Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Buy, Sell or Hold: Marvin Williams and Reggie Jackson?


Below are my Week 16 fantasy basketball buy low and sell high candidates. If you have a bit of a merchant inside you take a look and decide for yourself if you will try to improve your team by wheeling and dealing at just the right time.

Good strategy is definitely one of the most important things in fantasy basketball. But so is good intuition. If your player is performing above all expectations, don't get too attached. He might be back to his old ways before you know it. If you can get a good offer for the overachiever you would be wise to make the most of it.

On the other hand, if one of your picks whom you put so much faith in is disappointing you, have some patience. He might reward your trust with some bounce back performances right when you need them the most.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NBA and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS tools, Lineup Optimizer and daily Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

Buy Low, Sell High Advice for Week 16

Are You for Real, Marvin Williams?

I personally like Marvin Williams. I consider him to be a lovely guy to own in most fantasy formats. He's an all-around contributor without any big flaws to his game. So far this season he has been more-less on par with what was expected from him (apart from the FG% which is a bit below his career average of 44.3%) with averages of 11.3 PTS and 1.8 3PM on 41.2 FG% and 84.0 FT%, 5.7 REB, 1.2 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.5 BLK and 0.7 TO in 28 minutes per game. That has him ranked around the top-100.

But Marvin kicked it up a notch in the last two weeks posting top-50 value by getting his owners 14.2 points and 2.0 threes on 44.9% from the field and 90.9% from the line, 6.3 boards, 0.5 assists, 0.7 steals, 1.0 blocks and just 0.7 turnovers in 33 minutes per game. Lovely jubbly! Both Rotisserie and Head-2-head owners sporting a balanced strategy would be lucky to have him on their roster.

Now Cody Zeller's injury might have had something to do with the increase of playing time Marvin's been seeing. And that is coming to an end with Zeller probable to return on Feb. 9 against the Rockets. Furthermore, the Hornets acquired Miles Plumlee in a trade with the Milwaukee Bucks. Even though they sent two bigs in Roy Hibbert and Spencer Hawes the other way, Plumlee should be a better fit in Charlotte and get more minutes than the aforementioned pair. And while both Cody and Miles are centers and not a direct threat to Williams' court time, their insertion into the rotation will push Frank Kaminsky back to the power forward spot and as a result of that, Marvin is probable to see a few minutes less per game.

If you act fast you can still sell high, unless you believe that Marvin can keep up this level of performance and that volume of counting stats in reduced time. You should be looking for a player in the top-60 to top-80 region. Tobias Harris has been in a bit of a slump lately so his owner could be willing to swap the two. Portland's Mason Plumlee is a low-key player with high value this season as he has established himself as the primary option in the Blazers frontcourt. And if you believe that Victor Oladipo can turn his season around he definitely has a higher upside than Williams. If you can get any of those players in return I would say you made a good deal.

Baller Move: Sell high

 
 
Time to Panic on Reggie Jackson?

Reggie just can't seem to get it going. He missed the beginning of the season with a sprained knee and just hasn't been himself since the return. He's been playing particularly poorly lately with averages of 8.2 PTS on 31.3 FG% and 80.0 FT%, 0.6 3PM, 2.0 REB, 6.0 AST, 0.4 STL, no blocks and 0.8 TO in 25 minutes per game in his previous five. His backup Ish Smith playing 22 minutes a night in that same period speaks volumes about the slump Reggie is in.

Now don't get me wrong, Ish is a good player, but there's no way that he should be able to steal that many of Jackson's minutes. The Pistons didn't sign him to a 5-year, $80M contract at the beginning of last season just to give up on him after a few bad games. Reggie should be back in the undisputed leader role before too long. Let me just remind you of what he is capable of when he is up to his old tricks by mentioning his last season averages of 18.8 points with 1.5 three-pointers on 43.4% from the field and 86.4% from the charity stripe, 3.2 rebounds, 6.2 dimes, 0.7 steals, 0.1 blocks and 2.8 turnovers in 31 minutes per outing.

He is not THAT far off those this season either with 15.6 PTS, 1.3 3PM on 42.5 FG% and 84.5 FT%, 2.4 REB, 5.6 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.1 BLK and 2.4 TO in 29 minutes. That's a small drop off in most of the fantasy relevant categories which when added together drop him from a top-90 player last season to well outside the top-100 this year.

If you have trust that Jackson can pick himself up and dust himself off and once again be the player we all know him to be, you could consider extending an offer to his owner of a player outside the top-100. A hot player like Will Barton or even Reggie's teammate Jon Leuer could be enough to tickle an disgruntled owner's fancy, and if you offer someone like Kyle Korver or Terrence Jones and have your offer accepted, you can count yourself a lucky man.

Baller Move: Hold or buy low




More Recent Articles

 

Can a New Coach Fix Baker Mayfield in 2020?

Another season has passed and another disappointment by Browns fans has been realized. Baker Mayfield got the head coach he wanted in Freddie Kitchens in 2019. In 2020, hopefully he's got the one he needs in Kevin Stefanski. Last season, under Kitchens, Mayfield had a coach he could control and manipulate. He did just that... Read More


Wide Receiver VOS (Values Over Starter): 2019 Season In Context

The one (and only) good thing about fantasy football season ending is that we have plenty of time to analyze what happened during the past few months and put performances into context to prepare for next season. As football is an ever-evolving game, though, it makes sense to assess how good players were in fantasy... Read More


The King's Keeper Corner: NFL Postseason Impacts on Player Outlooks

With a break in the postseason NFL action, it is time to reflect on what we have seen in the playoffs so far and how certain performances will affect fantasy football outlooks in keeper and dynasty formats. How players respond and what they deliver at the most intense and critical times of the season can... Read More


Introducing Value Over Starter Football Metrics

When it comes to fantasy sports, we're always looking for the highest possible Return On Investment or ROI. This concept is easy to understand: in both Daily Fantasy and re-draft/fantasy leagues, ROI would come down to how many points a player returns relative to his salary, or the price you paid (given his ADP on... Read More


Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Quarterback

2019 was a very interesting season of fantasy football, to say the least. It's safe to say no one was banking on the season that we saw from Lamar Jackson but he wasn't the only one to stand out. At the quarterback position, we saw some really exciting players start to shine and some older... Read More


Goodbye Runners, Hello Pass-Catching RBs: 2019 Season Trends

As the 2019 summer kept going we all had two things in our minds with regard to September's fantasy drafts and both of them were related to running backs: Where in the world are Ezekiel Elliott and Melvin Gordon and when will they be back? It made sense back then (and it still does now,... Read More


Where Does 2019 Rank Historically Among ADP Movers?

I have worked on a season-review series of articles in which I have analyzed the biggest winners and losers in terms of ADP entering draft season compared to the end of the year final results. It was plenty of fun looking back at the gambles most of us took which ultimately paid off, but also... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Tight End

2019 was not the record-breaking season for tight ends 2018 was. San Francisco’s George Kittle (most receiving yards for a TE in a season) and Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz (most receptions for a TE in a season) did not break the records they set last season, although both were fine for fantasy players. Kansas City’s Travis... Read More


Rushing Quarterbacks Are Becoming Necessary

The 2019 fantasy season is over. We are all thinking about what to do come 2020 draft day. So let me ask you something. What if I offer you the chance of drafting a quarterback who is a lock to finish the season with 270 fantasy points? Would you take him and make him your... Read More


Biggest Breakouts Of 2019: Wide Receivers

As we enter the initial phase of offseason activities you have recently completed a painstaking process of creating and managing rosters, with the goal of winning fantasy championships in 2019. Now, many of you have already shifted your focus toward planning your drafts in Best Ball and redraft leagues, while others are contemplating how you... Read More


Tight End ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Running Back ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, a sure-fire player is expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they end up as a season-long dud, though,... Read More


Biggest Surprises of 2019: Tight End

The 2019 NFL season was anything but predictable. I mean, the Tennessee Titans made the AFC title game! Andrew Luck retired right before the season! [Insert one of many, many other things here, because all lists need three items but I couldn't decide between all the possible third options.] One position where things at the... Read More


Wide Receiver Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

We continue our series covering the biggest risers and fallers of 2019 with the wide receiver position. I'll look at both 2018 and 2019 statistical outcomes from every player, contrast their performances, calculate differences in each category and come up with the most prominent names going forward. This past season, receivers didn't dominate in fantasy,... Read More


Wide Receiver ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More