Projecting Rest of Season Top 10 Starting Pitchers in 2025 Fantasy Baseball (Week 10)

June 4, 2025

Kevin projects which 10 pitchers will finish the season in the top 10 for the 2025 fantasy baseball season as we head into Week 10 of MLB action.

Welcome to the Week 10 edition of our Top 10 Starting Pitchers series for the 2025 fantasy baseball season. If you want to win consistently, you need good starting pitching that gets you consistent results, so you don't have to worry about the output or matchups.

As we head into June, it's clear to see who's hitting their groove and who isn't. There are a few question marks still, but for the most part, we're seeing who's who in the fantasy baseball world.

Now, let's take a look at this season's current top-ranked pitchers.

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Current Top 10 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball

According to Yahoo's player rankings, here are the top 10 most valuable starting pitchers in standard leagues (as of June 3).

Tarik Skubal stays in the top spot following his 13 K complete game against the Guardians with a seven-inning, two-hit performance against the Royals. He didn't record the win that day, but his dominance is on clear display and should continue through the rest of the season.

Tarik Skubal, Nasty 88mph Changeup. 👌 pic.twitter.com/Blh8WShVbE

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 31, 2025

Garrett Crochet jumps to the two-spot after striking out 12 Braves in seven innings. A 2.86 xFIP to go with his 1.98 ERA says a small amount of negative regression could be headed his way, but I'd expect him to stay filthy good regardless.

Hunter Brown climbs to the three-spot after getting back on track with a six-inning, one-hit performance against Tampa Bay. The only real blemish was allowing four walks, but he was able to limit the Rays on Sunday. It's a bit of retribution for him after Tampa put up five ER on him two weeks ago in his worst performance of the season. Those hoping he's righted the ship should feel relaxed after two solid starts in a row.

Hunter Brown, 99mph ⛽️ pic.twitter.com/yLNJmyXJaM

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 28, 2025

Kris Bubic stays in this week's top 10 with another strong seven-inning performance against the Tigers. He now has nine Ks in three of his last four starts, and he's gotten through seven innings in three of his last four. Kansas City's southpaw may be one of the more under-the-radar players these first couple of months with his 1.43 ERA. His 3.27 xFIP points toward negative regression coming his way, though, so how long can he stave that off and continue to provide upper-echelon value for fantasy managers?

Kris Bubic, Dirty 86mph Slider. 😨 pic.twitter.com/lEsISZXP94

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 1, 2025

Nathan Eovaldi keeps his spot in the top 10, but expect him to slip out very shortly. The 35-year-old has been beating the projections the entire season, but that will unfortunately stop for a while after he was placed on the 15-day IL with a triceps injury. His 1.56 ERA has helped to give the Rangers and their anemic offense life, but they'll face challenges with him out. When he comes back, fantasy managers shouldn't expect the same sort of output out of the gates, given how some arm injuries can nag.

Max Fried took his first big bashing of the year after the Dodgers smacked him around for six ER in five innings, notching just three strikeouts. We've been pointing out that negative regression was coming for Fried for some time, and that will likely continue to come for him. His 1.92 ERA is paired with a 3.24 xFIP, so it will still hit him, but he'll still be valuable when all is said and done. He gets a chance to right the ship against Cleveland this Thursday.

MacKenzie Gore rounds out the top 10 this week. The Nats lefty has been on track for positive regression this season thanks to his ultra-high strikeout rate, and it's finally starting to pay dividends. After an incredibly inefficient start against Baltimore, in which he gave up 10 hits in just 3.2 IP, he's now gone six deep in back-to-back games and has only allowed one ER while striking out 17 batters total. His most recent start against the Mariners also featured no walks, something that has caught up with Gore in his past. Fantasy managers looking for more positive regression are likely to get that as his 3.16 ERA is paired with a 2.41 xFIP. Keep the lefty in your lineups.

MacKenzie Gore is the 1st pitcher to 100 Ks this season!

(MLB x @loanDepot) pic.twitter.com/ML8oQQ5Gia

— MLB (@MLB) May 30, 2025

Projected Top 10 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball

Plenty will change between now and October, though. Here's how I think the top 10 will look by the end of the season. I base these rankings on where each pitcher stands now, what the underlying metrics indicate about their performance, and who will likely have sustained success over the next five months.

My rest-of-season projections change weekly, but here's where they stand for now.

Skubal takes the top spot for the second week in a row. With his 2.26 ERA and his 2.15 xFIP, it's evident that he's getting true results, and you could even argue that a slight amount of positive regression is on the way. His 11.48 K/9 and 0.83 BB/9 now both rank better than his 2024 Cy Young season. He's the front-runner in the AL and will continue to stay up front until further notice.

Wheeler stays at number two. He's going to miss a scheduled start in Toronto this week due to the birth of his kid, but he should be back on track once he's ready to return. One missed start won't ding his fantasy value all too tremendously. His current 2.96 ERA has a 2.68 xFIP to go with it, so expect positive regression to help him out once he's back in action.

3 up, 3 down.

Zack Wheeler strikes out the side in the 3rd 🔥 pic.twitter.com/kqpU8e9dOF

— MLB (@MLB) May 29, 2025

Crochet comes in at three on our list. About the only thing getting in his way right now is his walks. For the most part, he's started to tone down on them a bit, but has walked multiple batters in back-to-back starts. That's easily offset by his 23 strikeouts in those two starts, but it's the only thing pointing him toward negative regression (1.98 ERA, 2.86 xFIP). If he can keep getting strikeouts at a high clip, then he'll give Skubal a real run for his money in the AL Cy Young race.

3 strikeouts in the 7th
12 strikeouts on the day
101 strikeouts this season

Garrett Crochet finishes his afternoon masterfully 👏 pic.twitter.com/39KWA3YEqe

— MLB (@MLB) June 1, 2025

Paul Skenes ranks fourth for us. He's close to finally breaking into the top 10 as he sits at number 11 right now. Next week is a likely two-start week for Skenes, which will help him tremendously in the rankings. He's thrown five straight quality starts coming into Tuesday and has struck out at least seven in three straight. His 2.15 ERA and his 3.07 xFIP point toward some negative regression, but at the same time, it feels like he may be turning a corner.

Paul Skenes Painting with 99 mph Fastballs like he sees the broadcast strike zone. pic.twitter.com/NqnUZJk5RP

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 28, 2025

Logan Webb comes in at five. After getting roughed up by Kansas City a couple of weeks ago, he's started to right the ship a bit with two straight quality starts. Both have featured seven or more strikeouts. We've showcased his increased strikeout rate this season, and that's a huge reason he'll continue to drive fantasy value on top of his ability to go seven or eight deep in almost any ballgame. Sportsbooks give him the fifth-best odds to win the NL Cy Young, but he also holds the second-best xFIP in the league behind only Skubal.

Logan Webb, Nasty 87mph Changeup. 👌 pic.twitter.com/rNogzToPnk

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 3, 2025

Carlos Rodon comes in at number seven. He's now pitched back-to-back games without giving up an ER and has struck out 18 in the process. His start against the Angels was a great one to see, as he didn't walk a single batter. We've pointed to this as an issue for the southpaw in past articles, and he's started to tone down on the walks for the most part. If those stay down, and strikeouts stay up, he'll continue to stay in both the current top 10 and our projected top 10.

Bearded Carlos Rodon is a game changer pic.twitter.com/lQDiveW6nh

— Mike 🍚 (@MDL1981) May 28, 2025

Yamamoto lands at number eight. After three straight quality starts, he ended up throwing a dud against the Yankees, only going 3.2 innings deep and giving up four ER. He walked more batters (three) than he struck out (two), something you don't want to see from the Japanese superstar. One shouldn't sweat too much about it, though, as the Yankees are a tough matchup and he still holds a 2.84 xFIP. That's more than enough needed to see fantasy value going forward.

Rounding out the top 10 is Bubic. As we mentioned with the Royals southpaw, negative regression is coming, according to his 3.27 xFIP. But someone had to take over Eovaldi's spot, as I just don't trust pitchers will remain the same after injury. For Bubic, the biggest thing he needs to work on is control. He's had multiple walks in three straight games.

That can be fine if he keeps racking up the strikeouts, but if he doesn't, then we may see more negative results ahead. I believe he'll keep things in line, though, and will keep other guys like Joe Ryan, Nick Pivetta, and Robbie Ray from sneaking into the top 10 going forward.

Who do you think is missing from the list, RotoBallers? Let me know! Reach out to me here on X and share your thoughts.

Thanks for reading, and good luck the rest of this fantasy baseball season!

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