […]


What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 4 - Trend Characteristics

In part three of this series, I described what I called “Success standards.” These are thresholds where if a quarterback were able to hit them, they are substantially more likely to be a success in the NFL. In part four, the final piece of the puzzle is explained. This piece acts partly as a review […]


What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 3 - Success Standards

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part two of this series, I described what I called “death knell stats.” These are characteristics that if a quarterback fails […]


What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 2 - Death Knell Stats

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part one of this series, I described the reality of the growing prominence of the fantasy quarterback and explained the shell […]


What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB - Introduction

The NFL is a passing league: this mantra has been repeated with increasing intensity ever since the middle of the last decade.  The fantasy quarterback has continuously grown as the foundation by which many championship rosters are built.  Instead of being an afterthought to running backs and wide receivers, quarterbacks have increased in prominence with […]


Tyrod Taylor (QB, BUF) - 2017 Fantasy Football Sleeper

How much time do you spend thinking about Tyrod Taylor? You don’t? Well, today I’m here to change that, because Tyrod Taylor is primed for a breakout season whether you realize it or not. Tyrod Taylor is the QB1 that no one is talking about. Sure, Buffalo is a run-heavy team with many question marks […]


Let the Kids Play - Why You Should Pick Rookie RBs Over Vets in 2017

The 2017 NFL Draft’s running back class was one of the most highly touted in recent memory. With eight players being drafted in the first three rounds, this class has a robust investment and is very likely to generate a number of immediate impact players. My aim in this article is to convince you that […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Questionable for Meeting with Lakers
Anthony Black

Remains on Shelf Thursday
Bilal Coulibaly

Questionable Thursday
Ivica Zubac

Exits Early Due to Head Injury
Tylan Wallace

Browns Agree to Terms With Tylan Wallace
Jack Hughes

Posts Another Three-Point Performance in Victory
Jackson Blake

Collects Three Points on Wednesday
WAS

Cole Hutson Scores in NHL Debut on Wednesday
Royce O'Neale

Could Miss First Game of the Season Thursday
TreVeyon Henderson

Establishing Himself as a Fantasy RB1?
Grayson Allen

May Sit Out Another Game Thursday
Malik Monk

in Danger of Missing Fifth Straight Contest
Nique Clifford

Questionable for Thursday Night
Kyle Kuzma

Expected to Play Through Elbow Injury Thursday
Caleb Williams

Looking to Build Off Second-Year Breakout
Andrew Wiggins

Out Thursday Against Lakers
Elijah Arroyo

Stuck in Depth Role for the Foreseeable Future
Kevin Porter Jr.

Uncertain for Thursday
Myles Turner

Questionable Versus Jazz
Joel Embiid

Listed as Doubtful for Thursday
Tre Tucker

Still a Fantasy Option Despite New Competition?
Trae Young

to Miss Second Straight Game
Max Fried

to Start on Opening Day for Yankees
Bam Adebayo

Likely to Return Thursday
Rayan Rupert

Jahmai Mashack, Rayan Rupert Won't Play Wednesday
Jack Bech

Still Trending Up Despite Increased Competition?
Noah Clowney

Exits Early Wednesday Due to Wrist Injury
Alexandre Sarr

Could Miss Third Straight Game
Cade Cunningham

Ruled Out Thursday
Brandon Williams

Unavailable Against Hawks
Arizona Diamondbacks

Diamondbacks Not Naming a Closer to Begin the Season
Caleb Martin

Remains Out Wednesday
Jalen Hurts

has Room for Improvement Amid Offensive Changes
Isaiah Bond

Should Have Bigger Role, But Will QB Issues Hold him Back?
Terry McLaurin

Can Terry McLaurin Bounce Back as Top Target-Earner in 2026?
James Cook

a Strong RB1 in Fantasy Coming Off Career Year
Adrian Kempe

Could Return Thursday
Mason McTavish

Sits Out Second Consecutive Game
Ross Johnston

to Miss 3-4 Weeks
Jonathan Drouin

Back in Action Wednesday
Eric Robinson

Rejoins Hurricanes Lineup
Shayne Gostisbehere

Sits Out Another Game Wednesday
Sidney Crosby

Returns to Action Wednesday
Greg Dortch

Signs One-Year Deal With Lions
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine

Colts Sign Receiver Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
T.Y. Hilton

Officially Announces his Retirement
Andy Dalton

Eagles Acquire Andy Dalton From Panthers
Matthew Liberatore

Named Cardinals Opening Day Starter
Roki Sasaki

to be in Opening Day Starting Rotation
A.J. Dillon

Panthers Signing AJ Dillon to One-Year Deal
Maxx Crosby

was "Livid" After Ravens Nixed Trade to Acquire Him
Akshay Bhatia

Withdraws From Valspar Championship
José Berríos

Jose Berrios has Stress Fracture, Won't be Ready for Opening Day
De'Von Achane

Dolphins Not Listening to Trade Offers for De'Von Achane
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Drawing Positive Reviews at Georgia Tech
Kyle Williams

a Potential Year 2 Breakout Candidate in 2026
Elic Ayomanor

Fantasy Appeal Slipping Away?
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Impressing in Nebraska's Spring Practices
Isaac TeSlaa

a Prime Candidate for More Volume
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Remains a Free Agent
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Bags a Shutout in Vegas
J.J. Spaun

Offers Upside Despite Poor Course History at Innisbrook
Brock Boeser

Logs Three Assists Tuesday
Jeremy Peña

Opening Day "Not Ruled Out" for Jeremy Pena
Brock Faber

Registers Three Assists in Overtime Win
Aaron Rai

Looks to Bounce Back at Valspar Championship
Charlie Coyle

Matches Career High with Four Points Tuesday
Johnny Keefer

Brings Ball-Striking Upside to Valspar Championship
Nikita Kucherov

Amasses Five Points in Road Win
Blake Lizotte

Penguins Plan to Re-Evaluate Blake Lizotte in Four Weeks
Billy Horschel

a Volatile Play at Valspar Championship
Nick Jensen

to Miss Six Weeks Due to Knee Surgery
Ben Griffin

Looks to Rebound at the Valspar Championship
Corey Conners

Brings Elite Ball-Striking to Valspar Championship
Cole Ragans

Named Royals Opening Day Starter
Cole Caufield

Nets Game-Winning Goal
Pavel Zacha

Scores Twice Versus Montreal on Tuesday
Xander Schauffele

Trending In The Right Direction For Valspar Championship
Sahith Theegala

Has Shot to Challenge at Valspar Championship
Mackenzie Hughes

Looking to Bounce Back at Valspar Championship
Nicolai Hojgaard

Finding Rhythm For Valspar Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Continues Hot Start to 2026 Heading to Valspar Championship
Pierceson Coody

Heads to Valspar Championship Following Two Missed Cuts
Shohei Ohtani

to Pitch in Cactus League Game on Wednesday
Seiya Suzuki

has Sprained Knee, Opening Day Availability Unclear
Alex Tuch

a Game-Time Decision on Tuesday
Eeli Tolvanen

Iffy for Tuesday
Seiya Suzuki

Diagnosed With Strained PCL
Zach Neto

Making his Return on Tuesday
Kyle Freeland

to Start for Rockies on Opening Day
José Soriano

Angels Name Jose Soriano the Opening Day Starter
Wyndham Clark

Searching for Momentum at Valspar Championship
Justin Thomas

Is Justin Thomas Back Ahead of This Week's Valspar Championship?
Jordan Spieth

to Bounce Back at Favored Valspar Championship?
Brooks Koepka

is Starting to Find His Groove Again Ahead of Valspar Championship
Viktor Hovland

is One of The Best DFS Plays at Innesbrook
Rasmus Hojgaard

to Get Back on Track at Valspar Championship
Konnor Griffin

Avoids Next Round of Roster Cuts
Gerrit Cole

to Throw an Inning on Wednesday
Tony Finau

is Again a Scary Option at Valspar Championship
Blades Brown

Continues PGA Tour Run at Valspar Championship
Johan Rojas

Suspended 80 Games for PED Violation
José Ramírez

No Plans for Jose Ramirez to Undergo Imaging on Injured Shoulder
Seiya Suzuki

Undergoing MRI Exam on Monday
Joe Musgrove

Expected to Open the Year on the Injured List
Zach Neto

Expected to Return to Game Action on Tuesday
Josh Emmett

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Kevin Vallejos

Scores First-Round TKO
Amanda Lemos

Drops Back-To-Back Fights
Gillian Robertson

Extends Her Win Streak
Zach Neto

to Take Batting Practice on Monday
Andre Fili

Drops Decision on Saturday
Denny Hamlin

Dominates and Gets His Third Career Las Vegas Win
Chase Elliott

Earns Runner-Up Finish at Las Vegas
William Byron

Wins A Stage and Finishes Third at Las Vegas
Christopher Bell

Finishes Fourth at Las Vegas After Strong Run
Kyle Larson

Fades to Seventh Despite Leading Laps Early at Las Vegas
Andre Fili

Jose Delgado Edges Andre Fili in Split-Decision Win
Oumar Sy

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Ion Cutelaba

Returns To The Win Column
CFB

CJ Carr Enters Sophomore Season as Heisman Favorite
CFB

Aaron Philo Not a Lock to be Florida's Starting QB?
CFB

George MacIntyre the Favorite to Win Tennessee Quarterback Battle?
CFB

Keelon Russell, Austin Mack Battling for Alabama QB1 Duties
Christopher Bell

Looking for Redemption, Wins Pole at Las Vegas
Denny Hamlin

Should Contend for Another Vegas Win
Chase Briscoe

Qualifies 18th Despite Toyota Dominating at Las Vegas
Chase Elliott

May Fly Under the Radar at Las Vegas
NASCAR

Ross Chastian Has Been As Solid As They Come at Las Vegas
Ty Gibbs

Could Ty Gibbs Finally Break Through With a Win at Las Vegas?
Brad Keselowski

a Solid DFS Pick at Las Vegas
Kyle Larson

Should Kyle Larson be Considered A Favorite for Las Vegas?
William Byron

Could Compete for a Top-Five Finish at Las Vegas
Ryan Blaney

Is Ryan Blaney Worth Rostering in Tournament DFS Lineups for Las Vegas?
Tyler Reddick

Could Continue his Top-10 Streak at Las Vegas
Joey Logano

Should DFS Managers Underestimate Joey Logano for Las Vegas?
Chris Buescher

Is Chris Buescher Worth Rostering For Las Vegas DFS Lineups?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace is A Risky DFS Option Who Could Pay Off at Las Vegas
Josh Berry

Has Plenty of Upside for Las Vegas DFS Lineups
Ryan Preece

Scores his First Las Vegas Top-10 Starting Spot in Qualifying
Kevin Vallejos

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Josh Emmett

In Dire Need Of Victory
Gillian Robertson

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 114
Amanda Lemos

Set For Co-Main Event
Oumar Sy

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Ion Cutelaba

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
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