X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

NFL DFS Prop Picks for MKF: Championship Weekend (1/18/20)

It’s Championship Weekend in the NFL and there are two clear favorites. Break the games down and make prop picks with Monkey Knife Fight.

In the AFC Championship game, the Tennessee Titans take their ground game, powered by Derrick Henry, and hope that they can keep this run going. It worked against the Patriots and Ravens. Will it be enough to keep up with Kansas City’s aerial attack? Patrick Mahomes led the Chiefs to a historic comeback against the Houston Texans in the Divisional round and that explosiveness makes the Chiefs clear favorites.

In the NFC, the San Francisco 49ers have a dominant defense and face a Green Bay Packers team that has been relatively underwhelming for a team that went 13-3 in the regular season. Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been as good and that could pose a real problem against the league’s best pass defense. The 49ers already crushed the Packers 37-8 in Week 12 so it appears that there is a clear mismatch between these two teams.

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 10% off using code BALLER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

Here are some angles to consider before making Championship Weekend prop picks on Monkey Knife Fight.

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'RBNFL19'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

TENNESSEE-KANSAS CITY

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 319.5 PASSING YARDS – The Chiefs star quarterback did squeeze past this threshold last week, throwing for 321 yards in a monster comeback against Houston but he had passed for 320 or more yards once in the previous six games. The Titans pass defense has not been great (255.3 passing yards per game, 7.3 yards per attempt) overall, and did allow 345 passing yards to Baltimore last week, but has held the opposition under 320 passing yards in seven straight games since their Week 11 bye week.

Ryan Tannehill LESS THAN 209.5 PASSING YARDS – This appears to be a much more reasonable number to cover and yet Tannehill has passed for 160 yards, total, in two playoff games. The Titans lean on their running game and Kansas City has been effective in terms of pass defense (221.4 passing yards per game, 6.7 yards per attempt). The Chiefs have allowed at least 210 passing yards in 10 of 17 games this season, including 348 passing yards against Houston last week, but Tannehill’s paltry playoff production makes it hard to take his side.

Derrick Henry MORE THAN 124.5 RUSHING YARDS – Henry may be the story of this year’s playoffs, which explains this huge number that he’s being asked to cover. In his past eight games, he has averaged more than 159 rushing yards per game, going for at least 125 yards in six of eight games. The Chiefs are giving up 128.2 rushing yards per game, with 4.9 yards per carry, so stopping the run seems to be a challenge and that’s not a great challenge to have when facing this force of nature.

RAPID FIRE

Travis Kelce -2.5 receiving yards vs. Tyreek Hill – In the past seven weeks, Kelce has put up 622 receiving yards, 88.9 per game, and that’s a tough pace for Hill to keep since he hasn’t a single game with more than 72 receiving yards since Week 10.

A.J. Brown -0.5 receptions vs. Sammy Watkins – In his past seven games, Watkins has put up a total of 14 receptions. Brown has managed a single reception in three of the past four games but still has 27 receptions in his past eight games – he has a higher upside as his team’s top receiver, though with a quarterback who isn’t nearly as dangerous.

 

GREEN BAY-SAN FRANCISCO

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Jimmy Garoppolo LESS THAN 250.5 PASSING YARDS – The 49ers don’t always lean on Garoppolo but he has shown that he can put up the numbers when called upon. He averaged 248.6 passing yards per game during the regular season then passed for just 131 yards on 19 passes in a comfortable playoff win against Minnesota. The Packers are a middle of the pack squad when it comes to defending the pass, though they have held opponents under 250 passing yards in five of the past seven games, and Garoppolo has thrown for at least 251 yards seven times in 17 games this season so this looks like a slight lean towards the under.

Aaron Rodgers LESS THAN 245.5 PASSING YARDS – It’s no longer a secret that Rodgers isn’t the same quarterback that he was in his prime. He has been held under 245 passing yards in eight of the past nine games, including Week 12 when the 49ers, the team with the best pass defense numbers this season, held Rodgers to just 104 passing yards.

Davante Adams 88.5 RECEIVING YARDS – Even with some skepticism around Rodgers’ production, Adams is his surefire number one option. In his past four games, Adams has 35 receptions for 472 yards on 53 targets. That workload, for a team that figures to be trailing, should give him a shot at more than 88 receiving yards.

RAPID FIRE

Davante Adams +0.5 receptions vs. George Kittle – Kittle is a beast but the 49ers don’t necessarily need him to come up huge – he had three catches for 16 yards on five targets in a comfortable win last week – whereas Adams figures to get double-digit targets if the Packers have to play from behind, so the opportunity for more receptions should be on Adams’ side, even when facing a superior pass defense.

Aaron Jones -10.5 rushing yards vs. Tevin Coleman – Virtually an afterthought in the second half of the season, Coleman had a season-high 22 carries for 105 rushing yards, which tied his season high. Jones does have three 100-yard rushing games in the past five and has more than 20 carries in three straight games. Coleman is dealing with an elbow injury and Jones’ track record has been more consistent, so give the nod to the Packers running back.

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jackson Chourio8 mins ago

Makes Opening Day Roster
Anthony Davis11 mins ago

Cleared To Meet Atlanta
Blake Snell29 mins ago

Heading To The Giants
Onyeka Okongwu34 mins ago

To Return On Monday
Bryce McGowens2 hours ago

Unavailable For Tuesday
Orion Kerkering2 hours ago

Might Not Be Ready For Opening Day
Tyus Jones2 hours ago

Won't Play On Tuesday
Nick Lodolo2 hours ago

To Be Ready By April 10
Deni Avdija2 hours ago

Unavailable For Tuesday
Nick Martinez2 hours ago

To Open The Year In The Rotation
OG Anunoby2 hours ago

Set For Multi-Game Absence
Kyle Kuzma2 hours ago

Uncertain For Tuesday
Luka Doncic2 hours ago

Considered Probable For Tuesday
Matt McLain2 hours ago

Scratched With Shoulder Soreness
Bilal Coulibaly2 hours ago

Ruled Out For Rest Of Season
Kenley Jansen2 hours ago

Scheduled To Make Four More Spring Appearances
Jackson Chourio2 hours ago

"In The Mix" For Roster Spot
Yordan Alvarez2 hours ago

Removal Monday Wasn't Due To Injury
Rudy Gobert2 hours ago

Ruled Out For Monday
Scoot Henderson2 hours ago

Returns To Starting Unit Without Restrictions
Matisse Thybulle2 hours ago

Available Again On Monday
Wyatt Langford2 hours ago

Knocks In Run On Monday
Jerami Grant3 hours ago

Remains Sidelined On Monday
Carlos Rodón3 hours ago

Carlos Rodon Looks Excellent On Monday
Lauri Markkanen3 hours ago

Returns To Action On Monday
Drew Thorpe3 hours ago

Struggles On Monday
Alex Caruso3 hours ago

Ready To Roll Monday
Coby White3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Monday
Martín Pérez3 hours ago

Martin Perez Strikes Out Eight Batters
Kristaps Porzingis3 hours ago

Returns To Celtics Lineup
Merrill Kelly3 hours ago

Has Stellar Outing
Jaylen Brown3 hours ago

Ready To Go On Monday
Jayson Tatum3 hours ago

Won't Play Against Detroit
Oneil Cruz3 hours ago

Blasts Two Homers
Dean Wade3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Monday
Teuvo Teravainen3 hours ago

Misses Second Straight Game
Joshua Dobbs3 hours ago

49ers Reach Agreement With Joshua Dobbs
Kevin Love3 hours ago

Misses 10th Consecutive Game
TOR3 hours ago

Mitch Marner To Miss At Least Two More Games
Jacob Markstrom4 hours ago

Could Return This Weekend
Rico Dowdle4 hours ago

Staying With Cowboys
Mikhail Sergachev4 hours ago

Skates On Monday
Dustin Wolf4 hours ago

Between The Pipes Monday
New Orleans Saints4 hours ago

Saints Expected To Sign Chase Young
Alexander Mattison4 hours ago

Signing With Raiders
Patrick Bailey5 hours ago

To Return To Game Action Soon
Coby Mayo5 hours ago

Chances To Make The Team Hinge On Jackson Holliday
DJ LeMahieu5 hours ago

In Danger Of Missing Opening Day
Buffalo Bills5 hours ago

Taron Johnson Re-Signs With Bills On Three-Year Deal
José Urquidy5 hours ago

Jose Urquidy Has Forearm Strain, Will Begin On Injured List
Justin Verlander6 hours ago

Expected To Face Hitters "In The Next Day Or Two"
Corey Seager6 hours ago

Takes Batting Practice Monday
Dallas Cowboys6 hours ago

Leighton Vander Esch Calling It A Career
Bryan Battle8 hours ago

Bout Ends in Controversy
Ange Loosa8 hours ago

Fight Ruled A No-Contest After Accidental Eye Poke
Ovince Saint Preux8 hours ago

Wins Split Decision In A Back-And-Forth Fight
Kennedy Nzechukwu8 hours ago

Suffers Split-Decision Loss To Ovince Saint Preux
Gerald Meerschaert8 hours ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Bryan Barberena9 hours ago

Submitted In The Second Round
Denny Hamlin10 hours ago

Emerges Victorious For Second Bristol Win In A Row
Alexander Mattison10 hours ago

Visiting With Raiders
Dak Prescott10 hours ago

Cowboys Restructure Dak Prescott's Contract
Dmitry Orlov11 hours ago

Collects Four Points In Big Win
Tyler Toffoli11 hours ago

Dominates Against Columbus With Three Points
Lucas Raymond11 hours ago

Pots Pair Of Goals Versus Penguins
Kaz Grala11 hours ago

Finishes 19th At Bristol Motor Speedway
Bo Horvat11 hours ago

Scores Twice In Losing Effort
Brad Keselowski12 hours ago

Exceeds Value In DFS At Bristol Motor Speedway
Pavel Buchnevich12 hours ago

Delivers Three Assists In Sunday's Win
Ryan Lindgren12 hours ago

Suffers Leg Injury Versus Islanders
Kyle Larson12 hours ago

After 5th at Bristol: "I Hope I Never Have To Run A Race Like That Again"
Chase Elliott12 hours ago

Earns First Top 10 Finish Of 2024
Justin Haley12 hours ago

Earns Best NextGen Short Track Finish for Rick Ware Racing
Ty Gibbs12 hours ago

Has Dominant Day at Bristol but Fades Late
John Hunter Nemechek17 hours ago

Found Speed At Bristol
Chris Buescher17 hours ago

Secures Top 10 At Bristol
Alex Bowman20 hours ago

Late Charge to Fourth Masks Early Race Struggles
Christopher Bell20 hours ago

Ran Well, But His Teammates Were All Better
Martin Truex Jr22 hours ago

. Matches Career-Best Finish At Bristol
Ryan Blaney22 hours ago

Fades to 16th at Bristol After Handling Struggles
Russell1 day ago

Wilson Still Considered The Starter
William Byron1 day ago

Is One Of The Top DFS Options For Bristol
Ty Gibbs1 day ago

Starts 19th At Bristol After Damage In Practice
Justin Haley1 day ago

Scores A Starting Position Of 32nd For Bristol
Denny Hamlin1 day ago

Should Compete For The Win At Bristol
Brad Keselowski1 day ago

History Indicates Brad Keselowski Being A Favorable Bristol Play
Joey Logano1 day ago

Should Be Rostered With Caution At Bristol
Tyler Reddick1 day ago

Is Tyler Reddick Worth Rostering At Bristol This Week?
Martin Truex Jr1 day ago

. Could Work As A Tournament Play At Bristol
Alexander Nylander2 days ago

Totals Three Points In Saturday's Win
Sebastian Aho2 days ago

Leads Hurricanes To Victory In Toronto
Owen Tippett2 days ago

Delivers Three Assists In High-Scoring Loss
Steven Stamkos2 days ago

Extends Scoring Streak With Four-Point Performance
Nick Schmaltz2 days ago

Records Three Assists In Win Over New Jersey
Artemi Panarin2 days ago

Racks Up Five Points In Saturday's Win
Brady Tkachuk2 days ago

Sinks Islanders With Third Hat Trick
Pannie Kianzad2 days ago

Drops To .500 In The UFC
Macy Chiasson2 days ago

Gets First-Round Submission Win
Isaac Dulgarian2 days ago

Suffers First Career Loss
Christian Rodriguez2 days ago

Overcomes Early Adversity At UFC Vegas 88
Tai Tuivasa2 days ago

Suffers Fourth Straight Loss
Marcin Tybura2 days ago

Gets First-Round Submission
Justin Fields2 days ago

Traded To The Steelers
NHL2 days ago

Lukas Reichel Will Be In The Lineup Sunday
Cale Makar2 days ago

A Game-Time Decision Saturday
Zach Parise2 days ago

Likely To Return Saturday
Michael Gallup2 days ago

Panthers Bringing In Michael Gallup For A Visit
Mike Williams3 days ago

Panthers To Host Mike Williams On A Visit
New York Jets3 days ago

Jets Expected To Sign Tyron Smith
AJ Dillon3 days ago

Officially Re-Signs With Packers
Van Jefferson3 days ago

Steelers Signing Van Jefferson
Jakobi Meyers3 days ago

Raiders Restructure Jakobi Meyers' Contract
Jimmy Garoppolo3 days ago

Rams Agree With Jimmy Garoppolo On One-Year Deal
Gerald Meerschaert3 days ago

To Fight In Main Event Of UFC Vegas 88
Bryan Barberena3 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Kennedy Nzechukwu3 days ago

Looks To Get Back In Win Column
Ovince Saint Preux3 days ago

Set For 27th UFC Appearance
Bryan Battle3 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Ange Loosa3 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 88
San Francisco 49ers3 days ago

De'Vondre Campbell Heading To San Francisco
Dallas Cowboys3 days ago

Leighton Vander Esch Being Cut By Cowboys
Michael Gallup3 days ago

Cowboys Releasing Michael Gallup
Kenny Pickett3 days ago

Steelers Sending Kenny Pickett To Eagles
Pannie Kianzad5 days ago

Looking For Redemption At UFC Vegas 88
Macy Chiasson5 days ago

Ends Layoff At UFC Vegas 88
Isaac Dulgarian5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 88
Christiaan Bezuidenhout5 days ago

Looking To Put It All Together At TPC Sawgrass
Eric Cole5 days ago

Rebounding Well In The Sunshine State
Brian Harman5 days ago

Playing The Dark-Horse Role Again At The Players
Matt Fitzpatrick5 days ago

Searching For Answers Thus Far In 2024
Sahith Theegala5 days ago

One Of The Tour's Fastest Risers To Start The New Year
Sam Burns5 days ago

Brings A Stellar Run Of Form Into TPC Sawgrass
PGA5 days ago

Sungjae Im Trending Up After Arnold Palmer Success
Jason Day5 days ago

Facing Iron Hiccup Heading To The Players
Tom Hoge5 days ago

Brings Strong Form And History To Sawgrass
Min Woo Lee5 days ago

Ready For Second Trip To Sawgrass
Will Zalatoris6 days ago

Working Toward A Win