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Keith Eyster's top NBA prop bets for 12/15/25: expert player-prop picks, value plays, quick model edges and line-shopping tips for today’s slate. Check odds & get the edge.
The NBA schedule remains somewhat irregular due to the in-season NBA Cup tournament. The final goes down tomorrow between the Knicks and Spurs, but first, we've got a nice little five-game regular-season slate on tap this evening.
Today's group of props is a good combination of established studs and emerging young players. As usual, we are focusing on at least a few players who have taken on bigger roles with their respective teams as a result of their improved play or injuries to other players in their rotation.
In this article, I will provide my favorite NBA player props picks for Monday, December 15th. Prop picks can range from individual stats—points, assists, rebounds, three-pointers made, and defensive stats —to combination props (Points + Rebounds + Assists = PRA). All odds and sportsbooks used are listed, but it's always a good idea to shop around, as odds change throughout the day as bets are placed. Let's get to the picks already. I loaded it up for tonight!
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Today’s Best NBA Prop Bets & Player Props
Let’s take a look at the top player props for today’s NBA slate:
- Anthony Davis over 33.5 Points + Rebounds (-120 Bet365)
- Kevin Durant over 24.5 Points (-110 BetMGM)
- Jordan Walsh over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-105 Bet365)
- Brandon Williams over 12.5 Points + Assists (-127 Caesars)
- Cam Spencer over 13.5 Points + Assists (-119 DraftKings)
Anthony Davis over 33.5 Points + Rebounds (-120 Bet365)
Mavericks big man Davis went off for 24 points and 14 rebounds last game against the Nets. He played 33 minutes in the contest, which was his highest total since returning from a calf injury that has cost him a big chunk of the season. For the season, his averages check in slightly below this line at 20.0 points and 10.5 rebounds (30.5 PRA), but those are partially skewed by his ramp-up back to full strength. In four games before the injury, Davis averaged 25.0 points and 11.8 rebounds. With his playing time trending back to levels before the injury, that is much more in line with what should be expected of him going forward.
Anthony Davis tonight:
24 Points
14 Rebounds
3 Assists
3 Steals
3 Blocks
33 Minutes pic.twitter.com/X9h3KwDJIH— Hoop Central (@TheHoopCentral) December 13, 2025
Tonight's matchup set up perfectly for Davis to continue rolling. The Utah Jazz are extremely thin in the frontcourt, with Walker Kessler out for the season and Jusuf Nurkic ruled out for this game. The Jazz also play at a top-five pace, allowing the second-most points in the league. They have been a decent rebounding team this season, but their lack of a true center tonight is going to impact them in that department.
The Mavericks are also dealing with injury issues in the frontcourt, with Dereck Lively II ruled out and Daniel Gafford listed as questionable. Davis should see considerable time at the center position even if Gafford can play.
Kevin Durant over 24.5 Points (-110 BetMGM)
Durant and the Rockets head out to Denver for an important Western Conference clash with Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets. The points line for Durant is sitting just below his season average of 24.8 points. The Rockets have been willing to push Durant's playing time close to 40 minutes in close games, and the 1.5-point spread for this one suggests this game should be exactly that.
Tonight's matchup doesn't look like anything special on paper, but there is sneaky upside for KD in this spot. For the season, the Nuggets are slightly below average defensively, ranking 17th in efficiency. However, since Aaron Gordon went down with an injury last month, they have been the worst defensive team in the league. In nine games with Gordon sidelined, Denver ranks dead last in defensive efficiency and has allowed more than 121 points per 100 possessions. Gordon would typically get the assignment of slowing down Durant in this matchup, so his absence will certainly be felt in this game.
Top Value Props & Sleeper Picks
Betting on superstars is always exciting, but the best value often lies on the margins of a roster. Role players and emerging contributors can offer hidden edges, especially as the season wears on and injuries start to shake up rotations.
Let’s dive into some of the top value plays for today’s NBA slate.
Jordan Walsh over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-105 Bet365)
Walsh cleared this prop for us in the first quarter of the last game, and we're going right back to the well. He ultimately finished the last game with 20 points and 8 rebounds in 32 minutes of action. The recent uptick in playing time and scorching hot shooting continued, as did the elite perimeter defense that has earned him this significant role.
Jordan Walsh tonight:
20 Points
8 Rebounds
3 Steals
8/10 FGM
3/4 3PM
32 Minutes pic.twitter.com/SS1tFjKoqp— Hoop Central (@TheHoopCentral) December 12, 2025
He will eventually cool off from three-point range, as he's unlikely to maintain his 48.7% efficiency from long range, but his props remain low enough that it is of no concern. In addition to the three-point accuracy, Walsh is also scoring 52.2% of his points in the paint (where the extreme efficiency can be maintained) and in transition.
Tonight's matchup against Detroit is a difficult one, but Walsh's recent performance eliminates any concern there. Over his last six games, Walsh has cleared this line in every game with an average of 15.0 points and 7.0 rebounds per contest.
Brandon Williams over 12.5 Points + Assists (-127 Caesars)
Mavericks point guard Williams has had an up-and-down season that has been far more good than bad. At one point, he was actually the starting point guard for the team, but he has returned to a bench role now that rookie Ryan Nembhard is healthy again. Williams has played well on the second unit this season, with an average of 9.4 points and 3.3 assists in games he has not started. Those averages include a few early-season games where he played less than 10 minutes, and he has been even better than that in his most recent stretch off the bench. Over his last seven games since moving back to the second unit, Williams has averaged 10.3 points and 4.7 assists per game.
Tonight's matchup against the Utah Jazz sets up perfectly for that trend to continue. Utah plays at the fourth-fastest pace in the league, which means there will be a few extra possessions in the game. They also rank just 29th in defensive efficiency, and have allowed the second-most points and the most assists in the league this season.
Williams should be able to take advantage of this elite matchup and continue thriving as the point man on the second unit.
Cam Spencer over 13.5 Points + Assists (-119 DraftKings)
Grizzlies guard Spencer has been outstanding this season in a much larger role than initially expected, largely due to Memphis dealing with a thin backcourt for much of the year. Even with Ja Morant returning to the lineup in the most recent game, Spencer maintained a significant role and produced 20 points and 4 assists. Morant and Spencer even shared the court for a few minutes in the fourth quarter last game, demonstrating Memphis' willingness to keep Spencer involved even as Morant returns to full strength.
Grizzlies Cam Spencer stats this season: 11.4p/3.9a/2.1r on 50.3% FG, 49.2% 3P (2nd in NBA), 91.1% FT in 21.4 MPG
Last 5 games: 17.2p/5.2a/2.2r on 66% FG, 68% 3P, 100% FT in 25.8 MPG https://t.co/mUVEfKiFXm pic.twitter.com/eT1lmAWi99
— Role Player Performances (@BenchHighlights) December 14, 2025
Morant logged just 25 minutes in his return from a lengthy injury absence and could see his workload rise closer to 30 minutes tonight, which does introduce some risk to Spencer's playing time. However, that risk appears to be reflected in the current line. Spencer has easily cleared the line in nine straight contests with an average of 15.8 points and 5.1 assists per game during that stretch. Even if he sees his playing time reduced to around 20 minutes, Spencer should remain productive enough to get there.
Tonight's matchup further supports the case, as the Clippers rank just 26th in defensive efficiency this season. The strong matchup and a secure role as the backup point guard offer a strong case for Spencer to clear this line again.
NBA Betting Tools & Resources
Don't forget to utilize all of the NBA DFS and betting tools we have here at RotoBaller! The NBA betting landscape changes by the minute throughout the day, so stay up to date with the latest odds and market values with our NBA DFS and betting tools and projections.
Thanks for reading, RotoBallers, and good luck if you are tailing our bets tonight!
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