Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

ADP Showdown - Derrick Henry vs. Marlon Mack


Depending on how you start your drafts, the running backs currently ranked as RB2s could be make-or-break picks for the 2019 season. You'll find plenty of players with questions marks among this group. Whether it be players coming off of big finishes last season or the players that find themselves splitting time to a degree. As much as we like to emphasize the first-round pick and their success rate, it's these secondary players that often have a big hand in winning championships. They solidify the depth of your starting core and put you in a "safe mode" as you fill out your lineup each week.

Two of the names that we see hover around this area are Derrick Henry and Marlon Mack. But drafting either player could come with serious questions in 2019. Henry finished the 2018 season on a torrid pace, while Mack played the best football of his career. But what can we truly expect from these players in the upcoming season? Do we see the Henry that was splitting time with Dion Lewis for most of 2018 or the back that was the top scorer during the fantasy playoffs? With Mack, can he add to the career year from a season ago and continue to play at a high level on the high scoring Colts offense?

That is what we attempt to find out as I dive into the numbers and tell you who you should be targeting in drafts in this ADP Showdown.

 

Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans

ADP: RB17 (33rd Overall)

We saw two different versions of Derrick Henry in 2018. The first was a player that split reps with Dion Lewis and failed to record a score until Week 7. The second was the highest-scoring RB during the fantasy playoff run. Henry scored 12 TDs on the season (third at the position) and finished with 13 rushes from inside the five-yard line (fourth). Proving that he will have ample opportunities as a scorer in standard formats.

Where he is lacking is in PPR formats, bringing in only 15 receptions on the year. It's not every year where you see a player score almost as many TDs as they have receptions. His torrid pace down the stretch made him the top back by a clear 17 points. But can he become that back for an entire season?

Coming into the 2019 season, there has been much talk around the Titans facility that they plan on solely focusing on Henry in the running game. But is that just coach speak? We know that Lewis will continue to be a part of this backfield and undoubtedly will be the back on the field in passing situations. Henry comes into the season with two consecutive years inside the top three in yards after contact, showing that if he's getting the ball he is gaining yardage. But the offensive line of the Titans (currently ranked 17th) needs to be more consistent in 2019 if Henry can truly vault into the upper echelon at the position.

 

Marlon Mack, Indianapolis Colts

ADP: RB18 (31st Overall)

After beginning the 2018 season banged up (he missed four of the first five games), Mack came back into the fold and finished as RB10 from Week 6 on. His 10-TD season came as a big surprise to many, especially due to the fact he only played 12 games. He made a massive leap in YPC in year two (from 3.85 in 2017 to 4.66 last season) due in large part to his ability to miss tackles. But the area that needs to see improvement for Mack moving forward is in the receptions department. He had just 17 receptions on 26 targets a season ago, capping what would be huge potential for him in PPR formats. He is a solid RB2 that could force his way into low-end RB1 talk if he can become more involved in the passing game.

As we enter the 2019 season, Mack is still largely going overlooked in drafts and I'm not sure why. He's being drafted in the late third round and could return the value of an early second-rounder if the cards fall the right way this season. Virtually nothing has changed with this Colts offense as they should continue to be one of the higher-scoring units in 2019. Andrew Luck and the receiver group are big enough threats to prevent the opposing defense from focusing on stopping the run game.

Also, running behind an offensive line that is largely viewed as the best in football is very helpful for a player of Mack's caliber. So, the rushing numbers should easily be there for him this season as long as he can stay healthy. But the biggest question for Mack will be can he improve as a pass-catcher and rise up the board in PPR formats?

 

Verdict

This one may be a very tough decision on draft day and one that may come down to player preference more than anything. Both are limited as PPR backs and we have seen what they can do on the ground. But for me, I can see Mack adding another layer to his game with a higher catch total in 2019, making him more appealing as a fantasy asset. Not to mention the offense he is playing on and the line that he gets to run behind. Henry finishes a close second, but facing this decision on draft day, I will be leaning towards Mack this season.

More ADP Showdown Articles


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




More Recent Articles

 

Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 15

It is almost inconceivable that we are progressing into the second week of fantasy postseason matchups. Congratulations to those of you whose teams are still competing in the playoffs. Your meticulous planning during the draft process and the regular season has been rewarded with an opportunity to win your leagues' championships. This critical week provides the opportunity to... Read More


Week 15 Tight End Waiver Wire Picks and Streamers

If your fantasy football season is over, either because you did not make your league’s playoffs or because you have had enough of failing in DFS contests, then this column is not for you. Congratulations if you HAVE qualified for your fantasy league’s playoffs! To reach the postseason you must have received some decent play... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 15

Week 15 is upon us, which means that even the holdovers who play in leagues with four team playoffs and no byes are now in fantasy playoff mode. This is it: the home stretch. Are there any wide receivers left on the waiver wire who can help you in the playoffs? Let's look at some... Read More


Quarterback Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers - Week 15

The first week of the fantasy playoffs in almost in the books, and if you're fortunate enough to have advanced then it's already time to start thinking about Week 15 lineups, especially for those who stream quarterbacks. Luckily, there are plenty of viable options available as eliminated owners have stopped making moves, and if you... Read More


Week 15 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

You have to love fantasy football. You have to, otherwise you would have given up by now. In a week that most likely represented the first matchup of the fantasy playoffs or a must-win in some form for the vast majority of players, we were treated to the following: Alvin Kamara netting three fantasy points,... Read More


Waiver Wire Express - Week 15 Lightning Round

An injury-laden Week 14 decided many matchups, with several big names going down in a Red Wedding-esque affair. Not only was Josh Jacobs was a late inactive, but Jared Cook, Devante Parker, Albert Wilson all left with concussions, Mike Evans pulled up with a hamstring injury, Calvin Ridley and Ryan Griffin hurt their ankles, Derrius... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 14 Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Jared Cook has been ruled out of the game after... Read More


Week 14 Chat - Live Fantasy Football Game Day Q&A

It's Sunday Morning Week 14... Do You Know Who to Start? Each Sunday morning of the NFL season, RotoBaller's experts will be moderating the industry's leading live chat room and answering a bunch of your fantasy football questions, from around 10:30 AM to 1:00 PM ET. Come join in on the fun, and get your... Read More


Updated Week 14 PPR Rankings (Top 300)

Welcome to Week 14 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 14 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Will Fuller (hamstring) is expected to miss Week 14. Adam Thielen (hamstring) has officially been ruled out. Le'Veon Bell... Read More


Fantasy Football Mailbag - Q&A for Week 14

This article's content may vary week-to-week, but generally, it will be answering questions fielded from either the @RotoBallerNFL twitter account or my personal one (@RotoSurgeon). This week, the focus is on start/sit questions, and there were plenty. Every week, many of us struggle with which quarterback to start, or who to flex, and I am... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 14

Welcome to our Week 14 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Monday Night Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - Week 14

Finally, we had a good fantasy matchup last week. And now, as punishment, we get this. The Eagles against the Giants is a good rivalry game. But for fantasy? Not so much. Even key players Saquon Barkley and Carson Wentz have been severely disappointing in 2019. The game is not going to be something to... Read More


Wide Receiver Matchups To Target In Week 14

In Week 13, Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill were the high-end options that had great matchups. Adams had a huge two-touchdown game while Hill only came up with 55 scoreless yards, falling victim to game flow as the Chiefs led from start to finish, scoring a defensive touchdown in the process. Several of the wide receivers... Read More


Week 14 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Week 14-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

The playoffs are here, and that means we're going to do things a little differently. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More