Keith Eyster's top NBA prop bets for 11/3/25: expert player-prop picks, value plays, quick model edges and line-shopping tips for today’s slate. Check odds & get the edge.
Happy Monday, Rotoballers! Welcome back to another edition of the NBA Props article. Hopefully, everyone had a safe and enjoyable Halloween weekend.
We're kicking off the new week with a nine-game slate tonight. At first glance, several matchups appear lopsided, with only two of the games featuring a spread of fewer than six points. Out West, the Lakers and Blazers square off in a matchup of two Western Conference teams that have exceeded expectations to begin the season. Meanwhile, in the other tight spread, the Pistons take on the Grizzlies in a duel featuring a pair of elite point guards.
In this article, I will provide my favorite NBA player props picks for Monday, November 3rd. Prop picks can range from individual stats—points, assists, rebounds, three-pointers made, and defensive stats —to combination props (Points + Rebounds + Assists = PRA). All odds and sportsbooks used are listed as well, but always shop around, as those odds change throughout the day as bets come in. Let's get to the picks!
Today’s Best NBA Prop Bets & Player Props
Early-season NBA player props offer bettors a prime opportunity to get ahead of oddsmakers by capitalizing on new trends, unexpected rotations, and shifts in play style from last season. With teams still settling into their identities, sharp bettors can often find mispriced lines before the markets adjust.
Let’s take a look at the top player props for today’s NBA slate:
- Luka Doncic over 32.5 Points (-120 DK)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo over 11.5 Rebounds (-115 Bet365)
- Jrue Holiday over 11.5 Rebounds and Assists (-110 MGM)
- Ryan Rollins over 14.5 Points (-117 DK)
- Tari Eason over 11.5 Points (-112 DK)
Luka Doncic over 32.5 Points (-120 DK)
There isn't much that needs to be said about the start Luka Doncic is having to his first full season as a Laker. The 26-year-old put up more than 40 points in each of his first three games, and then turned in a 29-point triple-double last night against the Heat. He is doing everything he needs to do for this team while LeBron James remains sidelined and has the Lakers off to a 5-2 start.
Luka Doncic through 4 games:
41.3 PPG
11.5 RPG
8.3 APG
67.2% TS pic.twitter.com/W0zCXS0Pvl— Real Sports (@realapp) November 3, 2025
Tonight, they face off against another team that has had a strong start to the season in the Portland Trail Blazers. Portland has played outstanding defense, ranking fifth in efficiency through six games, but they have also played extremely fast, ranking third in pace. Matchup does not matter for a superstar like Luka Doncic, and the up-tempo environment is far more interesting. Doncic has posted an absurd 38.8% usage rate so far, and last night he shot just 1-of-11 from three-point range and still finished with 29 points. He should cruise over 32.5 points again tonight.
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 11.5 Rebounds (-115 Bet365)
Giannis and the Bucks head to Indiana for an Eastern Conference showdown with the Pacers. The Greek Freak is off to another excellent start this season, already with a 40-point game and a 20-rebound game on his ledger in the first five games. It's the latter stat that is particularly intriguing in this matchup against Indiana. Antetokounmpo has averaged 13.0 rebounds so far this season, while Indiana has allowed the fourth-most opponent rebounds per game. The Pacers are lacking in the big man department, with Myles Turner moving to the Bucks side of the matchup this season and Obi Toppin still out with an injury.
They have used a rotating cast of Isaiah Jackson, Tony Bradley, and Jay Huff alongside Pascal Siakam this season. Antetokounmpo should have no trouble dominating the glass and going over 13 rebounds in this matchup.
Top Value Props & Sleeper Picks
Betting on superstars is always exciting, but the best value often lies on the margins of a roster. Role players and emerging contributors can offer hidden edges, especially as the season wears on and injuries start to shake up rotations.
Let’s dive into some of the top value plays for today’s NBA slate.
Jrue Holiday over 11.5 Rebounds and Assists (-110 MGM)
Holiday has featured heavily in these articles to begin the season, with books undervaluing the uptick in role he would have in a new environment. Holiday was an integral role player on championship-caliber teams in Boston and Milwaukee the past few seasons. Now, however, he is the focal point of the offense for a Portland team that has played well to begin the season.
The veteran guard has always been an elite rebounder for his size, and now he is in a role where he is playing with the ball in his hands a ton. Holiday has showcased his playmaking skills for this Blazers team, facilitating the offense and turning in a career-high 40.6% assist rate so far this season. He is averaging 5.0 rebounds and 8.7 assists this season, and his playmaking role should continue at least until Scoot Henderson returns from injury.
Ryan Rollins over 14.5 Points (-117 DK)
With Kevin Porter Jr. sidelined with a knee injury, Ryan Rollins has taken over as the starting point guard for the Milwaukee Bucks. Rollins showed well in his first two games as the starter before exploding for two of the best games of his career, culminating with a career-high 32-point outburst against the Warriors. In five games as a starter, Rollins has averaged 20 points and posted a healthy 22.2% usage rate. The Bucks have a need for scoring beyond superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Rollins has filled that role nicely.
Ryan Rollins appreciation post. pic.twitter.com/CEiJ2D7t5T
— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) October 31, 2025
Tonight, he gets a matchup against the Indiana Pacers, who have been decimated by injuries to begin the season. Their depth has been particularly tested in the backcourt, with all of Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Bennedict Mathurin, and TJ McConnell out again for this game. The injuries have made Indiana one of the best matchups in the league for opposing point guards, and Rollins is in a prime position to take advantage of that tonight.
Tari Eason over 11.5 Points (-112 DK)
The Houston Rockets are heavily favored in a matchup with the Dallas Mavericks, who will once again be without Anthony Davis. Last game without Davis, they surrendered 122 points to Detroit and lost by 12 points. For the season, the Mavs have been a solid defensive unit, but taking one of the top rim protectors in the league off the court severely impacts their defensive outlook. This is especially true when factoring in the absence of their second-best rim protector, Derek Lively, who is also out with an injury.
Tari Eason got off to a low start to open the season, totaling just seven points in his first two games. However, he has been back to his customary role as a sparkplug off the Rockets' bench in his last three games. He exploded for 22 points in a matchup against Brooklyn to get his season on the right track, and now he has cleared 11.5 points in each of his last two outings as well. He gets a great matchup here with the Mavericks missing a pair of key frontcourt members.
There is one more angle at play here, and that is Jabari Smith's questionable designation on the injury report. If Smith were to get ruled out, Eason would have a path to more minutes and could potentially be counted on for a much larger role, which would give us incredible value on this line.
NBA Betting Tools & Resources
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Thanks for reading, RotoBallers, and good luck if you are tailing our bets tonight!
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