Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 13 Analysis


Wide receivers are essential components toward your ultimate goal of securing league championships. As many of you prepare for your Week 14 matchups, an expanding collection of tools are available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge. Those results provide the foundation for this weekly statistical breakdown of the wide receiver position, which is designed to help you fulfill your championship aspirations.

This will be the 13th installment that examines game-specific data, including updated totals for targets, red-zone targets, snap counts, and a compilation of advanced statistics. The information that is contained in this weekly report will analyze how various receivers are being utilized, and how effectively they are capitalizing on their opportunities.

This week’s article will be functioning with 13 weeks of data, which bolsters the foundation from which the numbers that are generated in various categories can be evaluated. All noteworthy changes in usage and production will be blended into the equation. That will bolster your efforts to determine which wide receivers should be in your lineups, and which are worthy of remaining on your rosters during your critical postseason matchup. Pro Football Reference, NextGenStats, and Football Outsiders were all used as resources in compiling this data.

Editor's Note: Get any rest-of-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS Tools, Lineup Optimizer and Premium DFS Research through the Super Bowl. Sign Up Now!

 

Week 13 Target Leaders 

Wide Receivers Total Targets  Targets-Per-Game Yards-Per-Target
Michael Thomas 132 11 9.8
Julian Edelman 124 10.3 7.4
DeAndre Hopkins 120 10 7.5
Mike Evans 116 9.7 9.4
D.J. Moore 115 9.6 8.5
Keenan Allen 113 9.4 7.6
Tyler Boyd 113 9.4 6.7
Cooper Kupp 110 9.2 8.6
Allen Robinson 108 9 7.9
Jarvis Landry 108 9 8.5
Chris Godwin 104 8.7 10.8
Odell Beckham 103 8.7 7.8
Julio Jones 101 9.2 9.4
Robert Woods 99 9 8.4
D.J. Chark 96 8 9.2
John Brown 93 7.8 9.5
Devante Parker 93 7.8 8.4
Amari Cooper 92 7.7 10.6
Courtland Sutton 90 7.7 10.1
Calvin Ridley 88 7.3 9
Jamison Crowder 86 7.2 6.8
Kenny Golladay 85 7.1 11.2
Curtis Samuel 85 7.1 6.4
Marvin Jones 84 7 8.8
Larry Fitzgerald 83 6.9 7.8
Michael Gallup 81 8.1 9.8
Cole Beasley 81 6.8 7.8
Tyler Lockett 81 6.8 10.3
Christian Kirk 79 8.8 6.7
Davante Adams 79 9.9 8.2
Dede Westbrook 78 7.1 7
D.K. Metcalf 77 6.4 9.2
Auden Tate 76 6.9 7.4
Emmanuel Sanders 74 5.7 8.3
Stefon Diggs 74 6.2 12.2
Terry McLaurin 72 6.5 9
Sammy Watkins 71 7.1 7.6
Alshon Jeffery 71 7.9 6.9
Mohamed Sanu 70 6.4 6.2
Danny Amendola 69 6.3 7.3
Nelson Agholor 69 6.3 5.3
Chris Conley 68 5.7 9.2
Mike Williams 68 6.2 11.4
Robby Anderson 68 5.7 8
Tyreek Hill 64 8 9.3
Randall Cobb 63 5.7 10.1
Anthony Miller 63 5.3 7.8
Will Fuller 62 6.9 9.6
Darius Slayton 62 6.2 8.1
Diontae Johnson 61 5.1 6.9
Marquise Brown 60 6 8.7
JuJu Smith-Schuster 60 6 8.7
Deebo Samuel 59 5.4 9.6
Golden Tate 57 8.1 7.9

Michael Thomas sustained his league lead in overall targets for the season 132. Julian Edelman is second 124, followed by DeAndre Hopkins (120), Mike Evans (116), D.J. Moore (115), Tyler Boyd (113), and Keenan Allen (113). Cooper Kupp (110) is next, followed by Allen Robinson (108), Jarvis Landry (108), Chris Godwin (104), Odell Beckham (103), and Julio Jones (101). No other receivers have reached 100 targets through Week 13.

Robert Woods (99), D.J. Chark (96), John Brown (93), Devante Parker (93), Amari Cooper (92), and Courtland Sutton (90), comprise the group of six receivers that have collected between 90-99 targets for the season. Calvin Ridley (88), Jamison Crowder (86), and Kenny Golladay (85) spearhead the group of eight additional receivers that have received 80+ targets for the season.

Thomas failed to achieve a double-digit target total for the first time since Week 5. However, he has still accomplished it during nine of his 12 matchups. That ties him with Edelman for the most among all wide receivers. Edelman also has the longest active streak of double-digit target games, as he has collected 10+targets in seven consecutive matchups. Moore has captured 10+ targets in seven different contests, while Hopkins has achieved it six times. Moore has also reached double digits in three of his last four matchups.

Moore’s escalating usage in recent weeks has also propelled him into the overall lead in targets since Week 10 (47). Thomas is second (43), followed by Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker with 41. Parker has assembled an impressive collection of numbers throughout the season, which will be examined further in the Five Things I Noticed section.

Woods has vaulted to fifth with 39 targets since Week 10, followed by Ridley and Robinson with 37. Beckham (36), Gallup (35), Miller (35), and Cooper (35), complete the top 10. Edelman (34), John Brown (33), Evans (33), Godwin (32), Adams (32), Darius Slayton (31), and Boyd (30) complete the list of 18 wide receivers that have captured 30+ targets since Week 10.

Woods has accumulated the highest target total during the last two weeks (28). He is followed by Landry, Edelman, and Ridley with 24. Miller, Adams, and Robinson are next with 22, followed by Parker, and Moore with 21. No other receivers have been targeted 20+ times since Week 12 although Thomas, Boyd, and Evans have each collected 19. Atlanta’s Christian Blake is next with 18, which is among the most surprising stats when examining the recent target results.

 

Largest Weekly Changes

Wide Receivers Total Targets  Week 12 Targets Week 13 Targets Weekly Changes
Alshon Jeffery 71 INJ 16 16
Robert Woods 99 9 19 10
Amari Cooper 92 2 11 9
Zach Pascal 51 1 10 9
John Brown 93 4 11 7
Jamison Crowder 86 4 9 5
Emmanuel Sanders 74 1 6 5
Danny Amendola 69 3 8 5
Robby Anderson 68 5 10 5
Auden Tate 76 3 7 4
Anthony Miller 63 9 13 4
Mike Evans 116 8 11 3
D.J. Moore 115 9 12 3
D.J. Chark 96 6 5 3
Curtis Samuel 85 4 7 3
Allen Robinson 108 10 12 2
Darius Slayton 62 7 9 2
Deebo Samuel 59 2 4 2
Tyler Boyd 113 9 10 1
Kenny Golladay 85 4 5 1
Tyler Lockett 81 2 3 1
D.K. Metcalf 77 6 7 1
DeVante Parker 93 11 10 -1
Dede Westbrook 78 9 8 -1
Diontae Johnson 61 6 5 -1
Russell Gage 45 10 9 -1
Jarvis Landry 108 13 11 -2
Chris Godwin 104 8 6 -2
Odell Beckham 103 8 6 -2
Cole Beasley 81 9 7 -2
Davante Adams 79 12 10 -2
Michael Thomas 132 11 8 -3
Courtland Sutton 90 8 5 -3
Cooper Kupp 110 10 6 -4
Calvin Ridley 88 14 10 -4
Chris Conley 68 9 5 -4
Randall Cobb 63 7 3 -4
Marvin Jones 84 11 6 -5
Marquise Brown 60 7 2 -5
Zach Pascal 41 1 1 -5
Terry McLaurin 72 12 4 -8
Will Fuller 62 11 2 -9

Robert Woods had entered Week 13 with 51 targets for the season, and an 8.0 per game target-per-game average. But he stockpiled 19 targets during the Rams’ Week 13 evisceration of Arizona, which established a new career-high for the seventh-year receiver. It also resulted in the highest target total for the week. Prior to Week 13, Alshon Jeffery had accumulated 55 targets throughout the entire season while averaging 16.9 per game. He had also had been sidelined since Week 9 with an ankle issue, but his 16 targets against the Dolphins represented his highest weekly total since Week 8 of the 2015 regular season. It also represented the week’s second-highest total.

Jeffery was followed by Anthony Miller with 13, while Moore, Edelman, and Robinson all tied with 12. Evans, Landry, and Cooper each collected 11, while Davante Adams, Parker, Boyd, Robby Anderson, Ridley, and Zach Pascal all captured 10 targets during their Week 13 matchups. Russell Gage and Christian Blake spearheaded a group of four receivers that attained nine targets during their contests, as the tandem of Atlanta receivers ascended into more significant roles during Julio Jones’ absence. That will be discussed further in the 5 Things I Noticed section

While Jeffery’s Week 13 target total (16) did not qualify as a Week-to-Week variance, it is worthy of mention. The 19 targets that were collected by Woods represented an increase of 10 from his Week 12 total which was the most significant rise for the week.

After receiving just one target in Week 12, it is understandable that Zach Pascal’s week to week total would increase. However, the 10 targets that attained in Week 13 tied his career-best total, while also initiating a surge of +9. John Brown’s 11 targets expanded his week to week total by +7, while Jamison Crowder, Jet teammate Robby Anderson, Danny Amendola, and Emmanuel Sanders all experienced an increase of +5 in with their weekly totals.

Will Fuller returned to Houston‘s lineup in Week 12 and promptly registered 11 targets. Unfortunately for his owners, he was only targeted twice in Week 13. That drop of -9 was the largest among all wide receivers in Week 13. Terry McLaurin‘s reduction of -8 was the second-highest decrease, while the totals for Marquise Brown and Marvin Jones each declined by -5.

 

Week 13 Yards-Per-Target Leaders

Stefon Diggs leads all wide receivers with a 13.5 yard per target average. Mecole Hardman is second at 12.2. He is followed by A.J. Brown (11.6) Mike Williams (11.3), Kenny Golladay (11.2), Kenny Stills (11.2), Chris Godwin (10.8), Tyler Lockett (10.7), James Washington (10.7), and Amari Cooper (10.6) completing the top 10.

Courtland Sutton (10.2), Randall Cobb (10.1), Michael Thomas (9.8), Michael Gallup (9.8), Will Fuller (9.6), Curtis Samuel (9.6), Deebo Samuel (9.6), John Brown (9.5), Mike Evans (9.4), and Julio Jones (9.4) complete the top 20.

Parker’s yards-per-target average rose from 8.4 to 9.2, after he averaged a whopping 15.9 yards per target in Week 13. It was the third time that he has attained an average of 13.5+ this season.

Mike Williams has averaged 21.8 yards-per-target since Week 9, including the 6.7 per target average that he attained against the Broncos in Week 13. Alshon Jeffery’s overall yards-per-target average rose from 6.4 to 6.9 as a result of his 8.6 average in Week 13.

Jamison Crowder had been averaging 7.5 yards-per-target entering Week  13. However, that average dropped to 6.8 per target after the averaged just 0.8 against the Bengals. Marquise Brown’s average dropped from 9.4 to 8.7 after his season-worst 0.5 average versus the 49ers.

 

Week 13 Targeted Air Yards Leaders 

Mike Williams leads all wide receivers in targeted air yards (16.8) followed closely by Ted Ginn (16.7). Kenny Golladay is next (16.5), followed by Marquez Valdes-Scantling (16.2), then James Washington and Robby Anderson at 16. Mike Evans is seventh (15.1), followed by Curtis Samuel (14.9), Stefon Diggs (14.9), Chris Conley (14.8), Terry McLaurin (14.6), Will Fuller (14.4), Brandin Cooks (14.3), Tyrell Williams (14.3), and Demarcus Robinson (14.2). A group of 11 additional receivers has attained an average of 13+, including John Brown (13.9), and a trio of players that are tied at 13.7 - DeVante Parker, Tyreek Hill, and D.K. Metcalf.

Mike Evans has maintained his overall lead in total air yards (1,743), while Kenny Golladay is second with (1,369). D.J. Chark is third (1,291), followed by John Brown (1,279), Julio Jones (1,273), D.J. Moore (1,268), Curtis Samuel (1,264), DeAndre Hopkins (1,248, Keenan Allen (1,247, DeVante Parker (1,228), and Odell Beckham (1,226). No other receivers have eclipsed (1,200) air yards during their first 12 matchups. Amari Cooper (1,185), Allen Robinson (1,184), Calvin Ridley (1,174), Marvin Jones (1,167) and Mike Williams (1,146) spearhead a group of 14 additional receivers that have accumulated at least 1,000 air yards during the season.

 

% Share Of  Team’s Air Yards Leaders

Courtland Sutton remains the league leader in percentage share of their team’s air yards (44.7). McLaurin has retained the second-highest percentage (41.4), followed by Diggs (40.2), Brown (40.0), Beckham (38.0), Evans (37.6), Thomas (37.4), Chark (37.4), Anderson (37.1), Robinson (37.0), Hopkins (35.8), Curtis Samuel (34.1), and Samuel’s teammate D.J. Moore (30.0.).

Emmanuel Sanders is next 33.9), followed by DeVante Parker (33.6), Kenny Golladay (33.6), Julian Edelman (32,6). Tyrell Williams (32.1), Jarvis Landry (31.5) and Keenan Allen (31.5) complete the top 20 in this category.

Tyler Boyd leads Cincinnati with his 31.3 share, while Auden Tate is second at 26.1. Davante Adams has now surpassed Marquez Valdes-Scantling for the largest share of Green Bay’s air yards (25.2/22.9), while Zach Pascal has emerged with the largest share for Indianapolis (22.4).

D.J. Chark’s 37.4 team-high share is 6.7 percent higher than Jacksonville teammate Chris Conley’s 28.7 share, while Dede Westbrook is third at 16.7. Keenan Allen (32.5) has retained a slight lead over Mike Williams (29.8) for the top share among all Chargers

 

Week 13 Red Zone Target Leaders

Wide Receiver Total Red Zone Targets  Week 12 Red Zone Targets Week 13  Red Zone Targets Largest Weekly Changes Targets Inside 10 
Julian Edelman 20 0 1 1 8
Michael Thomas 19 1 0 -1 8
Mike Evans 17 0 1 1 9
Jarvis Landry 16 2 0 -2 11
Keenan Allen 16 BYE 0 BYE 7
Tyler Lockett 15 0 1 BYE 5
Davante Adams 15 2 5 3 4
Marvin Jones 15 1 0 -1 9
Auden Tate 14 0 0 0 7
Chris Godwin 14 2 0 -2 10
Cooper Kupp 14 2 1 -1 5
Marquise Brown 13 6 0 -6 6
D.K. Metcalf 13 0 1 1 4
Courtland Sutton 13 0 1 1 6
Allen Robinson 13 2 2 0 8
Kenny Golladay 12 0 0 0 10
D.J. Chark 12 1 0 -1 4
D.J. Moore 12 3 2 -1 2
Deebo Samuel 11 0 0 0 4
Mike Williams 11 BYE 1 BYE 5
Curtis Samuel 11 0 1 1 5
Terry McLaurin 11 2 1 -1 7
Julio Jones 10 2 INJ INJ 5
Larry Fitzgerald 10 BYE 0 BYE 8
Jamison Crowder 10 1 0 1 2
DeVante Parker 10 0 2 2 1
Phillip Dorsett 10 0 2 2 4
Sterling Shepard 10 INJ 3 INJ 4
Alshon Jeffery 10 0 3 INJ 5

Julian Edelman leads all wide receivers in red zone targets, while Michael Thomas is second with (19), Mike Evans is third (17), followed by Jarvis Landry and Keenan Allen with 16. Marvin Jones, Davante Adams, and Tyler Lockett have captured 15 targets, while Chris Godwin, Cooper Kupp, and Auden Tate have all attained 14. Courtland Sutton, Allen Robinson, Marquise Brown and D.K. Metcalf have accrued 13 targets, while D.J. Moore, Kenny Golladay, and D.J. Chark all currently have 12 red zone targets through Week 13.

Adams stockpiled five red zone targets in Week 13, which was the highest total among all wide receivers. Robert Woods, Alshon Jeffery, Dede Westbrook, Russell Gage, and Sterling Shepard were each targeted three times, while DeVante Parker, Allen Robinson, and D.J. Moore were included in a group of eight wide receivers that received two red zone targets during their Week 13 matchups.

Landry leads his position with 11 targets inside the 10, while Godwin and Golladay have been targeted 10 times. Evans and Marvin Jones have accumulated nine targets inside the 10, while Edelman, Thomas, Robinson, and Larry Fitzgerald have all accrued eight targets. Allen, Tate, and Terry McLaurin have captured seven targets, while Sutton, Marquise Brown, and T.Y. Hilton have all garnered six targets inside the 10.

10 of Edelman’s 20 red zone targets were collected during a three-game span (Weeks 7-9). However, he has only failed to register at least one red zone target twice during his 12 matchups. Adams has now assembled nine red zone targets during his last three games, along with 13 targets during his last five contests.

After accumulating eight red zone targets from Weeks 1-4, Sutton has been targeted just five times during his last eight matchups. His former teammate Emmanuel Sanders accrued eight red zone targets from Weeks 1-3 but has only been targeted five times since Week 4.

 

Week 13 Snap Count Leaders

Wide Receiver Week 13 Snaps Week 13 % Total Snaps Total Snap %
Chris Godwin 70 92.11 837 94.9
Odell Beckham 65 94.2 801 96.51
Julian Edelman 80 91.95 799 89.47
DeAndre Hopkins 47 83.93 792 96.47
Mike Evans 63 82.89 792 89.8
Jarvis Landry 67 97.1 780 93.98
D.J. Moore 71 94.67 779 91.97
Tyler Lockett 66 88 779 90.79
Marvin Jones 73 96.05 766 89.28
Kenny Golladay 73 96.05 760 88.58
John Brown 61 91.04 753 89.75
Tyler Boyd 55 83.33 748 90.89
Allen Robinson 60 92.31 743 93.34
Curtis Samuel 69 92 740 87.37
Michael Thomas 40 80 734 91.18
Cooper Kupp 57 72.15 727 86.65
Robert Woods 67 84.81 720 85.82
Keenan Allen 63 95.45 719 88.99
Courtland Sutton 56 98.25 718 92.65
Nelson Agholor 63 88.73 706 80.96
DK Metcalf 67 91.78 702 81.82
D.J. Chark 60 80 698 81.73
Robby Anderson 65 87.84 697 89.7
Calvin Ridley 87 93.55 694 78.24
DeVante Parker 59 81.94 687 87.63
Larry Fitzgerald 59 92.19 682 84.51
Chris Conley 55 75.34 671 78.57
Mike Williams 58 87.88 644 79.7
Stefon Diggs 52 94.55 637 80.13
Auden Tate 53 80.3 637 77.4
Amari Cooper 64 82.05 636 74.82
Emmanuel Sanders 56 98.25 633 39
Michael Gallup 69 88.46 620 72.94
Terry McLaurin 55 85.94 615 86.13
Zach Pascal 72 100 611 71.63
Jamison Crowder 63 85.14 602 77.48
Demarcus Robinson 38 56.72 589 73.63
Cole Beasley 59 88.06 588 70.08
Julio Jones INJ INJ 587 66.18
Dede Westbrook 57 78.08 575 67.33
Christian Kirk 61 95.31 560 69.39
Mohamed Sanu 19 21.84 554 31.12
Brandin Cooks 61 77.22 549 65.44
Corey Davis 41 68.33 549 71.86
Randall Cobb 67 85.9 547 64.35
Tyrell Williams 54 90 543 71.17
Sammy Watkins 536 67 536 67
Darius Slayton 63 94.03 536 65.61
Deebo Samuel 55 96.49 532 62.74
Willie Snead 25 38.46 530 61.56

Chris Godwin continues to lead all wide receivers in total offensive snaps for the season (837). Odell Beckham joins him as the only receivers that have reached 800+ snaps. Julian Edelman is third (799), followed by DeAndre Hopkins (792), Mike Evans (792), Jarvis Landry (780), D.J. Moore (779), Tyler Lockett (779), Marvin Jones (766), and Kenny Golladay (760) completing the top 10.

John Brown is next (753), followed by Tyler Boyd (748), Allen Robinson (743), Curtis Samuel (740), Michael Thomas (734), Cooper Kupp (727), Robert Woods (720), Keenan Allen (719), Courtland Sutton (718), Nelson Agholor (706), and D.K. Metcalf (702). Only those 21 receivers have performed on 700+ offensive snaps through Week 13.

Beckham leads in offensive snap percentage (96.51) just ahead of Hopkins (96.47). Godwin is third (94.9), followed by Landry (94.0), Robinson (93.3), Sutton (92.7), Moore (92.0), Thomas (91.2), Boyd (91.0), and Lockett (90.8).

Evans is next with 89.8, followed Brown (89.8), Robby Anderson (89.7), Edelman (89.5), Marvin Jones (89.2), Allen (89.0), Golladay (88.6), DeVante Parker (87.6), Curtis Samuel (87.3), and Cooper Kupp (86.7) completing the top 20.

Zach Pascal was the only wide receiver to perform on 100% of his team’s offensive snaps in Week 13. Emmanuel Sanders and Courtland Sutton both played on 98.25% of their team’s snaps. Landry was next (97.1), followed by Deebo Samuel (96.5), Marvin Jones (96.1), Kenny Golladay (96.1), Keenan Allen (95.5), Christian Kirk (95.3), Moore  (94.7), Stefon Diggs (94.6), Beckham (94.2), Darius Slayton (94.0), Calvin Ridley (93.6), Marcus Johnson (93.1), Allen Robinson (92.3), Larry Fitzgerald (92.2), Godwin (92.1), Curtis Samuel (92.0), and Julian Edelman (92.0).

 

Five Things I Noticed

1. DeVante Parker’s career from 2015-2018 was comprised primarily of promising performances that were followed far too frequently by disappointing outings. His underwhelming production also kept him from finishing higher than WR50 in scoring.

That includes last season when Parker dwelled at a lowly WR105. But even though the 26-year-old Parker's previous years are cluttered with discouraging numbers and a trail of frustrated former owners, Parker’s fifth season has been devoid of the disappointment that had plagued his tenure with Miami.

He is currently on track to perform in all 16 games for the first time in his career. This has enabled him to assemble numbers have been both consistent and beneficial to his owners. Parker is currently WR15 in standard scoring and WR20 in PPR leagues. He has already accumulated more receiving yards (854), more touchdowns (6), and a higher yards-per-game average (71.2) than he has produced in any of his previous seasons. His 93 targets and 53 receptions also place him on the verge of exceeding his previous bests in those categories (96 targets/57 receptions).

Parker has now captured double-digit target totals in four consecutive matchups (10/10/11/10) and is fourth among all wide receivers with 47 targets (9.4 per game) since Week 9. He is also fourth in receptions (29) and second only to D.J. Moore in receiving yards (511). Teammates Allen Hurns (24 targets/4.8 per game) and Albert Wilson (23 targets/4.6 per game) do not pose a threat to Parker’s ongoing responsibilities as Miami's WR1. He will sustain that role as the Dolphins advance through their final matchups, with an opportunity to assemble outstanding numbers against the Jets, Giants, and Bengals.

 

2. As we monitor the status of Julio Jones’ troublesome shoulder, the transition in usage for Atlanta’s receiving weaponry could become an emerging factor for owners during the next three weeks.

Jones’ lingering condition has combined with the departure of Mohamed Sanu to fuel expanded roles for both Russell Gage and Christian Blake.

Blake is an undrafted free agent who did not register his first snap until Week 8. But his involvement soared as Jones contended with his shoulder injury, including 83/89% snaps against New Orleans in Week 13. He has now collected 18 targets, eight receptions, and 73 yards since Week 12, and averaged 6.3 yards-per-target against New Orleans. His role will be impacted by Jones’ availability as the postseason advances.

However, Gage’s responsibilities should not change regardless of Jones’ status. He was discussed briefly in last week’s Five Things I Noticed section, due to his emergence in the slot for Atlanta. His role expanded when Sanu was dealt to New England, and Gage has provided a consistent presence running inside routes (71%). Since Week 8, Gage is second among Falcon receivers in targets (37/7.4 per game), and receptions (26), while also generating 241 yards and a touchdown.

Neither Sanu’s exodus or Jones' ongoing health challenge has been responsible for Calvin Ridley’s favorable production, as the second-year receiver has risen to WR16 in standard scoring and WR19 in PPR leagues. He is also 23rd in targets (88), 27th in receptions (58), and 23rd in receiving yards (790). Since Week 10, Ridley also leads the Falcons in targets (37/9.3 per game) receptions (25) and receiving yards (347/86.75 per game). Ridley should be in all lineups for his matchups against the Panthers, 49ers, and Jaguars - even though San Francisco will be imposing in Week 15. Jones remains a perpetual must-start if he is active, while Gage can provide flex scoring for owners in deeper leagues.

 

3. The ongoing development of Josh Allen has been both steady and unquestioned, while vaulting him to QB6 in fantasy scoring.

He has earned QB1 status as a byproduct of his improved proficiency, as the 52.8% completion percentage that he registered as a rookie in 2018, has risen to 61.5%.

That was bolstered by the career-best 79.2% that he attained in Week 13. He has also constructed an 11:1 touchdown to interception ratio since Week 7, including 6:1 during his last three matchups. He is tied for sixth in average intended air yards (9), while Buffalo’s two offseason acquisitions at wide receiver - John Brown and Cole Beasley – have also been integral components in the Bills’ surging aerial efforts.

Since Week 7, Allen has distributed 54 targets to John Brown, which places him seventh among all wide receivers in that category. He is also ninth in receptions (33) and eighth in receiving yards (492). That was propelled by an 85 yards-per-game average from Weeks 7-11. He remains fourth in percentage of team’s air yards (39.99), fourth in air yards (1,279) fifth in completed air yards (703), and his average depth of target (aDOT) resides at 13.8.

Since Week 10, Beasley has collected 26 targets (6.5 per game), while surpassing Brown in receptions (20), and receiving yards (298). While his 110-yard performance in Week 13 was his highest since Week 8 of 2015, Beasley has accrued 74+ yards in three of his last four matchups. Beasley has also exceeded 18 yards-per-reception in two of his last four contests. Buffalo's next three matchups will involve defensive units that have not been overly hospitable to opposing passing attacks (Ravens/Steelers/ Patriots).  But owners that have been reliant on Allen and his primary receiving weapons should not panic, because their ability to perform proficiently has been underestimated consistently throughout the season.

 

4. Andy Dalton was spearheading Cincinnati's passing attack from Weeks 1-8, before Ryan Finley ascended into QB1 responsibilities following the team's Week 9 bye. The rookie completed just 41 of his 87 passes for an alarmingly low 47.1% during his forgettable three-game sequence under center.

After Dalton reclaimed his starting role in Week 13, his target distribution closely resembled the percentages from his previous eight games as the signal-caller. This is definitely good news for Tyler Boyd owners.

From Weeks 1-8, Boyd collected a team-high 83 targets (10.4 per game), which propelled him to 51 receptions and 536 yards. Auden Tate was second in targets during that span (54 /7.7 per game), followed by Alex Erickson (36/4.54 game). John Ross also collected 32 targets from Weeks 1-4 before being sidelined with a broken clavicle. Dalton's target distribution in Week 13 was similar to the breakdown during his previous games, as Boyd captured a team-high 10 targets, while Tate garnered seven, and Erickson was a distant third with two.

When Miller was guiding the Bengals' aerial attack, Boyd garnered the most targets (20/ 6.7 per game) while Erickson and Tate both collected 15 (5 per game). But even though Boyd was the target leader with both quarterbacks launching passes, all six of his double-digit target totals occurred with Dalton under center. That includes five of his first seven games, along with his 10 targets in Week 13. He has also attained a 10.3 target-per-game average with Dalton, while his average dropped to 6.7 with Miller.

Boyd owners should be encouraged by the prospects of having Dalton locating Cincinnati’s top receiving option with the same frequency during the fantasy postseason. Ross has also recovered from his shoulder injury and will resurface in Cincinnati's lineup this week. He is worthy of a roster addition, although it is not recommended that you start him.

 

5. When I was examining this week’s trends in targets, red zone targets, and snaps, it became obvious that there was a collection of numbers for three different receivers that should be included in this final section.

The data involves players that are available in over 70% of all leagues, but all provide the potential to boost your efforts toward capturing  league championships. Particularly if your receivers are contending with brutal matchups this week.

Anthony Miller has now experienced a noteworthy surge in usage and production during his last three contests. Since Week 11, only D.J. Moore has collected more targets than Miller (33/11 per game). Miller is also third among receivers with 21 receptions, fifth with 271 receiving yards, and has captured five red zone targets during that span. His 5.6 yards-per-target average from Weeks 1-10 has also risen to 9.7 during his last two matchups. He is available on over 80% of all waiver wires and delivers the potential to help owners advance through the postseason by exceeding the output of other WR3 options.

Since Week 10, James Washington is eighth among all wide receivers with 348 yards. He is also tied for second in touchdowns (3). and has accomplished that by maximizing his opportunities. He is just 34th in targets during that span (23) and 29th in receptions (16). He will be the recipient of an appealing matchup this week, versus an Arizona defense that has been shredded by Deebo Samuel (8 receptions/134 yards) and Robert Woods (13 receptions/172 yards) during the Cardinals’ last two games.

Zach Pascal is primed to garner a favorable target total this week, and will be lining up against the vulnerable secondary of Tampa Bay. This makes him an intriguing starting option, and he is currently available in 79% of all leagues. Pascal has collected the most targets among the Colts’ wide receivers since Week 7  (39), which is 16 more than second place T.Y. Hilton. Pascal also leads Indianapolis in receptions (23), receiving yards (340), and touchdowns (3) during that sequence. Pascal has exceeded 100 yards twice during that span, including his Week 13 performance against Tennessee. Even with Parris Campbell returning from his hand injury, Pascal has an opportunity to become the ninth receiver to surpass 100 yards against the Buccaneers. He should be owned, and can be used as a WR3 during this week’s outstanding matchup

More Fantasy Football Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

Biggest Busts of 2019: Tight End

2019 was not the record-breaking season for tight ends 2018 was. San Francisco’s George Kittle (most receiving yards for a TE in a season) and Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz (most receptions for a TE in a season) did not break the records they set last season, although both were fine for fantasy players. Kansas City’s Travis... Read More


Rushing Quarterbacks Are Becoming Necessary

The 2019 fantasy season is over. We are all thinking about what to do come 2020 draft day. So let me ask you something. What if I offer you the chance of drafting a quarterback who is a lock to finish the season with 270 fantasy points? Would you take him and make him your... Read More


Biggest Breakouts Of 2019: Wide Receivers

As we enter the initial phase of offseason activities you have recently completed a painstaking process of creating and managing rosters, with the goal of winning fantasy championships in 2019. Now, many of you have already shifted your focus toward planning your drafts in Best Ball and redraft leagues, while others are contemplating how you... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Conference Championships Matchups Analysis

Welcome to our NFL Conference Championships matchups analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering both of the AFC and NFC contests from the Sunday slate, helping you make the best decisions for your DFS contests this weekend. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries... Read More


Conference Championships Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Tight End ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Running Back ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, a sure-fire player is expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they end up as a season-long dud, though,... Read More


Dynasty Players to Sell in 2020

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano share their top sell candidates for dynasty football leagues in the 2020 fantasy football preseason. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210,... Read More


Biggest Surprises of 2019: Tight End

The 2019 NFL season was anything but predictable. I mean, the Tennessee Titans made the AFC title game! Andrew Luck retired right before the season! [Insert one of many, many other things here, because all lists need three items but I couldn't decide between all the possible third options.] One position where things at the... Read More


Wide Receiver ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Quarterback

The 2019 NFL season is over, and it's time to look back on what happened. 2019 was a year where some quarterbacks -- Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen -- leaped up to the top of the fantasy charts, while other guys faded from where they were expected to perform. Today, I want to talk about three... Read More


Four and Out: Fantasy Outlooks for Divisional Round Losers

For the four teams that were eliminated in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs, the offseason has begun. For many fantasy football owners, the days have already started counting down to next season. Owners in dynasty leagues have started to mull over their decisions.  How some guys perform in the playoffs can certainly alter... Read More


Quarterback ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Wide Receivers

After a very interesting season of fantasy football action, many owners were left with a bitter taste in their mouth from a few of the “elite” NFL wide receivers. While Michael Thomas dominated and Julio Jones was his usual reliable self, not all was good if you played it safe by taking a receiver early.... Read More


Quarterback Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

This article will examine the biggest risers and fallers at the quarterback position, which proved to be the most impactful in fantasy leagues as is often the case. Of the top-25 players in fantasy this season, 18 of them played the QB position and none of the 18 scored less than 280 fantasy points on... Read More