X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

NFL DFS Prop Picks for MKF: Championship Weekend (1/18/20)

It’s Championship Weekend in the NFL and there are two clear favorites. Break the games down and make prop picks with Monkey Knife Fight.

In the AFC Championship game, the Tennessee Titans take their ground game, powered by Derrick Henry, and hope that they can keep this run going. It worked against the Patriots and Ravens. Will it be enough to keep up with Kansas City’s aerial attack? Patrick Mahomes led the Chiefs to a historic comeback against the Houston Texans in the Divisional round and that explosiveness makes the Chiefs clear favorites.

In the NFC, the San Francisco 49ers have a dominant defense and face a Green Bay Packers team that has been relatively underwhelming for a team that went 13-3 in the regular season. Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been as good and that could pose a real problem against the league’s best pass defense. The 49ers already crushed the Packers 37-8 in Week 12 so it appears that there is a clear mismatch between these two teams.

Here are some angles to consider before making Championship Weekend prop picks on Monkey Knife Fight.

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'RBNFL19'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

TENNESSEE-KANSAS CITY

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 319.5 PASSING YARDS – The Chiefs star quarterback did squeeze past this threshold last week, throwing for 321 yards in a monster comeback against Houston but he had passed for 320 or more yards once in the previous six games. The Titans pass defense has not been great (255.3 passing yards per game, 7.3 yards per attempt) overall, and did allow 345 passing yards to Baltimore last week, but has held the opposition under 320 passing yards in seven straight games since their Week 11 bye week.

Ryan Tannehill LESS THAN 209.5 PASSING YARDS – This appears to be a much more reasonable number to cover and yet Tannehill has passed for 160 yards, total, in two playoff games. The Titans lean on their running game and Kansas City has been effective in terms of pass defense (221.4 passing yards per game, 6.7 yards per attempt). The Chiefs have allowed at least 210 passing yards in 10 of 17 games this season, including 348 passing yards against Houston last week, but Tannehill’s paltry playoff production makes it hard to take his side.

Derrick Henry MORE THAN 124.5 RUSHING YARDS – Henry may be the story of this year’s playoffs, which explains this huge number that he’s being asked to cover. In his past eight games, he has averaged more than 159 rushing yards per game, going for at least 125 yards in six of eight games. The Chiefs are giving up 128.2 rushing yards per game, with 4.9 yards per carry, so stopping the run seems to be a challenge and that’s not a great challenge to have when facing this force of nature.

RAPID FIRE

Travis Kelce -2.5 receiving yards vs. Tyreek Hill – In the past seven weeks, Kelce has put up 622 receiving yards, 88.9 per game, and that’s a tough pace for Hill to keep since he hasn’t a single game with more than 72 receiving yards since Week 10.

A.J. Brown -0.5 receptions vs. Sammy Watkins – In his past seven games, Watkins has put up a total of 14 receptions. Brown has managed a single reception in three of the past four games but still has 27 receptions in his past eight games – he has a higher upside as his team’s top receiver, though with a quarterback who isn’t nearly as dangerous.

 

GREEN BAY-SAN FRANCISCO

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Jimmy Garoppolo LESS THAN 250.5 PASSING YARDS – The 49ers don’t always lean on Garoppolo but he has shown that he can put up the numbers when called upon. He averaged 248.6 passing yards per game during the regular season then passed for just 131 yards on 19 passes in a comfortable playoff win against Minnesota. The Packers are a middle of the pack squad when it comes to defending the pass, though they have held opponents under 250 passing yards in five of the past seven games, and Garoppolo has thrown for at least 251 yards seven times in 17 games this season so this looks like a slight lean towards the under.

Aaron Rodgers LESS THAN 245.5 PASSING YARDS – It’s no longer a secret that Rodgers isn’t the same quarterback that he was in his prime. He has been held under 245 passing yards in eight of the past nine games, including Week 12 when the 49ers, the team with the best pass defense numbers this season, held Rodgers to just 104 passing yards.

Davante Adams 88.5 RECEIVING YARDS – Even with some skepticism around Rodgers’ production, Adams is his surefire number one option. In his past four games, Adams has 35 receptions for 472 yards on 53 targets. That workload, for a team that figures to be trailing, should give him a shot at more than 88 receiving yards.

RAPID FIRE

Davante Adams +0.5 receptions vs. George Kittle – Kittle is a beast but the 49ers don’t necessarily need him to come up huge – he had three catches for 16 yards on five targets in a comfortable win last week – whereas Adams figures to get double-digit targets if the Packers have to play from behind, so the opportunity for more receptions should be on Adams’ side, even when facing a superior pass defense.

Aaron Jones -10.5 rushing yards vs. Tevin Coleman – Virtually an afterthought in the second half of the season, Coleman had a season-high 22 carries for 105 rushing yards, which tied his season high. Jones does have three 100-yard rushing games in the past five and has more than 20 carries in three straight games. Coleman is dealing with an elbow injury and Jones’ track record has been more consistent, so give the nod to the Packers running back.

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Austin Riley

Leaves Game Early on Friday With Abdominal Tightness
Kon Knueppel

Struggles in Summer League Win
Rafael Devers

Dealing With Back Inflammation
Walter Clayton Jr.

Plays Well on Friday Night
Cody Williams

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Leads the Way on Friday Night
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Returning on Friday
Sauce Gardner

Wants to be Highest-Paid Cornerback
Rhamondre Stevenson

Heading into an Important Season
Minnesota Vikings

Josh Metellus, Vikings Have Mutual Interest in Extension
Tua Tagovailoa

2025 Could be Tua Tagovailoa's Last Season in Miami
Rashawn Slater

has "Full Confidence" a Deal Will Get Done
Byron Buxton

Returns on Friday
Isaiah Jackson

Signs Three-Year Extension
Jake Meyers

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Calf Strain
Brandon Lowe

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Oblique Tightness
Kodai Senga

Reinstated to Start on Friday
Alex Bregman

Officially Activated and Starting on Friday
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Herbert Jones

Signing Extension with Pelicans
Jacob Toppin

Returning to Hawks
Chicago Bears

Bears Extend General Manager Ryan Poles
Dalton Knecht

Avoids Serious Injury
MarShawn Lloyd

in a "Much Better Spot" Heading Into Training Camp
Javon Small

Signs Two-Way Deal
Dustin Hopkins

Browns Still Counting on Dustin Hopkins
Demarcus Robinson

Sentenced to Three Years of Probation
Jalen Nailor

In Line for WR3 Role in Minnesota
Andrew Thomas

Could Miss Start of 2025 Season
Alex Bregman

Expected to Return on Friday
Julio Rodríguez

Julio Rodriguez Won't Suit Up for Midsummer Classic
Trey Smith

Chiefs, Trey Smith Expected to Work Out Long-Term Extension
Bernhard Raimann

a Candidate for an Extension This Summer
C.J. Stroud

Could Sign Multi-Year Deal Before 2026 Season
Kyle Juszczyk

Says Christian McCaffrey Looks Healthy, Explosive
Kyren Williams

Showing Improved Explosiveness
Christian Barmore

"Dominant" this Spring
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Homers Twice, Drives in Three
Brice Matthews

Joining Astros
MLB

White Sox-Guardians Postponed on Thursday
Brandon Aiyuk

Likely to Begin Season on PUP List, but Not Ruled Out for Week 1
Jameson Williams

Not in the Team's Long-Term Plans?
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Micah Parsons

Plans to be Present for Start of Training Camp
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Ikem Ekwonu

Next Up for Extension in Carolina?
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Alex Bregman

Will Return to Red Sox This Weekend
Chris Sale

Braves Won't Consider Trading Chris Sale
Clarke Schmidt

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery on Friday
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Byron Buxton

Sitting Thursday
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Homers Twice on Wednesday
Mike Trout

Homers Twice in Win Over Rangers
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Leads Yankees to Victory
Salvador Perez

Crushes Two Homers in Win
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Devin Booker

Agrees to Extension with Phoenix
Walter Clayton Jr.

Leads Jazz to Summer League Win
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
Sonny Milano

on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Jakub Dobes

Signs Two-Year Deal with Canadiens
NHL

Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
Carson Hocevar

Should DFS Players Consider Carson Hocevar for Chicago Lineups?
Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

May be A Decent DFS Option for Chicago Lineups
Dmitri Voronkov

Signs Two-Year, $8.35 Million Extension with Blue Jackets
Ryan Preece

Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
Austin Dillon

Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
Zane Smith

Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
Austin Hill

is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
Ty Dillon

Is Ty Dillon A Decent Driver to Add For NASCAR DFS At Chicago?
William Byron

Qualifying Crash Makes William Byron a Likely DFS Must-Have
Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
Joey Logano

Has Been Relatively Mediocre on Road Courses Lately
Ryan Blaney

Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups