Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Early FFPC ADP Observations - Running Back


As we announced in early June, RotoBaller is partnering with the FFPC to help bring their industry-leading games to all of our loyal RotoBaller readers. We'll be discussing the FFPC's awesome selection of games, and strategy and advice for those games, here at RotoBaller, on Twitter, and on SiriusXM throughout the Summer.

Throughout Fantasy Football draft season, we will check in on how High Stakes Players are viewing certain player selections. When we’re looking at Average Draft Positions from the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC), we can determine the latest trends and outlooks through the lens of the world's high-stakes players. In this installment, we look at recent ADPs for Running Backs. You will note a few rookies have interesting situations here. 

Editor's Note: For a limited time, we are offering all new FFPC players a $25-off coupon for any contest! You can play a $35 contest or a $70 contest, we'll give you $25 off either one! Whether you want to play a Best Ball challenge, join a Dynasty Startup, or try FFPC's unique Terminator challenge (best ball spin off), there's a $25 discount waiting for you! All you have to do is be a new FFPC customer, sign-up for any game on FFPC through one of the above links, and the $25 discount will be automatically applied to your account!

 

Early ADP Trends

Daring to invest in Dalvin Cook (FFPC ADP of 10 at RB): Despite his well-documented injury issues over his first two pro seasons, FFPC players are willing to take him as a top-10 RB. High stakes players are often more willing to take risks to get the desired results, and Cook still has a heck of a lot of upside. He is versatile and explosive and can be a major focal point of the Minnesota offense when he is available.

But many fantasy players are willing to take another shot on Cook too, as he does not have an ADP lower than 12 on any other site. If Cook actually plays close to a full schedule, he definitely has the abilities to produce as a fantasy RB1. 

Mild hesitation on Gurley (11): FFPC players are obviously still willing to take Todd Gurley as an RB1, although they have bumped him to the back of the chain. Players on other sites are a bit more aggressive, as he is going inside the top-10 and as early as seventh at the position.

This recent Fantasy injury article I did leading with Gurley indicates he simply is too big of a risk to take him as a top-12 RB. His chronic knee issues could lead to some extended absences in 2019. 

Moving on Mack (16): The FFPC crowd is slightly higher on Colts RB Marlon Mack than drafters on any other site. He is going at 19th on two other notable sites. It is not a major difference, but Mack had a breakthrough season last year and will be the finisher for an offense that may have the deepest and most impressive passing crew in the league this season. He could be a high-end RB2 for 2019. 

Raider rookie skepticism (20): Again, it is not a major difference, but FFPC drafters are lowest on Raiders rookie Josh Jacobs. Players on three other notable sites are taking him as early as 16th, and I am going to agree with them and go against the high stakers here. In an era where NFL teams have decreased the draft emphasis on the RB position, Jacobs was the only RB taken in the first round this season.

He is a well-rounded player who will be a very important piece of an improving offense. I believe Jacobs is a top-15 player who will make an instant impact, and I will personally take him higher than any of his ADPs indicate. 

Bigger on the Bear? (21): The FFPC players are highest on Bears rookie David Montgomery, as he is the 26th to 29th RB off the board at RB on other sites. I’m not with the high stakes crowd here, as I believe Montgomery is being overrated by many players and analysts. I cannot draft him as a fantasy RB2.

I may be the only one warning fantasy players not to overlook the presence of Mike Davis. He is going to make a push for quality playing time and could share carries with Montgomery or even (gasp) operate as the lead ball-carrier over him. Montgomery must earn the lead RB role that a lot of fantasy types are expecting him to easily walk into. 

Stiff-Arming Sony (25): The high stakes drafters in the FFPC seem to be approaching Sony Michel with more caution than players on other sites are. While he is going as early as 21st and 22nd on some other sites, the FFPC owners won’t take him until 25th at the position. Michel already entered the league as a flagged injury risk last year and he continues to wear the tag. Michel can be a high-end RB2 producer at times when available, and sometimes outstanding. But he does not catch enough passes, either, and that further dings his appeal in the eyes of many owners.

Michel is a strong RB2 when healthy, but make sure you handcuff rookie Damien Harris and back up the New England starter with other quality depth options if you take him as a second starter at the position. 

Not Quite Feeling the Philly Rookie (25): Players from the FFPC are taking a cautious approach on Eagles rookie Miles Sanders, taking him as the 25th RB off the board when he is going as early as 20th at the position on two other notable sites. Reports on Sanders so far have not been favorable, as he dealt with a hamstring injury during OTAs and there have been whispers about pass protection issues and sharing time in the backfield. There is general disdain for Jordan Howard, but it is not elevating the stock of Sanders too much. Hell, he'd have to look very good during the preseason to fully escape a fantasy RB3 label. 

A Bit Forward with Foreman (43): FFPC drafters are slightly higher on D’Onta Foreman than players on other sites. Foreman is going at 45 and 50 on two other platforms. On a related note, FFPC types are also slightly higher on Lamar Miller (30) than players on other sites. This is finally the season that Foreman is seemingly healthy and ready to cut into Miller’s workload. He should overtake him as the preferred goal-line runner for the Texans and Houston is reportedly planning to have the two RBs share time. Miller is in a contract year and we could see Foreman progressively overtake him, so he is a very good upside play as the 43rd RB off the board.

More Fantasy Football Analysis


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




Today’s Most Viewed Players

More Recent Articles

 

Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Quarterback

2019 was a very interesting season of fantasy football, to say the least. It's safe to say no one was banking on the season that we saw from Lamar Jackson but he wasn't the only one to stand out. At the quarterback position, we saw some really exciting players start to shine and some older... Read More


Goodbye Runners, Hello Pass-Catching RBs: 2019 Season Trends

As the 2019 summer kept going we all had two things in our minds with regard to September's fantasy drafts and both of them were related to running backs: Where in the world are Ezekiel Elliott and Melvin Gordon and when will they be back? It made sense back then (and it still does now,... Read More


Where Does 2019 Rank Historically Among ADP Movers?

I have worked on a season-review series of articles in which I have analyzed the biggest winners and losers in terms of ADP entering draft season compared to the end of the year final results. It was plenty of fun looking back at the gambles most of us took which ultimately paid off, but also... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Tight End

2019 was not the record-breaking season for tight ends 2018 was. San Francisco’s George Kittle (most receiving yards for a TE in a season) and Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz (most receptions for a TE in a season) did not break the records they set last season, although both were fine for fantasy players. Kansas City’s Travis... Read More


Rushing Quarterbacks Are Becoming Necessary

The 2019 fantasy season is over. We are all thinking about what to do come 2020 draft day. So let me ask you something. What if I offer you the chance of drafting a quarterback who is a lock to finish the season with 270 fantasy points? Would you take him and make him your... Read More


Biggest Breakouts Of 2019: Wide Receivers

As we enter the initial phase of offseason activities you have recently completed a painstaking process of creating and managing rosters, with the goal of winning fantasy championships in 2019. Now, many of you have already shifted your focus toward planning your drafts in Best Ball and redraft leagues, while others are contemplating how you... Read More


Tight End ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Running Back ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, a sure-fire player is expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they end up as a season-long dud, though,... Read More


Biggest Surprises of 2019: Tight End

The 2019 NFL season was anything but predictable. I mean, the Tennessee Titans made the AFC title game! Andrew Luck retired right before the season! [Insert one of many, many other things here, because all lists need three items but I couldn't decide between all the possible third options.] One position where things at the... Read More


Wide Receiver Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

We continue our series covering the biggest risers and fallers of 2019 with the wide receiver position. I'll look at both 2018 and 2019 statistical outcomes from every player, contrast their performances, calculate differences in each category and come up with the most prominent names going forward. This past season, receivers didn't dominate in fantasy,... Read More


Wide Receiver ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


XFL Fantasy Football Rankings (Preseason)

As of this writing, there is exactly one month until XFL regular-season action begins. On February 8, the latest upstart professional league will kickoff (again) with spring football. It goes without saying that we hope it goes better than the first time, back in 2001, and lasts longer than the AAF. Before you settle in... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Quarterback

The 2019 NFL season is over, and it's time to look back on what happened. 2019 was a year where some quarterbacks -- Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen -- leaped up to the top of the fantasy charts, while other guys faded from where they were expected to perform. Today, I want to talk about three... Read More


Quarterback ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Running Back

The 2019 fantasy football was filled with plenty of surprises across the board. Between guys like Devante Parker breaking out and David Johnson being a total dud, there was plenty of action that kept the fantasy season interesting. At the running back position, there were some very interesting young names that took off and broke... Read More