Dalton Kincaid - 2025 Dynasty Fantasy Football Busts and Sell Candidates

Dalton Kincaid is a dynasty fantasy football bust and sell candidate for 2025. Read the fantasy football outlook for the Buffalo Bills tight end.

RotoBaller Dynasty Ranking: TE8

Dynasty Analysis: Dalton Kincaid has done nothing but disappoint since being selected in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft. In 29 career games, the Utah product has tallied 117 receptions for 1,121 yards and four touchdowns. His reception total is nothing to scoff at, but his usage and lack of big-play upside are.

Despite ranking eighth among all qualified tight ends in average target distance (7.6) a year ago, he ranked 21st in yards per reception (10.2) and 18th in yards per route run (1.76). He's playing with one of the elite quarterbacks in the NFL, who targets him often, yet he could only muster 7.8 fantasy points per game across 13 contests, and he was outside the top 20 tight ends in true catch rate (89.9%), yards per target (6.0), contested catch rate (40%), and fantasy points per route run (1.34).

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GRAPHIC: Bills fans don’t watch this pic.twitter.com/CFpzVOgWFT

— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) January 27, 2025

Yes, the majority of tight ends take time to develop, but Kincaid was billed as a pro-ready pass-catcher coming out of College. He's older than Kyle Pitts.

If Kincaid hasn't been able to find consistent fantasy success with an MVP quarterback in his prime and without daunting target competition, why should we expect anything to change in the future? Buffalo won't go without investing in a legitimate WR1 forever, so Kincaid is getting close to falling off the fantasy football radar. For whatever reason, his explosiveness has not translated to the NFL game. He was unable to participate in the 2023 NFL Combine, so perhaps he's not quite the athlete we thought he'd be.

In dynasty leagues, you should have an elite tight end or a lower-priced dart throw with upside. The tweener types who never break out are a waste of roster space.

- Jackson Sparks

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