X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Early 2020 ADP Reflections - First Base

When a baseball season ends, the following season can’t come here soon enough for some fans, myself included. We start thinking about what we want to see from some players, which includes letdowns, bounce-backs, and even young prospects. Instead of letting them bounce off the brain walls, let’s put these musings into digits. This includes things to watch out for as the season approaches that will affect drafts and in-season management. Some will force further research in the offseason.

This series will provide a few insights and items for consideration at each position; this week we dive into the first basemen. There will be more juicy morsels than the catcher spot (reviewed last week), but it still isn't as plentiful as we would like. Thankfully, it is top-heavy with skilled players, giving us something to toasts with our bourbon du jour.

There are enough solid first basemen to go around for everyone if you play in a 12-team league and everyone shares nicely so that each team gets one. If that scenario doesn't happen, things start to get dicey. Looking at early NFBC results, there are two elite options, one power play, and then a gaggle near pick 65. There are still decent options after that, but the questions start to mount. My preference* is to wait until the seventh round if I don't get one of the two elite players. Make no mistake about it, first base can get ugly quickly if you aren't paying attention. Pay attention.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

Accelerating Off The Line

  • Will Danny Santana (ADP: 120) become baseball's version of a one-hit-wonder? The current love is tied to power/speed combo at a weak position. He doesn’t believe in walks(4.9%) just so he can smack the crap out of the ball (91.4mph avg exit velo). I might watch from a bit further back than the seventh round to keep an eye on his .353 BABIP, Chase rate (39.9%) and playing time.
  • There will be plenty of Peter Alonso (ADP: 28) discussions. Talks of cost, value, sophomore slump, etc.  Pure, raw, unadulterated power is the slogan. He tied for second on max exit velocity (118.3mph). Anyone really going to quibble over 40 HR, .250 AVG?
  • Jose Abreu (ADP: 78) stays at home. The quality of life is getting better in the ChiSox family. Sign me up for duplication of great counting stats.
  • The helium tank is nearly empty thanks to all the Matt Olson (ADP: 69) love. Can he still be a value even at that price point? If he can maintain the positives (crushing the ball) while improving versus lefties (.223 AVG), I’d want him everywhere too.
  • Some are acting like Trey Mancini* (ADP: 105) is the safety net of the position. He calls Camden home, but doesn't rely on it for success. The departure of Jonathan Villar will have some negative effect on the numbers. Multi-positional eligibility provides some extra coziness. Can you believe he’ll be 29 years old in 2020?

 

Coasting Down Main Street

  • Freddie Freeman (ADP: 16) is boringly successful. Barrel rate (12.5%) returned to norm from 2018 resulting in more homers. If you pick from the mid-to-latter half of the first round, have a plan in case he drifts to you in the second.
  • No one talks about Anthony Rizzo (ADP: 59). He gets on base, hits his homers, tallies the counting stats and even adds a few SB. It’s not sexy. “Not sexy” has value and might be what your roster needs at times.
  • It wouldn’t be surprising to find out there was a moment of pause before Josh Bell (ADP: 91) was selected in drafts. Yes, he had a forgettable second half that most will not forget; though he did walk more (14.2%) and strikeout less (17.3%). He’s priced right and there will be no discounts; he’s still a very good bat at first base.
  • Paul Goldschmidt (ADP: 66) doesn’t run anymore. Complaining about it doesn’t help you. You either want what he is selling or you don’t. Uncharacteristically, he struggled against four-seamers with a 10.3% Swinging Strike rate and a .232 AVG. He’s still very good.
  • Is Rhys Hoskins* (ADP: 114) cruising or stuck in the mud? The numbers and treatment suggest the latter, but I’d use that as an advantage. It is true his Mike Tyson Punch Out-type uppercut swing (24-degree launch angle) led to a league-leading fly ball rate (50.4%). He still has excellent plate discipline and maybe, just maybe, he can improve his endurance (second half) and lefty splits; both are a career .221 AVG. Wagon stays hitched.

 

Stuck In The Mud

  • Will Luke Voit (ADP: 193) be ready (abdominal surgery)? Sexy power in a wonderful lineup, but do the whiffs (15.8% Swing Strike) and poor contact (66%) keep him in the lineup? Enter Mike Ford (ADP: 571) Ooh-La-La. Voit may have poor plate discipline but he’s not alone down there, he walks shoulder to shoulder with Danny Santana (also 15.8% SwStr). Sorry, I forgot to mention that above, didn’t I?
  • Daniel Murphy (ADP: 224) will not get a second look by many as the “Coors effect” didn’t materialize. However, the 1.9% Brls/PA and a deteriorating exit velocity (86.3 MPH) aren’t scaring everyone away. Did the finger injury cause this? Did age cause this? It costs a 15th-round pick for batting average support and the possibility of 15-20 homers.
  • Ageists continue to turn a cold shoulder towards Edwin Encarnacion (ADP: 214). That's fine. To get 30 homers in the 14th round is a gift horse.
  • Christian Walker (ADP: 205) is supposed to be considered Goldschmidt Lite. He's a solid late option if I've avoided the position the entire draft.
  • C.J. Cron (ADP: 284) is the Rodney Dangerfield of baseball: no respect. He hit at least 25 homers the last two seasons and yet, he is looking for a job. Cron salivates at the idea of facing southpaws (.326 AVG). Full disclosure, he would prefer to avoid righties, batting .231 and .225 in 2018 and 2019, respectively. I’ll be taking a chance on him late in Draft & Hold leagues.
  • Eric Hosmer (ADP: 215). I know, I know. You don’t want to hear any talk about this guy. The lineup around him has improved this offseason and he hit the ball harder than ever (40.1% Hard hit rate) in 2019. However, he’s also putting a lot of divots in the ground (56% Ground-ball rate).
  • You want Nathaniel Lowe (ADP: 246). We want Nate Lowe. Everyone wants Nate Lowe, except for the ones that matter most, the Rays. He may bounce to the minors again as well as get squeezed in a platoon. Ultimately, his 91.3mph average exit velo with solid batting average should garner some playing time. Color me frustrated at the end of the year with this situation.

More 2020 Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

DJ Herz5 hours ago

Racks Up 13 Strikeouts In Saturday's Win Over Miami
Salvador Perez6 hours ago

Could Return On Sunday
Yoshinobu Yamamoto7 hours ago

Exits Saturday's Start Early With Tricep Tightness
Dak Prescott7 hours ago

May Command More In Contract Talks
Michael Harris II7 hours ago

Diagnosed With A Grade 2 Hamstring Strain
NFL7 hours ago

Stephon Gilmore Not In A Rush To Sign A Deal
Isaiah Hartenstein9 hours ago

Drawing Interest From Several Teams
Jarace Walker10 hours ago

Could Be On The Move
Jalen Smith10 hours ago

"Early Belief" Jalen Smith Will Decline Player Option
Kodai Senga10 hours ago

Throws Bullpen On Saturday, Needs At Least One More
Gerrit Cole10 hours ago

Feeling Good After Rehab Start, Says He Will "Definitely" Be Back "Soon"
Max Scherzer12 hours ago

To Start Saturday For Triple-A
Jonah Heim12 hours ago

To Paternity List On Saturday
Devin Williams12 hours ago

Could Return After All-Star Break
Willson Contreras13 hours ago

Targeting Late-June Return
Tee Higgins14 hours ago

Signs His Franchise Tender
Minnesota Twins15 hours ago

Twins-Athletics Game Postponed On Saturday, Will Play Doubleheader On Sunday
Kyle Bradish15 hours ago

Placed On The 15-Day Injured List
Brandon Marsh15 hours ago

Activated From Injured List And Starting On Saturday
José Ramírez16 hours ago

Jose Ramirez Goes On Paternity List
Bo Bichette16 hours ago

Out With Calf Soreness
Justin Verlander17 hours ago

Scratched On Saturday
Max Kepler1 day ago

Plays Hero Role In Walk-Off Win
Salvador Perez1 day ago

Dealing With Knee Discomfort
Alex Verdugo1 day ago

Smacks Home Run In Return To Boston
Kyle Bradish1 day ago

Nursing Elbow Issue
Yu Darvish1 day ago

Could Return Next Week
Jaylen Brown1 day ago

Has A Rough Night On Friday
Jayson Tatum1 day ago

Quiet In Game 4
Luka Doncic1 day ago

Leads Mavs To A Much-Needed Win
Kristaps Porzingis1 day ago

Available For Game 4
Mikal Bridges1 day ago

Nets Still Not Interested In Trading Mikal Bridges
Tyrese Haliburton1 day ago

Making Progress With Recovery
Jarrett Stidham1 day ago

Has The Advantage Over Bo Nix
Tim Patrick1 day ago

Looking Healthy This Offseason
Jayden Daniels1 day ago

Commanders Sign Jayden Daniels To Rookie Deal
Tatsuro Taira2 days ago

Looks To Win 16th Fight In A Row
Alex Perez2 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 93
Brady Hiestand2 days ago

Looking To Extend His Win Streak
Garrett Armfield2 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 93
Jose Johnson2 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA2 days ago

Asu Almbayev Looks To Win His Third UFC Fight In A Row
Breece Hall2 days ago

Jets Being Cautious With Breece Hall
Atlanta Hawks2 days ago

Hawks Potentially Eyeing Donovan Clingan In NBA Draft
Los Angeles Clippers2 days ago

Clippers Targeting Jeff Van Gundy For Assistant Coach
Donovan Mitchell2 days ago

Expected To Sign Extension With Cavs
Dennis Schröder2 days ago

Dennis Schroder Wants To Remain In Brooklyn
Leon Draisaitl2 days ago

On First Three-Game Scoring Drought Since March 2020
Connor McDavid2 days ago

Finishes Game 3 Loss With Two Assists
Sam Bennett2 days ago

Extends Point Streak To Six Games
Vladimir Tarasenko2 days ago

Nets Fourth Postseason Goal
Sam Reinhart2 days ago

Ends Goal Drought During Multi-Point Effort
Aleksander Barkov2 days ago

Establishes New Panthers Record With Eighth Multi-Point Outing
Sasha Vezenkov2 days ago

Reportedly Will Remain In The NBA
Luka Doncic2 days ago

Probable For Friday Evening
Kristaps Porzingis2 days ago

"Has A Chance" To Play In Game 4
Darius Slayton2 days ago

Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Cleveland Browns2 days ago

Myles Garrett Tweaks His Hamstring In Minicamp
Amari Cooper2 days ago

Holds Out Of Final Day Of Minicamp
Trevor Lawrence2 days ago

Jaguars, Trevor Lawrence Agree On Five-Year, $275 Million Extension
Alvin Kamara3 days ago

Skips Practice For Contract-Related Reasons
Courtland Sutton3 days ago

Hints At Training Camp Holdout
Gus Edwards3 days ago

"Likely" To Be Back For Training Camp
SJ3 days ago

Sharks Appoint Ryan Warsofsky As Head Coach
Jalen Chatfield3 days ago

Agrees To Three-Year Extension With Hurricanes
Kaapo Kakko3 days ago

Signs One-Year Extension With Rangers
Patrik Laine3 days ago

Poised To Move On From Columbus
Evan Rodrigues3 days ago

Promoted To First Line Thursday
Aleksander Barkov3 days ago

Will Play In Game 3 Versus Oilers
Juwan Johnson3 days ago

To Undergo Foot Surgery
Atlanta Falcons3 days ago

Falcons Lose 2025 Fifth-Round Pick Following Tampering Investigation
Josh Quinlan3 days ago

On Two-Fight Losing Streak
Adam Fugitt3 days ago

Could Be Fighting For His Job At UFC Vegas 93
Douglas Silva de Andrade3 days ago

Searching For 30th Career Win At UFC Vegas 93
Miles Johns3 days ago

Looking To Continue Success At UFC Vegas 93
Timmy Cuamba3 days ago

Searching For First UFC Win At UFC Vegas 93
Lucas Almeida3 days ago

Looks To Snap Losing Skid At UFC Vegas 93
Tim Hardaway Jr.3 days ago

Re-Enters Rotation In Game 3
Dereck Lively II3 days ago

Makes Finals History In Game 3
Luka Doncic3 days ago

Fouls Out For First Time In Postseason Career
Kyrie Irving3 days ago

Puts Up 35 Points In Losing Effort
Derrick White3 days ago

Stays Productive In Game 3 Win
Sam Darnold3 days ago

Considered The Starter At The Moment
Jaxon Smith-Njigba3 days ago

Injured In Practice Wednesday
Courtland Sutton3 days ago

Had Offseason Ankle Surgery
Josh Jacobs3 days ago

Taking Part In Mandatory Minicamp
Juwan Johnson3 days ago

Expected To Miss A Good Chunk Of Time
Laurent Brossoit3 days ago

Maple Leafs Have "Mutual Interest"
Jaccob Slavin3 days ago

Working On Long-Term Extension With Hurricanes
Corey Perry3 days ago

Set To Re-Enter Oilers Lineup On Thursday
Evander Kane3 days ago

Uncertain For Thursday's Game 3
Darnell Nurse3 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 3
Aleksander Barkov3 days ago

Practices On Wednesday, Will Travel To Edmonton
Keegan Bradley4 days ago

A Sleeper Pick At U.S. Open
Rickie Fowler4 days ago

Tough To Trust At U.S. Open
Tom Kim4 days ago

Striking The Ball Well Heading To Pinehurst
Sahith Theegala4 days ago

A Major Wild Card At Pinehurst
Tony Finau4 days ago

Seeking First Major Victory At U.S. Open
Cameron Smith4 days ago

The Best LIV Bet For U.S. Open
Ludvig Aberg4 days ago

Trust Ludvig Aberg At Pinehurst
Xander Schauffele4 days ago

A Top-10 Lock At U.S. Open
Dean Burmester4 days ago

A Risky Play At U.S. Open
Jon Rahm4 days ago

Withdraws From U.S. Open
PGA4 days ago

Alex Noren Brings Improved Short Game To Pinehurst
Dustin Johnson5 days ago

Can Dustin Johnson Put A Rough Spring Behind Him?
Jordan Spieth5 days ago

Fighting Poor Form Heading To U.S. Open
Tommy Fleetwood5 days ago

Makes Pinehurst No. 2 Debut
Bryson DeChambeau5 days ago

Looks To Continue Major Success
Russell Henley5 days ago

In Top Form Heading To U.S. Open
PGA5 days ago

Byeong Hun An Could Contend At U.S. Open
Jason Day5 days ago

In Excellent Form Heading To U.S. Open
Tyrrell Hatton5 days ago

Back For Another U.S. Open
Will Zalatoris5 days ago

Finding Consistency Heading To U.S. Open
Wyndham Clark5 days ago

Trending In The Wrong Direction For U.S. Open
Kyle Larson5 days ago

Retakes Points Lead After Sonoma Win
Kyle Busch5 days ago

Misses Out On Valuable Points After Getting Dumped By Ross Chastain
Matt Duchene5 days ago

Hopes To Stay In Dallas
Sidney Crosby5 days ago

Penguins Hope To Have "Quiet" Extension Talks With Sidney Crosby
Patrick Kane5 days ago

Blackhawks Not Planning A Reunion With Patrick Kane
Ross Chastain5 days ago

Earns First Top Five Since Las Vegas, but Not Without Controversy
NASCAR5 days ago

AJ Allmendinger Had a Quiet but Very Strong Run at Sonoma
NASCAR6 days ago

Cam Waters Caught Up In Multi-Car Pile-Up In NASCAR Cup Series Debut
Michael McDowell6 days ago

Recovers To Second At Sonoma After Off-Track Excursion
Denny Hamlin6 days ago

Engine Failure Gives Denny Hamlin His Second Straight Last-Place Finish At Sonoma
Christopher Bell6 days ago

Earns Surprise Top-10 Finish After Mid-Race Crash
Jared Cannonier6 days ago

Suffers Controversial TKO Loss
Nassourdine Imavov6 days ago

Scores Controversial Stoppage At UFC Louisville
Brunno Ferreira6 days ago

Scores Vicious First-Round Knockout
Dustin Stoltzfus6 days ago

2-5 In Last Seven Fights After UFC Louisville Loss
Miguel Baeza6 days ago

Takes Decision Loss
Tyler Reddick6 days ago

Earns 10th Top-10 Finish Of 2024 At Sonoma Raceway
Joey Logano6 days ago

Despite Starting On The Pole, Joey Logano Finishes 21st At Sonoma
Will Brown6 days ago

Supercars Star Will Brown Finishes 31st In His NASCAR Debut
Chris Buescher6 days ago

Puts up Massive Score for Fantasy Owners at Sonoma
Martin Truex Jr6 days ago

Runs Out of Gas on Last Lap at Sonoma, Finishes 27th
Todd Gilliland6 days ago

Keeps Momentum Rolling with Top 10 at Sonoma
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 

DraftKings Best Ball 2024 Fantasy Football Rankings and Tiers (Top 350)

Hello and welcome to RotoBaller's DraftKings Best Ball Fantasy Football Rankings for 2024 Best Ball leagues on DraftKings. A reminder that on the DraftKings Fantasy platform, NFL best ball leagues only have four potential positions -- Quarterback (QB), Running Back (RB), Wide Receiver (WR), and Tight End (TE). You will see these four positions in... Read More


Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Tony Pollard, Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Outlook for Tennessee Titans RBs in 2024

The Tennessee Titans backfield underwent significant changes this offseason. Longtime starter Derrick Henry left for the Baltimore Ravens in free agency. Tennessee’s offense has been centered around Henry for years, and this rushing attack will have a very different look in 2024. While Henry is gone, second-year back Tyjae Spears remains in the fold. The... Read More


Running Back Sleepers and Undervalued Picks for 2024 Fantasy Football

The word "sleeper" is tossed around often in the fantasy football community. So much so that players sometimes lose the sleeper label by the time many leagues conduct their drafts. Fantasy managers are always looking for the next sleeper running back in drafts, especially those who opt to dive headfirst into a "Zero RB" draft... Read More


Video: Wait...The Chiefs Are Actually Great Draft Values??

We're already busy prepping for the upcoming fantasy football season here at RotoBaller! With early best ball drafts underway, it's time to dive into some notable fantasy football players for the 2024 campaign. RotoBaller's David Rispoli digs into where some key Kansas City Chiefs are going in 2024 drafts. Can these established superstars actually be... Read More


UFL DFS PICKS, FANTASY FOOTBALL, DRAFTKINGS, FANDUEL

UFL DFS Lineup Picks: DraftKings Daily Fantasy Fantasy Advice for UFL Championship

Welcome to the UFL Championship for the inaugural UFL season, RotoBallers! The Birmingham Stallions and San Antonio Brahmas will face off in the Championship as they relatively easily won their respective conference championships. However, the Stallions took an interesting approach to get the job done as they benched star QB Adrian Martinez in favor of... Read More


Video: Undervalued Tight Ends? 2024 Fantasy Football Sleepers and Draft Steals

The fantasy football season never ends at RotoBaller! With early 2024 best ball drafts already underway, we're evaluating fantasy football's most impactful players. NFL Network contributor and RotoBaller analyst LaQuan Jones digs into the potential impact of fantasy football options in 2024. Are these tight ends being undervalued? Check out some of our favorite fantasy... Read More


Sam LaPorta - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

FFPC Best Ball Fantasy Football Rankings and Tiers (Top 400)

Hello and welcome to RotoBaller's FFPC Best Ball Fantasy Football Rankings for 2024 Best Ball leagues on FFPC. A reminder that on the FFPC Fantasy platform, NFL best ball leagues only have six potential positions -- Quarterback (QB), Running Back (RB), Wide Receiver (WR), Tight End (TE), Kicker (K), and Defense (DST). You will see... Read More


Luther Burden - College, NCAA, Draft, Prospects, CFB, Missouri

2025 NFL Draft - Early Wide Receiver Prospect Rankings

Heading into 2023, everybody knew that Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers, and Rome Odunze made up the top of a heavy wide receiver class. That held true, and all three studs heard their names called in the top-10 selections. Looking ahead to next season, two receivers have cemented themselves ahead of the rest of the... Read More


Rico Dowdle - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Five Fantasy Football Running Back Deep Sleepers for 2024

One of the best parts of playing fantasy football is finding potential sleepers in your draft. The second you hear a league mate exclaim “Who?!” immediately after your pick, you know you’ve done something right. Due to the natural fragility of the position, it's even more important if you can find sleepers at running back.... Read More


Sneaky QB1 Candidates? 2024 Fantasy Football Quarterback Sleepers

The NFL season is right around the corner, which means that fantasy football drafts will soon take place. Drafting your fantasy team is one of the most exciting times for managers. But it also is one of the most stressful times, especially when making certain decisions like when is the best time to draft a... Read More


Video: Undervalued Wide Receivers? 2024 Fantasy Football Sleepers and Draft Steals

We're preparing for football around the clock here at RotoBaller! With early 2024 best ball drafts already underway, we're evaluating fantasy football's most impactful players. NFL Network contributor and RotoBaller analyst LaQuan Jones digs into the potential impact of fantasy football options in 2024. Are these wide receivers being undervalued? Check out some of our... Read More


UFL DFS PICKS, FANTASY FOOTBALL, DRAFTKINGS, FANDUEL

UFL DFS Value Plays: Championship Game Bargain Bin for DraftKings Including Anthony McFarland, C.J. Marable, More

Welcome to the Championship Game edition of RotoBaller's UFL DFS Bargain Bin, where the goal is to touch on some potentially mispriced players in DraftKings' Conference Championships UFL contests. Each week during the UFL 2024 season and postseason, I’ll give you my thoughts on where there may be some value spots to exploit for DraftKings'... Read More


Garrett Wilson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups - rotoballer icon

Five Fantasy Football Players You Must Have in 2024 Dynasty Startup Drafts

Dynasty has quickly become my favorite format and is easily my preferred way to play fantasy football. When you partake in a startup draft, you are locked into your team for the long haul, strapped into the roller coaster of ups and downs that your particular roster construction is fated for. Dynasty is a bit... Read More