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Updated MLB Starting Pitcher Rankings for Fantasy Baseball: The Top-101 Baller Ranks

Jacob deGrom - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS Picks

Welcome back RotoBallers. August is here and that means we've got two months of gameplay left to the finish line.

We just got blitzed by a busy trade deadline, so this week's edition will largely focus on arms who moved and what direction they trend as a result. Let's hop right into the latest edition of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks!

As is tradition, these fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings are geared toward traditional 5x5 leagues. Injured players are left off of this iteration. Let's move along with my top-101 SP for the rest of 2022!

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Starting Pitcher Rankings Analysis

-Jacob deGrom made his 2022 debut on Tuesday and we should all consider ourselves lucky to have him back. Fantasy teams suddenly have a top-five ace at the ready, with re-injury risk being the only reason for concern. He struck out six with zero walks, allowing one run on three hits over five frames. We saw 102-MPH heat with sliders in the mid-90s throughout his 59-pitch return, so breathe easy. Your star is back at it.

-Shohei Ohtani was left in too long at Atlanta but rebounded with an electric 11/0 K/BB quality start against Texas on July 28. The two-way superstar has struck out at least 10 batters in six straight outings, resulting in a video-game caliber 68/8 K/BB ratio in that window. That is how one survives despite half of those six starts having a BABIP of .400 or higher sandbagging one’s efforts.

-Luis Castillo goes from hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark to a pitcher’s ally in T-Mobile Park. GABP had the second-best wOBA park factor per EVAnalytics, with a 3% bump above average for BABIP and the highest HR factor at 25% above average, while T-Mobile is 3% below average in wOBA thanks to a drop in doubles and triples, resulting in a BABIP dip of 4% against the average. It’s the little things that add up in a game like baseball!

-Robbie Ray’s new arsenal had been working wonders but Houston demolished it in back-to-back starts. Seattle can’t be pleased that their frontline arm can’t handle a division rival but fantasy players can still deploy the southpaw against non-Houston squads.

-Frankie Montas likely gets a morale boost going to a contender in the Bronx, but will additional wins offset the loss of the Oakland Coliseum’s spacious foul territory? He’s suffered some small-sample ouchies on the road in 2022 with a 4.85 ERA in 26 IP, but has a 2.63 ERA in 78 ⅔ IP in Oakland. Let’s look back to 2021 when the 29-year-old had a 3.34 ERA/3.40 ERA home/road split (100 and 87 IP, respectively).

He should be A-OK, as he also moves to one of the best defensive catchers in the game with Jose Trevino. The Coliseum suppresses wOBA by 5% compared to the league average per EVAnalytics, but Yankee Stadium is still -2% even with the 23-point gap in HR factor (YS: 1.05, OC: 0.82).

-Tyler Mahle also escapes GABP, heading to a neutral Target Field up in Minnesota. While it plays close to the average in nearly every park factor, good ol’ EVAnalytics (just assume they’re the source!) has Target at 8% below the average for home runs against that aforementioned +25% mark from GABP. The 27-year-old had a 4.76 ERA, 4.19 FIP, and .766 OPS against at home (64 ⅓ IP) against 40 road innings with a 3.83 ERA, 2.66 FIP, and a .562 OPS. He’s free, and so are we.

-Jordan Montgomery has given up four earned runs in each of his last two starts, with four starts of four ER in his last eight outings. This comes after he opened 2022 with zero starts allowing more than three earned in his first 13 trips to the hill. He’d only surrendered seven home runs in those 13 outings but has given up eight in those most recent eight starts now.

The good news is that he goes from HR-happy Yankee Stadium (+5% park factor) to Busch Stadium (-10%) away from the AL East. We’ll take it. Going from Jose Trevino to Yadier Molina isn’t so bad, at least.

-Jose Quintana joins Monty in St. Louis with the nice home park, now facing the poor Pirates instead of needing their support. PNC Park was similar in terms of suppressing home runs but the other park factors are all friendlier for pitchers at Busch. The southpaw got tagged for six runs at Coors on July 15 but has otherwise only surrendered eight runs in a six-start span, scoring a 34/9 K/BB ratio in 39 frames since June 23.

-Noah Syndergaard experiences little shift going from the Angels to the Phillies, so I'm not reacting much. Where he does gain a slight edge is going from Max Stassi's defensive catching to a top-10 glove in J.T. Realmuto. It won't help Thor much in terms of holding on the likes of Starling Marte, but every data point counts! The Phils also have a stronger bullpen going than the Angels for those of you who like to hold onto your wins in the late game.

-Jake Odorizzi gets a slight ding going from Minute Maid Park to Truist, but at least he stays on a strong contender with healthy run support. Being a fly-ball pitcher at Truist may yield a few implosions along the way but he’s been lucky so far, posting a 6% HR/FB rate against a 10.4% career mark (11.6% in ‘21). Just note the 3.61 FIP is tied to a 4.61 xFIP as a result!

 

Top-101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball

These are rest-of-season fantasy baseball rankings for starting pitchers.

EV = Earned Value via Fangraphs (Last 30 Days), $ = My projected dollar value (think auction), PV = Previous $ Value

(+/-) Tier Player Rank EV $ PV Trend
0 1 Corbin Burnes 1 $8.0 44.5 44.5 0.0 ▬
0 1 Shane McClanahan 2 $5.9 43.0 43.0 0.0 ▬
0 2 Max Scherzer 3 $11.5 42.0 42.0 0.0 ▬
0 2 Sandy Alcantara 4 $8.3 42.0 42.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 2 Jacob deGrom 5 N/A 42.0 N/A N/A
-1 2 Gerrit Cole 6 $6.4 42.0 42.0 0.0 ▬
-1 2 Justin Verlander 7 $10.5 40.0 39.0 1.0 ▲
-1 2 Zack Wheeler 8 $5.4 39.0 38.5 0.5 ▲
0 2 Shohei Ohtani 9 $8.1 38.0 37.0 1.0 ▲
-2 2 Joe Musgrove 10 $2.4 38.0 38.0 0.0 ▬
-1 2 Carlos Rodon 11 $9.9 37.0 35.5 1.5 ▲
-1 2 Brandon Woodruff 12 $10.1 36.0 35.5 0.5 ▲
-1 3 Max Fried 13 $10.9 32.0 31.5 0.5 ▲
-1 3 Aaron Nola 14 $8.9 31.0 31.0 0.0 ▬
-1 3 Alek Manoah 15 $2.2 30.0 30.0 0.0 ▬
-1 3 Kevin Gausman 16 $1.6 30.0 30.0 0.0 ▬
0 3 Clayton Kershaw 17 $10.0 28.5 27.0 1.5 ▲
0 3 Dylan Cease 18 $6.6 28.5 28.0 0.5 ▲
-3 3 Logan Webb 19 $3.9 27.5 28.0 -0.5 ▼
-1 3 Julio Urias 20 $4.8 26.5 26.0 0.5 ▲
1 4 Yu Darvish 21 $6.9 24.5 23.0 1.5 ▲
-1 4 Shane Bieber 22 $3.5 23.5 23.5 0.0 ▬
5 4 Spencer Strider 23 $8.1 22.0 17.5 4.5 ▲
-1 4 Nestor Cortes 24 $4.5 21.5 21.5 0.0 ▬
1 4 Luis Castillo 25 $5.6 21.0 18.0 3.0 ▲
-6 4 Robbie Ray 26 $0.0 18.0 25.0 -7.0 ▼
-3 4 Tony Gonsolin 27 $2.3 18.0 18.0 0.0 ▬
-3 4 Chris Bassitt 28 $3.5 18.0 18.0 0.0 ▬
-2 5 Cristian Javier 29 $0.4 17.5 17.5 0.0 ▬
N/A 5 Freddy Peralta 30 N/A 17.5 N/A N/A
-2 5 Charlie Morton 31 $3.4 16.0 16.0 0.0 ▬
-2 5 Kyle Wright 32 $1.8 16.0 16.0 0.0 ▬
-2 5 Frankie Montas 33 -$0.3 16.0 15.5 0.5 ▲
-1 5 Framber Valdez 34 $7.1 14.5 14.5 0.0 ▬
-1 5 Pablo Lopez 35 $3.1 14.5 14.5 0.0 ▬
0 6 Luis Garcia 36 $2.2 14.0 14.0 0.0 ▬
0 6 Nathan Eovaldi 37 $2.3 13.0 13.0 0.0 ▬
0 6 Logan Gilbert 38 $4.9 13.0 13.0 0.0 ▬
1 6 Andrew Heaney 39 $2.1 13.0 13.0 0.0 ▬
-8 6 Lucas Giolito 40 $3.4 12.5 15.0 -2.5 ▼
0 6 Triston McKenzie 41 $9.1 12.0 12.0 0.0 ▬
0 6 Zac Gallen 42 $3.7 12.0 12.0 0.0 ▬
-4 6 Jordan Montgomery 43 $1.3 12.0 13.0 -1.0 ▼
0 6 Joe Ryan 44 -$0.3 11.0 11.0 0.0 ▬
0 6 Jose Berrios 45 $5.9 11.0 11.0 0.0 ▬
1 6 Tyler Anderson 46 $7.3 10.5 10.5 0.0 ▬
N/A 6 Jesus Luzardo 47 N/A 10.0 N/A N/A
2 6 Tyler Mahle 48 $0.7 10.0 9.0 1.0 ▲
-6 7 Sean Manaea 49 -$2.5 10.0 11.5 -1.5 ▼
-2 7 Nick Lodolo 50 $4.4 9.0 9.0 0.0 ▬
1 7 Alex Wood 51 $4.3 9.0 8.5 0.5 ▲
1 7 Mike Clevinger 52 $3.9 9.0 8.5 0.5 ▲
-2 7 Taijuan Walker 53 $2.6 8.5 8.5 0.0 ▬
1 7 Jose Urquidy 54 $5.3 8.5 8.5 0.0 ▬
-9 7 Lance Lynn 55 $0.9 8.5 11.0 -2.5 ▼
-7 7 Sonny Gray 56 $1.4 8.0 9.0 -1.0 ▼
-1 7 Miles Mikolas 57 $1.6 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬
-4 7 Patrick Sandoval 58 $6.0 8.0 8.5 -0.5 ▼
-2 7 Michael Kopech 59 -$2.9 7.5 7.5 0.0 ▬
-2 7 Carlos Carrasco 60 $6.1 7.5 7.5 0.0 ▬
-2 7 George Kirby 61 $7.7 7.5 7.5 0.0 ▬
3 7 Alex Cobb 62 $7.9 7.5 6.0 1.5 ▲
4 7 Reid Detmers 63 $8.1 7.5 6.0 1.5 ▲
-3 7 Tarik Skubal 64 $4.7 7.0 7.0 0.0 ▬
-3 7 Adam Wainwright 65 $0.0 7.0 7.0 0.0 ▬
-6 7 Aaron Ashby 66 $2.0 7.0 7.5 -0.5 ▼
-3 7 Martin Perez 67 $1.5 6.5 6.0 0.5 ▲
-5 7 Blake Snell 68 $4.2 6.0 6.0 0.0 ▬
0 8 Braxton Garrett 69 $5.5 6.0 5.5 0.5 ▲
3 8 Marcus Stroman 70 $5.3 5.5 4.0 1.5 ▲
9 8 Merrill Kelly 71 $9.6 5.5 1.0 4.5 ▲
0 8 Keegan Thompson 72 $4.2 4.5 4.0 0.5 ▲
-7 8 Nick Pivetta 73 -$1.8 4.0 6.0 -2.0 ▼
-3 8 Josiah Gray 74 -$1.4 4.0 4.0 0.0 ▬
2 9 Hunter Greene 75 $5.2 4.0 2.5 1.5 ▲
7 9 Kutter Crawford 76 $5.7 3.5 1.0 2.5 ▲
-2 9 Noah Syndergaard 77 $0.2 3.5 3.5 0.0 ▬
11 9 Brady Singer 78 $8.2 3.5 1.0 2.5 ▲
-11 9 Jameson Taillon 79 $0.3 3.0 6.0 -3.0 ▼
-4 9 Drew Rasmussen 80 $4.7 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
-3 9 Ross Stripling 81 $5.3 2.0 2.0 0.0 ▬
2 9 Jose Quintana 82 $6.8 2.0 1.0 1.0 ▲
4 9 Ranger Suarez 83 $5.5 2.0 1.0 1.0 ▲
-14 9 Eric Lauer 84 $1.9 2.0 4.5 -2.5 ▼
-4 9 Jeffrey Springs 85 -$0.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
5 9 Madison Bumgarner 86 $2.4 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
-5 10 Johnny Cueto 87 $3.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-3 10 Paul Blackburn 88 $1.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-3 10 Corey Kluber 89 $7.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-2 10 Kyle Gibson 90 -$1.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-1 10 Cal Quantrill 91 -$0.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
0 10 Justin Steele 92 $2.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
1 10 Chris Flexen 93 $1.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
1 10 Mitch Keller 94 $4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
1 10 Jake Odorizzi 95 $3.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
2 10 Jakob Junis 96 $1.4 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-4 10 Zach Plesac 97 $2.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-1 10 Brad Keller 98 $3.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
0 10 Spenser Watkins 99 $7.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
1 10 Graham Ashcraft 100 $2.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
2 10 Domingo German 101 -$1.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬


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In 2024, fantasy football managers are all about wide receivers, but we’re also about value. With prices skyrocketing everywhere else, we don’t want to pay above market value for a player. We also don’t want to pay for a player at the cost of their 90th-percentile outcome. We need the potential to get a positive... Read More


Ty Chandler - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Aaron Jones, Ty Chandler - Fantasy Football Outlook for Minnesota Vikings RBs in 2024

The Minnesota Vikings offense will look a little different in 2024. Quarterback Kirk Cousins left in free agency, and the team replaced him with first-round pick J.J. McCarthy. McCarthy or free-agent signing Sam Darnold will start the year as the Vikings quarterback. Even the running position has changed for Minnesota this offseason. They released Alexander Mattison -- who started the 2023 season... Read More