X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Early FFPC ADP Observations - Running Back

Scott Engel analyzes 2019 fantasy football running back ADP trends for the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC) in terms of NFL player values. Who's being overvalued or undervalued?

As we announced in early June, RotoBaller is partnering with the FFPC to help bring their industry-leading games to all of our loyal RotoBaller readers. We'll be discussing the FFPC's awesome selection of games, and strategy and advice for those games, here at RotoBaller, on Twitter, and on SiriusXM throughout the Summer.

Throughout Fantasy Football draft season, we will check in on how High Stakes Players are viewing certain player selections. When we’re looking at Average Draft Positions from the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC), we can determine the latest trends and outlooks through the lens of the world's high-stakes players. In this installment, we look at recent ADPs for Running Backs. You will note a few rookies have interesting situations here. 

Editor's Note: For a limited time, we are offering all new FFPC players a $25-off coupon for any contest! You can play a $35 contest or a $70 contest, we'll give you $25 off either one! Whether you want to play a Best Ball challenge, join a Dynasty Startup, or try FFPC's unique Terminator challenge (best ball spin off), there's a $25 discount waiting for you! All you have to do is be a new FFPC customer, sign-up for any game on FFPC through one of the above links, and the $25 discount will be automatically applied to your account!

Editor's Note: Access RotoBaller’s trusted fantasy football rankings for PPR, Standard, Dynasty, Super Flex, and Best Ball formats. Get tiered cheat sheets, expert analysis, and player outlooks to dominate your draft from every angle.

 

Early ADP Trends

Daring to invest in Dalvin Cook (FFPC ADP of 10 at RB): Despite his well-documented injury issues over his first two pro seasons, FFPC players are willing to take him as a top-10 RB. High stakes players are often more willing to take risks to get the desired results, and Cook still has a heck of a lot of upside. He is versatile and explosive and can be a major focal point of the Minnesota offense when he is available.

But many fantasy players are willing to take another shot on Cook too, as he does not have an ADP lower than 12 on any other site. If Cook actually plays close to a full schedule, he definitely has the abilities to produce as a fantasy RB1. 

Mild hesitation on Gurley (11): FFPC players are obviously still willing to take Todd Gurley as an RB1, although they have bumped him to the back of the chain. Players on other sites are a bit more aggressive, as he is going inside the top-10 and as early as seventh at the position.

This recent Fantasy injury article I did leading with Gurley indicates he simply is too big of a risk to take him as a top-12 RB. His chronic knee issues could lead to some extended absences in 2019. 

Moving on Mack (16): The FFPC crowd is slightly higher on Colts RB Marlon Mack than drafters on any other site. He is going at 19th on two other notable sites. It is not a major difference, but Mack had a breakthrough season last year and will be the finisher for an offense that may have the deepest and most impressive passing crew in the league this season. He could be a high-end RB2 for 2019. 

Raider rookie skepticism (20): Again, it is not a major difference, but FFPC drafters are lowest on Raiders rookie Josh Jacobs. Players on three other notable sites are taking him as early as 16th, and I am going to agree with them and go against the high stakers here. In an era where NFL teams have decreased the draft emphasis on the RB position, Jacobs was the only RB taken in the first round this season.

He is a well-rounded player who will be a very important piece of an improving offense. I believe Jacobs is a top-15 player who will make an instant impact, and I will personally take him higher than any of his ADPs indicate. 

Bigger on the Bear? (21): The FFPC players are highest on Bears rookie David Montgomery, as he is the 26th to 29th RB off the board at RB on other sites. I’m not with the high stakes crowd here, as I believe Montgomery is being overrated by many players and analysts. I cannot draft him as a fantasy RB2.

I may be the only one warning fantasy players not to overlook the presence of Mike Davis. He is going to make a push for quality playing time and could share carries with Montgomery or even (gasp) operate as the lead ball-carrier over him. Montgomery must earn the lead RB role that a lot of fantasy types are expecting him to easily walk into. 

Stiff-Arming Sony (25): The high stakes drafters in the FFPC seem to be approaching Sony Michel with more caution than players on other sites are. While he is going as early as 21st and 22nd on some other sites, the FFPC owners won’t take him until 25th at the position. Michel already entered the league as a flagged injury risk last year and he continues to wear the tag. Michel can be a high-end RB2 producer at times when available, and sometimes outstanding. But he does not catch enough passes, either, and that further dings his appeal in the eyes of many owners.

Michel is a strong RB2 when healthy, but make sure you handcuff rookie Damien Harris and back up the New England starter with other quality depth options if you take him as a second starter at the position. 

Not Quite Feeling the Philly Rookie (25): Players from the FFPC are taking a cautious approach on Eagles rookie Miles Sanders, taking him as the 25th RB off the board when he is going as early as 20th at the position on two other notable sites. Reports on Sanders so far have not been favorable, as he dealt with a hamstring injury during OTAs and there have been whispers about pass protection issues and sharing time in the backfield. There is general disdain for Jordan Howard, but it is not elevating the stock of Sanders too much. Hell, he'd have to look very good during the preseason to fully escape a fantasy RB3 label. 

A Bit Forward with Foreman (43): FFPC drafters are slightly higher on D’Onta Foreman than players on other sites. Foreman is going at 45 and 50 on two other platforms. On a related note, FFPC types are also slightly higher on Lamar Miller (30) than players on other sites. This is finally the season that Foreman is seemingly healthy and ready to cut into Miller’s workload. He should overtake him as the preferred goal-line runner for the Texans and Houston is reportedly planning to have the two RBs share time. Miller is in a contract year and we could see Foreman progressively overtake him, so he is a very good upside play as the 43rd RB off the board.

More Fantasy Football Analysis


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Potential Giannis Antetokounmpo Trade may not Happen Until "August, September"
Ha-Seong Kim

Removed Early During Season Debut
ARI

Christian Fischer Retires From NHL at 28
NHL

Spencer Martin Moves to Russia
WAS

Anthony Beauvillier Re-Signs With Capitals for Two Years
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Sitting Out With Foot Issue
Isaiah Neyor

Impresses at Minicamp
Houston Rockets

Jock Landale Waived by Rockets
Bo Bichette

Back in Blue Jays Lineup
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Considering Returning to Europe
Miles Sanders

Works With Starters During Mandatory Minicamp
Jabari Walker

Signs Two-Way Deal With Sixers
Chimere Dike

Titans Could Move Chimere Dike Inside
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith not Guaranteed Roster Spot
Anthony Bradford

Working Hard to Win Back Starting Job
Byron Young

Still Improving?
Cody Simon

Jonathan Gannon has Been Impressed With Cody Simon
SirVocea Dennis

has Impressive Offseason
Trevor Penning

Could Still Have a Role in New Orleans
Jonathan Kuminga

Warriors Decline Recent Offer for Jonathan Kuminga
Orlando Magic

Moritz Wagner, Magic Agree to One-Year Deal
Clarke Schmidt

Placed on Injured List
José Soriano

Jose Soriano Throws Gem Against Braves
Robbie Ray

Earns Ninth Win in Complete Game
T.J. Watt

Likely to Reset the Edge-Rush Market
George Springer

Blasts Two Homers, Drives in Four
James Wood

Goes Yard in Five-Hit Night
Bradley Beal

Suns Discussing Potential Buyout
Los Angeles Lakers

Jaxson Hayes Staying with the Lakers
NBA

Damian Lillard "Open" to Signing With a Team This Offseason
Max Muncy

Out at Least Six Weeks
Clarke Schmidt

Leaves Start with Forearm Tightness
Colson Montgomery

Promoted to the Major Leagues
Pittsburgh Steelers

Omar Khan, Steelers Agree to Three-Year Contract
Max Muncy

Goes on Injured List With Knee Bruise
Max Muncy

Out of Thursday's Lineup
James Wood

Joining Home Run Derby
SJ

Sharks Claim Nick Leddy Off Waivers
Max Scherzer

Cleared to Start on Saturday
SJ

Sharks Sign Dmitry Orlov to Two-Year, $13 Million Contract
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Joins Hurricanes on Six-Year Contract
Kodai Senga

Could be "in Play" to Return Before All-Star Break
Ha-Seong Kim

Rays Reinstate Ha-Seong Kim From Injured List
Christian Moore

Placed on Injured List With Thumb Sprain
Luis L. Ortiz

the Subject of Gambling Investigation
Jordan Lawlar

to Miss Multiple Weeks With Hamstring Injury
Yordan Alvarez

Receives Encouraging News on his Hand
Chau Smith-Wade

Having Stellar Offseason
Ace Bailey

Inks Rookie Contract With Jazz
Divine Deablo

Could be the Quarterback of the Defense
Isaiah Rodgers

a Likely Starter for the Vikings
Jacob Monk

Sees Plenty of Work With Starters
Avonte Maddox

has Impressed Dan Campbell
Boston Celtics

Josh Minott Inks Deal With Celtics
Chicago Bears

Ruben Hyppolite Shows Notable Improvement
Sandro Mamukelashvili

Heading to Toronto
Daron Payne

Commanders Coaches Impressed With Daron Payne
Danny Gray

Makes Impression During Offseason Workouts
Jared McCain

Not on 76ers Summer League Roster
Dane Belton

Should Have a Role in 2025
Kaiir Elam

Flashes During Offseason Workouts
Dylan Harper

Unavailable for California Classic
COL

Brent Burns Inks One-Year Deal with Avalanche
STL

Blues Land Pius Suter on Two-Year Deal
Morgan Frost

Agrees to Two-Year Extension with Flames
WPG

Gustav Nyquist Moves to Winnipeg
Cody Glass

Devils Re-Sign Cody Glass to Two-Year Deal
PIT

Anthony Mantha Joins Penguins
Cleveland Cavaliers

Larry Nance Jr. Headed Back to Cavaliers
Eric Gordon

Remaining with 76ers
Los Angeles Lakers

Deandre Ayton Joining Lakers
Emil Heineman

Signs Two-Year Deal with Islanders
Simon Holmstrom

Re-Signs with Islanders for Two Years
UTA

Nate Schmidt Signs Three-Year Deal with Mammoth
UTA

Brandon Tanev Moves to Utah on Three-Year Contract
NJ

Evgenii Dadonov Joins Devils on One-Year Deal
BUF

Sabres Snap Up Alex Lyon on Two-Year Contract
Dallas Mavericks

Dante Exum Returning to Dallas
Ryan McLeod

Inks Four-Year Extension with Sabres
NAS

Predators Bring in Nick Perbix on Two-Year Deal
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Has Surgery to Repair a Turf Toe Injury
LA

Cody Ceci Moves to Los Angeles
Charlotte Hornets

Spencer Dinwiddie Lands With Charlotte
Bud Cauley

in Great Form Ahead of John Deere Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

a Player to Avoid at John Deere Classic
Jake Knapp

Riding Momentum Ahead of John Deere Classic
PGA

Sungjae Im Looking for Consistency at John Deere Classic
Ryan Gerard

a Solid Option at John Deere Classic
Rickie Fowler

Looking to Rebound at John Deere Classic
Cameron Champ

a Volatile Option at John Deere Classic
Jackson Suber

Staying Below 70 is Key to Success for Jackson Suber
Kevin Roy

Playing Better Heading into John Deere Classic
Justin Lower

Hoping for Something Positive in Illinois
Ben Kohles

a Long Shot at John Deere Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Attempts to Stop Roller-Coaster Ride
Beau Hossler

Needs a Challenge in Illinois
Harry Higgs

Has Potential at John Deere Classic
Nick Dunlap

Keeps Plugging Through Tough 2025 Season
Milwaukee Bucks

Taurean Prince Staying in Milwaukee
Kevin Yu

a Near Must-Play at TPC Deere Run
PGA

J.T. Poston Returns to John Deere Classic Looking for Another High Finish
Thriston Lawrence

a Decent Fit For John Deere Classic
Tom Kim

Not Finding Much to be Happy About Ahead of John Deere Classic
Si Woo Kim

is a Prohibitive Fade at John Deere Classic
Ben Griffin

is the Appropriate Favorite at TPC Deere Run
Daniel Suarez

and Trackhouse Racing Parting Ways After 2025 Season
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Beneil Dariush

Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
Tyler Reddick

Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF